The Ballsy Move: Part Four – Forwards

by Motts on March 30, 2015

Schwarzwalder returns for the last time this preseason with the epic finale to his Ballsy Move quadrilogy (if its not a word, I’m making it one). Fantastic work, Schwarzy. Well done!

The last instalment in the series and I am balls-out running low on new adjectives ;-)  As always, don’t freak out if your favorite
players make the list.  If you’re keen on them, don’t let this shambles of a write-up deter you (except for Cyril…..stay away from Cyril!).  And again, please correct me if I’ve overlooked something important.

It’s no secret that the Key Position Forwards are very inconsistent in terms of SC output.  Buddy breaks the mold a bit there.  Most of us are aiming to get the most Dual Position Players into our forward lines as possible.  More midfield rotation means they’re seeing more of the ball, simple.  So I’ve concentrated on those players for the forward line and have narrowed down the
ballsy moves to three.  If you have the following players, then your grenades must be ready to explode!

Brent Harvey (NTH) $578,900

2011 – Average of 101 ppg from 22 games
2012 – 96 (22)
2013 – 104 (16)
2014 – 108 (20)

Boomer is a freak!!  He’ll be turning 37 in May.  That’s an age where most (ex-)footballers are letting themselves go while jobbing it as a boundary rider for TV or radio.  All going well, he’ll be joining the illustrious ‘400 game’ club during the year with names like Tuck, Bartlett and possibly Fletcher.

I remember floating the idea last year that Harvey was a top 6-8 forward.  ‘He’s too old’ they said…..’He’s past it………..not
SC relevant…….there are better options!’ they kept telling me.  And I listened to them……and picked Wingard around the byes instead of Boomer Harvey.  That move cost me around 250 pts and possibly a GF berth in a few leagues.

I don’t have SC Gold (yet) but looking at the RMT thread and to a lesser extent our ‘Ideal 22’ thread, I don’t see the name Harvey mentioned too often.   Why is that?   ‘He’s too old…..he’s past it……not SC relevant……there are better options!’  At
36 years old, Harvey had his best ever SC season.  Second best average for a forward, only a few points behind Robbie Gray (who we all want in our sides).  Harvey is still one of North’s most damaging players.  Most experts are tipping North
for the Finals, possibly even a top four finish.  So you’ve got one of the most experienced players in the game, coming off one of his best seasons, in a team expected to finish high up the ladder.  And we are still doubting his SC relevance?  Who are we,
mere mortals, to question Boomer’s hardware?

As Roo Bloke pointed out in his (excellent!) detailed review of the Kangaroos, Harvey may be overpriced to start with.  If he drifts down towards $500k during the year, you can be sure I won’t be making the same mistake again.  Not in many
teams, no one looking at him as an upgrade target, big POD…….and therefore, a ballsy move!  Even while reading this,
you’re still thinking: ‘He’s too old…..he’s past it……not SC relevant……there are better options!’  Am I right? ;-)

Balls Rating:  He’s the POD in plain sight…….Undercover Brothers!!

Cyril Rioli (HAW) $497,400

2011 – 100 (16)
2012 – 99 (20)
2013 – 88 (13)
2014 – 93 (11)

At the beginning of these articles, I’ve stated that I’m not trying to deter anyone from their starting choices……….I have one exception and his name is Cyril Rioli.  For the sake of your precious 30 trades, I am intentionally trying to deter you from taking Cyril.  Not only in your starting line-up, but altogether as an option during the season.  Happy for Cyril to prove me wrong but I’ll hold my trades in the meantime, thank you!

Come Round One every year, Cyril is either recovering from a hamstring operation or preparing himself for the next one.  Perhaps I’m being a little harsh on the 25 year old. After all, he has played 130+ games in his seven years of AFL.  Since 2012 he hasn’t strung together more than eight consecutive games.  In other words, you burn trades getting him in and again on the way out…….take at your own risk.  The only reason I could think of starting him would be as a fast cash grab & upgrade before his hammies go twang!  (Even in that scenario, it’d mean hoping for a 110+ average to make it worthwhile).  It’s not even a case of IF anymore with his hamstrings, rather a question of WHEN. Surely someone will open a betting market on it soon enough……

Balls Rating:  I don’t even have a balls rating, it’s beyond ballsy, I think it’s a bat-s**t crazy move!

Dale Thomas (CAR) $406,600

2011 – 109 (19)
2012 – 96 (17)
2013 – 79 (5)
2014 – 75 (20)

Mick Malthouse’s favorite son would be the one of the first-picked forwards if he could reproduce that 2011 form.  That’d
be absolute gold in our forward line.  Just look at that steady decline in SC output since 2011.  I know about the ankle troubles and adjusting to a new club, but he just seems a shadow of his former self.  If you’re considering starting with him, then
you must know something the rest of us don’t. That’s a spicy meatball!!

Balls Rating: Dirty Bushwhackers!!

If anyone is going into the season with all three, then like the Great Wall of China, your Maracas can probably be spotted from outer space ;-)  Who are your ‘ballsy’ forwards and why?

Big thank you for reading!  Hope you enjoyed ‘The Ballsy Move’.  And who knows?  Maybe it helped your line-up in some
way.  Thanks again!!

P.S.  Working on a ballsy TEAM at the moment.  I’ll post it in comments when it’s finalised……….

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Complete Rookie Review – All Games

by Badger on March 30, 2015

Done! Slightly reformatted for visual ease and every NAB game with most rookies all in the one spot. I’ll do a TLDR, ‘Badger’s Best Rookies’ in the coming days where we’ll narrow the field down to likely starters by position.

Below, teams are in alphabetical order with their players then sorted by best preseason performances. The ‘Notes’ section is for players slightly above rookie price who impressed.

 

ADELAIDE

  • Cameron Ellis-Yolmen MID, $123.9K

NAB1 SC Score 73. Ellis-Yolmen had 17 disposals, three marks, three tackles and five clearances during 72% time on ground. He was a late pick in the 2011 draft and has played just the one senior game. He keeps improving his numbers in the SANFL and Adelaide offered Ellis-Yolmen a two year contract extension in 2013. A make or break season but with the introduction of a new coach he may get his opportunity this year, particularly if the Crows are readying themselves for the possible departure of one or two stars. Ellis-Yolmen is a big body and ready to go.

NAB2 SC Score 107 with six kicks, 17 handballs (14 contested possessions) at 73% disposal efficiency, three marks, two tackles and six clearances in 69% game time. His preseason to date has been exceptional.

NAB3 SC Score 117 with nine kicks, 17 handballs (a massive 21 contested) with a disposal efficiency of 53%, a clearance, a mark and five tackles and 83% game time. He’s got to be a lock for both Walsh and us you’d think. A starting MID for mine.

 

  • Nathan Van Berlo MID, $215.6K

NAB1 SC Score 59. I’m still leaning towards selecting Van Berlo if he’s named round one. There was talk of him being released from tagging duties so maybe he’ll can get back to the 75+ scores of 2010-2012.

NAB2 SC Score 58 with 13 kicks, 1 handball, six marks, a tackle and a clearance. Another okay game.

NAB3 SC Score 49 with 16 disposals at 56% efficiency, two clearances, three marks and three tackles in 77% game time. Hasn’t shown quite enough in terms of Supercoach at over $215K.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: Jake Kelly – played NAB1, NAB2 and NAB3. Reilly O’Brien – played both NAB1 and NAB2. Keenan Ramsey – played NAB1 and NAB3. Sam Siggins – played NAB1. Harrison Wigg – Very impressive junior numbers so worth keeping an eye on – outside chance of a trade-down target during the season. Played NAB1.

 

BRISBANE

  • Liam Dawson MID $117.3K

NAB1 did not play.

NAB2 SC Score 57 from 68% game time – a nice game with seven kicks, a handball (75% disposal efficiency), five marks and a goal. He’s a good size at 189cm and 83kg and had impressive numbers as a junior.  With Brisbane rebuilding I’m tipping he’ll get quite a few games – just not sure at what stage of the season.

NAB3 SC Score 4 from two disposals in 27% game time.

 

  • Michael Close FWD $211.9K

NAB1 SC Score 50 with five disposals (four contested) at 80% efficiency, three marks and a goal in 58% game time. Played 14 games last year with an average of just 39 SC points in 94 minutes playing time. Not impressive numbers but at just 20 he’s coming into his third preseason. A Key Position player who will improve along with better forward line delivery with the introduction Dayne Beams and Christensen into the team along with Rich’s return. Brisbane are screaming for their current young tall forwards to step up and will be hoping Close and McStay form a potent duo down the track. At this stage the only effective and experienced key forward is an uninjured Staker.

NAB2 SC Score 59 with seven disposals at 71% efficiency (5 contested), two marks, three tackles and a free for in 81% game time.

NAB3 SC Score 37 with nine disposals at 77% efficiency, two marks and three tackles in 71% game time. Not the form line we’re after for a rookie-priced player at over $200K.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: Jaden McGrath played NAB1, NAB2 and NAB3. Michael Close played NAB1, NAB2 and NAB3. Archie Smith played NAB1. Harris Andrews played NAB1.

