Flavour Of The Week – Rd11

Written by Schwarzwalder on May 31 2016

G’day Supercoaches!

‘Rabbit season…….Duck season……Rabbit season……..Duck season, FIRE!!’  In any case, it’s upgrading season.  While the temptation may be there to chase points and go after the big guns, you should be concentrating on finding the top players at a discount price (#3 today is a great example).  If possible then it shouldn’t alter your bye strategy much at all……….please tell me you’ve checked your bye structure, we’ve already had a few warnings (only two weeks away!).  We look at a nice mix of rookies and premiums today, as Supercoaches scramble to gather their best teams before the Byes.  This weeks Most Popular Traded IN players are (SC Gold as of 31.5.16 at 6am):

 

1 – Rhys Mathieson (BRL $117 300, MID)

Plus:

+ 14 touches against Hawthorn, nine of which were contested.

+ 59 & 53 in his first two games at AFL level.

+ BreakEven of -42 with projected BEs of -13 & 2.  Get in while he’s cheap!

+ Rd15 Bye is very handy for Team Strategy.

Minus:

– Four free kicks from the umpires helped his score on the weekend.  Two games into his career and already shares a certain reputation with Joel Selwood.

– Only 57% Disposal Efficiency and three clangers against Hawthorn.

– Is his spot as safe as they say?  I’m starting to have doubts whether he’ll retain his spot for this week, let alone in the run-up to the Byes (just my opinion…….wait for team selections on Thursday).

 

2 – Samuel Collins (FRE $117 300, DEF)

Plus:

+ 59 SC pts on debut against the Saints.

+ 97% Time On Ground is always a good sign.

+ 12 touches at 83%DE and seven marks, eased into it nicely.

+ Freo’s injury list.  Johnson & Pearce won’t be back before the Bye Rounds so it’s really Collins’ spot to lose (more than anything).

+ Rd15 Bye is also handy for your bye strategy!

Minus:

– Trained by Ross Lyon………who knows what he’ll do at the selection table in any given week?

– Only played the one game till now. You can always wait till next week with Collins.

 

3 – Robbie Gray (PTA $502 500 MID)

Plus:

+ Has the potential to be up there with the Top10 MIDs from this point onwards.  His scores & price took a dive due to injury.  Perfect example of a Fallen Premium.

+ Contested Possessions……..and lots of them!  Averaging 14.6 contested touches a game, that is 7th in the League.

+ Scores before injury – 126, 129 & 123.  Scores after injury break – 120 & 109.  The injury affected scores of 74 & 53 will now be out of his scoring cycle.

+ BE of 73, barring injury this should be the cheapest you’ll get Gray in all year.

+ Averaged 110 pts over the last two years.

Minus:

– Injury would be the main concern, has had plenty of issues in the past.

– Clangers!  Averaging 4.3 per game, 6th in the League.  That’s one list you don’t really want to be on.

 

4 – Luke Dahlhaus (WBD $547 300, MID)

Plus:

+ After a breakout year in 2015 where he averaged 104, Dahlhaus has kicked things up a notch in 2016.  Averaging 108 after ten games.

+ Seven tons from ten games this season, with a low score of 84.  Looks a shoe-in as a Top6 FWD.

+ 37 touches against the Pies on Sunday for his 119 pts.  He was everywhere!

+ Averaging 27 touches per game, on par with Ablett and form player Bryce Gibbs.

Minus:

– Can he keep it up?  Will he continue to improve or drop off as the season wears on?

– BE of 123, you could still afford to wait another week.  Worst case scenario: you have to pay a few dollars more.

 

5 – Jackson Paine (BRL $127 900, FWD)

Plus:

+ 12 touches against Hawthorn for his 47 pts.  Previously scored 45 on debut.

+ BE of -15 coming up with projected BEs of 11 & 29, is ‘on the bubble’.

Minus:

– Seven clangers from twelve touches doesn’t make for great reading.

– Hasn’t set the world on fire and the Lions have players to come back in shortly.  Will Paine survive selection on Thursday?

