Here is a summary of all the relevant break-evens prior to Round 12, the first of this mid-season block of bye rounds. The break-even or BE is the score that a player will need to achieve in their next game in order to hold their current value. A low BE generally indicates that a player has recently performed above expectations, while a high break-even is a flag for an imminent price drop (and potentially good buying!).
For brevity, I’ve only included players with ‘significant ownership’, plus a few speculators. If there’s anyone missing that you’d like a number for, let me know in the comments.
(Players marked with an asterisk have played two games and are “on the bubble”)
DEFENDERS
Premiums
Jack SINCLAIR ($573,300): 68
Nic MARTIN ($568,800): 81
Bailey DALE ($552,200): 105
Max HOLMES ($519,200): 105
Luke RYAN ($508,100): 107
Lachie ASH ($554,800): 114
Nasiah WANGANEEN-MILERA ($515,400): 118
Jordan CLARK ($535,000): 124
Dayne ZORKO ($575,400): 126
Connor ROZEE ($531,100): 131 (BYE)
Lachie WHITFIELD ($566,400): 147
Harry SHEEZEL ($516,800): 168
Midpricers
Jaxon PRIOR ($346,500): 50
Riley BICE ($346,600): 84
Matt ROBERTS ($452,000): 95
Zach REID ($438,800): 99
Jayden SHORT ($434,500): 112
Rookies
Campbell GRAY ($119,900): -52
Sandy BROCK ($220,000): -5
Kaleb SMITH ($127,100): -4
Joe FONTI ($213,400): 0
Riley HARDEMANN ($280,000): 3 (BYE)
Jed BEWS ($209,000): 34
Matthew CARROLL ($189,000): 35 (BYE)
Luke TRAINOR ($265,000): 78
MIDFIELDERS
Premiums
Adam CERRA ($513,100): 42 (BYE)
Jordan DAWSON ($556,600): 62
Isaac HEENEY ($530,400): 68
Noah ANDERSON ($560,500): 69
Lachie NEALE ($571,300): 81
Tom LIBERATORE ($595,200): 86 (BYE)
Jack STEELE ($522,200): 88
Caleb SERONG ($535,000): 95
Zach MERRETT ($553,300): 109
Will ASHCROFT ($509,900): 109
Touk MILLER ($541,900): 110
Ed RICHARDS ($602,900): 113 (BYE)
Nick DAICOS ($536,000): 117
Tom GREEN ($552,400): 122
Hugh MCCLUGGAGE ($584,900): 128
Josh DUNKLEY ($561,300): 130
Marcus BONTEMPELLI ($643,300): 136 (BYE)
George HEWETT ($557,900): 149 (BYE)
Andrew BRAYSHAW ($622,900): 176
Zak BUTTERS ($585,900): 196 (BYE)
Midpricers
Ned LONG ($427,500): 27
Xavier LINDSAY ($309,700): 38
Matt ROWELL ($485,900): 45
Clayton OLIVER ($463,100): 47
Harvey LANGFORD ($371,400): 106
Rookies
Angus SHELDRICK ($237,600): -24
Hugh BOXSHALL ($145,400): 22
RUCKS
Thomas SIMS ($144,100): -6
Dante VISENTINI ($292,800): 24 (BYE)
Luke JACKSON ($584,000): 42
Matt FLYNN ($395,700): 79
Rowan MARSHALL ($549,600): 94
Tom DE KONING ($528,000): 131 (BYE)
Tristan XERRI ($731,200): 142 (BYE)
Darcy CAMERON ($551,900): 152
Max GAWN ($731,600): 164
FORWARDS
Premiums
Kysaiah PICKETT ($500,700): 35
Christian PETRACCA ($541,300): 104
Chad WARNER ($531,600): 107
Bailey SMITH ($621,600): 119
Izak RANKINE ($520,900): 133
Jack MACRAE ($517,300): 152
Midpricers
Toby GREENE ($372,000): 21
Riley THILTHORPE ($472,900): 53
Shai BOLTON ($465,800): 55
Caleb DANIEL ($424,700): 59 (BYE)
Levi ASHCROFT ($392,800): 71
Bailey HUMPHREY ($408,200): 112
Matthew KENNEDY ($496,600): 118 (BYE)
Ryan MARIC ($483,100): 154
Jason HORNE-FRANCIS ($499,600): 158 (BYE)
Rookies
Cody ANGOVE ($131,300): -2
Neil ERASMUS ($190,900): -3
Isaac KEELER ($138,400): 1
Murphy REID ($292,900): 2
Caiden CLEARY ($250,400): 51
Isaac KAKO ($214,000): 52
Elijah HEWETT ($279,800): 53
TU or TD: Mccluggage next week as next upgrade if already owning Butters. Also tempting to go this week playing essendon at the gabba