Elite Numbers – Lachie Neale (FRE)

Written by Schwarzwalder on February 24 2018

Adam‘s Observations:

Averages 110+ against Carlton, Essendon, Gold Coast, GWS, Melbourne, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, St Kilda and West Coast.

8 games pre bye against the 110+ avg teams (Port, Ess, GC, GWS, WC, StK, NM, Carl)

 

DS Avg: 112.03 from 35 (11/35 below 100, 11/35 120+)

Interstate Avg: 104.7 from 30 (10/30 below 100, 10/30 120+)

13 games at Optus Stadium in 2018.

 

DS Twilight Avg: 117.87 from 15 (2/15 below 100, 4/15 120+)

9 of 11 twilight games at the new stadium (Optus Stadium)

 

DS Wins Avg: 120.33 from 18 (4/18 below 100, 8/18 120+)

DS Losses Avg: 103.24 from 17 (7/17 below 100, 3/17 120+)

 

Twilight Avg: 115.30 from 23 (4/23 below 100, 9/23 120+)

11 Twilight games in 2018. Highest averaging timeslot in each of the past 3 years.

 

Win/Loss avg differential of 9.72

Wins Avg: 114.03 from 29 (8/29 below 100, 12/29 120+)

Losses Avg: 104.31 from 36 (13/36 below 100, 9/36 120+)

 

Bye avg differential of 10.29.

Pre Bye: 113.08 from 37 (9/37 below 100, 17/37 120+)

Post Bye: 102.79 from 28 (12/28 below 100, 4/28 120+)

 

2017 avg differentials of

26.92 when disposals equal/exceed 28

32.08 when kicks equal/exceed 12

34.52 when time on ground equals/exceeds 78

 

Abbreviations Key

Venues:

ANZ ANZ Stadium
AO Adelaide Oval
AS Aami Stadium
BA Blundstone Arena
BI Blacktown International Sportspark
CS Cazaly’s Stadium
DS Domain Stadium
ES Etihad Stadium
G Gabba
GMHBA GMHBA Stadium
JS Jiangwan Stadium
MARS MARS Stadium
MCG Melbourne Cricket Ground
MS Metricon Stadium
SCG Sydney Cricket Ground
SPO Spotless Stadium
TIO TIO Stadium
TP Traeger Park
US University of Tasmania Stadium
UNSW UNSW Canberra Oval
WS Westpac Stadium

 

Timeslots/Days:

A Afternoon
T Twilight
N Night
Thurs Thursday
Fri Friday
Sat Saturday
Sun Sunday
Mon Monday
Tues Tuesday
Wed Wednesday

 

Results/Stats:

W Wins
L Losses
AW Afternoon Wins
TW Twilight Wins
NW Night Wins
Int Interstate
D Disposals
K Kicks
H Handballs
M Marks
CP Contested Possessions
T Tackles
CL Clangers
TOG Time On Ground
SC Supercoach
D+SA Disposals Above Season Avg
K+SA Kicks Above Season Avg
H+SA Handballs Above Season Avg
M+SA Marks Above Season Avg
CP+SA Contested Possessions Above Season Avg
T+SA Tackles Above Season Avg
CL+SA Clangers Above Season Avg
H+SA Hitouts Above Season Avg
TOG+SA Time On Ground Above Season Avg
D-SA Disposals Below Season Avg
K-SA Kicks Below Season Avg
H-SA Handballs Below Season Avg
M-SA Marks Below Season Avg
CP-SA Contested Possessions Below Season Avg
T-SA Tackles Below Season Avg
CL-SA Clangers Below Season Avg
H-SA Hitouts Below Season Avg
TOG-SA Time On Ground Below Season Avg

 

 

Combined:

Adel Bris Carl Coll Ess Geel GC GWS Haw Melb
67 109 97 101 133 108 117 110 78 145
110 51 104 100 138 76 92 124 123 118
105 125 134 106 147 83 109 154 90 123
55 93 94 156 117 140
Games 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 4
Total 337 285 335 307 511 361 474 505 291 526
Avg 84.25 95 111.67 102.33 127.75 90.25 118.5 126.25 97 131.5
0-99 2/4 1/3 1/3 0/3 1/4 3/4 1/4 0/4 2/3 0/4
100+ 2/4 2/3 2/3 3/3 3/4 1/4 3/4 4/4 1/3 4/4
120+ 0/4 1/3 1/3 0/3 3/4 0/4 1/4 2/4 1/3 3/4

