Flavour Of The Week – Rd4

Written by Schwarzwalder on April 12 2016

G’day Supercoaches!

For those of us that are struggling (yep, me included!) early on, this week gives us a chance to further correct the mistakes from our starting line-ups.   Did you miss the boat on a cash cow for some reason?  Or couldn’t get a gun player in at their starting price?  This might be the last time you see them at an affordable price for a few weeks.  With Brad Crouch being ruled out for a further 2-3 weeks, many of us will have some tweaking to do.  If a mid-pricer like that isn’t rising in value then they’re unfortunately becoming a liability.  On the other side, there are a number of players that are becoming liabilities by NOT having them in your team.  I’m talking about guys such as Hall, Parker, Dangerfield, Ablett & Goldstein (hasn’t dropped in price as some would’ve hoped).  If you can afford to hold off trading this week, I’d urge you to save your trades for a rainy day.  For the rest of you, the Most Traded IN players of this week are (SC Gold as of 12.4 at 8am):

 

1 – Aaron Hall (GCS, $488 100, FWD/MID)

Plus:

+ Finished 2015 in good fashion, had a big NAB Challenge and is now averaging 129 from the first three games.

+ Another lazy 40 touches against Carlton.  His 134 pts would’ve been larger if not for five clangers, but he was also on the ground for just 78% of the time.

+ Job security not an issue anymore, one would think.

+ Break Even of 29, with projected BEs of 46 & 73.  This is the last time you can get Hall under $500k for some time.

Minus:

– Even if O’Meara and Swallow ever come back, there looks to be a place for Hall in the midfield.  Struggling to see any negatives here.  Almost becoming a liability if you don’t have him in your side.

 

2 – Luke Parker (SYD, $577 900, MID)

Plus:

+ Started the season on fire!  Another 30 touches against GWS on the weekend.  Disposal Efficiency at 70%, not great but better than the 50-65% he was coming up with last season.

+ Averaged 135 over the first three Rounds.  BE of 95, projected BEs of 91 & 101.  Might be your last chance to get him below $600k for some time.

+ Fairly favorable draw up until the byes, no reason why this form can’t continue.

Minus:

– Has to share a lot of pts with JPK, Hanners & Tom Mitchell……..but doesn’t seem to be an issue right now (I’m reaching here).

– Might attract a tag?  But who really tags these days apart from Ben Jacobs?

 

3 – Marcus Adams (WBD, $226 000, DEF/FWD)

Plus:

+ Firmly entrenched in the Dogs Back6, looks like he belongs at the top level.

+ 82, 135 & 97 from his first three games, possibly the most lucrative cash cow of the season.

+ BE of -99, projected BEs of -16 & 8.  He’ll be over $400k within a matter of weeks.

+ Great effort against The Hawks on Sunday.  23 touches & 15 marks from 100% Time On Ground.

Minus:

– Right at the minute, I can’t think of any negatives.  If you haven’t already got him (what the hell happened?), GET HIM IN!

 

4 – Tom Ruggles (GEE, $102 400, DEF)

+ 17 touches (88% DE) & nine marks on debut for his 72 SC pts.

+ Spent 87% Time On Ground, not taken off too often, good sign!

+ Favorable draw for the Cats might help his cause (Next three: ESS, PTA & GCS in Geelong).

Minus:

– Let’s be honest…….Brisbane are struggling at the moment with injury and form.  Was a steady debut by Ruggles but we’ll know more when he plays against tougher opposition.

– The Josh Glenn Factor:  Ruggles has only played the one game till now.  If you brought him in this week and he (heaven forbid) got injured, you’d be stuck with a dirt-cheap rookie at D8 for the majority of the season.  Be aware of the risk involved!  Ideally you’d like to wait till he gets through his 2nd game AND is named for a 3rd appearance.

 

5 – Jacob Weitering (CARL, $289 100, DEF)

Plus:

+ What can I say that hasn’t already been said?  Mature beyond his years, he was Carlton’s highest scorer against the Suns in just his 3rd game.  94 avg after first three Rounds.

+ 26 touches (80%DE) and nine marks for his 129 pts.  The kid is very composed.

+ BE of -27, projected BEs of -22 & 42.  Another rookie DEF that will soon be over $400k (barring injury).  Could also be a keeper up until the byes.

Minus:

– Help me out?  😉  If there are negatives about this kid, I haven’t spotted them……..

 

Nos. 6-10: Todd Goldstein (NTH), Michael Hartley (ESS), Gary Ablett (GCS), Bachar Houli (RICH), Patrick Dangerfield (GEE).