 

Notes: Brent Staker – Played NAB1 and NAB2 and was subbed out in both. At under $250K he’s worth considering if he goes into Round 1 fit. Brisbane is low on competitive tall forwards and Staker should fill a role. He’s also capable of highish scores and will consistently deliver 70+ when injury-free. A risk I agree, but depending on his preseason and fitness going into round one perhaps a risk worth taking. It worked for us in 2010 where he managed 22 games and a respectable average of 87.6. Did not play NAB3 but got a mention from Johnathon Brown as a player that has had a good preseason. I think Staker will still be their main target forward. Offers good value if he can remain on the park.

 

CARLTON

  • Patrick Cripps MID, $211.4K

NAB1 SC Score 78 with four kicks, 10 handballs (10 contested possessions) at 85% disposal efficiency, four clearances, one mark and six tackles in 61% game time. A lot of positive talk about young Cripps coming out of Carlton. They could certainly use another consistent inside mid and Cripps fits the bill big time. A contested possession rate of 68% shows a willingness to do the dirty work. He’s also monster sized for a MID (193cm and 91kg) and with Brock McLean retired and Juddy likely to spend some time resting forward, Cripps will likely play 20+ games if fit and should score well. For me, I’d prefer to pay north of $200K for a big-bodied or experienced “rookie” with a high ceiling and lots of game time. Hello Cripps – he’s in.

NAB2 SC Score 106 with five kicks, 14 handballs (10 contested possessions) at 63% disposal efficiency, two clearances, two marks and seven tackles in 77% game time. Another great performance which pretty much cements him in both Carlton’s and our midfields I would have thought.

NAB3 SC Score 119 with 12 kicks, 20 handballs (14 contested Possessions) at 62% disposal efficiency, five clearances, six marks, four tackles and two hitouts  in 83% game time. L.O.C.K. Brilliant preseason. Will not be a point of difference.

 

  • Blaine Boekhorst MID, $132.3K

NAB1 SC Score 29. A mature aged rookie taken with a high pick generally screams “put me in your SC team.” Admittedly, he had an average first up hit out against the Eagles, but his dashing run past two opposition players before kicking into the Blues forward 50 showed a glimpse of what Boekhorst is capable of. His disposal efficiency has been a highlight throughout 2014 and I remain convinced he’ll play plenty of games. I’ve still got him pencilled in.

NAB2 SC Score 76 with 10 disposals, four marks (70% disposal efficiency), four tackles, a free for and a goal in 67% game time. A much better game from Boekhorst with more opportunity to show off his pace.

NAB3 SC Score 27 with seven disposals at 85% efficiency, a clearance, a mark and a tackle in 80% game time. Too many higher scoring rookie options ahead of Boekhurst in Supercoach.

 

  • Matthew Dick DEF/MID, $123.9K

NAB1 SC Score 35. Just nine disposals against the Eagles and a poor 44% disposal efficiency. As a dual position rookie available in the backline he’s definitely worth considering. He comes from a great system (Swans) and has the pace that the Blues need. I wonder if the Swans might have regretted delisting Matthew Dick prior to finding out Malceski was off to the Suns. Either way, I think he’ll get games and he’s a big body (187cm/86kg) fully fit for his third preseason. A big improvement in NAB 2 would have him back on the radar.

NAB2 did not play. If he’s not selected or doesn’t play well in NAB3 then look elsewhere.

NAB3 SC Score 51 with 10 disposals at 70% efficiency, a clearance, a mark and three tackles in 86% game time. Hasn’t done enough yet to select in your backline even if he does play Round 1.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: Clem Smith played NAB1, NAB2 and NAB3. Scores were all under 30 SC Points. Rookie Ciaran Byrne played NAB1, NAB2 and NAB3. Dylan Viojo-Rainbow played NAB1. Unlikely to play Round 1 but may provide a trade down target during the season. Tom Fields played NAB1.

 

Notes: Kristian Jaksch – *A somewhat risky pick at just over $260K and his ceiling won’t be Everest-like, but Carlton did target him and he should play plenty of games. He averaged nine disposals last year along with 5+ spoils and is performing well in his third preseason. **Another good game by Jaksch against the Pies with 99 SC Points. ***A quieter game for Jaksch with 52 SC Points from nine kicks at 100% efficiency, two marks, a tackle and two frees against in 98% game time.

 

COLLINGWOOD

  • Nathan Brown BACK, $146.9K

NAB1 SC Score 62. He’s hardly a rookie but he’s definitely priced appropriately. Given the likely lack of playing rookie-priced defenders he remains an option…a very risky option with an unfortunate injury history and a low ceiling. Look, if he played Collingwood’s first two games and scored 60+ in each then you could consider him depending on who you might be moving on and whether the cash allows a more useful trade. Low on my radar at this stage but he was a great defender when on the park early days. I sincerely hope Brown gets on top of his injuries.

NAB2 SC Score 97 with 13 disposals at 84% efficiency, two marks and five tackles. Starting to whet the appetite a bit – he’s priced appropriately and the occasional 75+ SC Score will see his price rise a reasonable amount. He did play 18 and 22 games in 2012 and ’13, and if he’s selected Round 1 with an injury-free preseason under his belt then my earlier comments from NAB1 might best be ignored.

NAB3 SC Score 60 with 10 disposals at 90% efficiency, three marks and three tackles in 90% game time. Proven himself in the preseason as a viable rookie-priced defender.

 

  • Adam Oxley DEF, $123.9K

NAB1 SC Score 34. Oxley was subbed into the game at half time so his 34 points were respectable at his price. Oxley was taken as the 34th selection in the 2013 rookie draft and is still relatively light in frame. 2014 was a write-off due to injury but in 2013 he played 16 VFL games where he averaged over 21 disposals and was impressive enough to be elevated onto the senior list. Worth considering.

NAB2 SC Score 90 with nine kicks, three handballs (91% disposal efficiency), four marks, two tackles and a free kick in 82% game time. Giving himself every chance at selection for Round 1.

NAB3 SC Score 58 with 21 disposals at just 47% efficiency, two clearances, three marks, two tackles and two frees for (one against) in 84% game time. Will be interesting to see if he can hold his place in the team for Round 1.

 

  • Nathan Freeman MID, $123.9K

NAB1 SC Score 56 with eight kicks, five handballs (84% disposal efficiency), a clearance, two marks and a tackle in 53% game time. We’ve all been hearing rave reviews of Freeman’s preseason and at his price he remains high on my list of potential rookies. He’s a strong kid (184cm/85kg) and has been in the leading pack during Collingwood’s time trials. Not only does Freeman have good endurance, he’s also fast and was a great clearance player as a junior. I hope he remains injury free as he has similar attributes to Patrick Dangerfield who I enjoy watching at full flight more than any other player.

NAB2 did not play.

NAB3 did not play. Similar to De Goey, I’m interested to see if Freeman gets more opportunity at the start of the season with Greenwood out. Has great endurance so might get the nod ahead of De Goey.

 

  • Jordan De Goey MID, $202.3K

NAB1 SC Score 66 with four kicks, eight handballs (eight contested possessions), two clearances, two marks, two tackles and a goal in 57% game time. De Goey’s debut for the Pies was impressive. As a new draftee, I like that he has the body shape to cope with plenty of games – as a rule of thumb heavier rookies get the nod in Badger’s team, with the occasional exception of course. Good to note that he scored quite a bit higher in SC compared to DT as well – his disposal efficiency is generally high and he likes the contest. I’m somewhat concerned about him getting the green and red vests and will wait to see how the rest of his NAB challenge pans out. If you’re paying north of $200K then you don’t want the vest to appear regularly.

NAB2 SC Score 44 with seven kicks, one handball (a lower disposal efficiency off 62% this week), three marks, a tackle and a goal in 74% game time.

NAB3 did not play. With Greenwood out for the first part of the season perhaps De Goey will get more game time.

 

  • Patrick Karnezis FWD, $133.5K

NAB1 SC Score 95 with 11 kicks, four handballs (80% disposal efficiency), a clearance, five marks, five tackles and three goals. Fool me once and all that…but I’m okay with being fooled twice by Karnezis as I think his upside is very high. He has an AFL ready body and Collingwood need all the help they can get with midfield rotations and goal scoring. He’s an accurate kick and booted over 30 goals in an injury-interrupted 2014 in the VFL. There’s that, and he looked awesome against the Hawks in NAB1.

NAB2 SC Score 44 with seven disposals, a clearance, two marks and two tackles in 69% game time. Not the momentum I was cheering for but he should play plenty of games and with a high ceiling he only needs one big score in the rolling three-round average for a nice price rise. He’s hanging on in my forward line for now.

NAB3 did not play. It’s a fickle game is Supercoach. Out. For now…maybe a trade down target mid-season. Anyway, my earlier predictions of Supercoach stardom were premature but I remain hopeful he becomes a rookie-priced option for us at some stage.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: Jackson Ramsay played NAB1, NAB2 and NAB3. Mason Cox played NAB2.