 

Nos 6-10: Dayne Zorko (BRL), Max Gawn (MEL), Chad Wingard (PTA), Tom Mitchell (SYD), Jarrad McVeigh (SYD).

Most Traded OUT Players: Ben Kennedy (MEL), Michael Hartley (ESS), Mitch Brown (ESS), Sam Kerridge (CAR), George Hewett (SYD), Tom Papley (SYD), Stefan Martin (BRL), Clayton Oliver (MEL), Jake Stringer (WBD), Aaron Hall (GCS).

Most Popular Trades (so far…..pictured below):

TradesRd10

Have a gander at the SCT Leagues Update later today to see which leagues are up there in the overall rankings (still one in the Top20!).  MJ’s Fallen Premiums follow as always on Wednesday morning.  Father Dougal gives us the cash projections for rookies in his Cow Talk thread on Wednesday afternoon.  Plus Movers & Shakers, Bubble Busters, Burning Question, The Captains Table and full teams as they’re announced.  Plenty to talk about at SCT!

So are you running with the crowd this week?  Are you taking the Flavour Of The Week into your team?  Or have you got a different strategy altogether? Best of luck with your trades this week!  Tell us all about them………….

 

FoTW Trade Options - Rd11 (max two)

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20 thoughts on “Flavour Of The Week – Rd11”

  1. Is Darcy Macpherson for Mathieson a worthwhile trade probably the only midfielder that doesn’t have money to make before the byes (My other rookie mids are Gresham, J.Smith, Dunkley, Davis)

    TU Do the trade
    TD Just hold Macpherson and loophole him to get the best scores at M9

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      1. On the suns website it says 8-10 which now makes me think a trade is needed that’s almost the rest of the season

        If it helps currently ranked just inside the top 5000 with 19 trades left

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          1. I wouldn’t of thought anyone of Gresham, Davis, J.Smith or Dunkley would be dropped this week after all having one of their best games for the year.

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  2. Any article with a Looney Tunes reference gets a thumbs up from me!

    I’m thinking of going full retard and bypassing Mathieson this week if Jack Trengove gets named to replace Viney. Fi, any inside info?

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    1. Roos basically said Trengove only missed selection due to the travel. Casey had the bye, so no one could really put their hand-up. Salem, Brayshaw and Oliver are all injured, so the only real competition is fellow former co-captain Grimes, or spud Michie.

      Surely Trengove gets a couple of games before the bye.

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  3. T/U- Go 1 week early on G Hewitt and trade him to R Gray making midfield full premo- Dangerfield, Hannebery, Pendlebury, Ablett, Shiel, Parker, Priddis, Gray but forego getting Dalhaus/Martin before the byes.
    T/D- Get Martin/Dalhaus to join Zorko, Montagna, Hall and Barlow but forego getting Gray before the byes.

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    1. You can wait another week or so for Dahl, as his BE is still around 120. Gray is the cheapest he’ll be all year, so I’d prioritise him.

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  4. I still need to get Gaz in, looks as though he’s finally hit his straps, this is as cheap as you’re going to get him.my Bye structure is currently 12-10-8. Looking at the following trades
    Trade out
    Lonergan and Hewett
    Trade in
    Ablett and a cheap round 15 defender(suggestions anyone?) Collins maybe ?
    Leaves me with 14 trades
    TU Good move do it
    TD Move away from the trade button !!

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  5. Will be trading out Hartley & B Kennedy this week for either of these 2 options

    TU: Ablett & S Collins
    TD: Docherty & Mathieson

    Current MIDS are Danger, Parker, Ward, Priddis, Sidebottom, Libba + 2 on field rookie
    Current DEF are H Shaw, Simpson, Gibson, Laird + 2 on field rookies
    I also have DPP in FWD line of Zorko, D Martin, Dahlhaus & Hall.

    Ablett has a breakeven this week of 83 for a cost of $541,500
    Docherty has a breakeven of 95 for a cost of $585,500

    Or to open up a DPP link between MID-FWD, I could move one of my DPP fwds to midfield and buy a premium Forward – J Kennedy or Franklin, but both have R14 bye which doesn’t help my current structure.