 

NM Port Rich StK Syd WC WB
141 96 94 123 45 170 107
112 87 64 118 112 73 109
120 149 148 117 44 100 119
119 129 129 94 84
90 124
113
Games 5 4 4 3 3 6 4
Total 582 461 435 358 201 674 419
Avg 116.4 115.25 108.75 119.33 67 112.33 104.75
0-99 1/5 2/4 2/4 0/3 2/3 2/6 1/4
100+ 4/5 2/4 2/4 3/3 1/3 4/6 3/4
120+ 2/5 2/4 2/4 1/3 0/3 2/6 0/4

 

DS GMHBA MCG ES AO MS US G TIO SPO SCG Interstate
96 108 145 107 67 117 78 51 123 154 44 108
170 94 64 123 87 109 123 125 117 145
45 100 112 110 107
133 140 109 129 67
141 129 120 55 117
94 118 78
101 90 64
109 93 123
97 112
110 87
73 109
118 120
92 110
100 123
104 118
124 51
148 100
138 123
149 109
76 154
112 129
94 140
105 129
119 55
83 125
84 94
119 90
124 117
147 44
134 93
106
117
113
90
156
Games 35 2 5 8 5 2 2 2 1 2 1 30
Total 3921 202 578 872 448 226 201 176 123 271 44 3141
Avg 112.03 101 115.6 109 89.6 113 100.5 88 123 135.5 44 104.7
0-99 11/35 10/30
100+ 24/35 20/30
120+ 11/35 10/30
2015 Games 12 10
2015 Avg 107.25 100.8
2016 Games 12 10
2016 Avg 113.42 111.7
2017 Games 11 10
2017 Avg 115.73 101.6

 

DS A GMHBA A MCG A ES A MS A US A AO A SPO A SCG A
112 108 145 107 117 78 87 117 44
94 140 112 109 123 110
129 109
90
93
Games 1 2 3 5 2 2 2 1 1
Total 112 202 414 511 226 201 197 117 44
Avg 112 101 138 102.2 113 100.5 98.5 117 44

 

DS T MCG T ES T G T SPO T AO T
170 64 123 51 154 129
109 120 125
110 118
73
118
104
149
94
105
119
147
134
106
117
113
Games 15 1 3 2 1 1
Total 1768 64 361 176 154 129
Avg 117.87 64 120.33 88 154 129
0-99 2/15
100+ 13/15
120+ 4/15
2015 Games 5
2015 Avg 116
2016 Games 5
2016 Avg 114.2
2017 Games 5
2017 Avg 123.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DS N AO N MCG N TIO N
96 67 100 123
45 55
133
141
94
101
97
92
100
124
148
138
76
83
84
119
124
90
156
Games 19 2 1 1
Total 2041 122 100 123
Avg 107.42 61 100 123
0-99 9/19
100+ 10/19
120+ 7/19
2015 Games 7
2015 Avg 101
2016 Games 6
2016 Avg 113
2017 Games 6
2017 Avg 109.33

 

DS Thurs DS Fri DS Sat DS Sun
101 94 45 96
76 133 170
141 109
97 110
92 73
100 118
124 104
148 94
138 105
149 119
112 83
84 147
119 134
124 106
90 117
156 113
Games 1 2 16 16
Total 101 170 1852 1798
Avg 101 85 115.75 112.38
0-99 0/1 2/2 5/16 4/16
100+ 1/1 0/2 11/16 12/16
120+ 0/1 0/2 8/16 3/16
2015 Games 1 1 4 6
2015 Avg 101 94 104 112.67
2016 Games 0 1 7 4
2016 Avg 0 76 123.29 105.5
2017 Games 0 0 5 6
2017 Avg 0 0 114.6 116.67

 

DS W GMHBA  W MCG W ES W AO W MS W G W
96 108 145 107 67 117 51
170 64 123
45 140 90
133 129
141
101
109
97
110
118
138
149
119
84
119
147
134
156
Games 18 1 4 3 1 1 1
Total 2166 108 478 320 67 117 51
Avg 120.33 108 119.5 106.67 67 117 51
0-99 4/18
100+ 14/18
120+ 8/18
2015 Games 10
2015 Avg 112
2016 Games 3
2016 Avg 135.33
2017 Games 5
2017 Avg 128

 