 

Notes: Corey Gault has put in two great performances now in NAB1 and NAB2. Quiet game as sub NAB3.

 

ESSENDON

  • Lauchlan Dalgleish DEF $145.1K

NAB1 SC Score 52. Dalgleish had 11 disposals at 81% efficiency, four marks and two tackles in an okay game against the Saints. His strength has always been his use of the ball and blistering pace, and his preseason has been very impressive as well as injury free. Interesting to note that it was under James Hird that Dalgleish got promoted from the rookie to senior list late in 2013.

NAB2 SC Score 106 with 13 kicks, nine handballs (95% disposal efficiency), a clearance and seven marks. A fantastic game and one of Essendon’s best on ground, Dalgleish did his chances of senior action no harm at all. May be first point of call if any of the running backs need a rest or lose form.

NAB3 SC Score 62 with seven kicks, two handballs, (55% disposal efficiency), three marks, a tackle and two goals in 75% game time. If opposition supporters didn’t know who Dalgleish was or what he offered then they do now if they saw the game – what an amazing goal. And he capped it off with the winner after a Viney error. Still a risky pick with so many running defenders to choose from at Essendon but he’ll definitely get games at some stage.

 

  • Kyle Langford FWD $142.3K

NAB1 SC Score 37. A very exciting player and has impressed Essendon in his first preseason. A quiet first game against St Kilda but applied good pressure in the forward line with five tackles. Should get some games throughout the season.

NAB2 SC Score 78 with 12 disposals at 83% efficiency, a clearance, four marks, three frees for (one against), a tackle and two goals. A great game from Langford who will likely have stints in Essendon’s forward line playing a similar role to Hawthorn’s Jack Gunston. Could be competing with Paddy Ambrose for a regular spot in 2015, but at just 76kg on a 190cm frame he’ll be rested even if considered best 22.

NAB3 SC Score 29 in a much quieter game than NAB2. Six disposals, three marks, a tackle and a goal in 83% game time.

 

  • Jason Ashby DEF $220.4K

NAB1 SC Score 72. Ashby had 16 disposals (75% efficiency), five marks, two tackles, a free for and a goal. He’s developing nicely and has had some impressive performances in Essendon’s VFL team in 2014. He may share opportunities in and out of the team with Marty Gleeson and Dalgleish if injury or poor form affects the likes of Baguley, Hibberd or Dempsey.

NAB2 SC Score 70 with 16 possessions (11 uncontested), a clearance, a mark, four tackles and a goal. A solid game but with a choice of Baguley, Hibberd, Dempsey, Gleeson, Dalgleish and occasionally Winderlich down back, unless Hird does some serious manoeuvring (Baguley has trained a lot in the forward line and can apparently kick goals from anywhere and his tackling pressure would be welcome / there’s talk of Hibberd playing further up the ground / Winderlich will be used sparingly), then Ashby may be in and out of the team and is too risky in Supercoach at over $220K.

NAB3 SC Score 54 with 15 disposals at 66% efficiency, five marks, three tackles and two frees against (one for) in 91% game time. Similar job security to Dalgleish.

 

  • Nick O’Brien MID, $123.9K

NAB1 SC Score 83. Against the Saints, O’Brien had 22 disposals at 72% efficiency (eight contested), four marks, three tackles and three clearances. He is a very well-liked player at the Bombers whose work ethic is applauded. He’s coming into his fourth season at 21 and is a big body (188cm/92kg) who can run all day. With Heath Hocking injured and unable to complete a solid preseason, O’Brien may be given the opportunity as a run-with player depending on Hird’s plans for Melksham. O’Brien has definitely shown he can find the ball in the VFL.

NAB2 SC Score 62 with 14 disposals (seven contested), a clearance, four marks, three tackles along with three frees for and three against. Made a few errors but it was a tough day at the office for most Essendon players. Apart from Hocking, I can only see Melksham or O’Brien likely in that order playing a similar role (Aylett would have been a chance but has injured his hamstring).

NAB3 did not play.

 

  • Shaun Edwards DEF $123.9K

NAB1 SC Score 79. The athletically gifted Edwards found the ball 15 times at 73% efficiency with five marks, a tackle, three goals and a clearance. Edwards will get games this year as his best is eye-catching but the scores will yo-yo and he may be in and out of the team.

NAB2 SC Score 34. Yep, the score yo-yoed. Just five touches, a mark, two tackles and two frees against.

NAB3 SC Score 63 with 11 disposals at 63% efficiency, two tackles, two frees for and a goal in 83% game time. X factor. Still not sure of his place in the team.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: Elliot Kavanagh – has improved his endurance but both NAB performances have been underwhelming with low disposal efficiency. I haven’t given up on him turning things around eventually. *Had a good performance against the Dees with 99 SC points from 16 kicks, five handballs (52% disposal efficiency), three clearances, three marks, four tackles, a hitout and two frees for in 79% game time. Will need to do this consistently before being considered. Orasio Fantasia played NAB2. *NAB3 was a very good game with 79 SC Points from 17 disposals and two goals in 69% game time. Will Hams played NAB3. Jayden Laverde played NAB3.

 

FREMANTLE

  • Connor Blakely MID, $117.3K

NAB1 SC Score 8 with just two touches and a mark in 48% game time.

NAB2 SC Score 61 with 11 disposals (5 contested) at 90% efficiency, a mark and two tackles in 58% game time. A chance at some games but won’t be a regular with Freo gunning for Top 4 again.

NAB3 SC Score 47 with 11 disposals (six contested) at 90% efficiency in 68% game time.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: Tanner Smith played NAB1, NAB2 and NAB3. Max Duffy played NAB2 and NAB3. Michael Apeness played NAB1 and NAB2 and was very quiet in both. Jack Hannath played NAB1 and NAB3.

 

Notes: Clancee Pearce – sensational against the Dees with 14 kicks, five handballs (84% disposal efficiency), nine marks, three tackles, two frees for and 118 SC points. He only managed nine games last year and averaged 28 less minutes per game than 2013 resulting in a very low price for what he can deliver if he finds form. A much quieter game against the Swans in NAB2 with seven possies from 68% game time but bounced back in NAB3 playing a run-with role where he found the ball 20 times at 90% efficiency. An interesting prospect at $278.9K and might find himself being used as a run-with player in the mould of Kane Cornes as opposed to Ryan Crowley.

Tom Sheridan is a tad over $243K and at 98% game time in NAB3 he had the ball 27 times at 96% efficiency (massive achievement considering the amount of times he had the footy). He also took nine marks along with three tackles, a goal, a free for and two clearances. A brilliant game just before Round 1 but keep in mind his two prior preseason games weren’t as spectacular with 49 points from 11 disposals in 75% game time NAB1 and 46 from 13 disposals in 83% game time NAB2.

 

GEELONG

  • Mitch Clark FWD, $155.2K

NAB1 SC Score 66. Played 89 minutes and kicked a couple goals along with nine disposals (six contested), two marks and two tackles. The upside with Clark is just too damn high to ignore. He was magnificent for Melbourne in 2012 marking nearly everything kicked in his vicinity, and considering the irregular and poor forward delivery he did well to average 84 SC points. If he can stay fit and improve as the season goes on Clark may prove a brilliant pickup for Geelong playing next to the Tomahawk. Given the Cats injury-curse with Rucks he could even play some minutes in the ruck. I still remember round three of 2009 when Clark took over Ruck duties for the Lions after Leuenberger’s injury – from then until round 22 he averaged 24 hitouts and 17 disposals and was sensational, especially for a 21 year old. I know I know, I’m living in the past and relying on former glory but he’s an exceptional talent Mitch and at 27 in a great environment like Geelong he could surprise the sceptics. I sincerely wish him all the best, as I also hope Lumumba proves a great pickup for Melbourne.

NAB2 SC Score 160. Mitch was absolutely epic against the Crows and if he’s not in 100% of teams if named Round 1 then something’s amiss. With 12 kicks, five handballs (10 contested possessions) at 100% disposal efficiency, six marks (four contested), a tackle, five hitouts, two frees for (one against), SIX GOALS and a clearance, we were all reminded of what he is capable of as a forward…and now as a forward in a great team like the Cats. Good luck Key Defenders minding Hawkins and Clark.

NAB3 SC Score 95 with 11 disposals (seven contested) at 72% efficiency, three marks, four tackles, nine hitouts, two frees for, three frees against and three goals in 86% game time. Good to see him getting some ruck minutes as well. This selection could be a masterstroke by Geelong. If their midfield can start humming along with a decent increase in clearances then look out.

 

  • Nakia Cockatoo MID, $177.3K

NAB1 SC Score 55. In 57 minutes Cockatoo had 10 disposals at 80% efficiency (six contested) as well as two marks and six tackles. A nice debut and like Darcy Lang he has plenty of speed. Will certainly provide us with some highlights when he gets games, and he’s a big enough body to cope with senior footy at 186cm and 86kg. Has the attributes to become a star just like fellow #10 draft pick Dangerfield in ’07 (how Danger got to pick 10 I’ll never know).

