I thought I’d have another go at weighting one of the games this week.
I’ve decided to go with the North Melbourne vs Sydney game, because there are four players from that match featured in the above chart, including the guy at the top, and second from the bottom – a perfect test case.
For reference, here’s how the game went:
The mean absolute error, or average level of wrongness, of the linear-scaled scores for that match is 6.53, with a maximum error of 33 points.
Of the guys in the chart, Hayward, JPK, Hall, and Turner were 33, 17, 19, and 20 points off respectively.
Can we get those numbers down?
The way the weightings seem to work, at least as far as the time of game is concerned, is that the period around the final lead change for the match is weighted highly, with everything before that having a neutral weight, and the rest of the match (junk time) being given a much lower weight.
Putting that theory to the test, and with a bit of trial and error, I found that if I weighted the period of the game between when the scores were 64-68 and 64-81 at 2.25, the remainder of the game after that at 0.5, and the game before that period at 1, I got the average error down to 4.45, with a maximum error of 14 points.
This left Will Hayward and JPK’s scores just 1 point off, while Hall and Turner’s errors were down to 12 and 14, respectively.
Not perfect, but a lot closer than it was. Could I keep tweaking the numbers and get it even closer? Possibly, but I think I’ve done enough to suggest my theory is on the right track. It’s possible that CD also weights things by other criteria, in which case simply adjusting the weightings for different periods of the game wouldn’t be enough to get you to the point where the scores are 100% accurate.
To reiterate, though, what I can say with a high level of confidence is that the period around the final lead change, or the last time the scores are close (e.g. the period in the last quarter in the North/Swans game where it got really close) is where the weightings are the highest.
At the start of the season, I decided I wanted to try and reverse-engineer CD’s scaling formula. As the season draws to a close, I wouldn’t say that I’ve totally succeeded at that, but I think I’ve at least moved the needle a bit.
I hope you’ve found it at least somewhat enlightening.
In the spirit of completeness, I’ll be sure to run the numbers on Round 23’s games and put them up at the usual time next week. I can’t promise any in-depth analysis, but I’ll make sure you get the numbers at least.
In the meantime, you can get an idea of how any particular player was scaled on the weekend by looking them up in the table below; for a more in-depth scoring breakdown, check out the spreadsheets attached at the bottom of this post.
