Breaking Even – Rd 4, 2025

Back by popular demand! OK, one person asked for it in the Trade Talk thread. But here at SuperCoachTalk, we always give our cherished readers and contributors what they want! Nearly always.

Here is a summary of all the relevant break-evens prior to Round 4. For the uninitiated, the break-even or BE is the score that a player will need to achieve in their next game in order to hold their current value. A low BE generally indicates that a player has recently performed above expectations, while a high break-even is a flag for an imminent price drop (and potentially good buying!).

For brevity, I’ve only included players with ‘significant ownership’, plus a few speculators. If there’s anyone missing that you’d like a number for, let me know in the comments.

(Players marked with an asterisk have played two games and are “on the bubble”)

DEFENDERS

Premiums

Jack SINCLAIR ($614,600): 58

Dayne ZORKO ($620,200): 97

Nasiah WANGANEEN-MILERA ($542,100): 99

Bailey DALE ($543,900): 101

Max HOLMES ($545,500): 106

Jordan CLARK ($563,100): 108

Lachie WHITFIELD ($595,000): 116

Dan HOUSTON ($575,600): 128

Luke RYAN ($570,500): 162

Harry SHEEZEL ($590,900): 181

Tom STEWART ($521,000): 200

Midpricers

Jake BOWEY ($385,900): 16

Joel FREIJAH ($395,700): 67

Matt ROBERTS ($475,100): 72

Sam DE KONING ($369,900): 95

Jayden SHORT ($433,700): 97

Harry PERRYMAN ($407,400): 123

Rookies

Riley BICE ($113,500): -81

Connor O’SULLIVAN ($203,900): -44

Ben PATON* ($133,400): -31

Zach REID ($163,100): -27

Luke TRAINOR ($156,200): -21

Jaxon PRIOR ($206,600): -12

James LEAKE* ($119,900): -6

 

MIDFIELDERS

Premiums

Matt ROWELL ($550,300): 53

Touk MILLER ($552,600): 73

Tom LIBERATORE ($588,900): 74

Noah ANDERSON ($574,900): 96

Jordan DAWSON ($548,800): 106

Zach MERRETT ($608,500): 110

Andrew BRAYSHAW ($586,000): 111

Connor ROZEE ($532,900): 122

Nick DAICOS ($602,000): 134

Lachie NEALE ($584,800): 143

Josh DUNKLEY ($618,900): 145

Caleb SERONG ($595,200): 149

Patrick CRIPPS ($577,100): 150

Christian PETRACCA ($523,500): 153

Isaac HEENEY ($599,000): 174

Midpricers

Will ASHCROFT ($463,800): 35

Clayton OLIVER ($467,100): 67

Adam CERRA ($470,400): 68

Will DAY ($483,900): 108

Finn CALLAGHAN ($459,800): 114

Rookies

Christian MORAES* ($113,500): -79

Murphy REID ($199,100): -63

Lucas CAMPOREALE* ($113,500): -41

Nathan O’DRISCOLL ($274,200): -36

Jack HENDERSON ($148,300): -27

Elijah TSATAS* ($191,200): -15

Angus HASTIE* ($119,900): -3

Harvey LANGFORD* ($181,000): 2

Levi ASHCROFT ($221,700): 24

Xavier LINDSAY ($193,400): 28

Mitch KNEVITT ($181,200): 30

Finn O’SULLIVAN ($207,400): 37

Sid DRAPER ($182,600): 39

Sam LALOR ($220,000): 47

RUCKS

Archer REID ($149,800): -6

Luke JACKSON ($531,800): 54

Tom DE KONING ($573,800): 103

Tristan XERRI ($629,900): 149

Max GAWN ($619,000): 212

 

FORWARDS

Premiums

Izak RANKINE ($536,900): 103

Midpricers

Bailey HUMPHREY* ($270,400): -55

Ryan MARIC ($265,800): -37

Caleb DANIEL ($336,900): -32

Jack MACRAE ($470,100): -3

Bailey SMITH ($389,200): 3

Hugo GARCIA ($260,000): 30

Luke PARKER ($353,400): 53

Ryley SANDERS ($344,700): 55

Jy SIMPKIN ($465,200): 55

Dylan MOORE ($474,300): 140

Jason HORNE-FRANCIS ($496,100): 151

Rookies

Sam DAVIDSON ($189,800): -88

Ted CLOHESY* ($119,900): -71

Daniel CURTIN ($204,500): -51

Joel HAMLING* ($159,600): -50

Neil ERASMUS* ($119,900): -50

Max HALL ($173,300): -15

Corey WARNER ($191,100): -15

Sam POWELL-PEPPER ($199,000): -13

Conor STONE ($155,600): 4

Joe BERRY ($160,300): 5

Tom LYNCH ($183,200): 6

Elijah HEWETT ($149,000): 8

Isaac KAKO ($180,100): 11