Do not press the T this week before reading this article. SCT Regular, MJ, breaks down the midfield options for you beautifully. Pay attention – with an average northward of 2200 he knows what he’s talking about! Thanks MJ, you’re a champion.
So we all had trading plans that would outlast the next few weeks with no worries at all. That was until Rd 12 came along, with Selwood copping 4 weeks for an untoward whack to Brent Guerra’s ear and Mundy going down with a serious leg injury. Combine that with a Collingwood bye this week and you’ve got yourself into a midfield pickle. I thought I’d shed some light over what I think your best trade-in targets are for Selwood and Mundy, as I think you’ve got to trade them, especially if you’re gunning for a high overall ranking.
First up, the cream of the crop, the top 5 guys I’d be trading into my side in order of preference to prevent carrying non-scoring premium baggage for the next month.
#1. Gary Ablett $568,000, Last round: 139, Ave: 123, 3 Rd Ave: 133, BE 103
Started the season as many expected, struggling a little by his high standards amongst a young and inexperienced midfield group far less capable than his Geelong teammates. He seems to have settled in now, hitting his straps in recent weeks to make a claim at perma-captain material once again. His ability to pump out massive scores places him as my No.1 option this week. With results of 141, 198, 154 and 139 how could you refuse? His inconsistency may be a factor that is related to the Gold Coast, who have a tendency to cop a thrashing on occasion, limiting big scores from guys like Ablett. Having said that, he’s only dropped below 90 once this season. We’ve seen what he’s capable of at the Cats, never failing to drop below 129 ppg in a season between 2008-10. Still in less than a quarter of teams (22.5%), and $568,000 remains a bargain for a man of his stature, not to mention a free road ahead with both GC byes out of the way.
#2. Matthew Boyd $513,200, Last round: 164, Ave: 120, 3 Rd Ave: 121, BE 122
With speculation in the air over Champion Data modifying their scoring system pre-season, including decreasing clanger penalties, Boyd seems to have been advantaged somewhat. In 2009 and 2010 he averaged 104 and 106.3 respectively, but has taken that to a whole new level in 2011, despite the Dogs miserable season. If you take out the two poor games of 74 & 72, his average is a whopping 131 points! In only 10.68% of teams, you could do worse than draft the Bulldogs skipper into your side. His price is just about at its cheapest all season so now’s the time to hit the trade button. A bye in Rd 20 doesn’t infringe in SC finals for your league win aspirations. If you don’t have the cash for Ablett, Boyd will do the job at a fraction of the price.
#3. Matt Priddis $493,500, Last round: 96, Ave: 116, 3 Rd Ave: 108, BE 131
Has also been Mr. Consistent this season, dropping the ton only twice, but to scores of 92 & 96. Currently at a very attractive price for a guy averaging 116, and may be better suited to the Mundy owners a little strapped for cash. I’m certain that if Priddis played for a Victorian team he’d be more highly acclaimed, but this may work in the favour of SuperCoachers as he’s still remarkably only in 5.01% of teams! A beauty for those chasing the overall prize who need a differential to make ground on points. Plays Port Adelaide at home this week, and also has a wonderful SC finals run, with Melbourne(A), Essendon(H), Brisbane(A) and Adelaide(H). I’d back him to produce another 142 as he did against Melbourne earlier this season when they meet the Dees again in your crucial first final. Be cautious of a bye in Rd 15.
#4. Marc Murphy $547,200, Last round: 122, Ave: 119, 3 Rd Ave: 132, BE: 133
Would feature higher up the list if he didn’t have a bye right when you need him most: SC Preliminary Final. If you already have one or two of Judd, Gibbs or Scotland you’ll have to give Murphy a miss. Been in career best form in recent weeks. Since their last bye he’s scored 145, 147, 127, 122! Has a nice run of fixtures to see out the season, only leaving Melbourne once for a trip to Perth against Fremantle Rd 21. In only 9.37% of teams he makes a nice differential to the multitude of Judd owners. While on the subject of Chris Judd $505,300, he presents great value at for an average of 112 for those who don’t have him. Faces the same bye problem as Murphy though.
#5. Scott Pendlebury $555,900, Last round: 129, Ave: 126, 3 Rd Ave: 139, BE 110
If it weren’t for Collingwood’s bye this week, Pendles would be the #1 option. If you’re willing/able to wait a week for the Collingwood dynamo, do it. If you’re one of the unfortunates with Mundy, Selwood and Swan you’ll have to get one of the others this round though. Dane Swan $447,500 also fits this category with a bye next week, but makes for a readymade replacement for Mundy at that price, and I’m sure he’ll be back to the 150s we know he’s capable of upon return from Arizona. As for Scotty, he’s been the most consistent SC midfielder in 2011, only missing the ton once, being a respectable 94. I’m still shattered I picked Swan over him pre-season and had there been no byes, I would have had both Magpies in the line-up from day 1. I’m personally picking this gun up next week with the cash made from Sandilands.