NAB2 SC Score 77 with 15 disposals (six contested) at 80% efficiency, two clearances, seven marks, two tackles, a hitout and a beautiful supergoal. Showed off his pace and may have locked himself into Geelong’s 22 with the outside speed they require.

NAB3 SC Score 42 with seven disposals at 100% efficiency, two marks, four tackles, a free for and two against in 77% game time. He’s going to be an exciting player to watch but the scores aren’t high enough yet to select as a mid in Supercoach.

 

  • Darcy Lang MID, $159.1K

NAB1 SC Score 83. It took just 66 minutes for Lang to gather 14 possessions at 57% efficiency, two marks, five tackles and a couple goals. He’s had a thorough preseason increasing his fitness and possesses the outside pace that Geelong could use more of. Pick 16 in the 2013 draft and completing his second preseason. 183cm and 75kg so not the heavyset rookie mid I usually recruit in Supercoach but there could be a place for Lang in Geelong’s line-up.

NAB2 SC Score 42 with six disposals at 100% efficiency, a clearance, one mark and three tackles in 66% game time. Not spectacular against Adelaide but he did his job and remains a chance at senior selection.

NAB3 SC Score 54 with seven disposals (five contested) at 100% efficiency, a clearance, a mark, three tackles and three frees for in 75% game time. Impressive to consider his last 13 disposals (across two games) have been 100% effective.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: Sam Blease – played NAB1 and NAB2. Cory Gregson played NAB1, NAB2 and NAB3. Jake Kolodjashnij played NAB1. Shane Kersten played NAB1 and NAB2. Michael Luxford played NAB1. Jed Bews played NAB1, NAB2 and NAB3. Dean Gore played NAB1. Padraig Lucey played NAB1.

 

GOLD COAST

  • Touk Miller MID, $117.3K

NAB1 SC Score 71. Played well on the weekend and had 11 disposals (81% efficiency), two marks, three tackles and a goal in 72% game time. He likes the contest and is 178cm and 83kg meaning he’s heavy enough for Badger to select. Amazing junior performances and a natural leader, Miller should get quite a few games and has the endurance to be given plenty of game time.

NAB2 SC Score 71. Another impressive performance from Miller with 13 disposals (eight contested), four tackles, a goal and three clearances in just 68% game time. Pencil him in.

NAB3 SC Score 77 with 13 disposals (six contested) at 69% efficiency, two marks, six tackles, a free for and a goal in 69% game time. Miller has proven himself a viable rookie-priced option with three very solid hitouts. At under $120K he’s great value in Supercoach.

 

  • Adam Saad DEF/MID, $102.4K

NAB1 SC Score 67 with 13 disposals at 69% efficiency and two tackles in 67% game time. He was impressive against the Cats. A mature age recruit who has been playing against men in the VFL since 2012, Saad is athletically gifted and posted a 2.81 time in the 20 metre sprint as a junior. With a good mix of inside and outside ability he’s definitely a chance at senior action this year – if so he could post some nice scores along the way. Seems a bargain pick at 25 in the Rookie Draft.

NAB2 SC Score 69. Saad had 16 disposals at 75% efficiency, four marks and a tackle in 72% game time. Two good performances in a row.

NAB3 SC Score 61 with 15 disposals (seven contested) at 67% efficiency, a clearance, a mark, three tackles in 61% game time. With dual position status, a mature body and three solid preseason games he’s the right price. Recently promoted off the rookie list.

 

  • Jarrod Garlett MID, $152.3K

NAB1 SC Score 80. In 67 minutes Garlett impressed with two goals, seven disposals (four contested), three marks, five tackles and two frees for. Not bad considering he played a bit of time against Corey Enright. I still have a preference for the bigger bodies or experienced rookie priced players (Garlett is a first year player at just 69kg) but he has some tricks and was a high draft pick.

NAB2 SC Score 24 with just five disposals at 40% efficiency and a tackle in 76% game time.

NAB3 SC Score 35 with nine disposals at 66% efficiency, a mark and two tackles in 72% game time. Not enough to consider as a rookie MID.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: Alex Sexton played NAB1 and NAB3. Great first up game but a disappointing last two weeks having missed NAB2 and a poor showing in NAB3. Rookie Keegan Brooksby played NAB1 and NAB2. Josh Hall played NAB1 and NAB2. Henry Schade played NAB1 and NAB2. Jack Leslie played NAB1 and NAB2. Rookie Louie Herbert played NAB1. Rookie Josh Glenn played NAB2. Rookie Jarred Ellis played NAB2.

 

GREATER WESTERN SYDNEY

  • Cameron McCarthy FWD $210.7K

NAB1 SC Score 47 (21% game time from just the last quarter) – unbelievable game from McCarthy with seven disposals at 85% efficiency (four contested), three marks and three goals. Patton unfortunately out with a knee, Boyd at the kennel and McCarthy putting on performances like this make him a potential forward bench option. Top 15 draft pick from 2013 and 20 years at 195cm and 83kg – there seemed to be a lot of Interstate clubs at GWS second game against Essendon paying close attention to McCarthy.

NAB2 SC Score 118 (73% game time) – another brilliant performance from young Cameron McCarthy. I’m tipping GWS will be pumping as many games into the kid as his inexperienced body can handle. From 73% game time McCarthy had nine kicks, two handballs (five contested possessions) at 72% disposal efficiency, six marks (two contested), three tackles, a free for and three goals. Manned up with Josh Freezer for most of the game who had his hands full due to GWS’ midfield dominance and quality delivery. I can’t wait for NAB3 to see how he goes against Sydney’s big men. Yes, McCarthy is on the higher end of rookie pricing and may not make our starting forward six, but he’s just the type to have an occasional blinder and jump up in value. Job done.

NAB3 SC Score 39 with eight disposals at 75% efficiency, six marks, two tackles and a goal in 68% game time. A quieter game against quality opposition but I think McCarthy has done enough to be selected early in the season.

 

  • Jack Steele FWD/MID $117.3K

NAB1 SC Score 19 (just 29% game time) – he’s a good egg so let’s see what he does with more game time in NAB2.

NAB2 SC Score 87 after being given a bigger go at it against the Dons. Impressive game with three kicks, eight handballs (four contested possessions), two clearances, one mark, six tackles and two goals. He’s a strong lad at 188cm and 86kg and his junior numbers are something to behold. A great user of the ball and definitely a bargain pick at 24. I wonder how high he would have gone in the draft if he wasn’t zoned to GWS via Canberra.

NAB3 did not play. GWS are no longer the team that plays all the kids – and internally they won’t view 2015 as another year of solely development…they’ll be gunning for 7th to 11th and may view anything less as a disappointment. With new star recruit Ryan Griffen at Mumford’s feet, the ultra-consistent Patful down back coupled with the natural improvement from their young guns (plenty of first round draft picks) as well as captain Phil Davis and superstar forward Jeremy Cameron completing excellent preseasons, I wouldn’t be surprised if they just snuck into the eight (although I’m tipping them to finish 11th > 13th).

 

  • Andrew Phillips RUCK $210.7K

NAB1 SC Score 63. Out of the rucks on GWS list, Phillips seems the most likely to get games supporting Mumford. With just one ruck bench spot it would be wise to fill it with someone who should get games. He had nine disposals, two marks, a tackle, 18 hitouts and a free for in 77% game time. At 23, 201cm and weighing 96kg, Phillips is very athletic and has a history of effective taps. Worth considering.

NAB2 SC Score 43 with just three disposals across 78% game time. Probably not convincing enough to pay over $200K at the start of the season and it would be difficult to wait until his third game with just one ruck rookie spot and trades at a premium. Perhaps a RUCK/FWD non-playing cheapie with RUCK cover in the forward line such as Bellchambers. Rucks are definitely proving a difficult decision this year and whoever nails it from Day 1 will have a massive advantage.

NAB3 did not play.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: James Stewart – played NAB2 – probably competing with Cameron McCarthy who’s had a cracker preseason. Stewart is a chance at coming into the team if McCarthy gets tired or loses form but no chance at Round 1. Aidan Corr played NAB1, NAB2 and NAB3. Jake Barrett played NAB2 – the perfect project player who has a rugby background and a knack for the contest, endurance, a great work ethic and impressive numbers in the NEAFL. Tracking nicely and might get a few games in the latter part of the season. Tim Golds played NAB2. Tom Downie played NAB1 and NAB2.

 

HAWTHORN

  • Jed Anderson MID, $141.4K

NAB1 SC Score 110. Wow! What an impressive performance against the Pies; 26 disposals, four marks, two tackles, a free for, a goal and a hitout…he can do it all. Strong suggestions out of Hawthorn that he is easily a best 22 player and has had a super preseason. Jed was a NT zoned player that GWS recruited for their TAC Cup team where he won All-Australian selection in 2011 and he was traded to Hawthorn in exchange for Stephen Gilham in 2013. Anderson was good enough in his debut year to be selected for Hawthorn’s first final, and his non-sub-affected scores for the year were 46 (first full game), 92 and 78. I’m tipping this guy will be in 95% of teams come round 1, and a season average of 75+ won’t surprise me at all.

