Captaincy Projections Rd1 – PART TWO

Written by Schwarzwalder on March 21 2019

(Written & Created By Adam)

RD1 Projections Part 2(Adel VS Haw, WB VS Syd, Bris VS WC)

Part 2 Answers-

1. Which player has averaged 115+ in wins at their home ground for the last 5 seasons with 21/36 matches of 120+’s?

B. R Sloane

 

2. Which player averages 121.67 against their RD1 opponent in their past 3 encounters?

A. J Kennedy (WC)

 

3. Which player averaged 111.5 in wins last season?

C. J Sicily

 

Adelaide VS Hawthorn at AO

M Crouch:

Avg VS Haw since 2017: 100.67 from 3 (low of 76 and a high of 131, 2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Premium AO Avg: 107.05 from 22 (7/22 below 100, 8/22 120+)

2018 AO Avg: 105.2 from 10 (3/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

Premium AO Wins Avg: 109 from 16 (4/16 below 100, 7/16 120+)

2018 AO Wins Avg: 106 from 7 (2/7 below 100, 4/7 120+)

Premium AO Losses Avg: 101.83 from 6 (3/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)

2018 AO Losses Avg: 103.33 from 3 (1/3 below 100)

Premium Wins Avg: 108.63 from 24 (7/24 below 100, 10/24 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 104.67 from 9 (3/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)

Premium Losses Avg: 102.33 from 15 (6/15 below 100, 2/15 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 98.44 from 9 (3/9 below 100)

 

R Laird:

Avg VS Haw since 2015: 85.25 from 4 (low of 72 and a high of 114, 3/4 below 100)

Last 3 VS Haw: 75.67 from 3 (low of 72 and a high of 79, 3/3 below 100)

Premium AO Avg: 103.52 from 44 (21/44 below 100, 13/44 120+)

2018 AO Avg: 108.17 from 12 (4/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)

Premium AO Wins Avg: 103 from 33 (16/33 below 100, 9/33 120+)

2018 AO Wins Avg: 109.75 from 8 (2/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

Premium AO Losses Avg: 105.09 from 11 (5/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)

2018 AO Losses Avg: 105 from 4 (2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

Premium Wins Avg: 103.94 from 53 (24/53 below 100, 15/53 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 111.83 from 12 (2/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)

Premium Losses Avg: 91.96 from 26 (18/26 below 100, 5/26 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 102.88 from 8 (5/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

 

R Sloane:

Avg VS Haw since 2012: 102 from 7 (low of 76 and a high of 146, 3/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

Last 3 VS Haw: 109.67 from 3 (low of 80 and a high of 146, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Premium AO Avg: 119 from 43 (10/43 below 100, 23/43 120+)

2018 AO Avg: 100.43 from 7 (3/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

Premium AO Wins Avg: 124.16 from 31 (7/31 below 100, 19/31 120+)

2018 AO Wins Avg: 115.6 from 5 (1/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)

Premium AO Losses Avg: 105.67 from 12 (3/12 below 100, 3/12 120+)

2018 AO Losses Avg: 62.5 from 2 (2/2 below 100)

Premium Wins Avg: 116.27 from 79 (25/79 below 100, 36/79 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 105.71 from 7 (2/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

Premium Losses Avg: 97.02 from 43 (22/43 below 100, 6/43 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 83.8 from 5 (4/5 below 100)

 

B Smith:

Avg VS Haw since 2014: 79.2 from 5 (low of 60 and a high of 100, 4/5 below 100)

Last 3 VS Haw: 76 from 3 (low of 60 and a high of 87)

 

J Sicily:

Avg VS Adel since 2018: 115 from 1

2018 Interstate Avg: 101 from 5 (3/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 111.5 from 8 (2/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 96.5 from 6 (4/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)

 

C Wingard:

Avg VS Adel since 2013: 93.6 from 10 (low of 42 and a high of 151, 5/10 below 100, 3/10 120+)