Name | Club | Raw | Linear-Scaled | Actual | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Dangerfield | GEEL | 203 | 167 | 169 | 2 |
Jarryd Lyons | BL | 189.5 | 147 | 152 | 5 |
Sean Darcy | FRE | 164.5 | 133 | 150 | 17 |
Luke Parker | SYD | 154.5 | 134 | 148 | 14 |
Josh Kelly | GWS | 168 | 142 | 148 | 6 |
Jake Stringer | ESS | 150 | 128 | 147 | 19 |
Sam Menegola | GEEL | 175.5 | 145 | 145 | 0 |
Rhys Stanley | GEEL | 183.5 | 151 | 143 | -8 |
Aliir Aliir | PORT | 153.5 | 124 | 137 | 13 |
Jack Macrae | WB | 177 | 139 | 136 | -3 |
Caleb Serong | FRE | 156 | 126 | 135 | 9 |
Will Hayward | SYD | 119.5 | 104 | 135 | 31 |
David Mundy | FRE | 164 | 133 | 134 | 1 |
Cameron Guthrie | GEEL | 166 | 137 | 133 | -4 |
Nick Hind | ESS | 174 | 148 | 133 | -15 |
Bayley Fritsch | MELB | 167 | 131 | 132 | 1 |
Tom Liberatore | WB | 168 | 131 | 132 | 1 |
Oscar McInerney | BL | 154 | 120 | 131 | 11 |
Tim Taranto | GWS | 124.5 | 105 | 131 | 26 |
Matthew Kennedy | CARL | 160 | 129 | 130 | 1 |
Nic Naitanui | WCE | 160 | 129 | 130 | 1 |
Chad Wingard | HAW | 150.5 | 118 | 130 | 12 |
Daniel Howe | HAW | 167.5 | 131 | 129 | -2 |
Aaron Hall | NMFC | 126 | 109 | 127 | 18 |
Christian Petracca | MELB | 145.5 | 114 | 126 | 12 |
Jayden Short | RICH | 150 | 127 | 126 | -1 |
Jack Redden | WCE | 153 | 124 | 125 | 1 |
Tim O'Brien | HAW | 168.5 | 132 | 125 | -7 |
Ben Keays | ADEL | 159.5 | 125 | 125 | 0 |
Jack Crisp | COLL | 179 | 139 | 124 | -15 |
Rory Sloane | ADEL | 156.5 | 123 | 122 | -1 |
Paul Seedsman | ADEL | 168.5 | 132 | 122 | -10 |
Brayden Fiorini | GCFC | 143 | 122 | 119 | -3 |
Jordan De Goey | COLL | 135 | 105 | 119 | 14 |
Nick Vlastuin | RICH | 119 | 101 | 118 | 17 |
Peter Ladhams | PORT | 182 | 147 | 118 | -29 |
Dayne Zorko | BL | 167.5 | 130 | 117 | -13 |
Tom Mitchell | HAW | 141.5 | 111 | 117 | 6 |
Andrew Gaff | WCE | 158 | 128 | 116 | -12 |
Taylor Adams | COLL | 132 | 103 | 116 | 13 |
Liam Baker | RICH | 150.5 | 127 | 115 | -12 |
Sam Walsh | CARL | 139.5 | 112 | 115 | 3 |
Marcus Bontempelli | WB | 138.5 | 108 | 114 | 6 |
Jacob Hopper | GWS | 139 | 117 | 114 | -3 |
Hugh McCluggage | BL | 148 | 115 | 113 | -2 |
Mitch Lewis | HAW | 140 | 110 | 112 | 2 |
Caleb Daniel | WB | 142 | 111 | 112 | 1 |
Darcy Parish | ESS | 150.5 | 128 | 112 | -16 |
Harry Cunningham | SYD | 125.5 | 109 | 111 | 2 |
Mason Redman | ESS | 132 | 113 | 111 | -2 |
Zac Bailey | BL | 133 | 103 | 110 | 7 |
Dyson Heppell | ESS | 134.5 | 115 | 110 | -5 |
Shaun Higgins | GEEL | 146.5 | 121 | 109 | -12 |
Tom Hawkins | GEEL | 105.5 | 87 | 109 | 22 |
Trent Cotchin | RICH | 140 | 118 | 109 | -9 |
Ed Langdon | MELB | 150 | 118 | 109 | -9 |
Jordan Ridley | ESS | 127 | 108 | 108 | 0 |
Christian Salem | MELB | 135 | 106 | 108 | 2 |
Bailey Dale | WB | 137.5 | 108 | 108 | 0 |