NAB2 SC Score 69 with 17 disposals (seven contested), two marks and a tackle. Not quite as spectacular as his game against the Pies but still solid.

NAB3 SC Score 65 with 15 disposals (seven contested) at 60% efficiency, a clearance, three marks and three tackles in 80% game time. A solid conclusion to a fantastic preseason for Anderson. Here’s hoping he’s selected in Round 1 without the green attire.

 

  • Alex Woodward MID, $197.8K

NAB1 SC Score 73. Another impressive performance from one of Hawthorn’s younger players. Woodward had 12 disposals (8 contested) and a game high six tackles along with two frees for. He loves to fight for the ball and having Sam Mitchell as a mentor won’t hurt his chances of becoming an excellent player. After two knee reco’s Woodward managed to play 16 VFL games in 2014 and was rewarded the VFL’s best and fairest. If he’s named round one I’d be happy to pay nearly $200K for him.

NAB2 SC Score 45 with nine disposals (five contested), two marks, a tackle and two frees for in just 19% game time. He’s a good egg.

NAB3 did not play.

 

  • Johnathon O’Rourke MID, $206.3K

NAB1 did not play.

NAB2 SC Score 56 with 11 disposals at 81% efficiency, four marks, a tackle and two goals in 70% game time.

NAB3 SC Score 79 with 19 disposals at 63% efficiency, a clearance, four marks, two tackles and a goal in 78% game time. Initially, not someone I’d considered as likely to get games at Hawthorn but he’s been solid in their final two NAB hitouts. Game 3 was against a very inexperienced side in St Kilda but O’Rourke has done his chances of selection no harm. Still a bit pricey for a player that may be in and out or at risk of the green and orange vests.

 

  • Billy Hartung MID, $195.8K

NAB1 SC Score 55. At just 68 kilos and winning most of his ball on the outside, Hartung is just the sort of player I typically cross off my team list. If he was closer to $100K and could avoid the vest I’d consider. That said though, I think he’ll be a jet in a few years’ time.

NAB2 SC Score 64 with 13 disposals (five contested) at 77% efficiency, two marks, a tackle and two clearances in just 42% game time.

NAB3 did not play.

 

  • James Sicily FWD, $123.9K

NAB1 SC Score 52. If anger and intensity scored SC points then Sicily would be a top 5 player for sure. Unfortunately, when you have Breust and Gunston in the team only injury or rest will likely result in games for Sicily. According to Hawks supporters he’s had a great preseason but I think there are better forward rookies available.

NAB2 did not play.

NAB3 SC Score 29 after being subbed into game in the third. He had eight disposals at 87% efficiency, two marks, a free for and a goal in 42% game time.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: Jared Hardisty played NAB1. A ball magnet as a junior with high disposal efficiency and a body ready for AFL (179cm/88kgs. Teia Miles played well in his only preseason game NAB1. Mark Pittonet has played both games so far. Almost no chance of games this year being a first year ruck with more mature options in front of him. Dallas Willsmore just the one game NAB1. Sam Grimley just the one game NAB1. Daniel Howe has played both games. Jermain Miller-Lewis played NAB1. Kaiden Brand played NAB1 before a serious shoulder injury.

 

MELBOURNE

  • Ben Newton MID, $215K

NAB1 SC Score 55 (in a half of footy) – Another Melbourne rookie-priced player that is front of mind for a lot of us, Newton had eight disposals and a goal in the first quarter. He was subbed off at half time after receiving a cut to his head and finished with 13 possessions (86% disposal efficiency and six contested), two clearances, a mark, two tackles, a free for and a goal. Newton showed why Port Adelaide were hesitant to trade him in the first place and looks to be worth the premium rookie price.

NAB2 SC Score 84 from seven kicks, 12 handballs at 79% disposal efficiency, two clearances, three marks, a tackle and a free for from 70% game time. At 22 years of age with a mature body and completing his fifth preseason, Newton is ready to have an immediate impact and will be in a lot of Supercoach teams.

NAB3 SC Score 65 with 17 disposals at 76% efficiency, two clearances, five marks and four tackles in 68% game time. If you compare his SC scores to his game time then he’s on track to rise significantly in value. Well worth the $215K price tag with three good performances with high disposal efficiency. Easily best 22.

 

  • Christian Salem FWD $185K

NAB1 SC Score 40 with nine disposals, a mark, two tackles and three clearances in 92% game time. A slightly disappointing game for Salem who has apparently had a fantastic preseason and was impressive in intraclub games. He’s just the sort of young player I usually avoid in Supercoach being light of frame with a bias towards uncontested possessions. He’s obviously highly skilled though and could end up an absolute jet in a few years.

NAB2 SC Score 132 with 18 kicks, six handballs (16 uncontested possessions) at 79% disposal efficiency, nine marks, six tackles and one free for. A brilliant game rebounding from defence and a reminder why Melbourne took him at #9 in the 2013 draft. Nice to see his ceiling is high but I’d like a repeat performance against Essendon before committing.

NAB3 SC Score 84 from 14 kicks, six handballs (70% disposal efficiency), a clearance, five marks, five tackles and two frees for in 79% game time. Two very nice performances leading into Round 1 and enjoying the switch into the Dees backline. Roosy’s new Malceski maybe?

 

  • Aaron Vandenberg MID $127.9K

NAB1 SC Score 62 (in just 48% game time) – Vandenberg came on in the second half and had a big impact with seven kicks, two handballs (88% disposal efficiency), four marks, three tackles and a goal. He’s 23 and stands 189cm/87kgs meaning he’s ready to mix it with the big boys. Vandenberg’s NEAFL numbers are simply extraordinary having averaged 32 disposals in 2014 with just over half of those contested. He also kicks goals as shown in his half of footy against the Dockers. If he gets promoted and named then it becomes a no-brainer. Hopefully he gets a full game against the Doggies.

NAB2 SC Score8 but had just 15% time on ground after copping a hit to the head.

NAB3 SC Score 91 with 14 disposals (10 contested) at 71% efficiency, six tackles, two frees for (one against) and two goals in 73% game time. His running goal was magnificent and showed off his pace. Vandenberg seems to have it all; size, speed, loves the contest, kicks goals, can find a lot of the footy playing MID and is versatile enough to play forward. Lock him in Roosy.

 

  • Jesse Hogan FWD, $130.4K

NAB1 SC Score 65. Hogan showed some good signs against Freo with 11 possessions, six marks, a tackle and a goal. He’ll obviously play a lot this year and at his price will be a popular choice. There was some concerns around a foot injury this week but he has been named in the squad to play Western Bulldogs on Saturday.

NAB2 SC Score 42 in three quarters of footy (62% game time) with seven disposals at 86% efficiency, three marks, one free for and a goal.

NAB3 SC Score 52 with 11 disposals (5 contested) at 72% efficiency, a clearance, six marks and a free for in 87% game time. He’s the right price Jesse and will be selected as a rookie-priced player in a lot of teams…but there’s plenty of keepers on offer in the forward line and MID rookies who offer more value. Depends on your team structure but I’m not sure there’s room for Hogan in Badger’s 30.

 

Notes: Jeff Garlett –at just under $260K Garlett could be worth a spot in you forward line. He’s shown in the past he’s capable of big scores and from 2010 > 2013 averaged between 72 and 78 which would have him priced north of $380K and up to around $415K. *Great recent performance in NAB2 with 118 SC points. **Another good performance in NAB3.

 

NORTH MELBOURNE

NO rookie-priced players for a write-up.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: Trent Dumont played NAB1 – surprised he didn’t get further opportunity in NAB2 and NAB3. May provide a trade-down target during the season as he’s a very good player and at 187cm and 85kg has the body to compete. Max Warren played NAB1. Daniel Nielsen played NAB1.

 

Notes: Jamie Macmillan – just six games last year due to injury. He played 22 games in 2013 and averaged 73 which would have him priced at $391K compared to his 2015 start price of $279.9K – I think he’s still best 22. Scored 71 and 93 in NAB1 and NAB2. Subbed out in NAB3 at 44 in 61% game time.  Ben Jacobs – looked good against the Crows and had brilliant VFL form 2014. Has now played all three preseason games with SC Scores of 80, 60 and 54. Joel Tippett is just outside rookie-pricing and scored 60, 26 and 59.

 

PORT ADELAIDE

  • John Butcher FWD, $209.3K

NAB1 SC Score 46 with seven disposals (five contested) at 42% efficiency, three marks and a goal in 86% game time against WCE.

NAB2 SC Score 21 with just four kicks, a clearance and three marks in 76% game time against Richmond. The ball didn’t get to the Power’s forward line all that much with a very inexperienced line-up – won’t happen during the home and away rounds with Port’s big men receiving some of the best forward 50 entries in the comp.

