Flavour Of The Week – Rd14

Written by Schwarzwalder on June 21 2016

G’day Supercoaches!

We find ourselves smack-bang in the Bye Rounds.  With three trades each week, it’s bloody tempting to use them all up quickly.  This week’s Flavour gives us another nice mix of rookies and premiums as Coaches try and finalise their ideal line-ups during the Byes.  The backline seems to be the main focus of upgrading this week.  The most traded IN players are (SC Gold on 21.6.16 at 5am):

 

1 – Sam J. Reid (GWS, $118 900, FWD/MID)

Plus:

+ 13 touches and a goal for his 57 pts on the weekend.  Followed up his 46 against Sydney a week earlier.

+ Dual Position Status!

+ Rd15 Bye might be helpful for those struggling with their Bye Structures.

+ BreakEven of -30 with projected BE of -15, at his very cheapest!

Minus:

– Only 46% Disposal Efficiency & four clangers on the weekend doesn’t necessarily make for great reading.

– There’s a couple of injuries at the Giants that are mid to long-term which may help Reid hold his spot.  Not sure how long he’ll be there after the Bye Rounds though.

 

2 – Tom Phillips (COLL, $117 300, MID/FWD)

Plus:

+ 64 pts on debut against Melbourne – 15 touches (eight contested) & five tackles.

+ Dual Position Status!

+ Certainly wasn’t the worst on Queens Birthday with Crocker & Smith more likely to be omitted this week (in my opinion).

+ The kid had big wraps on him over pre-season, surely he gets his chance now at senior level.

Minus:

– Four clangers hurt his score on debut.

– Magpies are rotating their rookies fairly regularly through the seniors.  As with all rookies, job security is always a week-to-week query.

– Just the one game so far.  Many of us have already gone early on S.Collins or Trengove.  Do we dare try our luck once again?

 

3 – Sam Docherty (CARL, $575 700, DEF)

Plus:

+ Has hit career-best form this season, running at a 110avg (huge for a DEF!).

+ Eight tons already this year with the last five all over 120+!!

+ Looks locked in as a Top6 DEF for 2016.

+ SC Finals opponents: HAW, STK, BRL & MEL

Minus:

– Are his best scores now behind him for the year?  Previous best avg was 88 last season.  That’s a big jump to 110.  Purple patch of form?  Or should we expect that of Doc all the time?

 

 

4 – Rory Laird (ADE, $471 900, DEF)

Plus:

+ Finds himself at an affordable price after a four week injury lay-off (& the 74 pts upon return).

+ Has scored 90+ in six of eight games till now this season.  That follows last seasons avg of 93.8.

+ Adelaide only faces three current Top8 teams in the last ten games of the year, favorable draw.

+ Hasn’t had less than 20 touches in a game this year.  Only went under 20 disposals three times in 2015.  Capable of being Top6 DEF from THIS point onwards!

Minus:

– Ankle injury likely to flare up again?

 

5 – Kade Simpson (CARL, $528 700, DEF)

Plus:

+ Veteran that has averaged 89+SC pts in a season on nine occasions.  Reached a 100 avg in 2010.

+ Only missed five games over the last nine (!!) seasons, very durable!

+ Looks a shoe-in again for a Top6 DEF spot.

+ Eight tons already this season, hasn’t gone under 84 pts!

+ As with Docherty, favorable draw over the SC Finals.

Minus:

– Can he keep up the 105avg given his history of 90-95 averages?  Like Docherty, are his best scores already past him this year?

 

Nos. 6-10: Dustin Martin (RIC), Alex Rance (RIC), Leigh Montagna (STK), Brett Deledio (RIC), Scott Pendlebury (COLL).

 

Most Traded OUT Players: Darcy Byrne-Jones (PTA), Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti (ESS), Marcus Adams (WBD), Tom Liberatore (WBD), Christian Petracca (MEL), Luke Dahlhaus (WBD), Josh Dunkley (WBD), Nic Naitanui (WCE), Mitch Brown (ESS), Ben Kennedy (MEL).

