For those new to the game, a player’s break-even (or BE) is the score they must achieve in order to maintain their current price tag. The following are the details for most of the popular players (>3% ownership), plus a few other notables. Bookmark and enjoy!
If there’s a name not listed here that you’d like to hear about, throw it in the comments and I’ll do my best to accomodate you.
First Name, LAST NAME (TEAM) (Price, Average): BE
All MID DPPs are listed under def/fwd/ruck (as appropriate)
DEF-FWD DPPs are listed as defs
RUCK DPPs are listed as rucks
PREMIUM DEFENDERS (>$500K)
James SICILY (HAW) ($520 000, 105): 28
Luke RYAN (FRE) ($503 100, 94): 69
Callum MILLS (SYD) ($557 500, 106): 77
Jordan RIDLEY (ESS) ($515 200, 109): 103
Caleb DANIEL (WBD) ($534 700, 103): 129
Brayden MAYNARD (COL) ($536 800, 108): 131
Jake LLOYD (SYD) ($582 300, 110): 133
Nick HAYNES (GWS) ($562 500, 108): 146
Bachar HOULI (RIC) ($528 400, 94): 158
Sam DOCHERTY (CAR) ($521 300, 106): 172
MIDPRICE DEFENDERS ($300K-$500K)
Tom DOEDEE (ADE) ($433 000, 91): 28
Grant BIRCHALL (BRL) ($351 700, 71): 41
Aidan CORR (GWS) ($398 100, 84): 47
Jack LUKOSIUS (GCS) ($399 500, 80): 52
Jordan DAWSON (SYD) ($389 400, 75): 64
Jayden SHORT (RIC) ($454 300, 93): 66
Dan HOUSTON (PTA) ($481 000, 89): 70
Trent MCKENZIE (PTA) ($343 400, 72): 75
Zac BAILEY (BRL) ($336 100, 70): 75
Jack CRISP (COL) ($485 300, 95): 91
Adam SAAD (ESS) ($495 100, 102): 103
Rory LAIRD (ADE) ($479 500, 90): 118
Brodie SMITH (ADE) ($431 600, 74): 120
Shannon HURN (WCE) ($424 300, 86): 120
BUDGET / ROOKIE DEFENDERS (<$300K)
Will DAY (HAW) ($193 700, 77): -39
Derek EGGMOLESSE-SMITH (RIC) ($246 900, 92): -37
Andrew MCPHERSON (ADE) ($158 200, 64): -34
Ben MCKAY (NTH) ($149 200, 86): -24
Lachlan ASH (GWS) ($243 600, 52): 3
Jarrod BRANDER (WCE) ($235 200, 60): 16
Trent RIVERS (MEL) ($166 000, 47): 20
Will HAMILL (ADE) ($186 100, 39): 27
Stephen HILL (FRE) ($266 400, 64): 29
John NOBLE (COL) ($283 700, 63): 35
Fischer MCASEY (ADE) ($206 300, 39): 46
Tom WILLIAMSON (CAR) ($241 500, 55): 54
Brandon STARCEVICH (BRL) ($257 700, 57): 71
Hayden YOUNG (FRE) ($273 700, 52): 94
PREMIUM MIDFIELDERS ($500K+)
Tim KELLY (WCE) ($511 000, 97): 59
Stephen CONIGLIO (GWS) ($501 500, 100): 60
Patrick DANGERFIELD (GEE) ($598 300, 111): 83
Jack MACRAE (WBD) ($581 500, 110): 86
Adam TRELOAR (COL) ($628 700, 133): 94
Josh DUNKLEY (WBD) ($602 600, 109): 99
Jack STEELE (STK) ($585 600, 120): 99
Dylan SHIEL (ESS) ($557 500, 114): 101
Marcus BONTEMPELLI (WBD) ($542 600, 101): 102
Taylor ADAMS (COL) ($569 000, 115): 108
Clayton OLIVER (MEL) ($565 700, 110): 109
Scott PENDLEBURY (COL) ($536 500, 105): 131
Luke PARKER (SYD) ($541 900, 109): 136
Tom MITCHELL (HAW) ($578 200, 108): 139
Josh KELLY (GWS) ($567 200, 103): 150
