Cow Talk R8 –> R9

Small or Far Away, Father Dougal on Cows

Hi Everybody!

I think “Cash on Delivery” fits pretty well. 

Nah little mate, I get the cash angle, but what delivery?  “Stinking up the Great Outdoors” is a much better fit. 

Ok, stinking for sure, but is Marvel really the great outdoors? It has a roof, right? 

Yes Marvel has a roof…?

So that’s not really the great outdoors!

Ok, how about “Just Begin Again”? 

Ohh, best so far, I mean the whole delete team and start over angle. But, how about “Clam Caravan?” 

Clam Caravan? That’s pretty random, not at all related! 

Right, that’s my point!

A bit harsh, though, a bit…. 

What are you two talking about?

“Gimme some Money!”

Huh, for what?

Everyone needs money.

For what?

Upgrades, duh! And pumpkin seeds. 

I think you were right the first time. “Hell Hole”

What are you talking about!

We’re trying to figure out which Spinal Tap song is most applicable to your Tech League team. 

…Ok, I did not see that coming. 

You never do, you know. 

“Hell Hole” it is! 

I know I am going to regret this, but why are you guys trying to decide what Spinal tap song is most like my Tech League team?

Well, you used to do stuff like comparing all the cows in the maths section to movies you liked, or songs, or something else fun. 

Yeah, those were fun. 

Ok, but, um, those were a lot of work. And not exactly helpful. 

Oh, now all of a sudden you worry about being helpful?

Theme! Theme! Theme!

Theme! Theme! Theme!

Are you mad? I still have to do the actual, maybe hopefully helpful part, and then after that you want a thee? Which I have not planned and in no way ready for?

Me, mad? Your Imaginary Interlocutor? Mad?!

Oh oh, I have always wanted to say this! “Fools! I will show them all!” 

Sigh, dumb question. And no response to that needed thank you. 

Aww.

So, I’m gonna try and write the, um top part? And then we’ll see. 

 

 

Sigh, Anyways, this is the time when we look at what bye all of our players have. For the first time it matters

Why?

Because this is the last round where a spike score has three rounds to affect a players price before the byes start.  Rounds 9, 10, and 11.  So, if someone like, say, Sam Powell-Pepper has a huge score, his owners will still get all the benefit from it before the bye. 

Sam “Sergeant” Powell-Pepper?

No no, Sam “Floyd” Powell-Pepper!

I am not listening! 

Anyways, for keepers, we worry about too many in the same round and all that, but for cows, we need to think about how long they have to grow before their bye. Very, very few cows are worth holding over their bye, so it is sort of a practical deadline for selling. Even players like Bice will probably be ready for trade out on their bye. Players with a late bye have more time to have a spike score and grow in value. If you have lots of players with the same bye, you may need to unload one before their bye.  

As it happens, there are a lot of popular and good cows with byes Rounds 14-16 this year. That is a big help because that means lots of time for them to make their money. It would be nice if they are ready to harvest sooner, and if so great, but, someone like Prior who is hovering around his BE now, has through round 13 to spike, since his bye is round 16. Davidson has to spike this round, since he has the round 12 bye. So, if you are strapped for cash, holding Prior gives you more chance of getting money, as well as cover for Round 12. 

The other part of cows in the byes is the best 18 means cows who provide steady mediocre scores like Kako are not as good as guys who alternate between 40 and 100. Far safer to risk a cow on fields when you are dropping the lowest 3-4 scores each week. Aside from R12 for most of us. 

Theme! Theme! Theme! – Beatles songs! 

Theme! Theme! Theme! – Muppets! 

Argh! I. Am. Not. Ready! 

Call it in the air! 

Edge and chicken noises! 

It actually landed on the edge!

That was luck! Luck luck luck luck luck luck!  Oh bother….

Muppets it is!

Fine, but if this sucks, I blame you two. 