 

Most Popular Trades (pictured below):

TradesRd13

 

SCT Leagues Update will be up later today. The SCT Leagues have organized their byes well and a couple have made some decent moves!  MJ’s Fallen Premiums are always a must-read.  Father Dougal and his spreadsheet wizardry will give us the cash projections on all rookies in the Cow Talk thread on Wednesday afternoon.  Plus Movers & Shakers, Bubble Busters, Trade Or Hold, The Captains Table and full teams as they’re announced.  It may be another short week (Thursday start!) but the Supercoach analysis continues at SCT!

Have you opted for any of this weeks popular trade-ins?  Are you also looking to beef up your back line?  Have you found a sneaky, cheaper option for the remaining ten Rounds?  Any pros & cons that I missed that you may like to add?  We’d love to hear about it in the Forum!

 

FoTW Trade Options - Rd14 (max three)

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22 thoughts on “Flavour Of The Week – Rd14”

  1. My team at the moment

    Back: Docherty, Bartel, Rich, B Smith, Talia, Laird (B Williams, Collins)

    Mid: Danger, Ablett, Barlow, Rockliff, Parker, Libba, Hannebery, Trengrove (MacPherson, Stewart, Hopper)

    Ruck: Gawn, Goldstein (Derrickx)

    Forward: Zorko, Martin, Kerridge, Wells, Wright, Petracca (S Reid, Willis)

    What areas should I upgrade and who should I bring in, $74 000 in the bank.

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    1. At first glance it looks like you’ll need to make a couple of upgrades on each line (except rucks) between now and the end of the season.
      How many trades do you have left?

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  2. already have laird, doch and simpson so bringing in rance this week, now only have on def spot to upgrade (Also have Shaw in the team).

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  3. – J.Steven (Good games coming up, No bye round) TU
    – Anyone else with $626k to spend TD

    + Saints have heaps of games at ES remaining where he racks them up & no one has him in my league.

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    1. Steven looks like a great pick. I was going to grab Treloar next round when he’s cheap, but I might splash the cash and get Steven instead now.

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  4. Unsure who to bring in for Byrne-Jones out of Docherty and Simpson.
    Backline is Shaw, Bartel, Boyd, Laird, Rich, Byrne-Jones, Collins, Lee.

    TU: Docherty 70,000 left this week, then next week Rich to McKenzie and Petracca, Kerridge to Deledio, Martin, thus gaining full premium team except McKenzie D6.
    TD: Simpson and 120,000 left this week, then next week Rich to Docherty, Petracca to rookie and Kerridge to D Martin thus gaining full premium team except Lyons F6.

    Your feedback/opinion is much appreciated as there is a great deal of uncertainty as to which is the better option.
    Also if Docherty was to come in would it be a good idea next week to trade Rich to T McKenzie and keep him as D6 and upgrade Petracca and Kerridge to 2 of Martin/Deledio/Riewoldt thus gaining a full premium team except T McKenzie.

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  5. Hey SCT coaches,

    Phillips looks the better option with JS out of him & Reid, he’s seems a definite going off the SCT community feed back so I’m good with that!

    The one I’m S T Rugglin with in the upgrade of either Wines or Libba & to who Jack Steven or Pendles

    T/U….Wines out / Pendles in
    T/D….Libba out / Steven in

    Or please comment if you think different…

    Cheers as always SCT coaches 🙂

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    1. Port have lost Ryder, Lobbe and now Howard. Literally have no-one left for them so don’t see much ball coming to the Port Mids from the centre. Not when they still have Goldstein, Mumford, Martin, Gawn and Jacobs to come. With the other games being up against the Hawks and Sydney midfields.

      Libba is also averaging more and has the easier run home.

      On those alone, I would cut my loses with Wines.

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        1. On top of all that, Wines is avg 4.6 clangers per game. 2nd in the League, killing his scores. Wines to Pendles, now is the right time, Catta!