    Appreciate thumbs or comments

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  6. Let’s see what happens come Thursday night. If Goldy missed surly someone like Lycett will become very popular

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  7. Hi Guys,

    I would appreciate ur thoughts on my trades for this week…

    T/U:
    OUT: Ben Kennedy & S Kerridge
    IN: J McVeigh & C Wingard

    T/D:
    OUT: Ben Kennedy & Libba
    IN: J McVeigh & R Gray

    Cheers,
    Raj

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    1. I’d make R.Gray a priority from those INS of yours. I see you’ve snuck into the Top1000, Raj………nice one!!

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      1. Thanks mate….it’s been going alright…..really nailing those captains choices and have done reasonably good trades to date…..have got 17 trades before making 2 this week….so going OK at the moment…..

        In regards to my above trade options…..R Gray averages in mid 70s against pies…..so I am really leaning towards Wingard (specifically at that price and ridiculously low BE of 6) & McVeigh since price and BE and playing against GCS could go large…..whereas R Gray I could pick him up next week…..

        Which also means My Def will be complete and will look like below….

        DEF:
        H Shaw, K Simpson, S Docherty, R Laird, J McVeigh, & Z Williams (M Brown, T Ruggles)

        FWD:
        D Martin, D Zorko, Z Merrett, A Hall,C Wingard, Tippa (C Petracca, C Menadue)

        And what are ur thoughts on D Armitage….he is cheap(around $450k dropped nearly $140k since the start of the season) and looks like coming to form….laid 17 tackles and scored around 150 last week…?

        Cheers,
        Raj

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        1. He’s definitely capable. If that’s your gut feeling then who am I to stop you? I’d be worried that Steven and Montagna have outscored him most weeks. If I had an unlimited budget then I’d get Neale. No one taking pts off him in the Freo midfield. Definitely a solid line-up you have in any case!

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  8. T/U Trade J. Smith to Mathision make 173k
    T/D Hold J.Smith

    I have Dmac and Davis on the mid bench aswell.

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Flavour Of The Week – Rd11

Written by Schwarzwalder on June 9 2015

So many key SC players omitted or injured, many under-performing premiums, the Friday-night-Captain-Fyfe conundrum……..definitely one of the trickiest Rounds of Supercoach to navigate. If you managed to score 2100+ then I applaud you! Even with my lowest score of the year (1999), I still managed to win most leagues. Says a lot about the ‘carnage’.
Since we had the long weekend and there hasn’t been too much trade activity till now (apart from the odd rage trade maybe), I’ll be trying something different this week. I’m making my own predictions as to who will be appearing on the Most Traded-IN List this week. So here is my take on the Flavour Of The Week:

1 – Ollie Wines (PORT – $533,400 MID)
Plus:
+ Apart from his injury-affected 76 against North in Rd3, he has raised the bat in all other five matches (130, 105, 100, 123, 124). That’s the sort of consistency you want/need in your midfield. Was well on his way to another ton against North before being subbed out.
+ Durability! Has only missed four games in his first three years at AFL level……..namely, the wrist injury sustained in Rd3.
+ Contested Beast! Had 33 touches against the Doggies on Saturday, 23 of which were contested. Next best was Jack Macrae with 16.
+ Averaged 74 points per game in his debut season followed by 100.3 ppg in his second year. Already averaging 109.6 till now, definitely a player on the up!
+ Break Even of 68, meaning he won’t get much cheaper anytime soon. Still under his original starting price!

Minus:
– I don’t think I’m out of line when I say that Wines will be a SC Beast for years to come. He’ll be one of the first-picked players over the next 6-7 years providing he stays injury-free. But can he maintain the rage till seasons’ end? Or should we just wait till next year?
– Now some may say I’m being lazy and/or bias here but I’m honestly reaching to find any negatives for Wines. If the opposition tag moves from Boak to Wines then it will probably have an effect on his SC output…….but that’s about all I can think of. If you see something that I don’t, then please let me know in the comments.