 

Defenders

Z Reid: Looks like a darn good hold until closer to his bye. Has big scores and plenty of time to make money.  He could always have a bad run and mess up his cash, and I am not saying not to harvest him, but despite his ups and downs he has really come through for us. Which makes him, Kermit the Frog. Yeah, plus it’s not easy being a Bomber. 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		119,900
1	45	119,900
2	36	119,900
3	88	119,900
4		163,100
5	104	163,100
6	38	220,700
7	90	264,700
8	102	298,400
9	71.9	322,700
10	71.9	355,118	32,418	32,418
11	71.9	371,082	15,964	48,382
12	71.9	369,580	-1,502	46,880
13	71.9	368,470	-1,110	45,770
14	71.9	367,649	-821	44,949
15	71.9	367,042	-607	44,342

 

Trainor:  If you held keep holding, because he is back on the road to cashville. Also has nice spikes for the byes. Sort of like a discount Reid. So, um Robin the Frog. 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		133,500
1	50	133,500
2	24	133,500
3	90	133,500
4	82	156,200
5	80	201,400
6	2	259,500
7	66	264,200
8	82	260,800
9	59.5	259,500
10	59.5	283,502	24,002	24,002
11	59.5	298,383	14,880	38,883
12	59.5	299,454	1,071	39,954
13	59.5	300,246	792	40,746
14	59.5	300,832	586	41,332
15	59.5	301,265	433	41,765

 

Prior: He could go this week no worries. He could also be held until he spikes again, since he has the Round 16 bye. He just keeps going doing his best, which is mostly meh but sometimes ok. So, he is Fozzie Bear.  

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		169,200
1	50	169,200
2	57	169,200
3	78	169,200
4		163,100
5	54	163,100
6	92	235,500
7	43	273,000
8	57	285,500
9	61.6	296,300
10	61.6	290,441	-5,859	-5,859
11	61.6	294,306	3,865	-1,994
12	61.6	299,182	4,877	2,882
13	61.6	302,789	3,606	6,489
14	61.6	305,455	2,667	9,155
15	61.6	307,428	1,972	11,128

 

Bice: Ok, so probably not D6 really, but fine to hold until his bye on R14. Pretty reliable, could easily reset his breakeven this week. He is pretty much the star of the season, which makes him Miss Piggy! 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		113,500
1	52	113,500
2	96	113,500
3		113,500
4	124	113,500
5	89	203,400
6	79	286,100
7	101	340,400
8	49	370,800
9	84.3	375,800
10	84.3	381,331	5,531	5,531
11	84.3	378,042	-3,288	2,242
12	84.3	391,188	13,145	15,388
13	84.3	400,909	9,721	25,109
14	84.3	408,097	7,189	32,297
15	84.3	413,413	5,316	37,613

 

Connor O’Sullivan: One more week of that 95, after which he may need to go. We’ll see what happens this week. Lots of fial weeks with a few excellent ones. Who has failures mixed with great successes? Dr. Bunsen Honeydew! 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		148,700
1	48	148,700
2	88	148,700
3	77	148,700
4	103	203,900
5	42	268,200
6	54	295,400
7	95	306,400
8	48	310,500
9	69.4	317,300
10	69.4	328,398	11,098	11,098
11	69.4	325,292	-3,106	7,992
12	69.4	332,431	7,139	15,131
13	69.4	337,711	5,280	20,411
14	69.4	341,615	3,904	24,315
15	69.4	344,503	2,887	27,203

 

Midfielders

M Reid: 

Last week:  In the words of ET, “Oooowwww….”