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        2. Unless you are doing something big with the 45k (save a trade), I would lock in Pendles as he is just consistently better. He’s 100-140 compared to Stevens 80-140.

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  6. Who are the best midfielders to bring in this week? Steven and Selwood both have low BEs, I still don’t have Pendles but he’s expensive.

    Current: Danger, Ablett, Priddis, Wines, Hannebery, Parker

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    1. Pendles is a must-have despite the hefty price-tag.
      Steven has been quietly averaging 110 this season, however he has a relatively large standard deviation in scoring (Averaging 131 in wins and 90 in losses). So depending on how you see the Saints performing in the 2nd half of the season he could be hit & miss.
      Another POD you could consider who has just had his bye is Rory Sloane, as Adelaide’s draw opens right up after having the hardest draw of all teams to start the year, hence his scoring could potentially lift a notch or two.

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  7. I got Reid last week this week going Tippa to Rance, DBJ to Laird and Adams to Lids. Easily my best trade all season was bringing in Docherty round 8 @487K I think he is to expensive now need to wait for a poor game and try and get him around 520K unless you have heaps of cash.

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  8. With the combo of a fat wallet and cashed up rookies I’m definitely doing a double upgrade, maybe even a TRIPLE upgrade.

    Currently thinking
    DBJ >> Laird
    Young >> dePendlebury

    Only interested in bringing in players that have had their bye. Otherwise i’ll wait. Looking forward to having a better looking team!!!!

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Flavour Of The Week – Rd14

Written by Schwarzwalder on June 30 2015

G’day Supercoaches!

 
If you’ve followed the Flavour, you’ll know I’ve talked about hindsight in relation to players coming back from injury. In true Rockliff-style, Rory Sloane has re-injured his cheekbone after entering (or re-entering for some) a lot of sides over the last two weeks. ‘……..perhaps like Tom Rockliff, he might just be having one of those seasons that are constantly interrupted.’ That comes from last week’s Flavour post and seems very foreboding now. A run of bad luck sometimes lasts the course of an entire season. Players like Yablett, Rocky, Sloane Ranger & Paddy Ryder On The Storm might just be better off left alone in 2015. Of course it’s all a game of risk vs reward. But at this stage, the risk seems to be outnumbering the reward. Trades are at a premium in the run up to the finals. Save yourself the heart- & headaches (& trades!) and stick with the guys that are out on the field, not those coming back from the emergency room.

 
Going with something different for this week’s Flavour post. With Buddy out for a week, Stefan Martin rubbed out for two and the ever-daunting prospect of our ruckmen going down with serious injury (remember Mummy last week), I thought I’d take a look at the F7/R3 Dual-Position ‘Swingman’ option. If you have no bench option in the ruck, then you run the risk of copping donuts in the end spurt to finals glory. In 2014, Sam Jacobs was the only ruckman to play all 22 games. It’s a tough position to play, even tougher to get through an entire season unscathed. Remember how invaluable Stefan Martin was last year as our Swingman? Unfortunately he’s been stripped of his DPP status, leaving us with the following options (in no particular order):

 
1 – Shaun McKernan (ESS $255,300)

Plus:
+ 21 touches and a goal against the Hawks, including nine contested possessions for his 98 SC points.
+ Eight of his eighteen hitouts were to advantage on the weekend, big points!
+ Price tag……….cheapest of the Swingman options! ‘On the bubble’ so this might be as cheap as he gets.
+ Job security seems high given that Bellchambers is out for up to ten weeks with a foot injury. Carlisle is also out for 4-6 weeks (ruck relief) so it might just be his position to lose right now.
+ Break Even of -7, with projected BEs of 14 & 63. Price rise is inevitable.
Minus:
– Comes with a certain reputation from Adelaide that he may not be up to AFL level.
– Bombers still have Jonathan Giles sitting in the magoos waiting for his chance.
– Couldn’t get a game ahead of Bellchambers, who wasn’t exactly setting the world on fire. Scored a respectable 61 against North in Rd7 but was promptly dropped again. Then Hird decided to go with Carlisle in the ruck against the Eagles instead of using McKernan. Not a huge vote of confidence from the Bombers.
– His best season at the Crows was in 2011 where he played sixteen games at an average of 50.