 

Most Traded OUT players: Trent McKenzie (GCS), Tom Rockliff (BRL), Daniel Rich (BRL), Brad Crouch (ADE), Robert Murphy (WBD), Matthew Lobbe (PTA), Callum Mills (SYD), Toby Greene (GWS), Sam Gray (PTA), Ryan Crowley (ESS).

 

Be sure to check out the SCT Leagues Update later today to see how we’re faring in the overall competition.  MJ’s Fallen Premiums will be up in the morning and Father Dougal finally has more data to calculate with his Cow Talk on Wednesday afternoon.

Are you trading this week?  Are you going with the Flavour Of The Week or have you got something else in mind?  Let us know in the poll and comments below……….

 

FoTW Trade Option - Rd4 (max. two)

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46 thoughts on “Flavour Of The Week – Rd4”

  1. Only 3 of these 10 not in my team. Ruggles, next week I think, went against Goldstein and going to stick with Martin & Gawn. Don’t have Houli.

    Need to trade B Crouch. Looking at Priddis as I have lots of money from Barlow to Papley trade last week. Seems an obvious trade but may do something else. Only want do 1 trade.

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    1. Priddis will be at his cheapest next week, after this weekend his crap Hawthorn score will go out of his scoring cycle

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  2. Unreal writeup as usual. Got most of these guys already, but not Parker (or RobbieG)
    180k to spend…. can either fix up my weak backline (upgrade Lonergan), or add in McCarthy and Robbie/Parker for Mills and Crouch.
    Do like the look of young Caleb Daniel at $300k though….. too risky considering hes not a premo add?

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    1. No doubt the kid can play but his scores will fluctuate wildly. Not a Top10 FWD so will need an extra trade there later on. A no for me.
      Would only get rid of Mills if he got dropped, otherwise hold. Crouch to McCarthy via DPP perhaps? Then upgrade an under-performer next week?

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      1. What makes you think Daniels scoring will fluctuate? He won’t be a top 10 fwd but The midfield minutes he’s getting should give him some consistent scores around the 85 point mark.

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        1. The fact he’s only played about 8-9 games tells me he won’t be a consistent 90 pts player. It would be unfair to expect that from the kid. If you don’t think he’ll be a Top10 FWD, then why waste a trade?

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          1. I won’t be making the trade because he’s not a top 10 fwd but I can see someone who needs to improve their points and is stuck with as failed mid pricer eg crouch.

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            1. As a Doggies man I’m a fan of him as a player, but won’t be finding his way into my SuperCoach team anytime soon – he’ll be inconsistent although he generally uses the ball well, smart player

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  3. Only 4 of these 10 not in my team. (Goldy, Houli, Ruggles and Hartley)

    I still have Rocky on bench and will trade him for Priddis next week when he is at his cheapest price for the season.

    May look at swapping one of my non playing rookies for Ruggles depending on how he goes this week and if named for his 3rd game.

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  4. I think the one we’re all getting a little too excited over here is Weitering.

    Sure, if you started with him, then you’ve just grabbed yourself a nice little +$68k boost, with another healthy boost to come next week. But after that, his score of 129 disappears.

    Put it in context for those that don’t have him now. Would anyone seriously consider starting the season with a $289,000 rookie? His purpose is to make money, not to rely on to get keeper scores. His 3-round average of 95 is skewed by 1 strong game, but he averaged 78 across his first 2 games.

    I don’t think anyone seriously thinks it’s a good chance that he’ll average keeper levels (90-95) for the rest of the season, or even up to the bye rounds. I think more likely would be that you’ll get an 80 average out of him. And if he averages 80 from now on, then by Round 12 (before the byes), he’ll only increase in value by another $100k. Definitely not worth the trade in my opinion.

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    1. Agree with this. The main reason I started with Weitering was complete lack of confidence in the other DEF rookies to score anything at all, and I was hoping Jacob could get 60-80 ppg. I was completely wrong about the other rookies (in a good way!), but I still only expect Weitering to average 80 before I trade him out for a fallen premium.
      By bringing him in now, you’re effectively burning two trades (one in, one out) to gain 100-120K; not sure it’s worth it.

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      1. All I’m gonna say is we didn’t expect Cripps to average 90-95 yet he did
        He hasn’t scored under 68 and it has been against good opposition so I don’t think he will drop off much

        I wouldn’t suggest trading him in if you don’t have him but I think your being a bit harsh on him

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    2. To be fair Weitering isn’t just a rookie. This kid plays better than most senior listed defenders. Would I start the season with him at that price, of coarse not. Would I start the season with him next year if he missed the rest of the year and started at that price, hell yes. He is a once in a generation player. I’ve watched footy my whole life and have been lucky enough to see some amazing players. Watching him reminds me of two players, one is Chris Judd, just was a gun from the get go, has that Footy brain that can’t be taught, along with a dedicated work ethic. The other is Jessie Hogan, natural raw talented player that has footy in his blood. Weitering will play every game this year, win the rising star and make Carlton a better team. Won’t be long til he becomes Catain as well. I don’t think a 90 plus average is it of the question.

