Hi Everybody!
Here is the fourth batch of defenders. Again, this is just my personal guessing, and not anything derived from math.
Darcy Byrne-Jones
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2016 | 20 | 63.8 | 20 | |
2017 | 22 | 64.4 | 21 | |
2018 | 21 | 71.8 | 22 | |
2019 | 22 | 87.2 | 23 | 87 |
86-94 | 88 |
At 24 he is not too old to have a breakout season. He is certainly durable, unless I just cursed him, and has shown steady improvement. The main reason not to pick him as a breakout candidate is all the others.
Zac Jones
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2014 | 4 | 34 | 18 | |
2015 | 9 | 47.6 | 19 | |
2016 | 14 | 56.4 | 20 | |
2017 | 21 | 83.1 | 21 | 83 |
2018 | 18 | 79.6 | 22 | 84 |
2019 | 17 | 85.7 | 23 | 85 |
83-90 | 86 |
Well….He looks better than I thought he would. Only 24, like DBJ above. Less durable. Similar outlook.
Jason Johannisen
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2012 | 3 | 60 | 19 | |
2013 | 13 | 64.5 | 20 | |
2014 | 11 | 64.1 | 21 | |
2015 | 20 | 77.5 | 22 | |
2016 | 13 | 94.4 | 23 | 85 |
2017 | 20 | 82 | 24 | 85 |
2018 | 22 | 85.8 | 25 | 85 |
2019 | 19 | 84.4 | 26 | 85 |
82-89 | 85 |
At this point we know pretty much just what he will do. There is no reason to start with him. He often drops in price a lot and can be picked up by the desperate at the end of the season, cheaply. Don’t ask me how I know that.
Harris Andrews
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2015 | 19 | 64.2 | 18 | |
2016 | 17 | 65.5 | 19 | |
2017 | 22 | 69.1 | 20 | |
2018 | 18 | 88.4 | 21 | 85 |
2019 | 19 | 82.7 | 22 | 85 |
81-89 | 85 |
Wow, another possible breakout bloke, but his being 23 gives him a bit of an edge on Darcy B. and Zac Jones. Still he went backwards last year, which is not a good sign.
Heath Shaw
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2005 | 6 | 72 | 19 | |
2006 | 21 | 100.7 | 20 | |
2007 | 22 | 106.3 | 21 | |
2008 | 18 | 91.5 | 22 | |
2009 | 18 | 94.7 | 23 | |
2010 | 19 | 90.2 | 24 | |
2011 | 14 | 100.9 | 25 | 100 |
2012 | 18 | 101.2 | 26 | 100 |
2013 | 19 | 96.9 | 27 | 100 |
2014 | 18 | 92.6 | 28 | 100 |
2015 | 22 | 112.6 | 29 | 100 |
2016 | 22 | 106 | 30 | 100 |
2017 | 22 | 83.3 | 31 | 85 |
2018 | 20 | 90.7 | 32 | 85 |
2019 | 22 | 82.6 | 33 | 85 |
75-83 | 78 |
Has a career year at 29, then dropped off a bit at 30, and got hit by a beer truck playing Frogger at 31. If you are not a relative or having relations with him, there is no excuse for his being in your team.
Callum Mills
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2016 | 20 | 77.2 | 18 | 76 |
2017 | 22 | 73.3 | 19 | 77 |
2018 | 9 | 79 | 20 | 78 |
2019 | 22 | 81.8 | 21 | 79 |
78-85 | 80 |
Remarkable run of early scoring, although the lack of improvement is a bit worrying. He will be 22, and could do anything from break out to spud out. Unless new info shows up he seems like a poor risk.
Adam Saad
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2015 | 16 | 78 | 20 | 73 |
2016 | 10 | 70.1 | 21 | 74 |
2017 | 22 | 72.7 | 22 | 75 |
2018 | 22 | 75.1 | 23 | 77 |
2019 | 21 | 81.7 | 24 | 79 |
78-85 | 81 |
It is interesting how his fast start never turned into anything, and he is barely above his 20 year old average at 24. It seems like we know what he can do, and that is not enough to be in our teams.
Sirs not appearing in this post
Shane Edwards
Shane Savage
Bradley Sheppard
Matthew Suckling
Mark Blicavs
Robbie Tarrant
Remember the Craggy Island Guarantee, All predictions wrong or triple your money back!
Thanks for reading!
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WIll be watching DBJ like a hawk during JLT
Me too. Will be interesting to see what effect a fit Ryan BURTON and/or Sam MAYES will have on his output, if any.
my old dad gets down to Alberton training when he can, in 2 of the 3 sessions he’s seen DBJ has been heavily involved in midfield drills/set plays… doubt this means much till the Marsh series begins, but some extra midfield minutes would likely be good?
DBJ Scores Post round 8:
Without Burton: 102.7
With Burton (excl. 7 vs NM): 102.7
Don’t think Burton made a difference. That 7 versus North is the real concern – was he sick/playing injured or did he legit breakout last year?
He’s my D2 rn. Just need the Marsh Series to affirm his HB receiver role.