 

 

2 – Patrick Ryder (PTA $438,300)
Plus:
+ Capable of big scores as seen last year in his twenty games at a 101 average. His best SC average came in 2012 when he played fifteen matches at 105 points per game.
+ Had a three-Round average of 99 between Rounds 3-5 this season, seemed to be finding his feet at his new club.
Minus:
– Hasn’t been sighted since Rd8. Only averaged 70 ppg in his last three appearances before injury.
– BE of 130 with projected BEs of 104 & 81……….his price won’t bottom out for another few weeks at least.
– Still adjusting to new club. Little unclear what role he will play with Lobbe in the same side. And let’s not forget the new WADA case…….still carrying that big monkey on the back as well.

 

 

3 – Max Gawn (MELB $410,200)
Plus:
+ Running at a three-game average of 120 after scores of 98, 118 & 146. Hard to wave away those sort of numbers. If Motts still had his ‘Movers’ post then Gawn would be top of the list!
+ Contested Ball Winner! 15 of his 19 possessions against Geelong were contested. Add to that 44 hitouts against Blicavs (25) in his 92% Time On Ground.
+ BE of -20 suggests a steep price rise coming up. There’s a little ‘Stefan Martin’ about Gawn’s efforts till now…….tearing it up after a mid-season call-up……..can he replicate that?
Minus:
– Looking over this year’s injury lists, I don’t see Max Gawn anywhere. So why did it take until Rd10 for Gawn to crack into the Dees line-up? Jamar and Spencer weren’t overly impressive until then. Gotta be a question on his job security, he wouldn’t want to put a foot wrong.
– Already had a $70k price rise. Is the price tag too much now? For a back-up player?
– From a SC standpoint, his best season was 2013 where he played 13 games at an average of 67.

 

 

4 – David Hale (HAW $393,000)
Plus:
+ Brings over 200 games of experience and two premierships to the table. Has been rotating ruck/forward in his time with the Hawks. Brought back in this year to replace an under-performing Ben McEvoy.
+ Best season with the Hawks was 2012 where he averaged 95 over 21 games.
+ Good performance against the Crows two weeks ago with 105 pts. Had 15 touches, 28 hitouts and drifted forward for two goals on the night.
Minus:
– Only gone over 90 twice from six games this year. Is he getting too slow for this caper?
– Like Max Gawn, I don’t see Hale on any injury lists from this year. Which means McEvoy was ahead in the pecking order. If McEvoy impresses in the twos, will Hale make way?

 

 

For those that are interested, this week’s list for Most Traded-IN players is as follows:
1. Steele (GWS)
2. Josh P. Kennedy (SYD)
3. Lambert (RICH)
4. McKernan (ESS)
5. Gawn (MELB)
6. Hannebery (SYD)
7. Colquhoun (PTA)
8. Rance (RICH)
9. Priddis (WCE)
10. McLean (DOGS)

 

 

* As always there’ll be plenty more info to check out in Badger’s Rookie Review (the only on-going rookie list…..like, anywhere!), Father Dougal’s Cow Talk & MJ’s Fallen Premiums………..

 

 

If you haven’t already seen the good news, nickoless is now sitting at No.3 overall, closely followed by sodes at No.11!! Andy B is still hovering at No.50 with his Saints. It’s also come to my attention that Based and his ‘Winfield Gawns’ are sitting at No.54.  That’s gone right under the radar, sorry I didn’t see that earlier.  Once again, fantastic effort!! All of us at SCT are barracking hard for a big finish! Sadly our leagues aren’t faring quite as well. SCT AB is at No.21 and Cattas SCT Challenge is at No.30, also hoping for a big finish to the season.