This week: Little known fact, Jim Henson once (or more than once) fixed the ET puppet when it had problems during filming. Makes him a Muppet as far as I am concerned. His 92 BE might make him a bit of a Muppet by other standards.  If held he should make some money back when that 35 is out of his three round average. 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		131,500
1	50	131,500
2	75	131,500
3	106	131,500
4	73	199,100
5	58	258,500
6	82	294,900
7	35	312,000
8	50	308,200
9	66.1	302,000
10	66.1	290,044	-11,956	-11,956
11	66.1	294,943	4,899	-7,057
12	66.1	305,684	10,741	3,684
13	66.1	313,627	7,943	11,627
14	66.1	319,501	5,874	17,501
15	66.1	323,845	4,344	21,845

 

Lindsay:  Those who held have been rewarded  He sure did recover well from a huge injusry setback. Beaker! 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		158,500
1	86	158,500
2	78	158,500
3	9	158,500
4		193,400
5	48	193,400
6	55	202,000
7	78	198,700
8	56	227,000
9	58.6	251,700
10	58.6	271,144	19,444	19,444
11	58.6	276,946	5,802	25,246
12	58.6	282,372	5,426	30,672
13	58.6	286,384	4,012	34,684
14	58.6	289,351	2,967	37,651
15	58.6	291,545	2,194	39,845

 

Moraes:  Did not play

Lalor:  Was great once, now, well, he hopes to be great again. Could leak cash but you never know, he might be great once more. Rather like Lew Zealnd and his boomerang fish! 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		203,500
1	74	203,500
2	39	203,500
3	45	203,500
4	112	220,759
5		248,300
6	70	248,300
7	46	283,800
8	46	310,700
9	61.7	301,700
10	61.7	290,965	-10,735	-10,735
11	61.7	289,964	-1,001	-11,736
12	61.7	296,161	6,197	-5,539
13	61.7	300,743	4,583	-957
14	61.7	304,132	3,389	2,432
15	61.7	306,638	2,506	4,938

 

Long:  Started slow and unsteady but has turned into a real Monster! Sweetums! His average is a little misleading price wise, since he seems to have a floor about 85 while playing full time, and will probably average better than that. 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0	30	200,900
1	113	200,900
2	57	200,900
3		240,000
4	26	240,000
5	114	263,000
6	96	280,600
7	87	311,600
8	94	361,900
9	77.1	390,500
10	77.1	402,726	12,226	12,226
11	77.1	407,407	4,681	16,907
12	77.1	403,419	-3,988	12,919
13	77.1	400,471	-2,949	9,971
14	77.1	398,290	-2,181	7,790
15	77.1	396,677	-1,613	6,177

 

Rucks

Flynn:  Has a hard time getting on sage, and when he does he is either brilliant or dodgy, and we all can’t help talking about him. Gonzo the Great!  Gonzo is my Favorite Muppet. Reminds me I need to order that chicken onesie for my partner….. 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		261,900
1	87	261,900
2		261,900
3		261,900
4		261,900
5		261,900
6	141	261,900
7	105	261,900
8	53	341,100
9	96.5	384,900
10	96.5	396,984	12,084	12,084
11	96.5	402,168	5,184	17,268
12	96.5	425,205	23,037	40,305
13	96.5	442,240	17,036	57,340
14	96.5	454,838	12,598	69,938
15	96.5	464,154	9,316	79,254

 

Forwards

Hugo Garcia:  I have no idea what is up with him. He did start again. At this point maybe hold him until R13, let him help you keep 18 on the field R12, then trade him to a R12 player? A somewhat useful regular who has never done that well and has some real ups and downs. Scooter!

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		245,800
1	54	245,800
2	25	245,800
3	99	245,800
4	54	260,000
5	84	269,800
6	59	303,300
7	21	311,100
8	71	302,600
9	58.4	290,800
10	58.4	281,431	-9,369	-9,369
11	58.4	291,001	9,571	201
12	58.4	292,505	1,504	1,705
13	58.4	293,618	1,112	2,818
14	58.4	294,440	823	3,640
15	58.4	295,049	608	4,249

 