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  5. Tossed up between Wines and Parker all pre-season and in the end went Ollie due to his ‘favourable draw’. Now I’m thinking I’ve pulled the wrong rein on that one. But is it worth a trade?

    TU: yes fix up wines to Parker because Parker is a proper mid premo and Ollie isn’t

    TD: wines will establish himself as a proper mid premo this year, or the gap between him and Parker will not be large enough to justify the trade. (I’m thinking a 20 points/wk increase justifies a trade).

    Thanks in advance.

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    1. Don’t go chasing waterfalls….Umm, I mean points. I’ve got Wines too, and although he’s not scoring as high as I’d like to see at the moment he will get there as the year goes on and Port start playing a bit better. We picked Wines for a reason at the start of the year so I’m sticking with that. Save your trades IMO, you’ll need them later on

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    2. If Wines is really the biggest issue you have in your team, then I suppose you could consider it. But generally speaking, don’t do it. Surely you’ve got bigger issues to deal with in your team than correcting someone like Wines. Trades are like GOLD.

      And yes, you would have to be confident of something like a 20pt / week difference to justify the trade, and I can’t see the likelihood of that happening in the long-term being very high.

      He’s still averaging 93, so he’s really only about 10-15 points under where you’d like him to be. And arguably he’ll get that average up a bit. I would imagine you might have 1-2 other players that are at least 10-15 points under where you’d like them to be also.

      Conversely, there’s no way Parker will continue to average 135 for the rest of the year. Based on his strong start, whatever you think he will average for the year, best to take off 3-5 points from that, as he’s already had 3 of his big games. For example, if you think he’s a 115 player, then he’ll only average about 112 for the rest of the year. Same with Wines, if you think he’ll be a 105 player, then he’ll probably average 107 from here on.

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      1. Go wines. Agree entirely i have wines also. But he will be my last trade out if i ever do actually trade him at all. Hoping he starts to fire as port sort out there shit. Work your way up trade from your worst player first. Strengthen your weakest positon

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  6. Trading Crouch this week. I have the cash to upgrade to anyone and am trigger happy to jump on R Gray but surprised no love for Fyfe? Dropped $30K. BE 106. I assume he will he be in top FWDs at year’s end and will he go lower than current $643K?
    Gray
    or
    Fyfe

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    1. Either way I think you’re safe, but just an early warning – Freo play North this week, which means Fyfe probably gets Ben Jacobs following him around all afternoon. Fyfe is a beast, but it could affect his scoring

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  7. Ok I have dumped sam gray bought in parish then used the money I had to bring in goldy over zac smith is that a good move or not

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  8. Cant belive ruggles and weitering so high up the trade in table. On another note
    Tu – houli
    Td – Gibson

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  9. Sheridan to Houli TU
    Sheridan to Laird TD

    Looking to leave Ruggles to next week, Depending on rookie selections. As i think Hewitt, Menadue are no certainty and already have Crouch and Gresham not playing. If too many miss selection may be forced to trade crouch this week.

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    1. I like both but at this point in time id get houli as he has a small breakeven and will be goin up in value over the next couple weeks unless he has a stinker.

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      1. Going Houli – Thanks
        By the end of the year – barring injuries Houli, Laird and Gibson will all be vying for D1-6 so probably need to get them all at some stage 🙂

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  10. Can we attach a big sign to the top of this page simple stating:
    Rule #1 of the SC Handbook:
    DO NOT TRADE YOUR PREMIUMS!!

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  11. Views on Aaron young from port. Scores 94&101, price about 251k and looks to be in best 22. What do community think?

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    1. May have profited from Wingard and Hartlett being out. They”ll be back this week. Not sure I’d fork out that much for him. Only in dire circumstances. But if you’re feeling confident with him……….

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  12. Need two out: Nick Graham and Brad Crouch.

    Zorko in before price rise is a definite.

    Now, I can go Hartley in and grab his cash via Lonergan’s dpp.

    Or go for greater long term points and flexibility. I’m underwhelmed with Mills and don’t want to run him on field, so both Young and Wright seem the next best options.

    Wright is entrenched in Carlton’s best 22, but has only maybe 80-100k to rise, so looks a bit of a wasted trade. Young has a good breakeven and shows some promise of an extended run.

    Not much else promising at present.

    T/u trade in young
    T/d just bring zorko for brouch.

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