Elite Numbers ’19 – Todd Goldstein (NTH)

Written by Schwarzwalder on March 6 2019

(Written & Created By Adam)

Can Goldy re-discover his form from 2015?

Premium History (Avg>95):

2011: 113.19 from 21

2013: 113.55 from 22

2014: 106.86 from 21

2015: 128.81 from 21

2016: 108.14 from 21

2018: 100.95 from 22

 

Avg VS Opponent:

Adel: 108.11 from 9 (low of 95 and a high of 144, 3/9 below 100, 2/9 120+)

Bris: 105.27 from 11 (low of 61 and a high of 154, 5/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)

Carl: 125.33 from 6 (low of 76 and a high of 173, 2/6 below 100, 3/6 120+)

Coll: 109 from 8 (low of 81 and a high of 18, 3/8 below 100, 4/8 120+)

Ess: 120 from 7 (low of 89 and a high of 221, 3/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

Freo: 93.13 from 8 (low of 44 and a high of 121, 3/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)

Geel: 106.56 from 9 (low of 71 and a high of 154, 4/9 below 100, 3/9 120+)

GC: 119.57 from 7 (low of 101 and a high of 149, 3/7 120+)

GWS: 122.2 from 5 (low of 99 and a high of 154, 1/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)

Haw: 102.63 from 8 (low of 77 and a high of 132, 4/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)

Melb: 133.33 from 6 (low of 57 and a high of 172, 1/6 below 100, 4/6 120+)

Port: 119.14 from 7 (low of 88 and a high of 164, 3/7 below 100, 3/7 120+)

Rich: 109.83 from 6 (low of 69 and a high of 166, 3/6 below 100, 2/6 120+)

StK: 124.89 from 9 (low of 103 and a high of 166, 6/9 120+)

Syd: 105.63 from 8 (low of 77 and a high of 136, 3/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

WC: 100 from 5 (low of 75 and a high of 128, 2/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

WB: 109.56 from 9 (low of 49 and a high of 163, 2/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)

 

Avg at Venue:

Marvel Stadium: 115.15 from 71 (22/71 below 100, 30/71 120+)

2011: 114.71 from 14

2013: 116.92 from 13

2014: 111.1 from 10

2015: 133.8 from 10

2016: 106.46 from 13

2018: 110.64 from 11

 

Interstate: 108.05 from 42 (14/42 below 100, 12/42 120+)

2011: 119.25 from 4 (1/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

2013: 105.57 from 7 (2/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

2014: 108.75 from 8 (3/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

2015: 115.5 from 8 (1/8 below 100, 5/8 120+)

2016: 113.57 from 7 (3/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

2018: 91.63 from 8 (4/8 below 100)

 

Marvel Wins: 120.83 from 42 (11/42 below 100, 22/42 120+)

2011: 119.75 from 8

2013: 120.88 from 8

2014: 109.5 from 6

2015: 149.67 from 6

2016: 110.25 from 8

2018: 118.83 from 6

 

Marvel Losses: 106.93 from 29 (11/29 below 100, 8/29 120+)

2011: 108 from 6

2013: 110.6 from 5

2014: 113.5 from 4

2015: 110 from 4

2016: 100.4 from 5

2018: 100.8 from 5

 

Wins: 118.97 from 69 (18/69 below 100, 35/69 120+)

2011: 122.9 from 10 (2/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

2013: 121.9 from 10 (2/10 below 100, 7/10 120+)

2014: 107.92 from 13 (6/13 below 100, 4/13 120+)

2015: 141.38 from 13 (1/13 below 100, 10/13 120+)

2016: 115.82 from 11 (3/11 below 100, 5/11 120+)

2018: 103.83 from 12 (4/12 below 100, 5/12 120+)

 

Losses: 103.51 from 59 (24/59 below 100, 12/59 120+)

2011: 104.36 from 11 (5/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)

2013: 106.58 from 12 (4/12 below 100, 2/12 120+)