NAB3 SC Score 69 with seven kicks at 71% efficiency, six marks, a tackle and five goals in 86% game time. Butcher put his hand up as a viable option for Hinkley and may get early season games as a result. With Ryder’s likely return either by Round 1 or early season it may prove difficult for him to hold his place in the team though.

 

  • Tom Clurey DEF, $150K

NAB1 SC Score 45. Clurey will become a best 22 Defender at some stage in the future but perhaps not 2015. He is one of Port Adelaide’s best runners and has excellent disposal efficiency. At $150K he represents good value for a key defender that is capable of multiple effective spoils and good use of the ball – but you’d only select Clurey if selected for his third game after good performances in the two prior matches. Possibly a trade down target during the season but be mindful of Jackson Trengove’s return from injury at some stage and even Paul Stewart’s impressive preseason performances in defence.

NAB2 SC Score 71 with 10 possessions at 90% efficiency, three marks, a tackle and a goal. Quite a few effective spoils too.

NAB3 SC Score 13 with five disposals and three marks in 40% game time. Not the final preseason hitout we were looking for with few rookie-priced defenders and Clurey a reasonably low priced option. Unlikely especially with Jackson Trengove’s imminent return.

 

  • Nathan Krakouer FWD/MID $106.9K

NAB1 SC Score 42 in just 38% game time. Krakouer had five kicks, two handballs (100% disposal efficiency) and a mark in a nice return to AFL football. As a dual position player he will be useful in Supercoach for structural purposes and is a very nice price. We all know that he is capable of high scores as demonstrated in 2009 and a return to his beloved SA and to be back in a familiar environment at the Power can only be good news. Obviously, with Port one of the few flag favourites it will be a difficult 22 to crack into but he may prove a handy in-season trade if selected.

NAB2 SC Score 78 with nine kicks, one handball (80% disposal efficiency) and two marks in just 54% game time. Even with low game time, Krakouer has shown the ability to slot straight back in senior AFL action if selected.

NAB3 did not play.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: Karl Amon has played NAB1 and NAB2. Brendan Ah Chee has played NAB1 and NAB2. Even if opportunity arises through injury within Port’s midfield I think Aaron Young would be given the nod ahead of Ah Chee. Sam Gray has played NAB1 and NAB2. Darcy Byrne-Jones played NAB2. Johann Wagner played NAB2. Douglas Howard played NAB2. Jesse Palmer played NAB2. Sam Russell played NAB2. Mitch Harvey played NAB2.

 

Notes: Aaron Young played in almost all of Port’s games in the second half of 2014 but did not gain a finals berth. When he escaped the vests he posted reasonable SC scores for a low-priced option. He is a dual position FWD/MID and is worth keeping an eye on.

Paul Stewart – at just over $260K Stewart (FWD in Supercoach) has put in two very impressive performances playing defence in both NAB Challenge games. His SANFL disposal efficiency in season 2014 was excellent and he demonstrated this in NAB1 (104SC) against the Eagles with 100% effectiveness from 11 kicks and five handballs as well as two marks, three tackles, a free for, a clearance and a team-high amount of effective spoils all in 73% game time. NAB2 saw Stewart start back again – he finished with 20 disposals at 75% efficiency, seven marks and a tackle. Looking forward to NAB3 to see if he’s selected. Quiet NAB3 as SUB in just 26% game time. Unlikely.

 

RICHMOND

  • Ben Lennon FWD, $180.4K

NAB1 SC Score 73. Lennon had 16 disposals at 75% efficiency (13 kicks which is nice to see), two marks and two tackles during 77% game time. Lennon is a great user of the ball and he’d be hoping to escape the green vest and play more games this year. If he achieves both outcomes he’d be a great addition to your team.

NAB2 SC Score 77 with 14 disposals at a poor 50% efficiency (unusual for Lennon who’s a good user of the ball), five marks, two goals with one of those a nine-pointer. If he has another good game in NAB3 then he’s got to be a good chance at Round 1 selection.

NAB3 SC Score 48 with 12 disposals (six contested) at 58% efficiency, five marks, a free for and a goal in 83% game time. I’ve got him pencilled into my forward line.

 

  • Kamdyn McIntosh DEF, $123.9K

NAB1 did not play.

NAB2 SC Score 71 with nine kicks, six handballs (60% disposal efficiency), a clearance, three marks, four tackles and a free for in 84% game time. Started in defence then switched to play as a defensive forward.

NAB3 SC Score 77 with 10 kicks, seven handballs (70% disposal efficiency), three frees against, six marks and a goal in 88% time one ground. McIntosh was pick 31 in 2012 and stands 192cm and 87kg. His two NAB games have been impressive playing as a defensive forward and he now provides us a rookie-priced option in our Supercoach defence. Keep in mind that he had a relatively inconsistent year in the VFL and Newman will likely return to the side in the early rounds. Possibility of Hardwick playing McIntosh ahead of one of the RUCK/FWD types with Maric able to handle a heavy work load.

 

  • Kane Lambert MID/FWD, $102.4K

NAB1 SC Score 85. At that price and with dual position status you certainly have to consider Lambert. He also happens to be mature age and a bit of a ball magnet. Against the Doggies he had 15 disposals at 80% efficiency (eight contested), four marks and five tackles – all that in 65% game time. I still can’t figure out if there’s a place in Richmond’s midfield for him though.

NAB2 SC Score 50 with 12 disposals, two marks and a goal in 60% game time. Not as noticeable against Port with some of Richmond’s usual suspects dominating the possession count.

NAB3 SC Score 41 with 10 disposals at 50% efficiency, a clearance, three marks, a free for and a goal in 71% game time. Not quite convinced but close, especially as a FWD selection in SC.

 

  • Nathan Drummond MID, $117.3K

NAB1 SC Score 45. Average game in NAB 1. Drummond is a mature age recruit and stands 182cm and 84kg. He has very good endurance and is a nice kick of the ball. He had a brilliant final year in the TAC Cup and won the best and fairest for the Murray Bushrangers. At 20 years of age and with some excellent football ability he may get some games with the Tigers this year.

NAB2 did not play.

NAB3 did not play.

 

  • Reece McKenzie FWD, $117.3K

NAB1 SC Score 42. Already a monster-sized 197cm and 107kg. In just 37 minutes game time McKenzie had five possessions at 80% efficiency (three contested), a mark, a tackle, a free for and a shot at goal for a point. Nice start I reckon and his 2014 junior numbers were unbelievable, especially for a guy who took the previous year off to pursue basketball. He’s fast, has an excellent vertical leap and a background in basketball (we all know recruiters love kids with basketball backgrounds…spatial awareness and all that). Apart from his endurance, which can be worked on, I have no idea what the other knocks on his game are to slide to pick 77. I hope he gets some game time this year – he has the size, speed and confidence to mix it with the big boys.

NAB2 did not play.

NAB3 did not play.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players:  Liam McBean played NAB1 and NAB2. Nathan Gordon played NAB1 and NAB2. Todd Elton played NAB1 and NAB2. Jason Castagna played NAB1. Jayden Short played NAB1. Dan Butler played NAB1.

 

ST KILDA

  • Jack Lonie FWD, $117.3K

NAB1 SC Score 54. Lonie started as sub against the Lions and came on late in the second quarter. An impressive SC score from just 59% game time and a tidy 71% disposal efficiency. I remain slightly concerned with putting 18 year olds that weigh less than 70kg into my SC side – generally, they don’t get a lot of game time nor win their own ball. However, based on Lonie’s junior career he could prove the exception to the rule and the Saints will give him plenty of games (with nice green and red vests thrown in).

NAB2 SC Score 105 from 17 disposals at 82% efficiency, three marks, two tackles, a free for and a goal. Another excellent game from Lonie. Has to be a strong consideration for one of your forward bench spots.

NAB3 SC Score 33 with eight disposals at 50% efficiency, three tackles and a hitout from 76% game time. I wouldn’t call it crashing back down to Earth when you’re playing against the reigning premier but it was a quieter game for Lonie.

 

  • Ahmed Saad FWD, $151.1K

NAB1 SC Score 41. Saad is a decent small forward and at a touch over $150K is worthy of Supercoach selection if promoted off the rookie list. Saad can regularly score 80-90 SC points when on song but he needs to find a bit more ball to lock in a best 22 spot – the Saints are rebuilding and Alan Richardson will continue to pump games into the kids. Saad could be competing for a small forward role against the likes of Templeton, Minchington and Lonie.

NAB2 SC Score 72 with 10 disposals, two marks, four tackles and a goal.

NAB3 SC Score 48 with eight kicks, three handballs (82% disposal efficiency), a clearance, five marks, three tackles and two frees against in 75% game time.

 

  • Tim Membrey FWD, $172K

NAB1 SC Score 28. Kicked the first goal but only managed six possies across 83% game time. Not a great sign but Membrey remains firmly in my sites. He’s come from a good system up north (Swans) and posted some exceptional and consistent scoring in the NEAFL. I reckon there’s room for TM to lock in a spot in the Saints forward-line and at 188cm, 89kg and onto his third preseason he’s ready-made.

