Elite Numbers ’19 – Rory Sloane (ADE)

Written by Schwarzwalder on January 31 2019

(Written & Created By Adam)

 

The Sloane Ranger and all his important data……….

 

Premium history (Avg>100):

2012: 106.10 from 21

2013: 107 from 21

2014: 114.77 from 22

2015: 105.5 from 16

2016: 108.62 from 21

2017: 110.18 from 22

 

Avg at Adelaide Oval: 119 from 43 (10/43 below 100, 23/43 120+)

2014: 115.92 from 12

2015: 119.25 from 8

2016: 119.91 from 11

2017: 121.08 from 12

 

Adelaide Oval Wins: 124.16 from 31(7/31 below 100, 19/31 120+)

2014: 123.5 from 6

2015: 128 from 6

2016: 117.7 from 10

2017: 129.22 from 10

 

Adelaide Oval Losses: 105.67 from 12 (3/12 below 100, 3/12 120+)

2014: 108.33 from 6

2015: 93 from 2

2016: 142 from 1

2017: 96.67 from 3

                                                          

Wins: 116.27 from 79 (25/79 below 100, 36/79 120+)

2012: 112.06 from 16

2013: 114.9 from 10

2014: 125.82 from 11

2015: 116.82 from 11

2016: 110.94 from 16

2017: 119.33 from 15

 

Losses: 97.02 from 43 (22/43 below 100, 6/43 120+)

2012: 87 from 5

2013: 99.82 from 11

2014: 103.73 from 11

2015: 80.6 from 5

2016: 101.2 from 5

2017: 98.17 from 6

 

Pre Bye: 109.35 from 60 (23/60 below 100, 22/60 120+)

2012: 114.4 from 10

2013: 103.08 from 12

2014: 112.29 from 7

2015: 102.43 from 7

2016: 106.83 from 12

2017: 116.25 from 12

 

Post Bye: 108.44 from 63 (25/63 below 100, 20/63 120+)

2012: 98.55 from 11

2013: 112.22 from 9

2014: 115.93 from 15

2015: 107.89 from 9

2016: 111 from 9

2017: 102.9 from 10

 

 

 

2018 SC: 96.58 from 12 (7/12 below 100, 2/12 120+)

Adelaide Oval Avg: 100.43 from 7 (3/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

Interstate: 91.2 from 5 (4/5 below 100)

Adelaide Oval Wins Avg: 115.6 from 5 (1/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)

Adelaide Oval Losses Avg: 62.5 from 2

Wins Avg: 105.71 from 7 (2/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

Losses Avg: 83.8 from 5 (4/5 below 100)

Pre Bye Avg: 91.75 from 4 (3/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

Post Bye Avg: 99 from 8 (4/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)

 

2018 Stat Averages:

Disposals: 21.92

SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 22: 111.86 from 7 (low of 89 and a high of 141, 2/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

SC Avg when disposals below 22: 75.2 from 5 (low of 59 and a high of 89)

Kicks: 10.5

SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 11: 105.57 from 7 (low of 66 and a high of 141, 3/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

SC Avg when kicks below 11: 84 from 5 (low of 59 and a high of 110, 4/5 below 100)

Handballs: 11.42

SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 12: 101 from 6 (low of 59 and a high of 141, 3/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)

SC Avg when handballs below 12: 92.17 from 6 (low of 66 and a high of 127, 4/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)

Marks: 2.75

SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 3: 96.29 from 7 (low of 59 and a high of 141, 3/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

SC Avg when marks below 3: 97 from 5 (low of 84 and a high of 127, 4/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

Contested Possessions: 13

SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 13: 112 from 6 (low of 89 and a high of 141, 2/6 below 100, 2/6 120+)

SC Avg when contested possessions below 13: 81.17 from 6 (low of 59 and a high of 111, 5/6 below 100)

Tackles: 6.25

SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 7: 98.86 from 7 (low of 66 and a high of 141, 5/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

