(Written By Kid81)
I have been visiting SCT since about 2010 and
interacting for the last 3-4 years. I have never really thought
about writing anything however this year I have noticed a player
going completely under the radar. In fact, I have not seen his name
mentioned on SCT or any other site.
WHO AM I?
In his debut 2016 season, he played 13 games for an average of 69.6
points. This included 5 scores above 85 in a stretch from round 10
to 23. Pretty decent for a rookie but not for a cash cow given the
Starting at $117,300 and finishing at $363,100, we should have been
talking about him. We probably didn’t notice him though as he only
played round 1 and 2 to average 47 points and was omitted for Rds
3 to 9. Returning in Round 10, he averaged 56.5 over four games
prior to the Bye. At this time he had only gone up $100,000 and in
round 13, he had started to drop cash! Returning in round 17, over
the last 7 games he averaged 83.6 points. Not the best downgrade
option given he was over $220,000 but scored well if someone had
shown faith in holding him, had no trades left and needed cover.
He also went on to play the Finals and was the youngest dog on the
field for their Premiership! (Can you guess who it is?)
In 2017 he had an ankle injury (reconstruction) so did not get on
the park until Rd 4. He averaged 75pts over three games and then in
his 4th appearance, injured his shoulder keeping him out until
Rd 21. Playing in three losses to GWS, Port Adelaide and the
Hawks meant he saw little of the ball as a forward and averaged only
Jump to 2018 and the 21 year old is coming into Rd 1 having
completed a full pre-season. The Dogs obviously rate him highly
having given him Matthew Boyd’s number 5 in the off season. (Do you
know who it is yet?)
This year he is priced at $296,900 which is an average (breakeven)
of 54 points. Personally, I think the Dogs are over their hangover
and on the up. I saw him get some midfield time in the JLT and he
averaged 93.5 at 84% Time On Ground in his 2 JLT appearances. He
represents real value if he can average 80 points or more. As a
forward listed player, given the lack of confidence I have in this
years premiums and rookies, I will be starting him.
Who is it? Josh Dunkley.
Price: $296 900
Risk Rating: On a scale of 1-5……1 being safe & 5 being extremely dangerous……….Josh Dunkley – Three Higgos! Adds depth to the Dogs line-up and still has plenty of good footy ahead of him. Just not sure where he is in the pecking order. Could quickly be dropped to the Reserves after one or two average performances.
Thanks very much to Kid81! – Schwarzwalder
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