Tom Hickey | SYD | 125.5 | 109 | 107 | -2 |
Zach Merrett | ESS | 117.5 | 100 | 107 | 7 |
Travis Boak | PORT | 116.5 | 94 | 106 | 12 |
Matt Taberner | FRE | 121.5 | 98 | 106 | 8 |
Isaac Cumming | GWS | 126.5 | 107 | 105 | -2 |
Rory Laird | ADEL | 139 | 109 | 105 | -4 |
Jeremy Cameron | GEEL | 127 | 105 | 105 | 0 |
Ollie Wines | PORT | 137 | 110 | 105 | -5 |
Charlie Cameron | BL | 130 | 101 | 104 | 3 |
Luke Shuey | WCE | 146 | 118 | 103 | -15 |
Joe Daniher | BL | 102 | 79 | 103 | 24 |
Touk Miller | GCFC | 116.5 | 99 | 103 | 4 |
Will Snelling | ESS | 120.5 | 103 | 103 | 0 |
Luke Ryan | FRE | 138.5 | 112 | 103 | -9 |
Darcy Fogarty | ADEL | 119 | 93 | 103 | 10 |
George Hewett | SYD | 121 | 105 | 102 | -3 |
Isaac Smith | GEEL | 117 | 96 | 102 | 6 |
Elliot Yeo | WCE | 112.5 | 91 | 101 | 10 |
Daniel McStay | BL | 127.5 | 99 | 101 | 2 |
Joel Selwood | GEEL | 120.5 | 99 | 100 | 1 |
Max Gawn | MELB | 127.5 | 100 | 100 | 0 |
Tom J. Lynch | RICH | 92 | 78 | 100 | 22 |
Jack Steele | STK | 139 | 115 | 100 | -15 |
Hayden McLean | SYD | 107 | 93 | 99 | 6 |
Nick Haynes | GWS | 109 | 92 | 99 | 7 |
Jordan Dawson | SYD | 114 | 99 | 99 | 0 |
Willem Drew | PORT | 105.5 | 85 | 98 | 13 |
Tom McCartin | SYD | 106 | 92 | 98 | 6 |
Noah Anderson | GCFC | 110.5 | 94 | 98 | 4 |
Sam Collins | GCFC | 111 | 95 | 98 | 3 |
Jack Sinclair | STK | 117 | 96 | 98 | 2 |
Robbie Gray | PORT | 123 | 99 | 97 | -2 |
Luke Dahlhaus | GEEL | 123 | 101 | 97 | -4 |
Connor Rozee | PORT | 124.5 | 100 | 96 | -4 |
Zak Butters | PORT | 134.5 | 108 | 96 | -12 |
Alex Witherden | WCE | 114.5 | 93 | 96 | 3 |
Daniel Rioli | RICH | 127 | 107 | 95 | -12 |
Liam Ryan | WCE | 104 | 84 | 94 | 10 |
Lachie Henderson | GEEL | 119.5 | 98 | 94 | -4 |
Jai Newcombe | HAW | 127 | 99 | 94 | -5 |
Adam Cerra | FRE | 96.5 | 78 | 93 | 15 |
Callan Ward | GWS | 131.5 | 111 | 93 | -18 |
Brayden Maynard | COLL | 103.5 | 80 | 93 | 13 |
Clayton Oliver | MELB | 120.5 | 95 | 93 | -2 |
Sam Durham | ESS | 103.5 | 88 | 93 | 5 |
Todd Goldstein | NMFC | 110.5 | 96 | 92 | -4 |
Brad Crouch | STK | 115 | 95 | 92 | -3 |
Harry Perryman | GWS | 116 | 98 | 92 | -6 |
Jack Lukosius | GCFC | 107 | 91 | 91 | 0 |
Jeremy McGovern | WCE | 117 | 95 | 91 | -4 |
Darcy Byrne-Jones | PORT | 124.5 | 100 | 91 | -9 |
Dan Houston | PORT | 121 | 97 | 91 | -6 |
Luke Jackson | MELB | 120 | 94 | 90 | -4 |
Ben McEvoy | HAW | 106 | 83 | 90 | 7 |
Jonathon Ceglar | HAW | 114 | 89 | 90 | 1 |
Karl Amon | PORT | 118.5 | 95 | 90 | -5 |
Tom Lynch | ADEL | 118 | 93 | 89 | -4 |
Brodie Grundy | COLL | 130 | 101 | 89 | -12 |
Matt Guelfi | ESS | 97 | 83 | 89 | 6 |
Marc Murphy | CARL | 108.5 | 87 | 88 | 1 |
Lachie Neale | BL | 131.5 | 102 | 88 | -14 |
Toby Nankervis | RICH | 93 | 79 | 88 | 9 |
Jacob Koschitzke | HAW | 90.5 | 71 | 87 | 16 |
