Elite Numbers ’19 – Devon Smith (ESS)

Written by Schwarzwalder on February 21 2019

(Written & Created By Adam)

 

Tackling machine that thrived in his 1st season at Essendon…….Devon Smith

 

Premium History (Avg>90):

2014: 91.19 from 21

2018: 97.86 from 22

 

Avg VS Opponent:

Adel: 81 from 3 (low of 70 and a high of 92)

Bris: 89.5 from 2 (low of 75 and a high of 104)

Carl: 90 from 2 (low of 79 and a high of 101)

Coll: 100 from 3 (low of 81 and a high of 124, 2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Ess: 108 from 1

Freo: 105 from 3 (low of 82 and a high of 122, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Geel: 67 from 2 (low of 57 and a high of 77)

GC: 81 from 2 (low of 58 and a high of 104)

GWS: 120 from 1

Haw: 105.33 from 3 (low of 87 and a high of 139, 2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Melb: 108.33 from 3 (low of 82 and a high of 134, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

NM: 83.5 from 2 (low of 52 and a high of 115)

Port: 92 from 3 (low of 82 and a high of 101, 2/3 below 100)

Rich: 95.25 from 4 (low of 77 and a high of 125, 3/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

StK: 105.5 from 2 (low of 104 and a high of 107)

Syd: 84 from 3 (low of 44 and a high of 111, 2/3 below 100)

WC: 88 from 2 (low of 61 and a high of 115)

WB: 111.5 from 2 (low of 86 and a high of 137)

 

Avg at Venue:

MCG: 102.09 from 11 (6/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)

2014: 120.33 from 3

2018: 95.25 from 8

 

Marvel: 98.8 from 10 (5/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

2014: 122 from 2

2018: 93 from 8

 

SPO: 84 from 9 (7/9 below 100, 1/9 120+)

2014: 79.5 from 8

2018: 120 from 1

 

Interstate: 99.94 from 16 (7/16 below 100, 4/16 120+)

2014: 95.2 from 10

2018: 107.83 from 6

 

MCG Wins: 105.5 from 2 (1/2 below 100, 1/2 120+)

2014: 134 from 3

2018: 77 from 1

 

MCG Losses: 101.33 from 9 (5/9 below 100, 3/9 120+)

2014: 113.5 from 2

2018: 97.86 from 7

 

Marvel Wins: 98 from 7 (4/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

2014: 137 from 1

2018: 91.5 from 6

 

Marvel Losses: 100.67 from 3 (1/3 below 100)

2014: 107 from 1

2018: 97.5 from 2

 

SPO Wins: 81.25 from 4 (3/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

2014: 68.33 from 3

2018: 120 from 1

 

SPO Losses: 86.2 from 5 (4/5 below 100)

2014: 86.2 from 5

2018: 0 from 0

 

Wins: 95.17 from 18 (10/18 below 100, 4/18 120+)

2014: 91.83 from 6

2018: 96.83 from 12

 

Losses: 94.2 from 25 (14/25 below 100, 3/25 120+)

2014: 90.93 from 15

2018: 99.1 from 10

 

Pre Bye: 87 from 19 (12/19 below 100, 1/19 120+)

2014: 74.71 from 7

2018: 94.17 from 12

 

Post Bye: 100.63 from 24 (12/24 below 100, 6/24 120+)

2014: 99.43 from 14

2018: 102.3 from 10

 

2018 Stat Averages:

Disposals: 22

SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 22: 104.73 from 11 (low of 77 and a high of 125, 4/11 below 100, 3/11 120+)

SC Avg when disposals below 22: 91 from 11 (low of 52 and a high of 120, 7/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

Kicks: 13.18

SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 14: 106.22 from 9 (low of 77 and a high of 125, 3/9 below 100, 3/9 120+)

SC Avg when kicks below 14: 92.08 from 13 (low of 52 and a high of 120, 8/13 below 100, 1/13 120+)

Handballs: 8.82

SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 9: 103 from 11 (low of 86 and a high of 125, 5/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)

SC Avg when handballs below 9: 92.73 from 11 (low of 52 and a high of 122, 6/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)

Marks: 3.77

SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 4: 97.9 from 10 (low of 77 and a high of 125, 5/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

SC Avg when marks below 4: 97.83 from 12 (low of 52 and a high of 122, 6/12 below 100, 2/12 120+)

Contested Possessions: 8.5

SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 9: 107.25 from 8 (low of 87 and a high of 125, 2/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

SC Avg when contested possessions below 9: 92.5 from 14 (low of 52 and a high of 124, 9/14 below 100, 2/14 120+)

Tackles: 8.45

SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 9: 103.78 from 9 (low of 77 and a high of 124, 3/9 below 100, 3/9 120+)

SC Avg when tackles below 9: 93.77 from 13 (low of 52 and a high of 125, 8/13 below 100, 1/13 120+)

Clangers: 3.05

SC Avg when clangers below 4: 98.64 from 14 (low of 81 and a high of 122, 7/14 below 100, 1/14 120+)

SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 4: 96.5 from 8 (low of 52 and a high of 125, 4/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

Time on Ground%: 83.64%

SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 84%: 90.77 from 13 (low of 52 and a high of 122, 9/13 below 100, 1/13 120+)

SC Avg when time on ground below 84%: 108.11 from 9 (low of 86 and a high of 125, 2/9 below 100, 3/9 120+)

 

Premium Career Stat Averages:

Disposals:

2014: 21.52

2018: 22

 

Kicks:

2014: 13.62

2018: 13.18

 

Handballs:

2014: 7.90

2018: 8.82

 

Marks:

2014: 4.24

2018: 3.77

 

Contested Possessions:

2014: 6.62

2018: 8.5

 

Tackles:

2014: 4.52

2018: 8.45

 

Clangers:

2014: 2.95

2018: 3.05

 

Time on Ground %:

2014: 86%

2018: 83.64%

 

Disposal Efficiency%:

2014: 69.69%

2018: 63.84%

 

Contested Possession Rate%:

2014: 30.68%

2018: 37.63%

 

Observations:

Averages 100+ against (Coll, Freo, GWS, Haw, Melb, StK, WB) with 4 against them pre-bye and 5 post bye.

0.97 win/loss differential.

13.63 post bye/pre-bye differential.

 

Smith has a contested game style which is beneficial for SuperCoach as evident by averaging 8.5 contested possessions and 8.45 tackles per game thanks to a midfield role with his new club after being utilised at the Giants primarily as a half forward.

Still room for improvement mainly regarding his disposals average and disposal efficiency. The recruitment of D Shiel could potentially have a negative impact by decreasing his midfield minutes but it could be minimal due to Smith’s successful contested role. If he maintains or improves on his 2018 season, then expect an average between 92 and 102.

Verdict: Consider as F2-F3/Upgrade target

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7 thoughts on “Elite Numbers ’19 – Devon Smith (ESS)”

  1. I’m not completely sold on him yet had him all last year but, I really think that Shiel will force him out of the midfield & onto the wing of half forward flank.

    So for me I’m waiting for JLT to get a better understanding if his role has changed & if so how much it impacts his scoring. If he is playing good % in the midfield lock him in.

    Thoughts??

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    1. JLT may not give you a true indicator of where he might play for the rest of the season. I think coaches tend to use JLT to try new things, which may or may not get carried into the big league.

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  2. I cant see him improving on his previous results. DS will not start in my team.
    To an extent that I see better value and a significantly higher ceiling in Riewoldt compared to Smith and provides a $27K delta.
    If Smith is stepping up by the bye rounds I will consider

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