New Year’s Resolutions are generally stupid and completely ineffective, so of course I made a New Year’s Resolution to be less stupid in 2018. It turned out to be a catastrophic failure last weekend after I ignored Titch, Gawn and Stef and stuck the captaincy on Fyfe. I also managed to leave McLean and Rockliff on the bench, while Liam Ryan and Stefan Giro were on the field. Can anyone beat that litany of idiocy? Personal rant over!
So, trades. It appears we need a replacement for Nathan Fyfe this week, and there seem to be a wide range of candidates for the role.
Here are the most popular trade ins, as of 12pm AEST, Tuesday July 3:
1. Andrew Gaff (WCE, mid, $524 200)
+ The perennially under-rated Gaff has been quietly brilliant in 2018, taking up the slack left by midfield maestros Priddis and Mitchell. Most recently, he racked up a team-high 136 points from 37 possessions at the Adelaide Oval in a tough loss to the Crows. Averaging 109 for the season.
+ 11 tons in 14 games this season is a testament to his consistency, which has helped Gaff boost his average by 16 points per game from last season. Possibly a smokey in a wide open race for the Brownlow.
+ His season-low 74 against the Swans drops out of his cycle this week, putting his break-even at just 63. Did someone order a Fyfe replacement?
– His outside style of footy makes him somewhat susceptible to a tag, with that 74 I mentioned coming in a game where Hannebery was running with him. I think we all know what Hanners’ form has been like this year, so that is definitely a mark against Gaff’s name.
– As good as he is, Gaff has only averaged over 100 once in seven previous seasons, so it’s that whole “reversion to the mean” argument again. Can Gaff keep this run of scoring going?
2. Justin Westhoff (PTA, mid/fwd, $507 700)
+ I brought him in last week, and in a pleasant change for the Champs, he actually played a great game! 120 points from 19 possessions (16 kicks), with two goals, and chipping in with 7 hitouts.
+ Westhoff’s biggest weapon is his incredible versatility. Can’t get the ball forward? Swing him back. Ryder needs a rest? Stick Hoff in the ruck. Or just let him run up and down the wide expanses of the AO wings. No matter what form Westhoff takes, it seems to be Supercoach friendly!
+ That DPP status is incredibly handy at this time of year. Who knows, maybe Champion Data will be really nice to us next year, and give Hoff ruck status as well???
– This sounds really trivial, but there’s something about watching Westhoff kick the footy that makes me nervous, especially in front of goal. Fellow owners will know what I’m talking about! You’ll be on the edge of your seat every time he puts boot to ball.
– See “negative point 2” for Gaff, except the Hoff has never averaged over 100 in ELEVEN seasons. Not many players have their best ever season at 31 years of age – can Westhoff continue to buck the trend?
3. Toby McLean (WBD, mid/fwd, $438 500)
+ McLean had an inevitable mid-season slump in his breakout year, but showed promising signs of a rebound in the Dogs win over the Cats. 25 disposals and 11 tackles for 104 points, his first ton in a month.
+ Those 11 tackles are actually crucial. McLean only managed a total of 9 tackles in his previous three games, and averaged 67 ppg in that stretch. Pressure is the buzzword here!
+ He’s the second-highest scoring forward this year, and his price tag is WHAT? Get it done, right now. Break-even of 78 this week.
– McLean is renowned amongst teammates for his toughness, but he has copped his share of knocks this year, most notably in the opening stages of the game against Port courtesy of Robbie Gray. Hopefully he can keep on truckin’ until the end of the season!
– Still pretty raw, and with the Dogs set to miss the finals, Beveridge may decide to give Toby a rest anyway at some stage.
4. Patrick Dangerfield (GEE, mid, $556 800)
+ Dangerfield hasn’t dominated in trademark fashion this year – he’s a despised outsider for the Brownlow at 25/1 – and yet he’s averaging 113 ppg and is a top 5 midfielder. Most players can only dream of having a ‘shocking’ year like Danger!
+ Danger’s 31 disposals against the Bulldogs is the first time he’s recorded 30+ possies in a game since round 3, positive signs?
+ Has scored less than 100 in exactly one game so far this season. Any more questions?
– If you’re a Cats fan, or among the 38% of coaches with Danger in their team, you’ll have been incredibly frustrated watching the fourth quarter against the Dogs. The game is on the line and Patty barely leaves the F50, WTF??!!!
– It’s an fairly petty complaint, but Danger has lost the ceiling he showed in previous seasons, with no scores above 140 so far. He has been super consistent, but maybe he’s not the amazing captaincy option he once was?
5. Jacob Dawson (GCS, mid, $102 400)
+ Dawson backed up his 51 on debut with a 17 possession, 59 point effort against the Pies putting him on the bubble with a break-even of -47.
+ The Suns’ injury list means the rookie-listed teenager looks good for an extended run. With Hall out for the season, Barlow out indefinitely, and Hanley still a few weeks away, hopefully Dew maintains the youth policy!
+ There are really only two viable bubble boys this week – Dawson and Brayden Ainsworth. Dawson is cheaper and has far better job security…it’s a no-brainer.
– My impression is that the two 50’s Dawson has scored so far are going to be pretty typical of his output. Hopefully he’s just a cash builder, and you’re not relying on him to score too many points for you!
– The Suns have had a revolving door installed on their dressing shed this season. While Dawson has been very solid, the likes of Will Brodie and Kade Kolodjashnij are shining in the NEAFL, and must be pressing for a promotion.
#6 – 10: Brayden SIER (COL), Patrick CRIPPS (CAR), Josh KELLY (GWS), Quinton NARKLE (GEE), Josh P. KENNEDY (SYD)
Most traded OUT players this week: Nathan FYFE (FRE), Matt GUELFI (ESS), Logan AUSTIN (STK), Charlie SPARGO (MEL), Bayley FRITSCH (MEL), Ed PHILLIPS (STK), Adam TRELOAR (COL), Timothy SMITH (MEL), Nicholas HOLMAN (BCS), Dustin MARTIN (RIC)
Most popular trades so far this week:
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