AW TW NW DS TW DS NW Int AW Int TW Int NW
108 170 96 170 96 108 64 67
145 109 45 109 45 145 123
107 64 133 110 133 107 51
117 110 141 118 141 117
140 123 67 149 101 140
129 118 101 119 97 129
90 51 97 147 138 90
149 138 134 84
119 84 119
147 119 156
134 156
Games 7 11 11 8 10 7 3 1
Total 836 1294 1177 1056 1110 836 238 67
Avg 119.43 117.64 107 132 111 119.43 79.33 67

 

DS L US L ES L AO L MCG L TIO L MS L SPO L SS L G L SCG L
94 78 112 87 100 123 109 154 94 125 44
73 123 109 110 117
92 120 129
100 118 55
104 93
124
148
76
112
94
105
83
124
106
117
113
90
Games 17 2 5 4 1 1 1 2 1 1 1
Total 1755 201 552 381 100 123 109 271 94 125 44
Avg 103.24 100.5 110.4 95.25 100 123 109 135.5 94 125 44
0-99 7/17
100+ 10/17
120+ 3/17
2015 Games 2
2015 Avg 83.5
2016 Games 9
2016 Avg 106.11
2017 Games 6
2017 Avg 105.5

 

Thurs N Fri N Sat A Sat T Sat N Sun A Sun T Sun N
101 94 117 64 45 108 170 96
100 87 118 133 145 109 83
76 110 51 141 107 110
123 149 67 78 123
109 154 97 112 73
112 125 92 109 118
140 100 129 120
117 124 94 104
44 148 90 94
138 93 105
123 119
84 129
119 147
124 134
55 106
90 117
156 113
Games 1 3 9 6 17 10 17 2
Total 101 270 959 661 1836 1065 1991 179
Avg 101 90 106.56 110.17 108 106.5 117.12 89.5
0-99 0/1 2/3 2/9 2/6 7/17 4/10 2/17 2/2
100+ 1/1 1/3 7/9 4/6 10/17 6/10 15/17 0/2
120+ 0/1 0/3 2/9 3/6 8/17 2/10 6/17 0/2
2015 Games 1 1 2 1 5 5 6 1
2015 Avg 101 94 102 64 96.6 110 117.17 96
2016 Games 0 2 4 4 6 1 5 0
2016 Avg 0 88 113.5 118 120.83 109 108.4 0
2017 Games 0 0 3 1 6 4 6 1
2017 Avg 0 0 100.33 125 10467 101.5 124.33 83

 

Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday
Games 1 3 32 29
Total 101 270 3456 3235
Avg 101 90 108 111.55
0-99 0/1 2/3 11/32 8/29
100+ 1/1 1/3 21/32 21/29
120+ 0/1 0/3 13/32 8/29
2015 Games 1 1 8 12
2015 Avg 101 94 93.88 112.42
2016 Games 0 2 14 6
2016 Avg 0 88 117.93 108.5
2017 Games 0 0 10 11
2017 Avg 0 0 105.4 112.27

 

Afternoon Twilight Night
Games 19 23 23
Total 2024 2652 2386
Avg 106.53 115.30 103.74
0-99 6/19 4/23 11/23
100+ 13/19 19/23 12/23
120+ 4/19 9/23 8/23
2015 Games 7 7 8
2015 Avg 107.71 109.57 96.75
2016 Games 5 9 8
2016 Avg 112.6 112.67 112.63
2017 Games 7 7 7
2017 Avg 101 124.43 101.57

 

Wins  Losses
96 94
108 78
170 73
45 112
145 87
133 109
107 92
141 100
67 120
117 104
101 110
109 124
97 123
64 148
110 118
123 100
118 123
138 76
51 109
149 112
119 94
84 105
140 154
119 83
147 129
129 124
134 55
90 106
156 125
94
117
113
90
117
44
93
Games 29 36
Total 3307 3755
Avg 114.03 104.31
0-99 8/29 13/36
100+ 21/29 23/36
120+ 12/29 9/36
2015 Games 17 5
2015 Avg 108.88 88.8
2016 Games 4 18
2016 Avg 114.25 112.28
2017 Games 8 13
2017 Avg 124.88 99.23

 