 

 

The ‘Swingman’ is not necessarily essential but can provide great back-up over the course of the year. With a complete lack of rookie ruckmen and changes to the ruck bench options (R3 only), the ‘Swingman’ might just come in handy for your SC team. Are you considering any of the Swingmen for your team? Let us know in the poll below.  Do you agree with the Swingman write-up? Always enjoy constructive criticism here at SCT. If my ramblings have rubbed you up the wrong way, then let us know in the comments. Good luck with any trades this week!

 

Sorry, there are no polls available at the moment.
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21 thoughts on “Flavour Of The Week – Rd14”

  1. Others in the evil guild have suggested that evil tankers is too much of a live and let live kind of guy – well imagine my surprise when shaun mckernan becomes a serious point of discussion for this website…

    If there is any evil in you then you will know this is not a win at all costs decision – look in the mirror and say shaun mckernan 3 times and you will know the truth – he is not the solution you are looking for

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  2. I have Sloan and Martin, I want to trade Sloan for Blicavs, move krakour to the middle and Cox to the forward line? The idea is to keep Martin and when he is back move Blicavs to the middle? The trouble I have is that when he is back I cannot seem to do a three way substitute? Only seem to do this in the trade wizzard? Is it possible?

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  3. I’m all for R/F Swingman, Lycett was supposed to be mine until he got dropped.Hale helped me out a lot last year. If I had the money I would have one in straight away. They are there to play on forward bench (Loophole) and back-up ruckman. If one of your main ruckman is out for a week or 2 be nice to have a bit of back-up. Be trying to get someone in but don’t think it’s going to happen unless Bosten and Hamling make heaps of money.

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  4. With only 9 trades left, is it worth slightly upgrading D Mckenzie to Mckernan via DPP so have Mckernan sitting at f8 as R/F swing?

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  5. I’m really puzzled by the McKernan love – he flattered to deceive at the crows but was never able to string a run of games due to inconsistency and brain farts. After 6 years at the crows he showed no signs of progression. He scored well last week but it will take me the rest of the season to be convinced that he has turned the corner.

    One further consideration for me is that come finals and Goldy is a late withdrawal do I want to call on McKernan or use the trade I’ve saved to get a premium ruck.

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  6. People should consider that Mckernan was still very young for a ruckman at the crows. 25 is the age that they usually start to properly develop.

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  7. Just a note:
    McKernan did not ruck against the Eagles because they couldn’t bring him off the rookie list as they had just moved The Windowlicker back off it.
    He is only playing now because they’ve moved The Big Bellend onto the LTI list.
    Not sure if that changes anyone’s thinking though…

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  8. I’m also going to run the gauntlet and risk no ruck back up. My question is: do you forgo the overall ranking if you are too far behind to realistically win the overall prize? I’m currently ranked in the 1200’s, I’m flying in two valuable cash leagues, is it time to back off the aggressive trading and overall ambitions and concentrate on trying to win the the leagues?

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  9. Went against R/F swingman and stuck with LBurger all year as my R3 with his first and hopefully last appearance on the field last week. With Goldy and Nic Nat having R13 byes there is a small chance they will play the remainding rounds, barring injury. Goldy seems very durable and nic nat looks to be over his groin issues of last year.
    Burger gets 2 weeks to prove or disprove his worth for the lions with Martin out.

    If you had your time again would you start with:
    T/U = R/F swingman for R3 coverage
    T/D = traditional low $ R3 coverage

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  10. Yep I’m looking into McKernan this week as F7 r 3 even though I still need a def forward and 2 mids upgraded. If he’s F7 then I can see McKernan being possibly a good pick but is it worth the trade ? I’m going for league and have 14 trades left .

    Thumbs up Sloane Tarrant for JPK Steele
    Thumbs down Sloane Tarrant for JPK McKernan

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