NAB2 SC Score 72 with 10 disposals (five contested) at 71% efficiency, four marks, a tackle and a goal. I’ll be waiting to see his NAB3 performance and Round 1 teams before seriously considering.

NAB3 SC Score 40 with seven disposals, a mark, three tackles, two hitouts and a free for in 86% game time. Tough opposition but with just one good game in the preseason I’m not yet convinced.

 

  • Paddy McCartin FWD, $222.3K

NAB1 SC Score 62. It was a good hit out for McCartin in his first competitive outing for the Saints. A future gun for sure, and could potentially make an impact against the lower sides this year. But at north of $220K, as a young key position player (admittedly he’s a monster for an 18 year old at 194cm and an impressive 96kg) and with the Saints young midfield unlikely to provide silver service with potential low forward entry numbers, I can’t see Paddy making my team.

NAB2 SC Score 25 in a quiet game with just four kicks, two marks and a goal.

NAB3 SC Score 40 with 8 disposals (four contested) at 87% efficiency, a mark, two tackles, two frees for and a goal in 87% game time. Just too expensive to take the risk for a young key position player.

 

  • Hugh Goddard DEF/FWD $122.3K

NAB1 did not play.

NAB2 SC Score 56 with nine disposals at 100% efficiency, five marks, a hitout and a number of effective spoils in 86% game time. At 196cm and 94kg Goddard is a ready-made Defender (let’s face it, the Saints won’t play him forward much) who we can also select as a Forward.

NAB3 did not play.

 

  • Blake Acres MID, $220.7K

NAB1 SC Score 46 with nine disposals at 77% efficiency, a tackle and a clearance in 68% game time. I generally like a second year former top 20 draft pick that’s still rookie-priced but I’m not convinced Acres will see game time without risk of the vest and hopefully without reoccurrence of injury. Worth consideration.

NAB2 SC Score 46 (again) with 15 disposals at 67% efficiency, four marks, a goal and unfortunately three frees against/one for. I think there’s better midfield value in Supercoach.

NAB3 SC Score 37 with 11 kicks, four handballs (73% disposal efficiency), two clearances, six marks and a tackle in 77% game time. Admittedly I’m surprised at the very low SC score with those stats (he scored 63 in DT) but another whose price is too high to consider with so many other MID options available.

 

  • Eli Templeton FWD $221.3K

NAB1 did not play.

NAB2 SC Score 46 with 11 disposals at 82% efficiency, three marks, three tackles and a free for. He played the first six games of last season before breaking his arm in Q1 of Round 6. Richardson will look to give him plenty of games and a 20+ SC point rise in average won’t surprise me at all.

NAB3 SC Score 23 with 11 disposals at just 45% efficiency, two clearances, a mark and two tackles in 79% game time. Too expensive I think.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: Rookie Jack Sinclair played NAB2 and NAB3. Jason Holmes played NAB1 and NAB2. Lewis Pierce played NAB3.

 

SYDNEY

  • Isaac Heeney MID $137.3K

NAB1 SC Score 63. Heeney, a likely top 5 draft pick and absolute steal at pick 18 through the Swans academy, is priced extremely low compared to his scoring ability. How he’ll break into the Swans team and then avoid the vest will be a difficult task. He played well against the Lions with 14 disposals, three marks, two tackles, a free for and two clearances in 78% game time. He definitely has the build to play straight away (186cm/84kgs) and may be useful in Supercoach as a trade down target after being named for his third game assuming he misses early season selection.

NAB2 SC Score 59 with 13 disposals (six contested) at a poor efficiency of 38%, two clearances, two marks, two tackles, a free for and a goal in 74% game time.

NAB3 SC Score 91 with 12 disposals at 83% efficiency, five marks, five tackles, three frees for (one against) and two goals in 81% game time. A strong conclusion to a great preseason for Heeney and every chance at being selected in the starting 21 (although will probably get a few green vests along the way). I don’t have Heeney…yet…with other low priced mids ahead of him in terms of job security. I’d wait until 30 mins before Sydney’s opener against Essendon to see if he starts.

 

  • Dean Towers FWD $210.5K

NAB1 SC Score 70. Towers had 11 disposals at 72% efficiency (four contested), five marks, one tackle, a free for, a goal and three clearances. It was a good game from a rookie-priced forward, but again, I’d hesitate to pick any Sydney rookie-priced players unless they string together a couple exceptional in-season games. In his favour, Towers is 24, a good size (189cm/83kg) and is exceptionally athletic. He’s also a former winner of the VFL’s Fothergill-Round Medal for most promising young talent. Other recent winners include Kane Lambert, Ahmed Saad, Michael Hibberd and Sir Michael Barlow.

NAB2 SC Score 90 with 15 disposals (seven contested) at 66% efficiency, a clearance, one mark and three tackles in 79% game time.

NAB3 SC Score 71 with four kicks, 10 handballs (8 contested possessions) at 71% disposal efficiency, a mark, three tackles and a goal in 86% game time. Towers has put strung together three good games in a row and could be rewarded. Keep in mind that Tippett is a likely return Round 1 and Sydney have a lot of mids who rotate into the forward line. His position may also depend on the form and health of Adam Goodes.

 

  • Sam Naismith RUCK $150K

NAB1 SC Score 17 with just two contested disposals, two clearances, 11 hitouts, two frees for and two against and 84% game time. Not a convincing game to consider him.

NAB2 SC Score 34 with five disposals, a clearance, two tackles and seven hitouts in 71% game time.

NAB3 SC Score 50 with two kicks, nine handballs (72% disposal efficiency), three marks, five tackles and 17 hitouts in 76% game time. None of his preseason matches have stood out but the fact that he played NAB3 and Nankervis didn’t means Naismith might be used as second ruck to Mike Pyke. Looks like Derickx has lost his place in the team.

 

  • Daniel Robinson MID $123.9K

NAB1 SC Score 52 with 11 disposals (six contested) at a low 36% efficiency, two marks and a tackle in 76% game time. Coming into his third preseason and at 20 years of age and 183cm/84kg, he’s a big enough body to handle the rigours of senior AFL footy. His 2014 NEAFL numbers were exceptional playing as a mid.

NAB2 SC Score 80 with three kicks, 11 handballs (11 contested possessions) with a disposal efficiency of 64%, four clearances, one mark, four tackles and a free for all in just 57% game time. A much better game than NAB1 and highlighted his hunger for the contest.

NAB3 SC Score 29 with seven disposals at a poor 42% efficiency, a clearance, four marks, three tackles, three frees against (one for) and a goal in 69% game time. A poor game but Robinson was unlikely to debut early season with the Swans midfield one of the best in the league. A very good player though and a potential trade down target during the year.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: Toby Nankervis quiet game NAB1 and barely any game time in NAB2. Might get a chance to support Myke Pyke but so could Naismith. Brandon Jack played NAB1 and NAB2 but nothing eye-catching yet. Xavier Richards played NAB1 and NAB2. Jack Hiscox played NAB1. Rookie Lewis Melican played NAB1.

 

WEST COAST

  • Dom Sheed MID $214.5K

NAB1 SC Score 73 with 12 disposals, five marks, four tackles, a free for and a clearance in 67% game time. Sheed remains a rookie-priced player, albeit on the higher end of the scale and was drafted at pick at #11 in 2013. At 187cm and 83kg he’s ready to step in, especially if he can bring his WAFL form into the big league.

NAB2 SC Score 65 with 16 disposals at 68% efficiency (eight contested), a mark, three tackles and five clearances in 70% game time.

NAB3 SC Score 78 with 23 disposals at 82% efficiency, two clearances, eight marks and two frees for (one against) in 70% game time. Overall pretty impressive numbers if you look at SC points scored compared to time on ground. Flying under the radar as a higher priced rookie option.

 

  • Tom Lamb FWD, $117.3K

NAB1 SC Score 13 (subbed on at halftime). Just four disposals in a half of footy against Carlton’s reserves doesn’t bode well for Lamb as an SC selection. He’s got a history of inconsistency and seems a project player, and project players take time. On a positive note he has both the size and endurance to play straight away, and I can see him developing into a very good player in the future.

NAB2 SC Score 82 with 10 kicks, four handballs, six marks and a goal from 62% game time. A much more impressive effort than his first game against Carlton. A great first quarter and perhaps my earlier doubts of Lamb getting consistent game time could be amended, especially with Jack Darling out for 1-2 months. Looking forward to seeing how Lamb performs in NAB3.

NAB3 SC Score 42 with 13 disposals at 69% efficiency, four marks and a goal in 79% game time. Not sure there’s room for Lamb in my team, with other rookies putting their hand up as higher scoring Supercoach Forwards and an overload of premium options.

 

  • Jackson Nelson MID $117.3K

NAB1 SC Score 61 with 10 kicks, two handballs (92% disposal efficiency), three marks, three tackles, a free for and a clearance in 77% game time. Nelson is a big bodied midfielder at 188cm and 80kg and has shown a love for the contested stuff in his junior career.

NAB2 SC Score 37 with seven disposals at 71% efficiency, three marks, a tackle and a free for in 67% game time. Could get early games depending on the availability of others.