Last 3 VS Adel: 84.67 from 3 (low of 73 and a high of 105, 2/3 below 100)

Premium Interstate Avg: 91.31 from 29 (19/29 below 100, 4/29 120+)

2018 Interstate Avg: 81 from 9 (6/9 below 100, 1/9 120+)

Premium Wins Avg: 102.17 from 36 (17/36 below 100, 7/36 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 94.75 from 12 (6/12 below 100, 1/12 120+)

Premium Losses Avg: 89.08 from 26 (18/26 below 100, 3/26 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 80.44 from 9 (6/9 below 100)

 

Western Bulldogs VS Sydney at Marvel

M Bontempelli:

Avg VS Syd since 2015: 113 from 5 (low of 92 and a high of 140, 1/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)

Last 3 VS Syd: 112.33 from 3 (low of 92 and a high of 140, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Premium Marvel Avg: 105.53 from 51 (23/51 below 100, 17/51 120+)

2018 Marvel Avg: 106.23 from 13 (4/13 below 100, 5/13 120+)

Premium Marvel Wins Avg: 112.77 from 35 (13/35 below 100, 16/35 120+)

2018 Marvel Wins Avg: 120.71 from 7 (1/7 below 100, 4/7 120+)

Premium Marvel Losses Avg: 89.69 from 16 (10/16 below 100, 1/16 120+)

2018 Marvel Losses Avg: 89.33 from 6 (3/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)

Premium Wins Avg: 113.41 from 46 (15/46 below 100, 23/46 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 120.71 from 7 (1/7 below 100, 4/7 120+)

Premium Losses Avg: 94.76 from 37 (23/37 below 100, 7/37 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 94.25 from 12 (6/12 below 100, 3/12 120+)

 

J Dunkley:

Avg VS Syd since 2018: 107 from 1

2018 Marvel Avg: 98.91 from 11 (5/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)

2018 Marvel Wins Avg: 108.14 from 7 (2/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

2018 Marvel Losses Avg: 82.75 from 4 (3/4 below 100)

2018 Wins Avg: 106.38 from 8 (3/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 86.91 from 11 (7/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

 

T Liberatore:

Avg VS Syd since 2013: 105.25 from 4 (low of 93 and a high of 119)

Last 3 VS Syd: 100.67 from 3 (low of 93 and a high of 115, 2/3 below 100)

 

J Macrae:

Avg VS Syd since 2014: 93.17 from 6 (low of 60 and a high of 123, 3/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)

Last 3 VS Syd: 108 from 3 (low of 98 and a high of 123, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Premium Marvel Avg: 105.47 from 34 (12/34 below 100, 10/34 120+)

2018 Marvel Avg: 126.4 from 10 (0/10 below 100, 6/10 120+)

Premium Marvel Wins Avg: 112.82 from 17 (4/17 below 100, 7/17 120+)

2018 Marvel Wins Avg: 135.33 from 6 (5/6 120+)

Premium Marvel Losses Avg: 98.92 from 17 (8/17 below 100, 3/17 120+)

2018 Marvel Losses Avg: 113 from 4 (1/4 120+)

Premium Wins Avg: 119.36 from 25 (6/25 below 100, 12/25 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 143 from 7 (6/7 120+)

Premium Losses Avg: 104.97 from 37 (15/37 below 100, 10/37 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 117.75 from 12 (3/12 below 100, 6/12 120+)

 

L Franklin:

Avg VS WB since 2007: 98.5 from 14 (low of 16 and a high of 154, 8/14 below 100, 2/14 120+)

Last 3 VS WB: 98.67 from 3 (low of 95 and a high of 103, 2/3 below 100)

Premium Interstate Avg: 95.40 from 78 (44/78 below 100, 17/78 120+)

2018 Interstate Avg: 102.5 from 8 (5/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

Premium Wins Avg: 108.74 from 139 (53/139 below 100, 47/139 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 118.42 from 12 (4/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)

