Cow Talk R11 –> R12

Small or Far Away, Father Dougal on Cows

 

Hi Everybody!

 

I think last week went to his head. 

He’s got that “About to perform look”

The little sailor suit is a clue. 

…oh no, he hasn’t discovered sea shanties has he? 

 

Squeak matey!   

To the tune of what do you do with a drunken sailor!

 

What do you do with a dodgy rookie?

What do you do with a dodgy rookie?

What do you do with a dodgy rookie?

Midway through the season! 

 

Use him as a loophole if he’s injured

Use him as a loophole if he’s injured

Use him as a loophole if he’s injured

Midway through the season! 

 

What do you do with a dodgy rookie?

What do you do with a dodgy rookie?

What do you do with a dodgy rookie?

Midway through the season! 

 

Use his DPP to give you options

Use his DPP to give you options

Use his DPP to give you options

Midway through the season! 

 

What do you do with a dodgy rookie?

What do you do with a dodgy rookie?

What do you do with a dodgy rookie?

Midway through the season! 

 

Put him in the vest in case he’s needed

Put him in the vest in case he’s needed

Put him in the vest in case he’s needed

Midway through the season! 

 

What do you do with a dodgy rookie?

What do you do with a dodgy rookie?

What do you do with a dodgy rookie?

Midway through the season! 

 

Trade him right out if the money matters

Trade him right out if the money matters 

Trade him right out if the money matters

Midway through the season! 

 

My! 

Not exactly Shakespear

Rather the opposite. 

He did cover the options. Dodgy rookies are very annoying, and there are a lot of them running around. 

Or not running around, most likely. 

And more on the horizon, I see’s ‘em in my spyglass!

You do, who are they? 

Too far away to make out, but some of them’s we’re bringing in now, they’ll be dodgy rookies as well. Mark my words!

Yeah, true enough.  So, what do you do with a dodgy rookie? 

Well, a lot of the time, nothing. If they have no cash to extract and are not playing, then they are now a perma-loop. Of course it could be that you have multiple perma-loops in the same line, in which you may need to trade one out if you can’t use DPP to fix that problem. We should have one playing backup for Defense, Midfield, and Forward. Trades are too valuable to use to bring in a spare backup. 

On the other hand, if you are struggling to field 18 over the byes, then, trading out a non-playing guy for someone likely to keep his job probably is worthwhile. Could be 100+ points over the next five rounds, and could be a backup after the byes.

If they are playing, but are not playing well, then they are a backup. Maybe not the best backup, but still, 30 points is better than no points. Slap the E on them and hope you don;t need them. 

(Pro-Tip, you will need them)

If they have made some cash, you can trade up from down or try to harvest them. That’s super situational. Might be crucial long term to get $40,000 some week. Hopefully not, hard to spend a trade to get a small amount of cash, but it can happen that is needed. Might go along with the byes. 

That’s all pretty obvious. 

Yeah, fair. The other side is maybe more important. When bringing in a cow or cow-like object, you should have a plan for what to do if they go “Full Sullivan” on you. This is where price point comes in. 

Rules of Cowquisition?

Indeed, Rule Number Twelve: “A cheap cow that loses his job is a loophole. A high priced cow that loses his job is a source of funds. A mid-priced cow that loses his job is a problem.”

If you bring in a guy for $99k and he loses his job, then there is no money at all to get out and you have a loophole. 

If you bring in a $200k guy who loses his job, you can upgrade or downgrade him. It is worth a trade to get $100k+ from a dead rookie, especially if you can bring in a playing one. 

The problem is with guys who are prices around $160k. A trade down won’t get much cash, and they are hard to trade up from. There is a good chance the end up an expensive loophole. 

So avoid those guys? 

Not like as a rule, but if a rookie has bad job security, I’d be more careful paying up for him. 

How about Cow-like objects? Say, hmm…McAuliffe or Sheldrick?

Ok, first, Cow Talk and the Cow Talk Advisory Panel is in no way advocating anyone bringing in McAuliffe or Sheldrick. Just being clear. Ask people familiar with them and their teams about them, not us, we’re going full Sergeant Schultz on them. But if you did bring one in for about $230-270k-ish, and something went horribly wrong and they only went up by $10,000, then you could certainly trade up from them, and it would be possible to get a trade’s worth of cash out of them. 

Good right?

Yeah, but not as good as getting someone who scores as well for $100,000 less in the first place. Then if they fail you have the cash without using a trade. That is better. 

Ohhhh

So, good luck with the byes, and be careful who you bring in. Odds are they are staying with you, but be sure you have a way out in case they have to go. 

 

Defenders

 

Z Reid:  Injured. At least at a high price.

Trainor:  Well, he will probably bleed cash. Not for sure, but probably. But, he will play this round and could be kept as a warm body. 

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 133,500
1 50 133,500
2 24 133,500
3 90 133,500
4 82 156,200
5 80 201,400
6 2 259,500
7 66 264,200
8 82 260,800
9 46 259,500
10 52 277,400
11 28 284,100
12 54.7 265,000
13 54.7 255,444 -9,556 -9,556
14
15 54.7 249,581 -5,863 -15,419
16 54.7 257,044 7,463 -7,956

 

Prior:  Pretty safe hold it looks like. 

