Todd Goldstein $497,900; 2012: 93, 2011: 113.1
Big Goldy was a revelation in 2011 increasing his average from 65 to 113! Last year saw him struggling for form and confidence, being dropped back to the VFL. However, between rounds 7-18 he played at a consistently high level, averaging 110. Get that sort of output for a whole season and you’ve got yourself a bargain, after starting 2012 at $613k. Played very well in his last NAB Challenge game with 74 odd points from half a game. The arrival of Currie has deterred interest in Goldstein, but I’m confident he’ll maintain the #1 ruck mantle at the Roos.
Shane Mumford $486,900; 2012: 90.6, 2011: 112.5
Another ruckman who shot to prominence in 2011, Mummy was very highly selected in round 1 last season only to torment all coaches with a riddling back injury, drawn out for half a season. For those who took him last year, including myself, it would take a brave soul to persist with the big lad who certainly has magnificent upside when fit and firing. Starting 2012 at a huge $610k, he is certainly under-priced and with extra trades in the bank, it may well be worth the risk. Has played basically no NAB Cup, so maybe one to watch early in the season.
Matthew Leuenberger $301,100; 2012: N/A, 2011: 102.2
Recent injury complications are the only thing holding me back from selecting this bloke. Does anyone remember his blistering end to the 2011 season? From Round 15-24 Berger averaged a monstrous 121 SC points, including a 172 against the Suns. Massive reward for this price if you aren’t too fazed by the injury risk. Another ruckman who has played virtually no NAB Cup.
Dustin Martin $473,500; 2012: 88.5, 2011: 98.9
Dropped his average by over 10 points last season, putting to shame our high expectations of the lad. Hardwick says he’s ready for a big season, putting the distractions that have haunted his off-field behaviour in his wake. Has not set the world on fire in preseason, but then again, neither has Trent Cotchin. I expect both to lift their level once the season kicks off.
Not many others really fit the bill in the forward line, apart from possibly Travis Cloke $436,300, who dropped his average from 97 in 2011 to 81 in 2012 after contract negotiations hampered his game. My mantra is to steer clear of key forwards though if possible.
Dale Thomas $515,800; 2012: 96.4, 2011: 109.3
Will be a prime upgrade target as I’d expect him to start the season slow due to an interrupted preseason with injury. Could be a similar situation to Beams last season, who believe it or not, began the season with 72 (R2) and 67 (R3). Way under-priced if he can return to that 109 average from 2011.
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5 thoughts on “The Fallen Premiums – 2013 Preseason Edition (Rucks & Forwards)”
hows vardy travelling?
Great write up but pass on all for me atm
Only one I’d half consider is Goldy.
Took Mumford as my premium last year and got smashed – had Maric as my mid pricer so it worked out okay for me. Will be taking a punt on him again this year.
Look at his first 3 rounds. Should reap in the cash and score above B/E then looking to offload him for someone more consistent