Premium Losses Avg: 81.87 from 54 (39/54 below 100, 5/54 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 63.5 from 6 (6/6 below 100)

 

I Heeney:

Avg VS WB since 2017: 109.5 from 2 (low of 88 and a high of 131)

Premium Interstate Avg: 97.61 from 18 (9/18 below 100, 5/18 120+)

2018 Interstate Avg: 100.1 from 10 (4/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

Premium Wins Avg: 101.82 from 28 (12/28 below 100, 7/28 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 103.29 from 14 (5/14 below 100, 4/14 120+)

Premium Losses Avg: 86.55 from 11 (8/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 85.86 from 7 (5/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

 

J Lloyd:

Avg VS WB since 2017: 98.33 from 3 (low of 89 and a high of 114, 2/3 below 100)

2018 Interstate Avg: 111.9 from 10 (3/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 112.36 from 14 (5/14 below 100, 4/14 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 111.5 from 8 (3/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

 

Brisbane VS West Coast at Gabba

H Andrews:

Avg VS WC since 2018: 91 from 1

2018 Gabba Avg: 91.44 from 9 (6/9 below 100, 2/9 120+)

2018 Gabba Wins Avg: 115 from 1

2018 Gabba Losses Avg: 88.5 from 8 (6/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 105.5 from 2 (1/2 below 100)

2018 Losses Avg: 86.31 from 16 (11/16 below 100, 2/12 120+)

 

S Martin:

Avg VS WC since 2014: 110.5 from 6 (low of 90 and a high of 142, 3/6 below 100, 2/6 120+)

Last 3 VS WC: 109.33 from 3 (low of 90 and a high of 142, 2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Premium Gabba Avg: 105.05 from 38 (14/38 below 100, 12/38 120+)

2018 Gabba Avg: 95.82 from 11 (6/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

Premium Gabba Wins Avg: 115.1 from 10 (2/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

2018 Gabba Wins Avg: 94.5 from 2 (1/2 below 100)

Premium Gabba Losses Avg: 101.46 from 28 (12/28 below 100, 8/28 120+)

2018 Gabba Losses Avg: 96.11 from 9 (5/9 below 100, 1/9 120+)

Premium Wins Avg: 119.47 from 19 (4/19 below 100, 9/19 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 121.2 from 5 (1/5 below 100, 3/5 120+)

Premium Losses Avg: 101.25 from 57 (28/57 below 100, 13/57 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 101.18 from 17 (8/17 below 100, 2/17 120+)

 

L Neale:

Avg VS WC since 2015: 118.13 from 8 (low of 73 and a high of 170, 2/8 below 100, 4/8 120+)

Last 3 VS WC: 128 from 3 (low of 113 and a high of 151, 2/3 120+)

Premium Wins Avg: 113.77 from 37 (10/37 below 100, 14/37 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 112.75 from 8 (2/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

Premium Losses Avg: 106.28 from 50 (17/50 below 100, 14/50 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 111.36 from 14 (4/14 below 100, 5/14 120+)

 

A Witherden:

Avg VS WC since 2017: 103 from 1

2018 Gabba Avg: 84.8 from 10 (6/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

2018 Gabba Wins Avg: 85.5 from 2 (1/2 below 100)

2018 Gabba Losses Avg: 84.63 from 8 (5/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 72.8 from 5 (4/5 below 100)

2018 Losses Avg: 87.25 from 16 (11/16 below 100, 2/16 120+)

 

D Zorko:

Avg VS WC since 2012: 90 from 7 (low of 69 and a high of 108, 5/7 below 100)

Last 3 VS WC: 88.33 from 3 (low of 69 and a high of 108, 2/3 below 100)

Premium Gabba Avg: 105.14 from 42 (16/42 below 100, 9/42 120+)

2018 Gabba Avg: 106.55 from 11 (4/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)

Premium Gabba Wins Avg: 106.36 from 14 (6/14 below 100, 3/14 120+)