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 169,200
1 50 169,200
2 57 169,200
3 78 169,200
4 163,100
5 54 163,100
6 92 235,500
7 43 273,000
8 57 285,500
9 93 296,300
10 69 304,200
11 87 321,100
12 68.0 346,500
13 68.0 355,123 8,623 8,623
14 68.0 361,058 5,935 14,558
15 68.0 357,059 -3,999 10,559
16

 

Bice:  At this point he is being held because he is playing

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 113,500
1 52 113,500
2 96 113,500
3 113,500
4 124 113,500
5 89 203,400
6 79 286,100
7 101 340,400
8 49 370,800
9 71 375,800
10 55 375,300
11 68 354,100
12 78.4 346,600
13 78.4 345,220 -1,380 -1,380
14
15 78.4 354,529 9,310 7,929
16 78.4 366,005 11,476 19,405

 

Connor O’Sullivan:  Did not play.

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 148,700
1 48 148,700
2 88 148,700
3 77 148,700
4 103 203,900
5 42 268,200
6 54 295,400
7 95 306,400
8 48 310,500
9 49 317,300
10 26 319,300
11 289,800
12 63.0 289,800
13 63.0 253,597 -36,203 -36,203
14 63.0 243,158 -10,438 -46,642
15 63.0 263,251 20,092 -26,549
16

 

Brock:  He is still playing, so well done to people who picked him up. Lots of cash left to make. 

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 99,100
1 99,100
2 99,100
3 99,100
4 80 99,100
5 39 99,100
6 99,100
7 99,100
8 99,100
9 60 99,100
10 57 152,300
11 79 181,200
12 63.0 220,000
13 63.0 251,132 31,132 31,132
14 63.0 276,863 25,731 56,863
15 63.0 288,856 11,993 68,856
16 63.0 297,746 8,890 77,746

 

Travaglia:  Wow, he has made $8,800.  I was curious and so he here. May go right back to Moo-ron Mountain, but with Jack and Hugo out, maybe he plays?

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 172,000
1 172,000
2 172,000
3 83 172,000
4 52 172,000
5 21 172,000
6 195,400
7 195,400
8 0 195,400
9 195,400
10 22 195,400
11 56 186,100
12 39.0 180,800
13 39.0 185,790 4,990 4,990
14 39.0 197,011 11,221 16,211
15 39.0 197,806 795 17,006
16 39.0 198,396 589 17,596

 

Midfielders

 

M Reid:  Well, a bit of a conundrum on the horizon. For sure hold a week and see how he goes. 

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 131,500
1 50 131,500
2 75 131,500
3 106 131,500
4 73 199,100
5 58 258,500
6 82 294,900
7 35 312,000
8 50 308,200
9 36 302,000
10 69 276,500
11 104 272,400
12 67.1 292,900
13
14 67.1 322,589 29,689 29,689
15 67.1 343,701 21,112 50,801
16 67.1 343,020 -681 50,120

 

Lindsay:   Looks like he will keep up the money making. Well done to his holders. 

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 158,500
1 86 158,500
2 78 158,500
3 9 158,500
4 193,400
5 48 193,400
6 55 202,000
7 78 198,700
8 56 227,000
9 71 251,700
10 67 276,500
11 80 289,600
12 62.8 309,700
13 62.8 321,641 11,941 11,941
14 62.8 328,617 6,976 18,917
15
16 62.8 326,182 -2,434 16,482

 

Moraes:  Made it to his bye! Probably good-bye

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 113,500
1 113,500
2 52 113,500
3 94 113,500
4 43 113,500
5 42 166,800
6 30 201,800
7 55 199,900
8 204,100
9 24 204,100
10 68 198,900
11 55 211,600
12
13 51.4 220,800
14 51.4 240,291 19,491 19,491
15 51.4 247,396 7,105 26,596
16 51.4 251,081 3,685 30,281

 

Lalor:   Injured

 

Long:  Wow. I will track his price for a little while longer, since it will shoot up, but, I feel he is a keeper now a cow. If you own him and can afford to replace him, you are doing well. 

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 30 200,900
1 113 200,900
2 57 200,900
3 240,000
4 26 240,000
5 114 263,000
6 96 280,600
7 87 311,600
8 94 361,900
9 65 390,100
10 94 397,500
11 134 404,600
12 82.7 427,500
13 82.7 453,309 25,809 25,809
14
15 82.7 467,418 14,109 39,918
16 82.7 455,217 -12,201 27,717

 

Gross: 

Last Week:  Hold until he has made money. He seems too good to be held down for a long time. Well, he plays for the Eagles, so, maybe they will find a way.  

This Week:  He found a way. His price is so low it hardly matters. I plan to hold him to his bye, at least, in the hopes he plays. No money there to harvest, and you could cull the non-playing Hustwaite for about the same cash, if you need that. 

