Brownlow Medal Hunt Turning Into a Two-Horse Race

Written by Motts on July 25 2017

Source: Patrick Dangerfield via Facebook

As we move towards the end of the normal season, we start to think about who will take home the prestigious Brownlow Medal. There have been many amazing team performances throughout the year so far, but this particular honour is reserved for individual brilliance: the players that give the fans hard-working, and often spectacular, performances from week to week.

The contest this year has recently started to turn into a two-horse race between Dustin Martin and Patrick Dangerfield; the latest AFL odds of 2.00 for Dangerfield and 2.10 for Martin suggest that one of these players will be the one to claim the coveted award.

Dangerfield has been fantastic for the Cats this year and an instrumental part of their attacking brand of football. So far this season, he has kicked 33 goals for Geelong and taken 75 marks. He has the most disposals for the club, with 519, and is leading the tackle count, with 99. In only his second year at the club after making the swap from the Crows in 2016, he has settled in beautifully and is playing some of the best footy of his career. The energetic midfielder rightfully claimed the award last year, winning with a record-breaking 35 votes, and many people are predicting he could make it two in a row.

Source: Dustin Martin via Facebook

Meanwhile, Tigers midfielder Martin has been excellent this year and a major part of Coach Damien Hardwick’s brand of footy. The Tigers are starting to look like real title contenders this year and currently sit fourth on the ladder. The 2016 All-Australian’s contribution to the team has been outstanding and his level of consistency has been remarkable, kicking 23 goals and taking 73 marks. He has the most disposals for the club, with 508, and has made a very impressive 67 tackles. Martin was awarded the Jack Dyer Medal at the end of last season as Richmond’s best and fairest player. He was also the club’s highest-placed player in the mix for the Brownlow Medal and third overall.

The dark house of the race is Hawthorn’s Tom Mitchell. His first season playing for the Hawks has been fantastic; the young midfielder has kicked nine majors so far this season and leads the way for disposals, with a staggering 615. He also has the most marks for the club, with 99, and leads the tackle count, with a commanding 114. It’s easy to see why Mitchell has become a fan favourite with those sort of figures.

Zach Merret from the Bombers is another who is playing some extremely good football. The other ‘roughies’ to watch out for are Josh Kelly from the GWS Giants and Rory Sloane from the Adelaide Crows. Both have had exceptional seasons and will surely be in the mix come the end of the year.


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11 thoughts on “Brownlow Medal Hunt Turning Into a Two-Horse Race”

  1. With all due respect Motts, you’re really going out on a limb calling Titch a dark horse…he’s 3rd favourite! Your other roughies Z.Merret, J.Kelly and Sloane are 4th, 5th and 6th favourites respectively. Best roughie may well be Clayton Oliver at $67.


  2. I take your point about Mitchell being a favourite but paying $8 is double each way odds.
    Merrett @ $21 , Sloane $26 , and Kelly $34 are all Roughies at those odds i am afraid so Motts is spot on they are Roughies.

    By the way Donald Trump F.C i enjoyed my win over your Team in Leagues last week as i can’t stand the pompous idiot so for that reason alone.


    1. Ha ha…that must be the league “Man Can Dream” where you’re 16th and I’m 5th. Perhaps your win will help you qualify for the Bottom 8 VFL Finals. Enough of the #fakenews please!


  3. Thats the League mate one of only of 2 leagues out of 10 that i can’t make the eight with a few leagues ranked higher overall than that League. I have lost about 6 games by under 20 -30pts so unlucky as you will notice by my percentage which is just the luck of the draw. Happy to be shaping the 8 though by knocking you out of the Top 4 and having beaten 2 other Top 4 and Top 8 Teams in recent weeks.

    Anyway Good Luck for the rest of the season and will follow with interest your run in the finals in that League.


  4. I know defenders don’t tend to win the Brownlow, but am I the only one who thinks the odds on Sam Docherty are far too long? $501 to win, $126 to place.


    1. They are good odds but Bookies don’t like giving money away and usually not far off the mark. I put a bet on Danger when he was $2.50 , Martin 3 votes last week so pretty close out of them two. The other’s mentioned have had great years and with 5 rounds left it not over yet. Who’s the leader after 5 rounds? Put a little bet on O. Wines.


  5. No hope Jack i think he only polled 1 or 2 votes last year. It is a Midfielders Medal these days and , it helps if your side is winning as well.
    Forgot this in earlier posts #ImpeachTrump.


    1. He’s gone to another level this year, though. I’m not necessarily saying that it’s going to happen, but do you really think the odds of him placing are < 1%?

      Also, what has Trump got to do with the Brownlow?


  6. Jack if you want to put some money on Docherty i think you are better off backing him in The Most Team votes market for the Blues.
    The odds for the Top 5 in that market are
    Gibbs $2.15
    Murphy $2.75
    Docherty decent odds @$6
    Kreuzer $8
    Cripps $11.

    In answer to your question Trump has nothing to do with the Brownlow and was hoping to leave it there as this site is not a political platform. But , seeing as you asked i will clear it up it was just showing my disapproval of the obvious Trump supporter Donald J Trump FC otherwise you would not name your Team after him. That is the last i will be saying on the matter.



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