Elite Numbers ’19 – Isaac Heeney (SYD)

Written by Schwarzwalder on March 14 2019

(Written & Created By Adam)

 

Popular fella behind Dangerfield in the FWD line……..

Premium History (Avg>90):

2017: 97.56 from 18

2018: 97.48 from 21

 

Avg VS Opponent:

Adel: 106.5 from 2 (low of 90 and a high of 123)

Bris: 122 from 2 (low of 116 and a high of 128)

Carl: 96 from 3 (low of 76 and a high of 107, 1/3 below 100)

Coll: 70 from 1

Ess: 97.5 from 2 (low of 91 and a high of 104)

Freo: 117.5 from 2 (low of 105 and a high of 130)

Geel: 89.5 from 2 (low of 85 and a high of 94)

GC: 86 from 2 (low of 78 and a high of 94)

GWS: 88 from 4 (low of 73 and a high of 104, 2/4 below 100)

Haw: 85 from 4 (low of 78 and a high of 93)

Melb: 104.5 from 2 (low of 89 and a high of 120)

NM: 110.33 from 3 (low of 88 and a high of 130, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

Port: 110 from 1

Rich: 62 from 2 (low of 18 and a high of 106)

StK: 90.67 from 3 (low of 69 and a high of 118, 2/3 below 100)

WC: 99.5 from 2 (low of 98 and a high of 101)

WB: 109.5 from 2 (low of 88 and a high of 131)

 

Avg at Venue:

SCG: 98.58 from 19 (10/19 below 100, 3/19 120+)

2017: 100 from 9

2018: 97.3 from 10

 

Interstate: 97.61 from 18 (9/18 below 100, 5/18 120+)

2017: 94.5 from 8

2018: 100.1 from 10

 

SCG Wins: 101.42 from 12 (5/12 below 100, 2/12 120+)

2017: 105.14 from 7

2018: 96.2 from 5

 

SCG Losses: 93.71 from 7 (5/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

2017: 82 from 2

2018: 98.4 from 5

 

Wins: 101.82 from 28 (12/28 below 100, 7/28 120+)

2017: 100.36 from 14

2018: 103.29 from 14

 

Losses: 86.55 from 11 (8/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

2017: 87.75 from 4

2018: 85.86 from 7

 

Pre Bye: 104.05 from 19 (7/19 below 100, 5/19 120+)

2017: 97.67 from 6

2018: 107 from 13

 

Post Bye: 91.3 from 20 (13/20 below 100, 3/20 120+)

2017: 97.5 from 12

2018: 82 from 8

 

2018 Stat Averages:

Disposals: 20.38

SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 21:103.27 from 11 (low of 78 and a high of 134, 4/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)

SC Avg when disposals below 21: 91.1 from 10 (low of 18 and a high of 128, 6/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

Kicks: 11.19

SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 12: 104.7 from 10 (low of 78 and a high of 134, 3/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

SC Avg when kicks below 12: 90.91 from 11 (low of 18 and a high of 123, 7/11 below 100, 3/11 120+)

Handballs: 9.19

SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 10: 103.57 from 7 (low of 78 and a high of 134, 3/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

SC Avg when handballs below 10: 93.71 from 14 (low of 18 and a high of 128, 7/14 below 100, 4/14 120+)

Marks: 4.52

SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 5: 111.56 from 9 (low of 88 and a high of 134, 2/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)

SC Avg when marks below 5: 86.92 from 12 (low of 18 and a high of 120, 8/12 below 100, 1/12 120+)

Contested Possessions: 10.10

SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 11: 110.14 from 7 (low of 93 and a high of 134, 2/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

SC Avg when contested possessions below 11: 91.14 from 14 (low of 18 and a high of 120, 8/14 below 100, 3/14 120+)

Tackles: 5.14

SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 6: 93 from 6 (low of 73 and a high of 123, 5/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)

SC Avg when tackles below 6: 99.27 from 15 (low of 18 and a high of 134, 5/15 below 100, 4/15 120+)

Clangers: 3.10

SC Avg when clangers below 4: 95.67 from 12 (low of 18 and a high of 134, 6/12 below 100, 5/12 120+)

SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 4: 99.89 from 9 (low of 78 and a high of 113, 4/9 below 100)

Goals: 0.90

SC Avg when goals equals/exceeds 1: 111.62 from 13 (low of 91 and a high of 134, 2/13 below 100, 5/13 120+)

SC Avg when goals below 1: 74.5 from 8 (low of 18 and a high of 97)

Time on Ground%: 83.76%

SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 84%: 103.92 from 13 (low of 73 and a high of 134, 6/13 below 100, 4/13 120+)

SC Avg when time on ground below 84%: 87 from 8 (low of 18 and a high of 120, 4/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)

 

Premium Career Stat Averages:

Disposals:

2017: 21

2018: 20.38

 

Kicks:

2017: 12.72

2018: 11.19

 

Handballs:

2017: 8.28

2018: 9.19

 

Marks:

2017: 5

2018: 4.52

 

Contested Possessions:

2017: 9.28

2018: 10.10

 

Tackles:

2017: 4.72

2018: 5.14

 

Clangers:

2017: 2.39

2018: 3.10

 

Goals:

2017: 0.78

2018: 0.90

 

Time on Ground %:

2017: 85.33%

2018: 83.76%

 

Disposal Efficiency%:

2017: 69.58%

2018: 70.09%

 

Contested Possession Rate%:

2017: 43.15%

2018: 49.07%

 

Observations:

Averages 105+ against 6 teams (Adel, Bris, Freo, NM, Port, WB) with 4 pre bye and 2 post bye in 2019.

15.27 win/loss differential with both seasons exceeding a 100+ avg in wins.

12.75 pre-bye/post bye differential.

20+ avg differential when marks equal/exceed 5 and goals equal/exceed 1.

 

Averaged 0.08 less in 2018 (2017=97.56, 2018=97.48) and is under-priced for 2019 due to an injury affected 18 which if excluded lifts his avg to 101.45 from 20 for 2018 and 99.61 for 2017 and 2018 combined. Started 2018 well with a 107 avg pre-bye with only 1 game under 88 but only managed an 82 average post bye which was attributed to his concussion in RD15. Heeney could easily increase his average to 105+ in 2019 due to his SuperCoach friendly game style and should be one of the top forwards come seasons end.

Verdict: Lock

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2 thoughts on “Elite Numbers ’19 – Isaac Heeney (SYD)”

  1. You’ve actually made me review Heeney here Adam, and I’m not sure I’m as sold now!

    You’ve shown his score dips decently in losses, which the swans had a lot of in the second half of last year. This year they play some very hard teams pre-bye: Adelaide, Melbourne, Richmond, West Coast, Collingwood, GWS and Geelong. That’s 6/7 of the top 8 sides from last year (excluding the swans) + Adelaide who are expected to have a renaissance. Throw in Essendon and North and you’ve got one of the harder pre-bye fixtures possible.

    Considering there’s not a whole lot of value in his price I may just consider not starting Heeney!

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