First Glance – FWD

Written by Schwarzwalder on December 21 2017

No DPP for Danger or Dusty?  They kicked 70 goals between them in 2017 and couldn’t get DPP status?  Jack Macrae kicked one goal in 2016 and somehow had DPP status last season.   Who knows how they work those positions out?  Heeney and Franklin are sure to be popular again but there are some interesting players at a bit of value up forward (more so than DEF/MID/RUCK).  The following names jumped out at me at First Glance……….

 

VALUE PREMIUMS ($450K+)

Robbie Gray (PTA, $504 300) – Listed as a midfielder only in 2017, Gray spent most of his time up forward where he kicked 47 goals for the season.  As a result, he’s now listed as a forward only for 2018.  After season averages of 111, 110 & 108, Gray dropped to a 92 avg in 2017.  While his scores were more erratic, akin to those of a permanent forward, he still had a massive impact when he got going.  161, 146, 139 & 129 were  among the nine tons he scored in 2017.  Has already overcome surgery for testicular cancer during the off-season and has made a return to the track.  Will be in a lot of line-ups this year……..

Luke Dahlhaus (WBD, $498 500, FWD/MID) – Feels like Dahlhaus is a veteran of the game yet he is only 24 years of age.  Enjoyed his BreakOut year in 2015 where he averaged 104 SC pts.  Niggling injuries have taken their toll on him over the last two years.  Despite playing most of the 2017 season, his midfield time was significantly reduced to ensure he got through the year.  Priced at a 91 avg, he’s sure to be a popular option up forward again………

 

MID-PRICE GAMBLES ($250-$449K)

Devon Smith (GWS, $439 100) – There’s been a lot of buzz about Smith joining the Bombers over the trade period.  No doubt he’s a valuable pick up for the team but will that translate into a points surge for Supercoach?  His best SC effort came in 2014 where he managed a 90 average over 21 games played.  It all depends where the Bombers decide to use him.  He is hoping for more midfield time at Windy Hill.  If that’s the case then his numbers are sure to see some improvement.  If you think he can bump that up to 95-100 at his new club, then the $439K is decent value.  Definitely on the radar for now……

Jordan De Goey (COL, $434 000, FWD/MID) – Big wraps on the kid but still very much ‘hit or miss’ at this stage.  Scored four big tons in 2017, including a match-winning 130 against West Coast, but also had five scores under 60pts.  Dependant on more midfield time if his SC scores are to change dramatically……….

Brett Deledio (GWS, $339 800) – The first guy that Cotchin hugged after the Prelim? Lids…….. He was a shining light during many dark years for the Tigers.  I would’ve loved to see a Premiership medal hanging around Lids’ neck but he made his decision and here we are………. Only played in the last seven games for the Giants in 2017 due to a recurrence of his calf problems.  With the departure of Devon Smith and the retirement of Stevie J, there’s a place for Lids in the starting line-up.  Has finished eight seasons with an average of 100+ (at a high of 116!) with a further two seasons at 90+.  If he’s fit for Rd1, then he’s a lock……….

Cyril Rioli (HAW, $317 400) – Well, it was only a matter of time before Cyril’s injury curse returned.  He missed most of the 2017 season with a knee injury and is priced at his 64avg from the seven games played.  Has finished six seasons with an average over 90+. Champion Data look more favorably upon Cyril than Bruce McAvaney.  He can score very well from limited disposal.  Whether his body holds up long enough to justify selection is another thing……….

Harley Bennell (FRE, $254 800) – Missed nearly two years of football since his move from the Gold Coast to Freo.  Before he was plagued by calf problems, Bennell impressed alongside Ablett in the Suns midfield.  Has finished four seasons at an average over 95+.  Bennell is still just 25 years old and has plenty of good footy left in him…..if his body is willing to play along.  If he can (finally) get through a pre-season and be fit for Rd1, then he’d be under strong consideration……….

 

How do my first impressions compare with yours?  Don’t be afraid to tell me all about it in the comments below or on Twitter (@SC_Talk, @SchwarzwalderSC).  The SCT Team is working hard to ensure that we have regular write-ups in the lead up to Rd1.  Great to see you all back again for another pre-season, hope you enjoy it!

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22 thoughts on “First Glance – FWD”

  1. I have a firm FURL anti-Freo selection policy in 2018 so it’ll be hard to look past the amazing value that is Harley Bennell. I’m a man of principle though and i’m sick of Voldimor’s selection schtick so i’ll be looking elsewhere.

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    1. Lobb or Simpson.

      Depends on Leon Cameron’s set up but whoever gets that #1 ruck gig at GWS will surely become SC relevant as a stepping stone option ala Witts and Nank this year. The difficulty lies in knowing when to jump ship to the next option which was where a number of us struggled this season.

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  2. im scared of lobb with keefe could be pinch hitting in the ruck abit this or dawson simpson in the team i think i would rather get allen christenson instead big gamble but at that price if he starts in midfield could make a bit of coin hopefully

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  3. Oh its great to be back and see SCT producing quality content as always!

    Gotta say though Im surprised nobody’s even considering walters despite his form when playing midfield last year + the lack of options up fwd.

    What am I missing?

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    1. Yeah Freo still have massive scoring issues/forward line issues.
      They threw Walters into the mids more while Fyfe was playing sore.
      Although Walters is super damaging Lyon will put the whole ”team structure”
      first, he will still split 50/50 fwd and mids rotating with guys like Fyfe to create mismatches up fwd.

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  4. Thoughts on Charlie Curnow? Absolutely killed it in the back half of last year and with Harry McKay getting more games and Jack Silvagni developing I can see him getting a lot more time in the midfield. I’m very strongly considering him.

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    1. Got nothing to lose i reckon wont loose cash and big potential to be a keeper or easy upgrade a avg a 90 after the first 10 rnds shows that he is capable of maintaining a high avg

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    2. 100 % locked in for me. Even if he doesn’t get more midfield time, I can’t see why he shouldn’t continue on from where he left off last year. That alone would make him a top forward. And if he does get more midfield time, then who knows what could happen?

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  5. The FWD line is what excites me most this coming season as there are so many mid to low priced players that could make or break a season. The 300k – 200k bracket looks particularly interesting. McCluggage, K. Langford, Cockatoo, Hipwood, Christensen, Bennell, Balic, Laverde, McCartin and Schache could all see pretty decent jumps in their starting prices although they all come with their own degrees of risk. Add to that the likes of Stringer, Menzel, C. Curnow, Parish, Petracca, D. Smith, Walters, Billings and Heeney who could all have break out seasons and finish in the top bracket!
    I have a feeling my FWD line is going to have a touch of midpriced madness this year 🙂

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