2014: 105.13 from 8 (3/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

2015: 108.38 from 8 (2/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

2016: 99.7 from 10 (6/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)

2018: 97.5 from 10 (4/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)

 

Pre Bye: 108.53 from 73 (28/73 below 100, 23/73 120+)

2011: 114.89 from 18

2013: 113.91 from 11

2014: 87.71 from 7

2015: 117 from 12

2016: 112.54 from 13

2018: 93.42 from 12

 

Post Bye: 116.24 from 55 (14/55 below 100, 24/55 120+)

2011: 103 from 3

2013: 113.18 from 11

2014: 116.43 from 14

2015: 144.56 from 9

2016: 101 from 8

2018: 110 from 10

 

2018 Stat Averages:

Disposals: 14.55

SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 15: 115.6 from 10 (low of 88 and a high of 133, 1/10 below 100, 5/10 120+)

SC Avg when disposals below 15: 88.75 from 12 (low of 57 and a high of 123, 7/12 below 100, 1/12 120+)

Kicks: 6.32

SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 7: 111.63 from 8 (low of 57 and a high of 133, 1/8 below 100, 4/8 120+)

SC Avg when kicks below 7: 94.86 from 14 (low of 61 and a high of 123, 7/14 below 100, 2/14 120+)

Handballs: 8.23

SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 9: 114.6 from 10 (low of 88 and a high of 132, 1/10 below 100, 5/10 120+)

SC Avg when handballs below 9: 89.58 from 12 (low of 57 and a high of 133, 7/12 below 100, 1/12 120+)

Marks: 3.36

SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 4: 117 from 9 (low of 88 and a high of 133, 1/9 below 100, 5/9 120+)

SC Avg when marks below 4: 89.85 from 13 (low of 57 and a high of 123, 7/13 below 100, 1/13 120+)

Contested Possessions: 7.09

SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 8: 107.73 from 11 (low of 57 and a high of 133, 3/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)

SC Avg when contested possessions below 8: 94.18 from 11 (low of 61 and a high of 123, 5/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)

Tackles: 2.86

SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 3: 113.3 from 10 (low of 69 and a high of 133, 2/10 below 100, 6/10 120+)

SC Avg when tackles below 3: 90.67 from 12 (low of 57 and a high of 113, 6/12 below 100)

Clangers: 2.64

SC Avg when clangers below 3: 96 from 12 (low of 61 and a high of 133, 6/12 below 100, 3/12 120+)

SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 3: 106.9 from 10 (low of 57 and a high of 132, 2/10 below 100, 3/10 120+)

Hitouts: 35.59

SC Avg when hitouts equal/exceed 36: 108.46 from 13 (low of 69 and a high of 133, 3/13 below 100, 5/13 120+)

SC Avg when hitouts below 36: 90.11 from 9 (low of 57 and a high of 125, 5/9 below 100, 1/9 120+)

Hitouts to Advantage: 11

SC Avg when hitouts to advantage equal/exceed 11: 113.36 from 11 (low of 88 and a high of 133, 1/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)

SC Avg when hitouts to advantage below 11: 88.55 from 11 (low of 57 and a high of 125, 7/11 below 100, 2/11 120+)

Time on Ground%: 86.59%

SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 87%: 106.25 from 12 (low of 61 and a high of 133, 4/12 below 100, 5/12 120+)

SC Avg when time on ground below 87%: 94.6 from 10 (low of 57 and a high of 123, 4/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)

 

Premium Career Stat Averages:

Disposals:

2011: 13.71

2013: 11.95

2014: 11.90

2015: 15.05

2016: 13.71

2018: 14.55

 

Kicks:

2011: 7.19

2013: 5.14

2014: 3.90

2015: 6.71

2016: 5.76

2018: 6.32

 

Handballs:

2011: 6.52

2013: 6.82

2014: 8

2015: 8.33

2016: 7.95

2018: 8.23

 