SC Avg when tackles below 7: 93.4 from 5 (low of 59 and a high of 111, 2/5 below 100)

Clangers: 2.33

SC Avg when clangers below 3: 97.4 from 5 (low of 78 and a high of 127, 3/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 3: 96 from 7 (low of 59 and a high of 141, 4/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

Time on Ground%: 80.08%

SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 81%: 89.17 from 6 (low of 66 and a high of 111, 5/6 below 100)

SC Avg when time on ground below 81%: 104 from 6 (low of 59 and a high of 141, 2/6 below 100, 2/6 120+)

 

Premium career stat averages:

Disposals:

2012: 21.79

2013: 23.52

2014: 23.68

2015: 22.22

2016: 25.22

2017: 24.21

 

Kicks:

2012: 12.54

2013: 12.24

2014: 12.23

2015: 10.67

2016: 11.78

2017: 13.08

 

Handballs:

2012: 9.25

2013: 11.29

2014: 11.45

2015: 11.56

2016: 13.43

2017: 11.13

 

Marks:

2012: 4.71

2013: 5.38

2014: 4.77

2015: 4.33

2016: 3.83

2017: 3.13

 

Contested Possessions:

2012: 10.54

2013: 11.19

2014: 12.50

2015: 12.17

2016: 12.70

2017: 13.25

 

 

Tackles:

2012: 4.21

2013: 3.95

2014: 6.68

2015: 5.56

2016: 7.09

2017: 7.79

 

Clangers:

2012: 1.96

2013: 1.76

2014: 2.27

2015: 2.67

2016: 3.13

2017: 3.79

 

Time on Ground %:

2012: 86.25%

2013: 88.10%

2014: 91.38%

2015: 77.33%

2016: 78.26%

2017: 79.46%

 

Disposal Efficiency%:

2012: 70.7%

2013: 73.5%

2014: 72.2%

2015: 68.5%

2016: 69.5%

2017: 69.5%

 

Contested Possession Rate%:

2012: 48.37%

2013: 47.57%

2014: 52.78%

2015: 54.75%

2016: 50.34%

2017: 54.73%

 

Observations:

2012-2017:

119 avg at Adelaide oval with 10/43 below 100 and 23/43 120+ with all 4 seasons exceeding 115 and 3/4 119+.

124.16 from 31 in Adelaide Oval Wins with 7/31 below 100 and 19/31 120+ with 3/4 seasons exceeding 120.

8 matches pre-bye at the Adelaide Oval in 2019 with 5/8 against 2018 top 8 teams.

19.25 win/loss differential with a 116.27 avg in wins from 79 matches with all 6 seasons exceeding a 110+ avg, 3 of the past 4 seasons greater than 115 and 36/79 120+ in comparison to 97.02 avg from 43 losses with 6/43 120+.

0.91 pre-bye/post bye differential.

2018:

100+ avg at AO, a 115+ avg in AO Wins and 105+ avg in wins.

 

Sloane recorded his lowest avg since 2011 which was also the first time since then that he has dipped below a 105 avg which was largely attributed to ongoing injuries which hampered his 2018 season thus making him severely under-priced based on his prior history for 2019.

Sloane amassed his lowest averages in several stat categories (disposals, kicks, marks, disposal efficiency, etc) for the past 6-7 years in 2018 but he recorded his highest contested possession rate (59.32%) which is the only season in the past 7 that exceeded a 55% CPR.

Apart from last year Sloane has been durable which is highlighted by playing 123/132 games prior to 2018 with 2015 being the only season recorded less than 21 games. Whilst he has been targeted and susceptible to a tag over the last couple of years his starting price, ceiling and early favourable draw as evident by the aforementioned observations should be enough to outweigh the cons associated with the selection and potentially he could be a great M8/M9 loop later in the season.