Pre Bye Post Bye
96 101
108 109
170 78
45 97
145 64
133 110
107 123
141 73
67 112
94 118
117 87
109 123
92 76
100 109
120 112
104 94
110 105
124 154
123 119
148 94
118 117
138 90
51 113
149 90
100 117
83 156
129 44
84 93
140
119
124
147
129
134
55
106
125
Games 37 28
Total 4184 2878
Avg 113.08 102.79
0-99 9/37 12/28
100+ 28/37 16/28
120+ 17/37 4/28
2015 Games 11 11
2015 Avg 111.18 97.45
2016 Games 14 8
2016 Avg 113.29 111.5
2017 Games 12 9
2017 Avg 114.58 101.56

 

 

2017:

Round Opponent Venue Timeslot Result D K H M CP T Cl TOG SC
RD1 Geel DS Sun N L 23 7 16 5 13 5 6 70 83
RD2 Port AO Sun T L 34 15 19 2 16 2 2 78 129
RD3 WB DS Sat N W 30 8 22 4 11 1 4 85 84
RD4 Melb MCG Sat A W 22 11 11 4 12 6 0 84 140
RD5 NM DS Sat N W 22 13 9 3 11 7 4 81 119
RD6 WC DS Sat N L 29 12 17 2 14 8 3 80 124
RD7 Ess DS Sun T W 40 17 23 4 16 5 0 86 147
RD8 Rich MCG  Sun A W 23 12 11 5 12 7 3 75 129
RD9 Carl DS  Sun T W 37 14 23 4 20 1 5 79 134
RD10 Adel AO Sat N L 17 5 12 1 9 5 4 70 55
RD11 Coll DS Sun T L 22 11 11 6 11 5 0 80 106
RD12 Bris G Sat T L 32 15 17 6 15 2 5 79 125
RD13 Bye
RD14 Geel GMHBA Sun A L 29 8 21 1 17 6 5 81 94
RD15 StK DS Sun T L 29 11 18 7 16 6 2 77 117
RD16 NM ES Sun A W 27 14 13 7 11 4 4 69 90
RD17 WC DS Sun T L 34 13 21 5 14 4 4 85 113
RD18 Haw DS  Sat N L 27 14 13 6 10 3 2 68 90
RD19 GWS SPO Sat A L 30 15 15 6 16 3 2 82 117
RD20 GC DS Sat N W 32 16 16 9 12 10 2 81 156
RD21 Syd SCG Sat A L 9 4 5 2 6 1 0 65 44
RD22 DNP
RD23 Ess ES Sun A L 24 10 14 5 12 3 1 75 93
Avg 27.2 11.7 15.6 4.5 13 4.5 2.8 77.6 109

 

D+SA K+SA H+SA M+SA CP+SA T+SA CL-SA TOG+SA
129 129 83 83 129 83 129 129
84 119 129 129 124 140 140 84
124 124 84 106 147 119 147 140
147 147 124 125 134 124 106 119
134 129 147 117 125 147 117 124
125 134 134 90 94 129 90 147
94 125 125 113 117 55 117 134
117 90 94 90 113 106 156 106
113 113 117 117 117 94 44 125
117 90 113 156 117 93 94
156 117 156 93 156 113
156 117
156
Games 11 12 11 11 9 11 10 13
Total 1340 1473 1306 1219 1100 1270 1139 1588
Avg 121.82 122.75 118.73 110.82 122.22 115.45 113.9 122.15
0-99 2/11 2/12 3/11 4/11 1/9 3/11 3/10 2/13
100+ 9/11 10/12 8/11 7/11 8/9 8/11 7/10 11/13
120+ 6/11 7/12 6/11 3/11 5/9 5/11 4/10 7/13

 

D-SA K-SA H-SA M-SA CP-SA T-SA CL+SA TOG-SA
83 83 140 129 83 129 83 83
140 84 119 84 84 84 84 129
119 140 129 140 140 134 119 55
129 55 55 119 119 125 124 117
55 106 106 124 129 90 129 90
106 94 90 147 55 113 134 90
90 117 90 134 106 90 55 44
90 44 117 55 90 117 125 93
44 93 44 94 90 44 94
93 93 44 156 93 90
44 113
93
Games 10 9 10 10 12 10 11 8
Total 949 816 983 1070 1189 1019 1150 701
Avg 94.9 90.67 98.3 107 99.08 101.9 104.55 87.63
0-99 6/10 6/9 5/10 4/10 7/12 5/10 5/11 6/8
100+ 4/10 3/9 5/10 6/10 5/12 5/10 6/11 2/8
120+ 2/10 1/9 2/10 5/10 3/12 3/10 4/11 1/8

 

2016:

