On the Tenth Day of Christmas, the Supercoach Gods brought to me, Ten(th) in contested possessions…
Nine tonnes tonning…
Eight-ty points a game…
#7 a Bomber Bombing…
Six clearances a game…
Five Gold Coast Suns…
Four bargain Blues…
Three bench men…
Two winged Crows…
And Paddy switched to Mid-forward D-P-P
BRODIE GRUNDY (COL) RUC $708,200
2018 Average: 130.5ppg
2018 Games: 22 games
Past Averages (2017-2013): 97, 95, 91, 63, 75
#1 WITH A BULLET
Most of the players I have looked at to date have been heavily discounted or ready to break-out in 2019.
Today, we look at the most expensive player in Supercoach and I attempt to convince you that he’s a lock! And not just because he’s handsome and rocks a pony-tail/manbun!
Most of you will know the recent history of ruckmen in Supercoach and the fact that no ruckman has managed an elite average for consecutive seasons since Dean Cox. So, by the law of averages, we should avoid Brodie Grundy, right? Surely he can’t average over 120 for two season running?
I believe he can! Let me set my reasoning out for you:
Ruckmen take a long time to hit their peak. While midfielders generally break-out in their third to fifth year, ruckmen take between six and eight years. Grundy achieved a commendable 90+ average after just three season, but he broke out fully in his seventh. At age 24 and about to start his eighth year, Grundy is bang on target to maintain, or even increase, his peak output.
Dual Ruck Role
That peski shared ruck role! Well, at the Pies we don’t need to worry. With the Pies making the Grand Final with Brodie playing as the key ruckman and Mason Cox mostly playing forward, it seems very unlikely Buckley will change that format. Surely if the Pies add another ruckman, they are too top heavy. So expect Grundy to spend the same time rucking in 2019.
Hit-outs to Advantage
Ruckmen like Sam Jacobs score most of their points from hit-outs and when they face a superior tap ruckman their lack of hit-outs to advantage hurt their scores significantly. Grundy doesn’t tend to suffer as much, partly because he is rarely out-pointed, but mostly because he wins so much of the ball around the ground.
His hit-out to advantage percentage of 31.5% is respectable but it is not enough to explain such high Supercoach scores alone. Just look at Round 23 of 2018 when he tapped just 8 hit-outs to advantage from 24 total but he still scored 150 SC points. That score was all due to his 24 disposals, 6 marks and 4 tackles.
Brodie averaged 21 disposals per match in 2018 and was actually tenth in the AFL for contested possessions. Tenth!
He’s practically a top 8 midfielder parading as a ruckman! And amazingly, he could actually add more SC points to his average if he develops further in his ruck craft.
Talk all you want about ruck prowess, but if a ruckman is surrounded by crap midfielders he will struggle to tap the ball to a team mate consistently.
With Beams joining the already stacked Pies midfield, I think Brodie can tap the ball wherever he pleases and it will probably go to a teammate!
To highlight my point, here are some numbers:
95, 98, 99.
Those were Brodie’s worst matches for the season.
157, 167, 121, 162, 150
These were his last five rounds of 2018.
This is actually a possible weakness for Grundy. He played every game in 2018 but that was actually the first time he has ever managed that feat! Let’s hope we can find bench cover, just in case!
If not Brodie, then who?
No really, I’m asking you: Who?
Tell me a single ruckman that you can reliably predict will be a top 2 ruckman! Gawn is probably the best option but with Melbourne talking about the Preuss-Goose sharing the ruck-role, his scoring could be impacted.
At least with Brodie you know what you’ll get!
Really high! 120+ppg at the very least!
Start with him and enjoy the show knowing you have a top 2 ruckman for the season.
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