Defender TLAs Batch #4

Hi Everybody!

Here is the fourth batch of defenders. Again, this is just my personal guessing, and not anything derived from math. 

Darcy Byrne-Jones

Year	Games	Average	Age	TLA
2016	20	63.8	20
2017	22	64.4	21
2018	21	71.8	22
2019	22	87.2	23	87
		86-94		88

At 24 he is not too old to have a breakout season. He is certainly durable, unless I just cursed him, and has shown steady improvement. The main reason not to pick him as a breakout candidate is all the others. 

 

Zac Jones

Year	Games	Average	Age	TLA
2014	4	34	18
2015	9	47.6	19
2016	14	56.4	20
2017	21	83.1	21	83
2018	18	79.6	22	84
2019	17	85.7	23	85
		83-90		86

Well….He looks better than I thought he would. Only 24, like DBJ above. Less durable. Similar outlook. 

Jason Johannisen

Year	Games	Average	Age	TLA
2012	3	60	19
2013	13	64.5	20
2014	11	64.1	21
2015	20	77.5	22
2016	13	94.4	23	85
2017	20	82	24	85
2018	22	85.8	25	85
2019	19	84.4	26	85
		82-89		85

At this point we know pretty much just what he will do. There is no reason to start with him. He often drops in price a lot and can be picked up by the desperate at the end of the season, cheaply.  Don’t ask me how I know that. 

Harris Andrews

Year	Games	Average	Age	TLA
2015	19	64.2	18
2016	17	65.5	19
2017	22	69.1	20
2018	18	88.4	21	85
2019	19	82.7	22	85
		81-89		85

Wow, another possible breakout bloke, but his being 23 gives him a bit of an edge on Darcy B. and Zac Jones. Still he went backwards last year, which is not a good sign.  

Heath Shaw

Year	Games	Average	Age	TLA
2005	6	72	19
2006	21	100.7	20
2007	22	106.3	21
2008	18	91.5	22
2009	18	94.7	23
2010	19	90.2	24
2011	14	100.9	25	100
2012	18	101.2	26	100
2013	19	96.9	27	100
2014	18	92.6	28	100
2015	22	112.6	29	100
2016	22	106	30	100
2017	22	83.3	31	85
2018	20	90.7	32	85
2019	22	82.6	33	85
		75-83		78

Has a career year at 29, then dropped off a bit at 30, and got hit by a beer truck playing Frogger at 31. If you are not a relative or having relations with him, there is no excuse for his being in your team. 

 

Callum Mills

Year	Games	Average	Age	TLA
2016	20	77.2	18	76
2017	22	73.3	19	77
2018	9	79	20	78
2019	22	81.8	21	79
		78-85		80

Remarkable run of early scoring, although the lack of improvement is a bit worrying. He will be 22, and could do anything from break out to spud out. Unless new info shows up he seems like a poor risk. 

 

Adam Saad

Year	Games	Average	Age	TLA
2015	16	78	20	73
2016	10	70.1	21	74
2017	22	72.7	22	75
2018	22	75.1	23	77
2019	21	81.7	24	79
		78-85		81

It is interesting how his fast start never turned into anything, and he is barely above his 20 year old average at 24. It seems like we know what he can do, and that is not enough to be in our teams. 

Sirs not appearing in this post

Shane Edwards

Shane Savage

Bradley Sheppard 

Matthew Suckling 

Mark Blicavs

Robbie Tarrant

Remember the Craggy Island Guarantee, All predictions wrong or triple your money back!

Thanks for reading!

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