The Ninth SC Day of Christmas

Written by Thommo on December 22 2018

On the Ninth Day of Christmas, the Supercoach Gods brought to me, Nine tonnes tonning…

Eight-ty points a game…

#7 a Bomber Bombing…

Six clearances a game…

Five Gold Coast Suns…

Four bargain Blues…

Three bench men…

Two winged Crows…

And Paddy switched to Mid-forward D-P-P

JOSH DUNKLEY (WB) MID-FWD – $516,300

2018 Average: 95.1ppg

2017 Games: 19

Past Averages (2017 – 2016): 60, 69

Can Dunkley taste glory again in our SC forward lines?

WHAT’S SO EXCITING ABOUT DUNKLEY?

After moving to the Bulldogs’ midfield in Round 14, Dunkley’s Supercoach scoring exploded as he lifted his number of tonnes from two to nine for the season. Between Rounds 1 and 13, he played 9 games mostly in the forward line for an ordinary average of 77ppg but this jumped to 111.3ppg for the last 10 matches of the season as he played mostly in the midfield with the odd tagging role tossed in. I assumed Dunkley would lose his forward eligibility, but thankfully he has retained it.

On that form, Dunkley should be the top scoring forward for 2019 behind Dangerfield… if he continues to play as a midfielder.

The problem is Luke Beveridge, or Mr Magnets as his friends know him. Bevo is locked in a bizarre contest with Clarko to see who can screw around with their player positions the most and currently he is winning. Many Supercoaches were stoked with Toby McLean in our forward lines as he played through the Bulldogs’ midfield, racking up huge scores to start 2018, but that all changed after the bye as he seemed to spend less time as an inside midfielder. For no discernible reason, Bevo shifted the magnets and McLean was out and Dunkley in.

Can we trust such a man to not make such similar crazy moves again? Remember Dunkley played as a forward and as a tagger at times in 2018! With Dahlhaus gone and perhaps Libba back, does he get sent forward again?

PROJECTED SCORE

With the form Dunkley showed to finish 2018, including an average of 127ppg over the final 6 rounds, I expect an average between 100 and 105ppg for Dunkley. Can you afford not to start him?

Or will Bevo screw us all?

Is Dunkley a top 6 forward?

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7 thoughts on “The Ninth SC Day of Christmas”

  1. Agree. He has a ceiling that can’t be ignored. All comes down to where he plays. Hopefully the JLT will give us some insight. Another great write-up.

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  2. Great piece Thommo and while I voted yes, I’m still not sure I’ll be starting him. Bevo demands that flexibility from his players and the return of Libba increases the risk of him reverting to more time up forward. It makes me nervous just to think of starting any Doggies in 2019. Mr Magnets … brilliant 🙂

    All that said, he had high praise indeed for Dunks at the end of this year: “Every now and then a player steps up really quickly, but his game has reached new heights really, really quickly,” Beveridge said.
    It makes you think he has made that role his own, especially when you look at the Doggies improved results that came with that change toward the end of 2018.
    I’ll be keeping a close eye and ear up to season’s start and will make a better informed decision then. If he retains the ‘run with’ role then put simply, he is underpriced at 95s.

    Looking forward to hearing others thoughts on this one too. Cheers Thommo, great series.

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    1. As a Toby McLean owner in 2018 I am certainly nervous about the Bulldogs’ players in Supercoach. Bevo seems devoid of ideas as to how to fix his teams’ form so he’s trying anything and everything.

      As Phil said, we’ll all be watching the JLT very closely for Dunkley’s role…

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  3. If he gets sufficient midfield minutes/plays predominantly midfield he could push a 105+ avg. Also will be very interesting to see if Libba’s return has a significant impact on Dunkley’s midfield minutes.

    Pre Bye Avg: 77.11 from 9 (7/9 below 100)
    Post Bye Avg: 111.3 from 10 (3/10 below 100, 3/10 120+)

    2018 Disposals Avg: 21.89
    SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 22: 114.9 from 10 (low of 86 and a high of 157, 2/10 below 100, 3/10 120+)
    SC Avg when disposals below 22: 73.11 from 9 (low of 40 and a high of 105, 8/9 below 100)

    2018 Contested Possessions Avg: 8.11
    SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 9: 120.25 from 8 (low of 94 and a high of 157, 1/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)
    SC Avg when contested possessions below 9: 76.82 from 11 (9/11 below 100)

    2018 Tackles Avg: 5.95
    SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 6: 104.67 from 12 (low of 60 and a high of 157, 5/12 below 100, 3/12 120+)
    SC Avg when tackles below 6: 78.71 from 7 (low of 40 and a high of 116, 5/7 below 100)

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  4. Great to have supercoach talk back
    Interestingly last year I started with Dunkley after some great JLT form and rookie price tag. Made some good cash however once I traded him form spiked. Had Liberatore also who was my first trade due to knee injury and jumped on Macrae early only to have injury and peresevered with McLean .
    So a little cautious when it comes to the doggies.
    Will start with Macrea and watch Libbas form however price tag for Dunkley a bit steep. Cavarra is the other lock in for me from Doggies and possibly one of Hayes or West .
    Finished 2233 last year after 736 in first season so looking forward to 2019.

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  5. Locked if mid role is played in JLT can’t ignore the post bye midfield scores if he burns us he burns us can’t afford not have him there if playing midfield though.

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