Andrew GAFF (WCE) ($517 600, 104): 151
Zach MERRETT (ESS) ($533 500, 102): 153
Hugh MCCLUGGAGE (BRL) ($548 400, 104): 163
Patrick CRIPPS (CAR) ($520 200, 99): 168
Travis BOAK (PTA) ($572 000, 112): 172
Lachie NEALE (BRL) ($706 300, 142): 199
Nat FYFE (FRE) ($639 000, 115): 225
MIDPRICE MIDFIELDERS ($300K – $500K)
Noah ANDERSON (GCS) ($325 000, 67): 45
Jack VINEY (MEL) ($493 100, 111): 50
Sam WALSH (CAR) ($434 000, 83): 51
Andrew MCGRATH (ESS) ($463 600, 95): 89
Elliot YEO (WCE) ($499 800, 90): 90
BUDGET/ ROOKIE MIDFIELDERS (<$300K)
Sam SIMPSON (GEE) ($185 700, 95): -80
Marlion PICKETT (RIC) ($256 500, 70): -17
Mitchell HIBBERD (ESS) ($176 200, 52): -13
Harley BENNELL (MEL) ($193 300, 61): -9
Sam PHILP (CAR) ($140 900, 46): -7
Justin MCINERNEY (SYD) ($232 900, 64): 13
Dylan STEPHENS (SYD) ($197 400, 48): 21
Ned MCHENRY (ADE) ($191 500, 38): 26
Ryan BYRNES (STK) ($117 300, 22): 26
Caleb SERONG (FRE) ($246 600, 59): 34
Tom GREEN (GWS) ($268 700, 62): 47
Tyler BROWN (COL) ($232 300, 52): 64
Kyron HAYDEN (NTH) ($220 300, 42): 78
RUCKS
Darcy CAMERON (COL) ($147 700, 51): -13
Tristan XERRI (NTH) ($144 800, 48): -10
Luke JACKSON (MEL) ($210 600, 55): 16
Tim ENGLISH (WBD) ($600 100, 119): 48
Reilly O’BRIEN (ADE) ($543 600, 113): 77
Nic NAITANUI (WCE) ($488 000, 96): 118
Max GAWN (MEL) ($776 700, 153): 124
Marc PITTONET (CAR) ($403 900, 93): 133
Brodie GRUNDY (COL) ($678 600, 133): 152
Rowan MARSHALL (STK) ($515 600, 91): 157
Todd GOLDSTEIN (NTH) ($669 500, 134): 163
PREMIUM FORWARDS (>$500K)
Christian PETRACCA (MEL) ($543 700, 116): 59
Hugh GREENWOOD (GCS) ($557 800, 113): 62
Andrew BRAYSHAW (FRE) ($512 500, 97): 81
Michael WALTERS (FRE) ($554 600, 111): 122
Tom HAWKINS (GEE) ($543 300, 101): 123
Jy SIMPKIN (NTH) ($533 800, 111): 133
MIDPRICED FORWARDS ($300K– $500K)
Jordan DE GOEY (COL) ($436 500, 86): 24
Jack STEVEN (GEE) ($313 600, 55): 24
Laitham VANDERMEER (WBD) ($302 200, 65): 42
Jeremy CAMERON (GWS) ($453 700, 82): 46
Bailey SMITH (WBD) ($409 100, 89): 47
Brett BEWLEY (FRE) ($373 100, 79): 59
Lachie WHITFIELD (GWS) ($470 900, 86): 67
Robbie GRAY (PTA) ($416 500, 82): 79
Devon SMITH (ESS) ($382 700, 82): 89
Toby GREENE (GWS) ($471 000, 88): 91
Jack MARTIN (CAR) ($495 300, 98): 93
Tom PAPLEY (SYD) ($451 000, 90): 94
Charlie CAMERON (BRL) ($421 000, 82): 104
Connor ROZEE (PTA) ($334 300, 71): 111
Dustin MARTIN (RIC) ($469 100, 91): 113
Tom J LYNCH (RIC) ($344 000, 65): 133
Chad WINGARD (HAW) ($438 200, 90): 153
Dan BUTLER (STK) ($415 400, 88): 155
BUDGET / ROOKIE FORWARDS (<$300K)
Izak RANKINE (GCS) ($195 900, 107): -97
Darren MINCHINGTON (HAW) ($117 300, 62): -14
Cody WEIGHTMAN (WBD) ($144 300, 63): -4
Atu BOSENVULAGI (COL) ($139 500, 43): -3
Minairo FREDERICK (FRE) ($117 300, 47): 1