Isaac Heeney | SYD | 86.5 | 75 | 87 | 12 |
Harry Himmelberg | GWS | 79.5 | 67 | 87 | 20 |
Josh P. Kennedy | SYD | 120.5 | 104 | 86 | -18 |
Jed Anderson | NMFC | 84 | 73 | 86 | 13 |
Steele Sidebottom | COLL | 110.5 | 86 | 85 | -1 |
David Swallow | GCFC | 101 | 86 | 85 | -1 |
Sebastian Ross | STK | 99.5 | 82 | 85 | 3 |
Jayden Laverde | ESS | 86 | 73 | 85 | 12 |
Cameron Zurhaar | NMFC | 96 | 83 | 85 | 2 |
Orazio Fantasia | PORT | 111.5 | 90 | 84 | -6 |
Dougal Howard | STK | 105 | 87 | 84 | -3 |
Zac Fisher | CARL | 104.5 | 84 | 84 | 0 |
Luke Davies-Uniacke | NMFC | 105.5 | 91 | 83 | -8 |
Charlie Spargo | MELB | 107.5 | 84 | 83 | -1 |
Sam Simpson | GEEL | 94.5 | 78 | 83 | 5 |
Todd Marshall | PORT | 94.5 | 76 | 83 | 7 |
Jack Darling | WCE | 95.5 | 77 | 83 | 6 |
Oliver Florent | SYD | 102 | 88 | 83 | -5 |
Tim English | WB | 81.5 | 64 | 82 | 18 |
Kieran Strachan | ADEL | 101 | 79 | 82 | 3 |
Liam Shiels | HAW | 102.5 | 80 | 82 | 2 |
Lincoln McCarthy | BL | 95 | 74 | 82 | 8 |
Callum Ah Chee | BL | 111 | 86 | 82 | -4 |
Zak Jones | STK | 108 | 89 | 82 | -7 |
James Rowbottom | SYD | 98 | 85 | 81 | -4 |
Tom Jonas | PORT | 94 | 76 | 81 | 5 |
Lachie Whitfield | GWS | 96 | 81 | 81 | 0 |
Darcy Cameron | COLL | 104.5 | 81 | 81 | 0 |
Jaidyn Stephenson | NMFC | 90 | 78 | 80 | 2 |
Eddie Ford | NMFC | 92 | 80 | 80 | 0 |
Josh J. Kennedy | WCE | 72.5 | 59 | 80 | 21 |
Shai Bolton | RICH | 88.5 | 75 | 80 | 5 |
Jack Henry | GEEL | 98.5 | 81 | 79 | -2 |
Sydney Stack | RICH | 88 | 74 | 79 | 5 |
Xavier O'Halloran | GWS | 87 | 74 | 79 | 5 |
Lachlan Bramble | HAW | 114 | 89 | 78 | -11 |
Justin McInerney | SYD | 94 | 81 | 78 | -3 |
Scott Lycett | PORT | 84.5 | 68 | 78 | 10 |
Taylor Duryea | WB | 98 | 77 | 77 | 0 |
Josh Walker | NMFC | 95.5 | 83 | 77 | -6 |
Dylan Shiel | ESS | 92.5 | 79 | 77 | -2 |
Jake Kelly | ADEL | 109.5 | 86 | 77 | -9 |
Jake Lever | MELB | 91 | 71 | 77 | 6 |
Jack Madgen | COLL | 111.5 | 87 | 76 | -11 |
Blake Hardwick | HAW | 123.5 | 97 | 76 | -21 |
Darcy Tucker | FRE | 90 | 73 | 76 | 3 |
Trent Rivers | MELB | 102.5 | 80 | 75 | -5 |
Matt de Boer | GWS | 87 | 74 | 75 | 1 |
Nic Newman | CARL | 103 | 83 | 75 | -8 |
Peter Wright | ESS | 73.5 | 63 | 75 | 12 |
Tom De Koning | CARL | 88.5 | 71 | 74 | 3 |
Mark O'Connor | GEEL | 77.5 | 64 | 74 | 10 |
Shaun Burgoyne | HAW | 97 | 76 | 74 | -2 |
Grant Birchall | BL | 88 | 68 | 74 | 6 |
Charlie Dixon | PORT | 99.5 | 80 | 74 | -6 |
Jamie Cripps | WCE | 101 | 82 | 74 | -8 |
Ben Brown | MELB | 81.5 | 64 | 74 | 10 |
Jack Graham | RICH | 90 | 76 | 74 | -2 |
Harris Andrews | BL | 88.5 | 69 | 74 | 5 |
Bailey Banfield | FRE | 98.5 | 80 | 74 | -6 |
Jack Higgins | STK | 69 | 57 | 73 | 16 |
Ned McHenry | ADEL | 93 | 73 | 73 | 0 |
Will Phillips | NMFC | 80.5 | 70 | 73 | 3 |
