Sam DOCHERTY (CAR), $436,100, BE: 80.3
Age: 26yrs 4mths
2020 Season: 6th (but missed two)
Draft Pick: Rd1 Pick 12
SC history (2017-13): 114.7, 108.7, 87.7, 76.8, 52.8
SC % ownership: 50.7%
If Doch wasn’t coming off two years out and two ACLs, based on the above ‘delicious’ key indicators you’d be picking him second only to Grundy. But he ain’t …
What do we need?
At his starting price, Sam needs to EITHER finish as a Top8 DEF playing at least 20 games (likely 98 ave.), OR ave. 100+ until injured (hopefuly not early)
Doch was an absolute gun before doing his first ACL in pre-season 2018. A 98 ave. represents a 15% drop in output from the last time he played senior footy. He took on a considerable coaching role during his absence from the field, so will know CAR’s game-plan inside and out. With younger, less experienced players learning their craft around him, we can expect Doch to remain the key ‘go to’ option in general defensive play and transition.
A double-ACL is very significant. Looking at the history of SC outputs following an ACL injury, we might expect anything from 78-102 ave. I’d be inclined to think the lower end of the range, given the fact he has had two ACL reco’s and two years out of the game.
What will happen if he averages 98 and gets injured?!
If he can play 9 games and average 98, you SHOULD be able to pick up a ‘Fallen Premium’ in a single trade. Perhaps as early as Rd7
We will know more about role and his likely output after the Marsh Series. If I had to decide now, I likely wouldn’t pick him. He’s not currently in my side.
WARNING: I’ve noticed a few requests already on the initial piece. The first lot of players reviewed will be done so in order of SC ownership % (being a pretty good indicator of relevance). After the Marsh Series, I will then cover any surprise bolters we may have missed, who could be the difference in SC 2020. eg Tom LYNCH was an oversight on my part and will be covered, but Gibbs and Cotchin won’t I’m afraid CJ84. Neither are ‘underpriced’ and both look like they’ll be playing frogger/dodging beer trucks in 2020 😉
Leave a comment / Scroll to bottom