2 – Andrew Boston (GCS – $124,600 MID)
Plus:
+ ‘On the bubble’ after scores of 71 & 63 in his first two games for the year.
+ Zero clangers against the Swans. Seven of his eleven disposals were contested.
+ Long injury list on the Gold Coast means he could hold his spot a bit longer.
+ BE of -60 suggests a decent price rise coming up.

Minus:
– Played eight games in 2014 and (from memory) five of them were interrupted by the green/red vest.
– One could argue that without the long injury list, Boston may not have gotten a chance to play this year. Who knows where he stands in the pecking order at the Gold Coast? Will he still be there when Ablett, Malceski, Martin, Bennell & Swallow are back?
– If you are to trade in Boston, be wary of your bye strategy. It’s a little awkward that he has the bye directly after trading him into your team.

3 – Joel Selwood (GEE – $494,500 MID)
Plus:
+ Been a part of most SC midfields in the past. His numbers are impressive: 2011 – 112 ppg from 17 games, 2012 – 118 (20), 2013 – 118 (22) & 2014 – 121 (22).
+ Despite his sluggish start to the season, his record over the past two years suggests a strong finish is coming up. Over the last six rounds of 2013, Selwood averaged 136 ppg. In 2014, it was 135. That price tag starts looking even more attractive.
+ Favorable draw! Only six of the remaining thirteen matches against current top-8 sides, two of those against Adelaide, one against GWS.
+ BE of 91, may have bottomed out in price.

Minus:
– Like Ollie Wines, it’s hard to see too many negatives. If anything, there is some concern that he might be playing sore (hand injury against Collingwood). But a 122 against Essendon on Saturday says he might be over it. Plus he has the week off to recover in Rd13. Again, let me know your ‘cons’ on Selwood in the comments.

4 – Keegan Brooksby (GCS – $102,400 RUCK)
Plus:
+ Rock-bottom price, would be a great downgrade/back-up option. Anyone who visits the site regularly knows of my opinion on Tom Bellchambers. Could Brooksby be the solution?
+ His scores of 58 and 36 could be seen as a negative. But if he is to replace Bellchambers in your team then he’s giving you the same output while banking $200k for important upgrades elsewhere. That’s a positive in my book!
+ BE of -33 this week. Bound to rise in price if selected.

Minus:
– Has to be job security. Dixon, Smith and Gorringe are waiting in the wings and there’s been a lot of rotation through the Suns line-up. Will Brooksby even get a third game? Eagerly awaiting team selection on Thursday night. (Play the kids, Rocket!!)
– As with Andrew Boston, Brooksby has the bye next week. Check your bye strategy, can’t stress that enough!

5 – Trent Dumont (NTH – $194,200 MID)
Plus:
+ Scored 84 & 74 in his two full games till now, decent numbers for a rookie/cash cow. Is he cementing a spot in the best 22?
+ BE of -43 this week, still cash to be made.
+ Dumont held his spot and wasn’t named sub even with Swallow back in the team, good signs!

Minus:
– The price tag. Have we missed the boat? Is that too much to pay for him now?
– Job security still an issue with Wells and Dal Santo to come back at some stage.

 

Honorable Mentions: Karl Amon (PORT), Josh Glenn (GCS), Dan Robinson (SYD), Cory Ellis (RICH) & Lance Franklin (SYD) – BE of 17!!

* There are a few rookies on the list this week. For more info there, head to Badger’s Rookie Review for all the good mail. If you want to upgrade your rookies, then Father Dougal and his spreadsheet wizard will tell you the optimal time in his Slaughter House (just kidding, ‘Cow Talk’) 😉 MJ will give the good oil on his Fallen Premiums post as always. I’m guessing Wines and Selwood may play a part there as well.

Was a rough week for SC Talk in the rankings. Only three coaches remain in the Top 100, those being nickoless at 11, Andy B at 16 & sodes at 30. And in sad news, the SCT AB League has been de-throned from top spot. Down to no.3 overall. Plenty of time left to climb the ladder again!
Even with all the goings-on of last weekend, I’m hoping you have your bye strategy in some sort of order for the next three weeks. If you need to trade this week then keep in mind they should not only be used to ‘plug holes’ over the byes. It should be more of a long-term aim to bring in your keepers/premiums for the remainder of the season. As always, the list above isn’t necessarily a recommendation to trade in all players stated. You decide what’s best for your team.