Jordan Roughead | COLL | 95.5 | 74 | 73 | -1 |
Tom Barrass | WCE | 89 | 72 | 73 | 1 |
Rowan Marshall | STK | 95 | 78 | 73 | -5 |
Josh Thomas | COLL | 79 | 61 | 72 | 11 |
Adam Treloar | WB | 93.5 | 73 | 72 | -1 |
Jacob Weitering | CARL | 75.5 | 61 | 72 | 11 |
Riley Bonner | PORT | 92 | 74 | 72 | -2 |
Hayden Young | FRE | 87.5 | 71 | 71 | 0 |
Max Holmes | GEEL | 85.5 | 70 | 71 | 1 |
Dan Hannebery | STK | 84 | 69 | 71 | 2 |
Jimmy Webster | STK | 78 | 64 | 71 | 7 |
Devon Smith | ESS | 87 | 74 | 71 | -3 |
Sam Frost | HAW | 97.5 | 76 | 71 | -5 |
Bailey Williams | WB | 94.5 | 74 | 71 | -3 |
Jy Simpkin | NMFC | 80 | 69 | 71 | 2 |
Oliver Hanrahan | HAW | 92.5 | 72 | 70 | -2 |
Tobe Watson | FRE | 88 | 71 | 70 | -1 |
Sam Wicks | SYD | 74 | 64 | 70 | 6 |
Dion Prestia | RICH | 104.5 | 88 | 70 | -18 |
Jack Newnes | CARL | 94 | 76 | 70 | -6 |
Lachie Schultz | FRE | 81.5 | 66 | 69 | 3 |
Curtis Taylor | NMFC | 89.5 | 78 | 69 | -9 |
Tanner Bruhn | GWS | 86 | 73 | 69 | -4 |
David Mackay | ADEL | 78.5 | 62 | 69 | 7 |
Levi Casboult | CARL | 75 | 60 | 69 | 9 |
Andrew McPherson | ADEL | 89.5 | 70 | 69 | -1 |
Jack Scrimshaw | HAW | 103 | 81 | 69 | -12 |
Sam Draper | ESS | 71.5 | 61 | 68 | 7 |
Tarryn Thomas | NMFC | 88 | 76 | 68 | -8 |
Brad Sheppard | WCE | 96 | 78 | 68 | -10 |
Luke Dunstan | STK | 84.5 | 70 | 68 | -2 |
Alex Pearce | FRE | 71.5 | 58 | 68 | 10 |
Callum Coleman-Jones | RICH | 95 | 80 | 67 | -13 |
Tim Membrey | STK | 79.5 | 65 | 67 | 2 |
Tom Phillips | HAW | 80 | 63 | 67 | 4 |
Lachie Ash | GWS | 91 | 77 | 66 | -11 |
James Jordon | MELB | 88.5 | 69 | 66 | -3 |
James Stewart | ESS | 89 | 76 | 66 | -10 |
James Aish | FRE | 89.5 | 72 | 66 | -6 |
Callum Wilkie | STK | 81 | 67 | 66 | -1 |
Darcy MacPherson | GCFC | 71.5 | 61 | 66 | 5 |
Lochie O'Brien | CARL | 83.5 | 67 | 65 | -2 |
Nick Blakey | SYD | 75.5 | 65 | 65 | 0 |
Xavier Duursma | PORT | 77 | 62 | 65 | 3 |
Daniel Rich | BL | 90.5 | 70 | 65 | -5 |
Dylan Grimes | RICH | 99.5 | 84 | 65 | -19 |
Tom Clurey | PORT | 81.5 | 66 | 65 | -1 |
Nakia Cockatoo | BL | 89 | 69 | 65 | -4 |
Tom Cole | WCE | 103 | 83 | 65 | -18 |
Zach Sproule | GWS | 84 | 71 | 65 | -6 |
Harry Morrison | HAW | 83 | 65 | 64 | -1 |
Nick Murray | ADEL | 80.5 | 63 | 64 | 1 |
Oliver Henry | COLL | 61.5 | 48 | 64 | 16 |
Robbie Tarrant | NMFC | 74.5 | 65 | 64 | -1 |
Chris Mayne | COLL | 91.5 | 71 | 64 | -7 |
Michael Hibberd | MELB | 83 | 65 | 64 | -1 |
Alex Neal-Bullen | MELB | 84.5 | 66 | 64 | -2 |
Griffin Logue | FRE | 89 | 72 | 64 | -8 |
Jarrod Berry | BL | 94.5 | 73 | 64 | -9 |
Mitch Crowden | FRE | 67 | 54 | 63 | 9 |
Kysaiah Pickett | MELB | 90 | 71 | 63 | -8 |
Jeremy Sharp | GCFC | 81 | 69 | 63 | -6 |
Braeden Campbell | SYD | 77 | 67 | 63 | -4 |
Luke McDonald | NMFC | 81 | 70 | 63 | -7 |
Ben Davis | ADEL | 82 | 64 | 63 | -1 |