Levi Ashcroft:  Still has more money to make, not in a rush to sell.  Could easily crack $400k. I’m hoping for a 110ish spike score before round 14, preferably on Round 13. I feel he is still a cow, but about as reliable on field as can be hoped for. Has great blonde hair and leading man looks, making him Link Hogthrob. 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		185,500
1	84	185,500
2	72	185,500
3	36	185,500
4	87	221,700
5	90	249,100
6	89	277,400
7	68	322,500
8	99	347,800
9	78.1	370,800
10	78.1	382,419	11,619	11,619
11	78.1	395,480	13,062	24,680
12	78.1	395,924	444	25,124
13	78.1	396,252	328	25,452
14	78.1	396,495	243	25,695
15	78.1	396,674	179	25,874

 

Davidson:  Has an 84 BE and the R12 bye. I’d be trading him. Not awful to keep, but less upside than a lot of other guys. Most obvious of all the players, he is Rowlf the Dog, aka Dr. Bob. 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		113,500
1	39	113,500
2	72	113,500
3	129	113,500
4	54	189,800
5	61	252,100
6	82	293,200
7	51	303,700
8	46	310,400
9	66.8	309,000
10	66.8	300,794	-8,206	-8,206
11	66.8	301,678	885	-7,322
12	66.8	311,493	9,814	2,493
13	66.8	318,750	7,258	9,750
14	66.8	324,118	5,367	15,118
15	66.8	328,087	3,969	19,087

 

Kako: Has a job, has DPP, Has  Job Has DPP, still gonna make money, hold on, hold on….Sure is growing slowly and steadily. Slow and Steady with a bit of flash. Zoot. 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		149,500
1	62	149,500
2	34	149,500
3	62	149,500
4		163,100
5	38	163,100
6	55	191,700
7	49	210,200
8	60	218,300
9	51.4	234,200
10	51.4	244,013	9,813	9,813
11	51.4	252,342	8,329	18,142
12	51.4	254,717	2,375	20,517
13	51.4	256,474	1,757	22,274
14	51.4	257,773	1,299	23,573
15	51.4	258,733	961	24,533

 

Sam PP:  His BE is 69, so I feel it is pretty safe to hold him. Needs to put a big score up this week though, otherwise he’ll look a lot like a trade out. Nothing wrong with trading out this round too. The Floyd Pepper joke is so obvious the Hamster made it, but having seen him play, I’m going with another member of the band, the drummer, Animal. 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		180,500
1	18	180,500
2	83	180,500
3	48	180,500
4	74	199,000
5	101	236,800
6	106	272,700
7	98	325,700
8	66	375,800
9	74.3	397,700
10	74.3	399,276	1,576	1,576
11	74.3	389,957	-9,319	-7,743
12	74.3	386,707	-3,249	-10,993
13	74.3	384,305	-2,403	-13,395
14	74.3	382,528	-1,777	-15,172
15	74.3	381,213	-1,314	-16,487

 

Stone:  Did not play. Didn’t see that coming

Curtain: Well, that 73 saved him from Moo-Ron Mountain. We know he can put up good scores. Barely on anyone’s radar really, like Marvin Suggs (And his amazing Muppaphones) 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		158,600
1	26	158,600
2	82	158,600
3	90	158,600
4	65	204,500
5	42	254,900
6	48	274,600
7	41	271,400
8	73	258,700
9	58.4	263,200
10	58.4	270,732	7,532	7,532
11	58.4	283,973	13,240	20,773
12	58.4	287,308	3,335	24,108
13	58.4	289,774	2,466	26,574
14	58.4	291,598	1,824	28,398
15	58.4	292,947	1,349	29,747

 Dodgy Advice:  Good news: Cheap Bulldogs!  Good news: they have 10 of the last 15 matches at Marvel and Mars, where they do well. Bad news: R12 bye. 

Prep for incoming fallen premiums in future weeks. 

Do not buy Bont or Butters until their prices drops. They are floating premiums now, and paying up for them could cost too much. That said, they are sooo good. But really, wait for their prices to drop and at least after R12.

 

Remember the Cow Talk guarantee: “All predictions wrong or triple your money back!”  (Offer not valid if money is actually involved.)

I am time zonally challenged.  When Cow Talk goes live, I’m probably asleep, so replies from me may take a while.

Thanks for reading!