Other notables worthy of consideration if you’re looking for premiums a little left-of-field and still willing to spend the dough, but mostly I’d recommend steering clear of this list, at least for another few weeks most of their prices are overinflated at the moment and will come down relatively soon:
Scott Thompson $496,800: Been a little down in recent weeks, but shown he can produce the goods required of a premium. My gut feeling is he won’t maintain the highs of a brilliant first half of 2011. Bye in non-league round. BE 175.
Daniel Wells $528,700: Been tearing it up as of late with massive scores of 175, 152 and 180 in his last 5. Wells has been much maligned over the years. Has he turned a corner to live up to the potential a high draft pick encompasses? Too risky and inconsistent for mine, as he’s thrown up 5 scores in the region of 70s and 80s. Also has an SC finals bye. BE 90
Andrew Swallow $519,100: Has followed a similar trend to Wells, with massive scores of 143 and 193 coupled with 5 in the 60s, 70s, or 80s. Finals bye rules him out for me too. BE 87.
Jobe Watson $491,500: The Essendon skipper has driven himself into Brownlow contention this year before a hamstring hiccup against Brisbane in round 8 halted his progress. An average of 111 says jump on, but a BE of 188 and a bye in the final round of the season says stay away.
Dale Thomas $531,800: Wouldn’t go near the guy personally when you’ve got Pendles and Swan as better options from the pies, despite back-to-back 150s in rounds 9 & 10. BE 106.
Nick Dal Santo $477,600: Cheap at this price, but has a bye in two weeks so not a good option for trading Selwood/Mundy into. Most will have too many Saints already, and he has the propensity of being tagged out of games, scoring 87, 81, 78 & 85 this season. BE 125.
For those with little cash in reserve, needing a replacement for Mundy this week and not willing to do two trades to get the funds, look no further than these blokes:
#1. Brent Maloney $437,000: Average 108. BE 59. With Jamar a potential IN this week, you could swap Mundy for Maloney with less than $2000 in loose change required. His scores should lift to early season highs of 129, 145 and 152 with the ruckman tapping it down his throat again. His low BE is another incentive after a 132 & 114, coupled with a bye in a non-league week. Only in 2.08% of teams, making for a terrific POD. Melbourne also has an incredible run in finals, playing West Coast(H), Richmond(H), Gold Coast(H), Port Adelaide(A). Only downside is he lacks the history over recent years of high averages with an average of only 83.1 last season.
#2. Jimmy Bartel $440,200: Average 108. BE 65. Great value at this price (which will only go up with that BE), as we know he can average 126 (2007 Brownlow year), despite being a little up and down this season. He’s a straight swap for Mundy, or even Cat for Cat if Selwood needs to go. May lift his scoring with Selwood absent. Bye in SC finals means he’s not in first spot.
#3. Luke Hodge $465,500/Sam Mitchell $468,600: Average 99, 108 BE 175, 112 respectively. Hawthorn still have the luxury of playing the Suns twice from here on in, including this weekend and your league Grand Final. If you can split these two then jump on one. Hodge’s 55 this week was a worrying sign though and the only guy I’ve included who hasn’t averaged over 100, because of hihs fantastic record over previous seasons. Proceed with caution on him and 175 BE maybe says hold off.
#4. Andrew Embley $418,600: Average 109. BE 93. Would be a very left-of-field choice, but has a massive average this season on the back of an improved Eagles outfit, and is very affordable. Has hit 120+ on four occasions, including 130 last week. Embley’s a very unique player in only 2.84% of teams, and plays Port Adelaide at home this week so the stage is set for another big one. Did average 107 in 2005. Has a bye in Rd 15 though, so be wary. Has dropped two games in the 60s also.
#5. Trent Cotchin $429,000/Dustin Martin $450,000: Average 100, 105 BE 117, 104 respectively. Both of these young tigers have lifted remarkably in 2011 and both have their bye in a non-league round, which marginally gets them into this list over Ryan Griffin $458,600, Average 108, BE 140. Both tigers have claims, but I’m not sure these young guns fit the bracket of others listed here just yet. I have no doubt they’ll be the Selwood’s and Pendlebury’s of years to come.
Players in this price range to avoid:
Travis Boak, Michael Rischitelli, Jude Bolton, Tom Rockliff, Jarrad McVeigh, Nathan Foley as their inconsistencies mean you risk copping a low score in a crunch time game against a league rival. Risk outweighs reward with these guys in my opinion.
Disclaimer: DPP players have not been included, as I think you’re better off selecting an out-and-out midfield star if trading for the quality of Selwood or Mundy, filling your starting 6 with pure mids, and having rookie DPPs on the bench if you desire such flexibility.
So what do you think, SCT community? Who’d be your #1? Who’s going to be presented a jumper for your side to have their debut?
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