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 113,500
1 113,500
2 113,500
3 113,500
4 51 113,500
5 82 113,500
6 11 113,500
7 147,500
8 147,500
9 46 147,500
10 42 170,400
11 8 169,400
12 40.0 167,300
13 40.0 163,449 -3,851 -3,851
14 40.0 159,719 -3,730 -7,581
15
16 40.0 171,087 11,368 3,787

 

Rucks

 

Flynn:   Well, darn. Hard to trade unless you have 19 or more playing afterwards. Geelong next, if he does well there he might hold on to his bye. 

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 261,900
1 87 261,900
2 261,900
3 261,900
4 261,900
5 261,900
6 141 261,900
7 105 261,900
8 53 341,100
9 80 384,900
10 111 389,500
11 46 395,000
12 89.0 395,700
13 89.0 401,218 5,518 5,518
14 89.0 395,587 -5,631 -113
15
16 89.0 410,405 14,818 14,705

 

Forwards

Hugo Garcia:  

Last week: Well, without Jack, he might do better. I’d want to see before dumping him. 

This week:  Dropped. Off he goes to Moo-ron Mountain

 

Levi Ashcroft:  

Last week: I feel like he is too good on field to trade before his bye, but cows are for cash, so, well, use if you need to. 

This week: Well timed 95.  If you can hold that’s great, but in the end, cows are for cash. 

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 185,500
1 84 185,500
2 72 185,500
3 36 185,500
4 87 221,700
5 90 249,100
6 89 277,400
7 68 322,500
8 99 347,800
9 77 370,800
10 68 381,800
11 95 389,300
12 78.6 392,800
13 78.6 397,147 4,347 4,347
14 78.6 405,058 7,910 12,258
15 78.6 403,684 -1,374 10,884
16

 

Davidson:  

Last week: Anyone owning him, well, I expect waiting for another spike score. He has a job, and that’s a big thing now. 

This week: A spike-ish score just before his bye. Do anything that works really. 

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 113,500
1 39 113,500
2 72 113,500
3 129 113,500
4 54 189,800
5 61 252,100
6 82 293,200
7 51 303,700
8 46 310,400
9 55 309,000
10 58 295,400
11 77 288,000
12
13 65.8 296,100
14 65.8 307,618 11,518 11,518
15 65.8 319,588 11,969 23,488
16 65.8 323,502 3,915 27,402

 

Kako: 

Rerun from last week:  Has a job, has DPP, Has  Job Has DPP, Warm body in the byes, warm body in the byes, but looks like he will never make money. He will some day, but man, he so rarely puts up a score that you want on field. I was expecting to give up on him, but he may be a needed warm body, and he can’t lose too much cash, knock on wood. Another I feel you get rid of now or hold to his bye. 

Added this week:  If he is player 18, then whatever he scores counts. If he is player 19 he might count and as we just saw, you might need a 35 to cover an injury. If you don;t need him to make 18-19,, then do whatever. 

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 149,500
1 62 149,500
2 34 149,500
3 62 149,500
4 163,100
5 38 163,100
6 55 191,700
7 49 210,200
8 60 218,300
9 30 234,200
10 32 234,500
11 44 226,900
12 46.6 214,000
13 46.6 212,376 -1,624 -1,624
14 46.6 217,619 5,244 3,619
15 46.6 222,645 5,026 8,645
16

 

Sam PP:  It is his bye and his BE is 97 after scoring a 25. Trade, trade, trade. 

0 180,500
1 18 180,500
2 83 180,500
3 48 180,500
4 74 199,000
5 101 236,800
6 106 272,700
7 98 325,700
8 66 375,800
9 53 397,700
10 89 389,700
11 25 379,300
12
13 69.2 353,300
14 69.2 342,132 -11,168 -11,168
15 69.2 325,125 -17,008 -28,175
16 69.2 332,052 6,927 -21,248

 

Curtain: Very well timed spike score. Good chance to make money over the next two weeks. 

Week Score Price Proj. Change Total Proj
0 158,600
1 26 158,600
2 82 158,600
3 90 158,600
4 65 204,500
5 42 254,900
6 48 274,600
7 41 271,400
8 73 258,700
9 22 263,200
10 65 254,600
11 83 258,400
12 57.9 265,400
13 57.9 287,163 21,763 21,763
14 57.9 300,127 12,963 34,727
15
16 57.9 298,637 -1,490 33,237

 

 

Dodgy Advice:  ….um….Unless you are doing really well, this is a great time to buy underpriced players. Cow, Cow-like Objects, Fallen premiums, whoever will get the most points / dollar.  Fallen is relative of course, I will sure went to try and get Bonmt next week, and I hope we are all trageting Butter when he hits bottom, but there are or will be others. Compromises are probably going to be needed to get 23 preimum-ish players, like holding Ned Long as M8 for example. 

 

Remember the Cow Talk guarantee: “All predictions wrong or triple your money back!”  (Offer not valid if money is actually involved.)

 

I am time zonally challenged.  When Cow Talk goes live, I’m probably asleep, so replies from me may take a while.

Thanks for reading!

 

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