Here is a summary of all the relevant break-evens prior to Round 16. The break-even or BE is the score that a player will need to achieve in their next game in order to hold their current value. A low BE generally indicates that a player has recently performed above expectations, while a high break-even is a flag for an imminent price drop (and potentially good buying!).
For brevity, I’ve only included players with ‘significant ownership’, plus a few speculators. If there’s anyone missing that you’d like a number for, let me know in the comments.
(Players marked with an asterisk have played two games and are “on the bubble”)
DEFENDERS
Premiums
Luke RYAN ($535,500): 55
Nasiah WANGANEEN-MILERA ($550,300): 63
Tom STEWART ($504,600): 70 (BYE)
Dayne ZORKO ($510,200): 72 (BYE)
Rory LAIRD ($522,800): 79
Harry SHEEZEL ($536,300): 98
Max HOLMES ($623,900): 102 (BYE)
Jordan CLARK ($562,100): 116
Lachie ASH ($557,800): 116 (BYE)
Bailey DALE ($559,100): 117
Connor ROZEE ($533,700): 117
Lachie WHITFIELD ($509,300): 144 (BYE)
Nic MARTIN ($572,900): 156 (BYE)
Jack SINCLAIR ($571,000): 162
Midpricers
Callum MILLS ($395,600): 5
Nick BLAKEY ($471,900): 6
Matt ROBERTS ($454,900): 82
Rookies
Matthew CARROLL ($232,100): -8
Bo ALLAN ($119,000): 1
Angus CLARKE ($217,500): 34 (BYE)
MIDFIELDERS
Premiums
Caleb SERONG ($578,200): 49
Isaac HEENEY ($546,900): 65
Jye CALDWELL ($520,900): 71 (BYE)
Nick DAICOS ($559,200): 77
George HEWETT ($552,200): 89
Finn CALLAGHAN ($558,800): 93 (BYE)
Marcus BONTEMPELLI ($586,300): 102
Matt ROWELL ($551,100): 104
Will ASHCROFT ($522,800): 105 (BYE)
Tom GREEN ($597,000): 106 (BYE)
Ed RICHARDS ($620,800): 108
Zach MERRETT ($511,200): 109 (BYE)
Tom LIBERATORE ($547,600): 112
Zak BUTTERS ($586,700): 114
Jordan DAWSON ($583,200): 117
Andrew BRAYSHAW ($599,800): 120
Hugh MCCLUGGAGE ($595,300): 120 (BYE)
Adam CERRA ($542,200): 122
Lachie NEALE ($521,700): 132 (BYE)
Noah ANDERSON ($593,200): 135
Midpricers
Angus SHELDRICK ($378,000): 31
Ned LONG ($468,000): 105
Rookies
Harry ROWSTON ($161,300): -66 (BYE)
Mani LIDDY* ($99,100): -35
Cooper HYNES ($102,700): 1
Zak JOHNSON ($221,400): 14 (BYE)
RUCKS
Nicholas MADDEN ($202,900): -58 (BYE)
Darcy CAMERON ($554,800): 58
Brodie GRUNDY ($662,600): 76
Tim ENGLISH ($585,500): 88
Luke JACKSON ($645,400): 94
Tom DE KONING ($560,200): 131
Max GAWN ($678,300): 142
Tristan XERRI ($674,300): 213
FORWARDS
Premiums
Liam BAKER ($522,200): 90
Christian PETRACCA ($519,500): 123
Bailey SMITH ($611,300): 161 (BYE)
Midpricers
Sam DARCY ($459,700): 19
Jason HORNE-FRANCIS ($472,600): 54
Jack MACRAE ($493,200): 72
Matthew KENNEDY ($494,500): 81
Chad WARNER ($459,400): 89
Izak RANKINE ($448,100): 94
Caleb DANIEL ($477,800): 110
Rookies
Archer MAY* ($99,100): -62 (BYE)
Sam BUTLER* ($126,600): -50
Max RAMSDEN* ($128,200): -45
Tyrell DEWAR ($228,700): -36
Jack MARTIN ($190,000): -32 (BYE)
Neil ERASMUS ($277,100): 65