Marks:

2011: 3.48

2013: 3

2014: 2.19

2015: 4.24

2016: 3.14

2018: 3.36

 

Contested Possessions:

2011: 8.29

2013: 6.91

2014: 7.29

2015: 8.33

2016: 7.38

2018: 7.09

 

Tackles:

2011: 4.38

2013: 2.95

2014: 4.76

2015: 4.43

2016: 3.10

2018: 2.86

 

Clangers:

2011: 2.71

2013: 1.59

2014: 1.67

2015: 1.86

2016: 1.90

2018: 2.64

 

Hitouts:

2011: 35.29

2013: 37.36

2014: 34.10

2015: 44.62

2016: 36.71

2018: 35.59

 

Hitouts to Advantage:

2011: NA

2013: 10.86

2014: 10.05

2015: 13.86

2016: 11.19

2018: 11

 

HTA Rate%:

2011: NA

2013: 29.08%

2014: 29.47%

2015: 31.06%

2016: 29.71%

2018: 30.91%

 

Time on Ground%:

2011: 93.76%

2013: 94.77%

2014: 90.86%

2015: 89.95%

2016: 87.10%

2018: 86.59%

 

Disposal Efficiency%:

2011: 70.50%

2013: 72.24%

2014: 76.40%

2015: 75.95%

2016: 80.56%

2018: 74.38%

 

Contested Possession Rate%:

2011: 58.39%

2013: 56.72%

2014: 60.71%

2015: 54.35%

2016: 54.77%

2018: 48.60%

 

Observations:

Averages 110+ against 7 teams (Carl, Ess, GC, GWS, Melb, Port, StK) with 5 pre-bye and 4 post bye in 2019.

Averages 115.15 from 71 games at Marvel Stadium across his premium scoring history with 30/71 120+ and 5 of the 6 seasons he recorded a 110+ avg at Marvel.

Averages 120.83 from 42 wins at Marvel Stadium across his premium scoring history with 22/42 120+ and 5 of the 6 seasons exceeding a 110+ avg.

15.46 win/loss differential and he has recorded a 115+ avg in 4 of his 6 premium seasons.

7.71 post bye/pre-bye differential.

25+ avg differential when disposals equal/exceed 15, handballs equal/exceed 9 and marks equal/exceed 4.

 

Several below par seasons by Goldstein’s lofty standards between 2016-2018 which could be attributed to his off-field issues, potential injury concerns during that period as he didn’t look to cover the ground as easily in comparison to his previous seasons and only averaged 95.6 from 40 games between post bye 2016 to end of pre-bye 2018. Had a superb finish to 2018 recording a 110 avg post bye and looks like the Goldstein of old (2013-2015) is making a resurgence.

Only 2 of his last 13 games in 2018 he recorded less than 10 Hitouts to Advantage compared to the 13 games prior to RD10 2018 where he recorded 8/13 less than 10 HTA. The SC averages in those games was
RD10 2018 onwards: 110.54 from 13 (2/13 below 100)
RD20 2017-RD9 2018: 85.92 from 13 (9/13 below 100)
Goldstein also achieved 5 20+ disposals games post bye (averaged 121.6 from those 5) which was the first time since 2015 he has recorded more than 1 20+ disposal game in a season.

Has the potential to comfortably average 110+ and could possibly finish 2019 in the top 2/top 3 SC rucks.

Verdict: Strongly consider for R1-R2.

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4 thoughts on “Elite Numbers ’19 – Todd Goldstein (NTH)”

  1. Great work Adam , thanks!
    Grundy/Gawn & Goldy at R2 for me a huge saving on a position that is never straight forward to pick each year. we are all well aware of the cox curse.
    I’ll bank the 150k and use it elsewhere with a bit more certainty.

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  2. Pretty much a lock for me. Unless, if he completely spuds it and the other 2 G’s smash JLT2 and I get scared. Can’t see anyone else contending for a top2 ruck this year

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