Lewis Melican | SYD | 79 | 68 | 63 | -5 |
Ryan Garthwaite | RICH | 63.5 | 54 | 63 | 9 |
Tom Doedee | ADEL | 87 | 68 | 62 | -6 |
Miles Bergman | PORT | 74.5 | 60 | 62 | 2 |
Matt Rowell | GCFC | 77 | 66 | 62 | -4 |
Mitch Georgiades | PORT | 68.5 | 55 | 62 | 7 |
Jake Bowey | MELB | 90.5 | 71 | 62 | -9 |
Shane Mumford | GWS | 81 | 68 | 62 | -6 |
Lewis Young | WB | 89 | 70 | 62 | -8 |
Jy Farrar | GCFC | 71.5 | 61 | 62 | 1 |
Nathan Murphy | COLL | 80 | 62 | 61 | -1 |
Riley Thilthorpe | ADEL | 72.5 | 57 | 61 | 4 |
Ryan Lester | BL | 92 | 71 | 61 | -10 |
Will Hoskin-Elliott | COLL | 82 | 64 | 61 | -3 |
James Harmes | MELB | 78 | 61 | 61 | 0 |
Josh Dunkley | WB | 77 | 60 | 61 | 1 |
Harrison Petty | MELB | 81.5 | 64 | 60 | -4 |
Jack Ziebell | NMFC | 66.5 | 58 | 60 | 2 |
Adam Kennedy | GWS | 79 | 67 | 60 | -7 |
Jamie Elliott | COLL | 86 | 67 | 60 | -7 |
Mitch McGovern | CARL | 81 | 65 | 60 | -5 |
Aaron Francis | ESS | 75 | 64 | 60 | -4 |
Cooper Sharman | STK | 68 | 56 | 60 | 4 |
Luke Foley | WCE | 65.5 | 53 | 59 | 6 |
Kane Lambert | RICH | 64.5 | 55 | 59 | 4 |
Zach Guthrie | GEEL | 77.5 | 64 | 58 | -6 |
Dane Rampe | SYD | 77.5 | 67 | 58 | -9 |
Tom Cutler | ESS | 74 | 63 | 58 | -5 |
Alec Waterman | ESS | 56 | 48 | 58 | 10 |
Shane McAdam | ADEL | 61.5 | 48 | 58 | 10 |
Brad Close | GEEL | 65 | 54 | 58 | 4 |
Josh Corbett | GCFC | 51.5 | 44 | 57 | 13 |
Wil Powell | GCFC | 66 | 56 | 57 | 1 |
Charlie Curnow | CARL | 61.5 | 50 | 57 | 7 |
Lachlan Murphy | ADEL | 65 | 51 | 56 | 5 |
Oscar Allen | WCE | 75 | 61 | 56 | -5 |
Max King | STK | 74 | 61 | 56 | -5 |
Liam Stocker | CARL | 67.5 | 54 | 56 | 2 |
Charlie Ballard | GCFC | 62.5 | 53 | 56 | 3 |
Alex Sexton | GCFC | 65.5 | 56 | 56 | 0 |
Josh Honey | CARL | 58 | 47 | 55 | 8 |
Jordon Butts | ADEL | 71.5 | 56 | 55 | -1 |
Sam Taylor | GWS | 69.5 | 59 | 55 | -4 |
Zac Smith | GCFC | 67 | 57 | 54 | -3 |
Daniel Lloyd | GWS | 54 | 46 | 54 | 8 |
Lachie Hunter | WB | 75 | 59 | 54 | -5 |
Paddy Dow | CARL | 65 | 52 | 53 | 1 |
Brandon Walker | FRE | 72.5 | 59 | 53 | -6 |
Ed Curnow | CARL | 72.5 | 58 | 53 | -5 |
Jack Bowes | GCFC | 66 | 56 | 53 | -3 |
Josh Daicos | COLL | 72.5 | 56 | 52 | -4 |
Jake Stein | GWS | 54.5 | 46 | 52 | 6 |
Thomson Dow | RICH | 62 | 52 | 52 | 0 |
Shane Edwards | RICH | 52.5 | 44 | 52 | 8 |
Travis Colyer | FRE | 56 | 45 | 52 | 7 |
Aaron Naughton | WB | 58.5 | 46 | 51 | 5 |
Keidean Coleman | BL | 79 | 61 | 51 | -10 |
Jed Bews | GEEL | 57.5 | 47 | 51 | 4 |
Jesse Hogan | GWS | 56.5 | 48 | 51 | 3 |
Chris Burgess | GCFC | 62 | 53 | 50 | -3 |
Bailey Scott | NMFC | 55.5 | 48 | 50 | 2 |
Lachlan Sholl | ADEL | 62.5 | 49 | 50 | 1 |
Ryan Burton | PORT | 62.5 | 50 | 50 | 0 |
Ben McKay | NMFC | 42 | 36 | 49 | 13 |
Joel Smith | MELB | 51.5 | 40 | 49 | 9 |
Connor Idun | GWS | 62 | 52 | 49 | -3 |