Kysaiah KROPINYERI-PICKETT (MEL) ($229 000, 53): 12
Ned CAHILL (ESS) ($117 300, 35): 13
Elijah TAYLOR (SYD) ($117 300, 34): 14
Jake AARTS (RIC) ($178 800, 52): 25
Aiden BONAR (NTH) ($209 800, 50): 26
Jack MAHONY (NTH) ($182 200, 45): 28
Sam STURT (FRE) ($195 300, 62): 31
Connor BUDARICK (GCS) ($223 000, 51): 39
Max KING (STK) ($284 200, 59): 53
Thomas BERRY (BRL) ($209 500, 47): 60
Curtis TAYLOR (NTH) ($287 900, 64): 80
Jacob TOWNSEND (ESS) ($273 400, 56): 95
Leave a comment / Scroll to bottom
thx chillo
DEF targets:
• Haynes, Daniel, Hurn, Maynard
MID:
• Coniglio, Yeo, Gaff, Fyfe
FWD:
• J Cameron, Bazlenka, Walters, Toby Greene
Excellent work Chillo!
Can anyone shed any light on Will Days JS?
If he gets dropped Hawks fan should request a sanity test on Clarko. He’s a shining light for them.
For those double upgrading this week who are you thinking? B. Smith and ?????
I would look at Sicily if you don’t have him. Oliver is another who is about as cheap as he’ll get, and has already had his bye.
Great work Chillo.
Very much appreciated.
This week it is one up (B. Smith) and one down in Def.
Probably Ben MCKAY (NTH) ($149 200, 86): -24. Although I can afford to spend more if needed.
Any North fans have an opinion on his job security?
I’m not a north supporter but I would be going Day/Macpherson ahead of McKay. They cost slightly more but have more JS and will score better. He is pretty limited and will score less than 40 most weeks. Not sure how he got 86 on the weekend. Probably coz it was being peppered into their backline all night.
Thank you DiscoStu.
Having done 101 different combinations I may go double upgrade bringing in B. Smith and a mid price back around the 430K mark eg Doedee, Hurn, Corr etc. I will ponder this some more!
Thanks Chillo, love your work! Could anyone let me know what the forgotten man – Ollie Wines’ BE is? Half of me says to take a risk on him as a fallen premium and potential POD, he’s dirt cheap atm and a bargain if he ever finds some form. The other half says stay away, he no longer fits into this port team… guess I’ll let his BE decide.
Wines’ BE is 72. ‘Good’ player but has never quite progressed from that level IMO. Value though!
Great work Chillo!!
I’d be interested in Tom Stewart’s breakeven ?
Me too, Matt! It’s 194. Pencil him in for a trade in a couple of weeks…
Hi all. Not sure this is the right place but can anybody tell me how much mid time Houston is getting, or is he mainly playing back? With three tons in a row does it mean he has been playing more mid, or picking up easier touches on the backline?
He attended the most centre bounces for Port last round. Seems to be getting more mid time and doing much better in that role than at the start of the season