Elite Numbers ’19 – Justin Westhoff (PTA)

Written by Schwarzwalder on March 8 2019

(Written & Created By Adam)

Best Back-Up ‘Ruck’ option?

 

Premium History (Avg>90):

2013: 98.57 from 21

2014: 91.09 from 22

2015: 94.68 from 22

2018: 101.23 from 22

 

Avg VS Opponent:

Adel: 90.38 from 8 (low of 43 and a high of 150, 6/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)

Bris: 95.25 from 4 (low of 82 and a high of 123, 3/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

Carl: 110.67 from 6 (low of 81 and a high of 132, 1/6 below 100, 2/6 120+)

Coll: 116 from 4 (low of 94 and a high of 126, 1/4 below 100, 3/4 120+)

Ess: 83.8 from 5 (low of 64 and a high of 120, 4/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

Freo: 99 from 7 (low of 79 and a high of 140, 5/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

Geel: 88.8 from 5 (low of 42 and a high of 106, 3/5 below 100)

GC: 106 from 5 (low of 88 and a high of 149, 2/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

GWS: 96.4 from 5 (low of 40 and a high of 163, 3/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

Haw: 81 from 4 (low of 66 and a high of 97)

Melb: 115.2 from 5 (low of 100 and a high of 144, 1/5 120+)

NM: 84.25 from 4 (low of 48 and a high of 147, 3/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

Rich: 71.5 from 4 (low of 58 and a high of 92)

StK: 117 from 4 (low of 88 and a high of 152, 2/4 below 100, 2/4 120+)

Syd: 93.83 from 6 (low of 54 and a high of 121, 3/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)

WC: 76.8 from 5 (low of 53 and a high of 99)

WB: 107.67 from 6 (low of 61 and a high of 155, 2/6 below 100, 2/6 120+)

 

Avg at Venue:

AO: 96.67 from 36 (21/36 below 100, 8/36 120+)

2014: 90.83 from 12

2015: 98.08 from 12

2018: 101.08 from 12

 

AS: 98.27 from 11 (7/11 below 100, 3/11 120+)

 

Interstate: 96.20 from 40 (23/40 below 100, 7/40 120+)

2013: 101.4 from 10

2014: 91.4 from 10

2015: 90.6 from 10

2018: 101.4 from 10

 

AO Wins: 105.22 from 23 (10/23 below 100, 7/23 120+)

2014: 98.33 from 9

2015: 112.71 from 7

2018: 106.57 from 7

 

AO Losses: 81.54 from 13 (11/13 below 100, 1/13 120+)

2014: 68.33 from 3

2015: 77.6 from 5

2018: 93.4 from 5

 

AS Wins: 97.63 from 8 (5/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

AS Losses: 100 from 3 (2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

 

Wins: 103.52 from 50 (23/50 below 100, 13/50 120+)

2013: 106.08 from 12

2014: 97.07 from 14

2015: 103.83 from 12

2018: 108.17 from 12

 

Losses: 86.70 from 37 (28/37 below 100, 5/37 120+)

2013: 88.56 from 9

2014: 80.63 from 8

2015: 83.7 from 10

2018: 92.9 from 10

 

Pre Bye: 94.67 from 39 (24/39 below 100, 7/39 120+)

2013: 101.9 from 10

2014: 82 from 8

2015: 87.75 from 12

2018: 107.11 from 9

 

Post Bye: 97.29 from 48 (27/48 below 100, 11/48 120+)

2013: 95.55 from 11

2014: 96.29 from 14

2015: 103 from 10

2018: 97.15 from 13

 

 

2018 Stat Averages:

Disposals: 19.91

SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 20: 111.9 from 10 (low of 75 and a high of 147, 3/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

SC Avg when disposals below 20: 92.33 from 12 (low of 73 and a high of 120, 9/12 below 100, 1/12 120+)

Kicks: 12.5

SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 13: 111.67 from 12 (low of 73 and a high of 147, 3/12 below 100, 5/12 120+)

SC Avg when kicks below 13: 88.7 from 10 (low of 82 and a high of 106, 9/10 below 100)

Handballs: 7.41

SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 8: 107 from 11 (low of 82 and a high of 147, 5/11 below 100, 3/11 120+)