Easton Wood | WB | 80 | 63 | 49 | -14 |
Dom Sheed | WCE | 59.5 | 48 | 49 | 1 |
Chayce Jones | ADEL | 56.5 | 44 | 48 | 4 |
Jason Johannisen | WB | 52.5 | 41 | 48 | 7 |
Jackson Nelson | WCE | 57 | 46 | 48 | 2 |
Andrew McGrath | ESS | 57.5 | 49 | 48 | -1 |
Finlay Macrae | COLL | 73 | 57 | 47 | -10 |
Archie Perkins | ESS | 47.5 | 41 | 47 | 6 |
Alex Keath | WB | 53.5 | 42 | 47 | 5 |
Matthew Parker | RICH | 62.5 | 53 | 47 | -6 |
Harry Schoenberg | ADEL | 63 | 49 | 46 | -3 |
Tyler Brockman | HAW | 49.5 | 39 | 46 | 7 |
Ben Ainsworth | GCFC | 75.5 | 64 | 46 | -18 |
Tom Sparrow | MELB | 65 | 51 | 46 | -5 |
Darragh Joyce | STK | 46 | 38 | 45 | 7 |
Joel Jeffrey | GCFC | 42.5 | 36 | 45 | 9 |
Errol Gulden | SYD | 60 | 52 | 45 | -7 |
Robbie Fox | SYD | 55.5 | 48 | 45 | -3 |
Sean Lemmens | GCFC | 46 | 39 | 45 | 6 |
Adam Saad | CARL | 61.5 | 50 | 45 | -5 |
Bradley Hill | STK | 54.5 | 45 | 45 | 0 |
Trent Dumont | NMFC | 71 | 62 | 45 | -17 |
Tom Papley | SYD | 47.5 | 41 | 45 | 4 |
Lloyd Meek | FRE | 57 | 46 | 44 | -2 |
Bailey Smith | WB | 61 | 48 | 44 | -4 |
Riley Garcia | WB | 46 | 36 | 44 | 8 |
Conor Nash | HAW | 56.5 | 44 | 44 | 0 |
Connor Downie | HAW | 57 | 45 | 44 | -1 |
Jacob Townsend | GCFC | 58 | 49 | 44 | -5 |
Cody Weightman | WB | 44.5 | 35 | 42 | 7 |
Jack Riewoldt | RICH | 48 | 41 | 42 | 1 |
Mark Blicavs | GEEL | 62 | 51 | 42 | -9 |
Sam Switkowski | FRE | 53 | 43 | 42 | -1 |
Jack Ginnivan | COLL | 40 | 31 | 41 | 10 |
Kyle Hartigan | HAW | 58.5 | 46 | 41 | -5 |
Darcy Gardiner | BL | 47.5 | 37 | 41 | 4 |
Brett Bewley | FRE | 63.5 | 51 | 41 | -10 |
Trent Bianco | COLL | 41.5 | 32 | 40 | 8 |
Trey Ruscoe | COLL | 37 | 29 | 40 | 11 |
Dylan Clarke | ESS | 59.5 | 51 | 40 | -11 |
Nick Larkey | NMFC | 47 | 41 | 39 | -2 |
Rhyan Mansell | RICH | 47.5 | 40 | 39 | -1 |
Brody Mihocek | COLL | 50 | 39 | 39 | 0 |
Nick Coffield | STK | 50 | 41 | 38 | -3 |
Josh Treacy | FRE | 50 | 40 | 38 | -2 |
Sam Reid | SYD | 44.5 | 39 | 38 | -1 |
Lachie Plowman | CARL | 44.5 | 36 | 38 | 2 |
Corey Durdin | CARL | 38.5 | 31 | 37 | 6 |
Jake Melksham | MELB | 34.5 | 27 | 37 | 10 |
Daniel McKenzie | STK | 44.5 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
Brandan Parfitt | GEEL | 46 | 38 | 37 | -1 |
Tom Williamson | CARL | 57.5 | 46 | 37 | -9 |
Luke Edwards | WCE | 59 | 48 | 36 | -12 |
Jake Kolodjashnij | GEEL | 41.5 | 34 | 36 | 2 |
James Peatling | GWS | 53 | 45 | 36 | -9 |
Mitch Hannan | WB | 48.5 | 38 | 35 | -3 |
Aiden Bonar | NMFC | 38.5 | 33 | 35 | 2 |
Charlie Comben | NMFC | 40.5 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
Jack Petruccelle | WCE | 48.5 | 39 | 34 | -5 |
Nathan Vardy | WCE | 33.5 | 27 | 34 | 7 |
Brandon Starcevich | BL | 54 | 42 | 33 | -9 |
Zaine Cordy | WB | 47 | 37 | 33 | -4 |
Colin O'Riordan | SYD | 32.5 | 28 | 32 | 4 |