Are you looking to trade in any of the above players?  Be sure to fill in the Poll below.  Feel free to correct me on anything in the comments below or add your own pros and cons. The ‘Flavour’ will be missing next week (Road trip!!). Motts and the boys have something good lined up, so be sure to check that out. Good luck over the bye rounds!

Sorry, there are no polls available at the moment.

 

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31 thoughts on “Flavour Of The Week – Rd11”

  1. Really unsure about Selwood and Franklin. Both are unbelievable players at a bottomed out price, but consistency is the thing that has always hurt me in the past picking up fallen premiums that don’t deliver tonnes every/most weeks. Be interesting to see what the community thinks about both these players for this season in particular. if this was last year or 2013 I think I’d pick up both in the same circumstance, however theres far too many inconsistent scores flying around this year for me to see them as locks.

    Just to emphasise this point, In just one round I went from scoring 2505 to 1991 – don’t think that’s ever happened to me in previous years.

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  2. Not sold on Buddy but hard to ignore. He can go big but also small scores are just as likely. Also tendency to miss games…. but price is tasty!

    TU Buddy

    TD Dalhaus (consistent but not as likely to get huge scores)

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  3. Bit off topic but really need help, got to trade in Goldy this week and trying to work out who
    T/U Sandilands
    T/D Nic Nat
    Was originally going to go Sandi but he’s hit some form recently. Not really worried about price, purely looking for who is going to end up with the least points at the end of the year out of these two
    Help would be much appreciated

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  4. Whats your view on bringing in players this week who have the bye in r11 and r12?
    I know there’s large negatives in it but it might be the only chance to bring guys like boston and dumont in ?

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  5. Who are the best value forwards under $500000 of those who don’t have a bye this week apart from Franklin? I was thinking Ziebell, Higgins or even a Jamie Elliott

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  6. Scott,
    I reckon you can’t go wrong with Boomer. A couple of tons, 5 scores in the 90’s and North draw gets a little easier after the Sydney game. Brought him in myself this week as Salem is still a couple of weeks away.

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  7. Really wanted Wines in last week but needed a forward and back in to avoid 0’s so I might have missed him. Just trying to get 18 players this week then might trade in Sloane, Hamling and maybe Smith or Rance for round 12. I could get Wines or Selwood in this week but be short of players round 13. Going to be tough these next 3 weeks.

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  8. Cheers Schwarz, love your work!
    yes one of your league wins was over me in SCT 1 after my embarrassing score of 1930. 🙁

    Rd 12 Bye is absolute carnage for me so won’t be going boston. Going to choose btwn Wines and Selwood. What does the community think?

    T/U: Selwood
    T/D: Wines

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  9. Is it just me or does guys like Vandenberg going down just before the byes makes team selection and preparing for byes an absolute nightmare, given that the plan was to trade him during his round 13 bye round?? His 40 point contribution last week I suppose makes it extra special…

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  10. Anyone got fyfe, mundy, neale, Kennedy, j Steven and pendles as your current midfield? This weeks looking awesome but next weeks gonna be a bitch 🙂

    Great write up lads! Wines or selwood will be coming into the squad this week for me. Who’s the best DEF rookie to bring in that’s playing this week? Love to trade down k macintosh…

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  11. Currently the top 10 is as follows:
    1. Andrew Boston (by a mile)
    2. Elliot Kavanagh
    3. Joel Selwood
    4. Joel Hamling
    5. Keegan Brooksby
    6. Trent Dumont
    7. Lance Franklin
    8. Ollie Wines
    9. Tom Mitchell
    10. Callan Ward
    Didn’t do so bad with my early predictions! 😉 Little surprised with Kavanagh. As well as he played, he won’t be on the bubble until after his bye, which he shares with Boston and Brooksby as well……..

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