SC Avg when handballs below 8: 95.45 from 11 (low of 73 and a high of 120, 7/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)

Marks: 5.32

SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 6: 105.23 from 13 (low of 73 and a high of 147, 6/13 below 100, 4/13 120+)

SC Avg when marks below 6: 95.44 from 9 (low of 82 and a high of 126, 6/9 below 100, 1/9 120+)

Contested Possessions: 8.82

SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 9: 115 from 10 (low of 88 and a high of 147, 3/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

SC Avg when contested possessions below 9: 89.75 from 12 (low of 73 and a high of 120, 9/12 below 100, 1/10 120+)

Tackles: 4.86

SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 5: 108.67 from 12 (low of 82 and a high of 147, 5/12 below 100, 3/12 120+)

SC Avg when tackles below 5: 92.9 from 10 (low of 73 and a high of 120, 7/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

Clangers: 3.27

SC Avg when clangers below 4: 99.21 from 14 (low of 82 and a high of 126, 8/14 below 100, 3/14 120+)

SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 4: 104.75 from 8 (low of 73 and a high of 147, 4/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

Goals: 1.09

SC Avg when goals equal/exceed 2: 108 from 6 (low of 92 and a high of 120, 2/6 below 100, 2/6 120+)

SC Avg when goals below 2: 98.69 from 16 (low of 73 and a high of 140, 10/16 below 100, 3/16 120+)

Time on Ground%: 87.18%

SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 88%: 97.5 from 8 (low of 82 and a high of 120, 5/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)

SC Avg when time on ground below 88%: 101.23 from 14 (low of 73 and a high of 140, 7/14 below 100, 4/14 120+)

 

Premium Career Stat Averages:

Disposals:

2013: 17.95

2014: 18.59

2015: 18.14

2018: 19.91

 

Kicks:

2013: 10.95

2014: 12.73

2015: 11.5

2018: 12.5

 

Handballs:

2013: 7

2014: 5.86

2015: 6.64

2018: 7.41

 

Marks:

2013: 5.95

2014: 7.27

2015: 6.73

2018: 5.32

 

Contested Possessions:

2013: 7.76

2014: 5.95

2015: 6.18

2018: 8.82

 

Tackles:

2013: 3.05

2014: 2.05

2015: 3.36

2018: 4.86

 

Clangers:

2013: 1.95

2014: 2.09

2015: 1.68

2018: 3.27

 

Goals:

2013: 1.29

2014: 1.18

2015: 1.14

2018: 1.09

 

Time on Ground %:

2013: 89.24%

2014: 91.18%

2015: 90.23%

2018: 87.18%

 

Disposal Efficiency%:

2013: 72.15%

2014: 72.37%

2015: 73.43%

2018: 68.04%

 

Contested Possession Rate%:

2013: 42.67%

2014: 34.32%

2015: 34.61%

2018: 46.30%

 

Observations:

Averages 105+ against 6 teams (Carl, Coll, GC, Melb, StK, WB) with 5 pre bye and 1 post bye.

16.82 win/loss differential with 3/4 seasons recording a 100+ avg.

2.62 post bye/pre-bye differential.

20+ avg differential when kicks equal/exceed 13 and contested possessions equal/exceed 9

 

With Westhoff receiving Ruck/Fwd eligibility this makes him a very enticing starting selection due to his durability as evident by only missing 3 games in his past 176 matches (8 seasons) and playing more than 20 games in every season from 2011-2018.

This ensures sufficient back-up for any injury to your starting rucks if selected in the forward line, but the main deterrence could be the Hoff is priced at his maximum.  2018 was his only season posting a 100+ avg and he will likely be able to be picked up between 440,000 to 500,000 at some stage during the season.

 

Verdict: Consider for R2/F2-F3 or Upgrade Target

 

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2 thoughts on “Elite Numbers ’19 – Justin Westhoff (PTA)”

  1. Love ya work again adam.
    His just a bit too expensively priced for me but the Ruck cover is handy as you mentioned… But For that i’m watching Lobb closely in JLT2 with darcy and sandi both not 100%. Lobbs 140k cheaper, very agile and if rucks will pick up a few extra points.

    Doubt i’ll start with either but not ruling it out completely just yet.

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