Round Opponent Venue Timeslot Result D K H M CP T Cl TOG SC
RD1 WB Sun A ES L 32 13 19 4 13 4 2 71 109
RD2 GC Sat N DS L 27 14 13 4 13 5 2 73 92
RD3 WC Sat N DS L 26 11 15 1 17 4 5 78 100
RD4 NM Sun T ES L 35 15 20 5 15 6 3 76 120
RD5 Carl Sun T DS L 35 23 12 10 15 2 5 86 104
RD6 Adel Sat A AO L 40 14 26 3 19 3 5 80 110
RD7 GWS Sat N DS L 33 13 20 6 25 1 3 89 124
RD8 Haw Sat A AUS L 38 8 30 3 17 5 6 88 123
RD9 Rich Sat N DS L 37 15 22 7 18 9 4 87 148
RD10 StK Sat T ES L 31 11 20 3 19 4 2 81 118
RD11 Ess Sat N DS W 42 13 29 5 13 3 4 85 138
RD12 Bris Sat T G W 18 7 11 1 9 2 1 77 51
RD13 Port Sat T DS W 38 14 24 4 19 6 1 81 149
RD14 Coll Fri N MCG L 27 5 22 3 14 6 5 82 100
RD15 Bye
RD16 Melb Sat N TIO L 33 15 18 5 16 8 2 82 123
RD17 Geel Fri N DS L 26 12 14 1 13 3 5 84 76
RD18 GC Sat A MS L 42 17 25 5 22 1 8 88 109
RD19 Syd Sat A DS L 41 16 25 4 20 5 4 85 112
RD20 WC Sun T DS L 29 11 18 3 10 4 4 73 94
RD21 Adel Sun T DS L 31 8 23 2 18 7 3 81 105
RD22 GWS Sat T SPO L 40 19 21 6 15 12 3 85 154
RD23 WB Sun T DS W 36 15 21 5 19 1 3 84 119
Avg 33.5 13.1 20.4 4.1 16.3 4.6 3.6 81.6 112.64

 

2015:

Round Opponent Venue Timeslot Result D K H M CP T Cl TOG SC
RD1 Port DS Sun N W 22 5 17 2 11 0 2 77 96
RD2 Geel GMHBA Sun A W 24 10 14 4 11 6 1 75 108
RD3 WC DS Sun T W 42 20 22 10 14 3 2 75 170
RD4 Syd DS Sat N W 9 5 4 0 4 3 0 73 45
RD5 Melb MCG Sun A W 25 15 10 9 7 5 0 80 145
RD6 Ess DS Sat N W 33 23 10 7 15 3 3 82 133
RD7 WB ES Sun A W 29 13 16 7 15 4 5 78 107
RD8 NM DS Sat N W 34 23 11 7 11 8 4 82 141
RD9 Adel AO Sat N W 24 15 9 3 10 1 3 82 67
RD10 Rich DS Fri N L 28 16 12 3 18 3 3 75 94
RD11 GC MS Sat A W 23 17 16 2 14 8 1 80 117
RD12 Bye
RD13 Coll DS Thurs N W 34 23 11 5 17 1 2 78 101
RD14 Bris DS Sun T W 27 14 13 6 10 6 0 75 109
RD15 Haw AUS Sun A L 20 7 13 3 8 5 3 80 78
RD16 Carl DS Sat N W 31 9 22 7 13 4 1 74 97
RD17 Rich MCG Sat T W 16 6 10 2 5 5 1 74 64
RD18 GWS DS Sun T W 38 18 20 10 14 5 3 78 110
RD19 StK ES Sun T W 36 16 20 6 13 1 1 80 123
RD20 WC DS Sun T L 24 15 9 6 7 1 5 78 73
RD21 NM ES Sun A L 29 14 15 5 12 3 1 86 112
RD22 Melb DS Sun T W 34 11 23 4 15 5 2 83 118
RD23 Port AO Sat A L 22 7 15 1 11 3 2 50 87
Avg 27.5 13.7 13.7 5 11.6 3.8 2 77 104.32

 

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2 thoughts on “Elite Numbers – Lachie Neale (FRE)”

  1. Love his high ceiling but negates it with hia lower scores. He’s the guy that will win you a SCT Cup H2H but he’s also likely to lose it for you in the next round.

    He’s got Voldemort as coach, that’s enough to sway the stats into the NO column for me.

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  2. An interesting pick for me. I like his ceiling especially if he can kick on in that team. And he just might. So a yes then.

    2

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