Brayden Cook | ADEL | 41.5 | 33 | 31 | -2 |
Eddie Betts | CARL | 24.5 | 20 | 31 | 11 |
Dean Kent | STK | 36.5 | 30 | 31 | 1 |
Ryan Byrnes | STK | 47.5 | 39 | 30 | -9 |
Liam Henry | FRE | 38 | 31 | 29 | -2 |
Kayne Turner | NMFC | 58.5 | 51 | 28 | -23 |
Beau McCreery | COLL | 42.5 | 33 | 27 | -6 |
Angus Brayshaw | MELB | 29.5 | 23 | 27 | 4 |
Laitham Vandermeer | WB | 34 | 27 | 26 | -1 |
Tom Fullarton | BL | 40 | 31 | 26 | -5 |
Maurice Rioli | RICH | 20.5 | 17 | 22 | 5 |
Brodie Kemp | CARL | 24 | 19 | 20 | 1 |
Jaxon Prior | BL | 26 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
John Noble | COLL | 32.5 | 25 | 18 | -7 |
Ben King | GCFC | 22.5 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
Zac Langdon | WCE | 24 | 19 | 15 | -4 |
Hugo Ralphsmith | RICH | 12.5 | 11 | 15 | 4 |
Connor Blakely | FRE | 24 | 19 | 15 | -4 |
Esava Ratugolea | GEEL | 22.5 | 19 | 14 | -5 |
Sam Mayes | PORT | 28.5 | 23 | 14 | -9 |
Dan Butler | STK | 15 | 12 | 14 | 2 |
Tim Kelly | WCE | 16 | 13 | 12 | -1 |
Rory Atkins | GCFC | 18.5 | 16 | 8 | -8 |
Oscar Clavarino | STK | -2 | -2 | 3 | 5 |
Elliott Himmelberg | ADEL | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Lachie Young | NMFC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jake Riccardi | GWS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Josh Morris | HAW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Martin Gleeson | ESS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Aaron vandenBerg | MELB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Anthony Scott | WB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jake Aarts | RICH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rhys Mathieson | BL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sam Petrevski-Seton | CARL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Quinton Narkle | GEEL | 2 | 2 | 0 | -2 |
LEGEND:
Raw: SuperCoach points, added up according to the formula put out by Champion Data, before any scaling.
Linear-Scaled: Raw points, multiplied by a multiplier (3300 / total raw points for the match) to get the scores in each game to add up to 3300.
Actual: Actual SuperCoach points, as awarded by Champion Data.
Diff: Difference between actual and linear-scaled points. In practice, this is how favourably or unfavourably a player was scaled – this is ultimately what I’m setting out to investigate.
Download the full breakdowns:
Round 22 Summary (General Categories)
Round 22 Full Breakdown (Stat-By-Stat)
Download the time-based scoring breakdown:
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Great work all year with your analysis Sal, I have enjoyed reading it every week
Thanks, Alza! It’s always nice to hear people say they’ve enjoyed something you’ve produced.