2018 Gabba Wins Avg: 125 from 2 (2/2 120+)

Premium Gabba Losses Avg: 104.54 from 28 (10/28 below 100, 6/28 120+)

2018 Gabba Losses Avg: 102.44 from 9 (4/9 below 100, 2/9 120+)

Premium Wins Avg: 108.2 from 20 (7/20 below 100, 4/20 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 105.2 from 5 (2/5 120+)

Premium Losses Avg: 104.34 from 59 (24/59 below 100, 15/59 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 93.06 from 17 (3/17 120+)

 

J Darling:

Avg VS Bris since 2017: 101 from 2 (low of 92 and a high of 110)

2018 Interstate Avg: 79.88 from 8 (5/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 94.27 from 15 (8/15 below 100, 4/15 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 50 from 3 (3/3 below 100)

 

S Hurn:

Avg VS Bris since 2009: 85.58 from 12 (low of 55 and a high of 123, 8/12 below 100, 1/12 120+)

Last 3 VS Bris: 78 from 3 (low of 61 and a high of 107, 2/3 below 100)

Premium Interstate Avg: 91.23 from 30 (21/30 below 100, 2/30 120+)

2018 Interstate Avg: 93.7 from 10 (6/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)

Premium Wins Avg: 100.05 from 39 (18/39 below 100, 6/39 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 97.75 from 16 (8/16 below 100, 2/16 120+)

Premium Losses Avg: 84.56 from 27 (21/27 below 100)

2018 Losses Avg: 92.83 from 6 (4/6 below 100)

 

J Kennedy:

Avg VS Bris since 2015: 118.5 from 4 (low of 88 and a high of 180, 2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

Last 3 VS Bris: 121.67 from 3 (low of 88 and a high of 180, 2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Premium Interstate Avg: 84.61 from 28 (22/28 below 100, 2/28 120+)

2018 Interstate Avg: 59.6 from 5 (5/5 below 100)

Premium Wins Avg: 104.45 from 42 (21/42 below 100, 11/42 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 75.8 from 10 (8/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)

Premium Losses Avg: 73.33 from 18 (17/18 below 100, 0/18 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 48 from 1

 

E Yeo:

Avg VS Bris since 2017: 85.5 from 2 (low of 80 and a high of 91)

Premium Interstate Avg: 103 from 20 (10/20 below 100, 5/20 120+)

2018 Interstate Avg: 107.1 from 10 (4/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

Premium Wins Avg: 107.33 from 27 (10/27 below 100, 8/27 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 104.06 from 16 (6/16 below 100, 4/16 120+)

Premium Losses Avg: 101.19 from 16 (8/16 below 100, 4/16 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 118 from 6 (1/6 below 100, 3/6 120+)

 

Part 3 (StK VS GC, GWS VS Ess, Freo VS NM) Questions

1. Which player has averaged 142.67 in his past 3 matches against his RD1 opponent and 80% of his matches against that opponent has equalled/exceeded 120?

A. N Fyfe

B. J Kelly

C. Z Merrett

 

2. Which player scored 140+ in their last match against their RD1 opponent?

A. D Smith

B. L Ryan

C. Z Williams

 

3.Which player averaged 110.38 in wins last season?

A. D Mundy

B. T Goldstein

C. L Whitfield

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3 thoughts on “Captaincy Projections Rd1 – PART TWO”

  1. I’m not sure how to take some of the stats. For example: Gawn vs Lycett probably impacts more than Gawn vs PTA, and Neale vs WC always happened in WA, with a different midfield around him.

    Thanks for all the data Adam, and also for the mini-quizzes: I’m running at about 50% and strangely, I feel that is not a bad result.

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  2. A, B and C?!
    You’re making me feel very stupid Adam 😉
    Keep ‘em coming tho’
    And good luck in 2019 mate. Your contribution has been nothing short of phenomenal this off-/pre-season. So THANK YOU

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  3. Thanks Adam.

    I’m going Danger into Big Max.

    As for the Quiz.

    B / B / B ?

    Thanks again and good luck this year!

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