Verdict: Strongly consider for M3-M5 but only as a starting selection

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12 thoughts on “Elite Numbers ’19 – Rory Sloane (ADE)”

  1. Damn, next you will be giving the stats on zorko lol.
    When running Danger, Lloyd, Gawn, Grundy,Macrae and Cripps something has to give.
    My m3-5 currently sits at zerrett, Sloan and zorko. Do I want fyfe Neale Oliver etc, of course I do. I want macrae Lloyd and grawndy more though. So step up uber fallen premiums. Just hope that tagging is outlawed before season starts.
    There also all very bye friendly except zorko, but too much value to ignore.

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    1. well ‘B’ is next TOF …

      thanks Adam, but it’s a ‘no’ from me.

      I had a look for less TOG on ground in 2018 as a reason for his fall in output (over and above his foot injury), but see that it increased marginally on 2017. Gun, no doubt, skipper in 2019 and possibly a few more wins for the Crows. All suggest better scores, but there are simply other options I have more confidence in.

      Thanks again. Keep ’em rollin’ 🙂

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      1. Thanks TOF and allsaints.

        Zorko will be analysed as he, Sloane and 16 others that failed to achieve my premium classification which is
        Def: 90+
        Mid: 100+
        Ruck: 95+
        Fwd: 90+
        will be included along with the 60 odd premiums that Schwarz mentioned in the first player review.

        As for Sloane he hasn’t moved from my M5 spot joining the quartet of Z Merrett, J Kelly, N Fyfe and L Neale.

        Will be very interesting to see how many coaches start 2 or more of the under-priced mids (M Crouch, Z Merrett, D Martin, R Sloane, JPK, D Zorko, J Steele/etc)

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        1. I personally think that they will be the key this season giving you funds to place elsewhere. I’m seriously considering dropping cripps to martin. Kind of hoping that cripps stubbs his toe before round one and doesnt get named lol. Otherwise I can’t really justify dropping him just to upgrade someone else.

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          1. With the way our pre-season has gone so far it wouldn’t surprise me if Cripps does more than stub his toe before round 1!

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            1. Haha. He’ll be fine.
              But on a side note, everyone tries to find value in def or fwd. A decent team starts 5premiums of varying costs. So…
              Martin, crouch, zerrett, zorko and Sloan. There all guns with big upside, drastically under priced and bye friendly.
              Now compare these guys to your sicillys, whitfields, heeneys and dunklys etc who are all overpriced or priced about par. That money saved in the mids means you can now back up your def and fwd with roberton, smith, green, daniher. There is more to this thinking but you get the gist.

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  2. Would happily have this guy playing for the dons. Genuine gun. Won’t be picking him for my SC team though. Would have to pick M.Crouch if any crows this season.

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  3. Genuine gun and very tempting at that price….provided he is fit. I’m guessing he is, they wouldn’t have named him captain otherwise.

    Struggles with the tag, but how many decent taggers are there in the comp these days?

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    1. I assume he will be keen to atone for a disappointing/rough 2018 season due to the injuries suffered and devastating off field issue and hopefully the captaincy and contract extension (5 yrs) will help him return to his usual 105+ output.

      The tag concern has been a bit exaggerated as he’s been known to have a couple of poor games but his high ceiling and tendency to consistently score 120+ due to his supercoach friendly game style usually compensates for those matches. Between 2016-2017 he averaged 109.42 from 43 matches with 6/43 below 80 and 16/43 120+.

      For Sloane to be a successful pick I think he only needs to play his usual 21-22 games with an avg between 106-110 but one of the keys in 2019 will be identifying who and how many to start between Z Merrett/M Crouch/D Martin/R Sloane/etc.

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      1. All good points Adam, especially the increase in wins for ADE this year after a very disappointing 2018. Just think Martin and Crouch will both outscore him, and two so-called “fallen premiums” is enough for any one side. Will be taking one for sure, just don’t know which one yet!
        Crouch will benefit from a fuller pre-season and Martin took a year off!

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