Stephen HILL (FRE) DEF/FWD, $190,600, BE: 35.1
Age: 29yrs 10mths
2020 Season: 12th
Draft Pick: Rd1 Pick 3
SC history (2019-12): 39, 71.7, 80.4, 89.8, 95.9, 96.1, 85.9, 80.8 …
SC % ownership: 54.7%
We all know who he is and we all know what he’s been through with his quad injury over the last two years but … he feels he has given it the necessary time out of the game to heal properly and has not missed a beat this pre-season. He even played the required minutes of him in match sim last week; playing off HB (selling candy), on a wing (hitting Lobb on the lead to goal) and at HF flank (kicking a goal himself).
He will be playing frogger come the early rounds of 2020 and prolonged or chronic soft-tissue injuries will eventually catch up with you again. Physiologically that has to be true. So he’s a risk?! Almost certainly. But over half of SuperCoachers currently have him in their side. Are you going to follow the herd, or back against in the hope it all goes belly-up?
Over the Hill?!
What do we need?
Am gonna look at two different scenarios. First, he plays injury-free and averages 61.5 …
Now let’s see what happens if he averages 71.7 …
He should average more than this over his first five-six games if he can stay on the park, based on his history and taking his frogger status into consideration.
Big risk-reward, but he’s only premium rookie-priced, has DEF/FWD status and we likely only need him to play six games to do a job for us. Freo will want his leadership, mature-head and elite skills out on the park as they continue to build their young and talented list.
Age and injury have already caught up with him. It could all go very wrong and early.
If he gets through the Marsh Series and is named Rd1, I’m likely getting on the bus to the Hill. Worst-case, he goes down early and you downgrade him to the best rookie you missed. If you have the DPP switch in your side, that will mean you can pick the best DEF or FWD rookie that you missed in a correction trade. Little to lose … lots to gain.
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