NAB3 SC Score 39 with eight disposals at 87% efficiency and a tackle in 68% game time. Played as a defender on Michael Walters.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: Fraser McInnes played well in NAB2 and showed an ability to pinch hit in the Ruck with 12 hitouts. Also had 10 disposals (eight contested) along with an impressive seven tackles, a mark and three free kicks in 65% game time. Also played NAB3. Simon Tunbridge has now played NAB1, NAB2 and NAB3. Malcolm Karpany played NAB1 and NAB2, and is a dual position DEF/FWD. Brant Colledge played NAB2 and was pretty quiet. Liam Duggan was on for the second half of NAB2 and found the ball just twice in 31% game time. Pick #11 in the most recent draft with impressive numbers in his 2014 junior games.

 

WESTERN BULLDOGS

  • Jack Redpath FWD, $204.3K

NAB1 SC Score 82 with eight kicks, two handballs (70% disposal efficiency), two clearances, seven marks, a tackle and two goals in 85% game time. Impressive game.

NAB2 SC Score just 37 with six disposals at 100% efficiency, two marks and a tackle in 75% game time.

NAB3 SC Score 72 with 11 kicks, two handballs (eight contested possessions) with a disposal efficiency of 61%, a clearance, seven marks, two tackles and two goals in 91% game time. May have cemented his place alongside Boyd and a viable FWD in Supercoach. At 24 years, 194cm, 99kg and having completed his third preseason, he should be able to handle the rigours of AFL as a key forward.

 

  • Caleb Daniel FWD, $117.3K

NAB1 did not play. 

NAB2 SC Score 62 with four kicks, 12 handballs (seven contested possessions), a disposal efficiency of 75%, three clearances, two marks and two tackles. Daniel was a freakishly good player as a junior with the only concerns around his height (167cm) and perhaps pace (i.e. needs to be super quick like Boomer at that height). He’s a natural footballer and could easily get games in the Doggies forward line. Hope he gets a crack against the Pies in NAB3.

NAB3 SC Score 23 with three kicks, eight handballs (63% disposal efficiency), three marks and two tackles in 42% game time. Was used as starting SUB which might be a preview of his in-season games.

 

  • Joel Hamling DEF, $123.9K

NAB1 SC Score 57 (Vs Richmond) with nine disposals at 55% efficiency, five marks and a tackle in 55% game time. Hamling has come from an exceptional system down at Geelong where he averaged six spoils per game in the VFL (third in the whole comp) along with 11 disposals. Definitely a chance at cementing his spot as a key defender with the departures of Tom Williams, Tom Young and Mark Austin. At 21 years, 194cm and 82kg and having now completed four preseasons, Hamling could be a slow-burn cash cow and offer at least a 40-60 point emergency. His current competition for a spot in the team is Jordan Kelly (Rookie List), Zaine Cordy who is a first year key so unlikely, Fletcher Roberts and Michael Talia (with Roughead and Morris locks when fit). I suspect he’ll be battling with Talia for selection or might otherwise find his way into the team if 32 year old Morris needs a rest.

NAB2 SC Score 53 (Vs Melbourne) with seven disposals at 85% efficiency, four marks and two tackles in 89% game time.

NAB3 SC Score 51 (Vs Collingwood) with 11 disposals at 91% efficiency, four marks and two tackles in 69% game time after starting as sub. Hamling’s biggest threat in Michael Talia had a cracker game with 20 disposals at 85% efficiency, five marks, a tackle and a hitout in 90% game time. I wouldn’t pencil him in until named Round 1 and even then there may emerge some better rookie defenders such as Kamdyn McIntosh who wasn’t on too many radars prior to Richmond’s game against North.

 

Other Rookie-Priced Players: Lukas Webb played NAB2. Joel Hamling played NAB1, NAB2 and NAB3. Josh Prudden played NAB1 and NAB2. Rookie Jordan Kelly played NAB2. Daniel Pearce played NAB2. Toby McLean played NAB2. Just 36% game time with three disposals and three tackles. A great junior footballer and definitely good enough to be selected in the seniors. Would like to see him play more minutes in NAB3. Declan Hamilton played NAB2. Bailey Dale played NAB2. Rookie Rourke Smith played NAB2.

 

Notes:  Brett Goodes – very impressive in NAB2 and NAB3. I had my doubts on Goodes getting games but I think I now stand corrected. Has a high ceiling and will appear in a large percentage of Supercoach teams. NAB3 Goodes scored 121 SC Points with 12 kicks, seven handballs (11 contested) with a disposal efficiency of 79%, four marks, six tackles, a free for and two goals in 78% game time.

Lin Jong – started off exceptionally well against Richmond and ended up scoring 89 SC points with 19 disposals (11 contested), six marks and one tackle in 74% game time. He’s a big midfielder standing 190cm and 87kg with great speed and power. Considering he only started playing footy at 15, his rapid improvement is very impressive and I think he’ll continue to get better. With Libba unfortunately done for the year and Griffen having moved North of Albury, I think Jong could improve his SC output significantly. NAB2 a reasonable game and very impressive in NAB3 with 100 SC points from four kicks, 16 handballs (nine contested possessions) at 85% disposal efficiency, a mark, eight tackles and two goals in 82% game time. Jong is exceptional value at $273.2K.

 

{ 6 comments }

Team Review – Carlton

by Motts on March 29, 2015

Finally found the time this morning to complete my analysis of The Blues. Enjoy.

SOS said it best at the Carlton Season Launch a couple of weeks ago: The Blues don’t bat deep. If they have everyone to choose from they’ll be a competitive team. Scratch the surface and the Baggers are in trouble. As Roosy says: its not about the best blokes on the field – the difference between the good and bad teams is the worst 4 blokes on the field.

Being uncomfortably honest with myself, I’d say Carlton won’t make the 8 this year. I don’t even think they’ve recruited enough talent or improved enough in the offseason to finish higher than they did last year – 13th. With Mick in the last year of his contract, we’ve got a season of speculation (distraction) ahead of us. I’m going to put this out there right now: I want Brett Ratten back. Loved his brand of footy and 3 years with a double and possibly triple premiership winning team isn’t going to have done him much harm at all. Forgive us Ratts, we knew not what we did. Please come home.

BYE ROUND

Round 11 bye shared with Adelaide, Richmond, Western Bulldogs, Brisbane & Hawthorn.

BEST 22

B               Rowe                   Jamison              Everitt

HB            Walker                 Jaksch                Yarran

C               Bell                         Judd                    Simpson

HF            Henderson           Watson              Thomas

F                Menzel                Casboult                Jones

R               Kreuzer               Murphy                Gibbs

I                Tuohy, Carrazzo, Docherty, Cripps/Curnow

Maybe: Buckley, Whiley, White, Graham, Armfield, Boekhurst, Dick, Viojo-Rainbow, Smith, Wood, Warnock

GUNS

MARC MURPHY (MID, 106, $570,000). When you pay $570k for a midfielder you want 100+ every single week. You’ll forgive a rare 90 maybe overlook an 80 but what you never want to see is a 70-something score or less. Last season Murph served up 3 70’s and a 27 in the last game of the season when he got concussed and subbed. Even 3 scores around 150 doesn’t make up for that. My issue with Murph (and it’s the same issue I had at the beginning of 2014) is that he struggles with a tag. Bryce may take the main opposition more this year but its too risky to pick Spud until I know for a fact that’s going to be the case. Scored 91 in NAB3 but everyone knows no-one tags in the preseason.

Verdict: Reluctantly I’m saying pass.

BRYCE GIBBS (MID, 106.3, $571,000). After two soft-ish years by his standards (averaging 95) he returned to the midfield pretty much full time last year and bang! his average jumped by 11 points. I’m expecting more of the same this year with Juddy winding down and Murph needing all the help he can get. In fact, even though he’s 26 in a week, I’m predicting that 2015 is the year we see Gibbsy take the next step into elite-dom taking his average to 115. Last point on Gibbsy: how bloody durable is he? Only missed 4 games in a 172 game career. *Stands*. *Applauds*.

Verdict: You’re probably not going to pick him unless you’re a Blues supporter. Those that do will be well rewarded.

KADE SIMPSON (DEF, 95.4, $512,800). You know what you’re getting when you pick The Beard. 22 games a year and an average in the mid-90’s. His scores last year were a little too variable for my liking but given the dearth of quality backmen this year I reckon he’s a must-have.

Verdict: Get on him.

MIDPRICERS

CHRIS JUDD (MID, 90.6, $486,900). War horse. Those are the two words that come to mind when I think of Chris Judd. Take out the game against the Dogs when he came back to soon and pinged his hammy within 90 seconds scoring 6, and he averaged 98.4 last year. Word is he’s in terrific shape this year too. The Twig posted a photo over Christmas showing him at the beach with a full-on six pack. Here’s the worry though, he’s in the twilight of his playing career which means he’s going to be managed this year – there’ll be games he won’t travel to and there may be games where at some point he’s going to be wearing a brightly coloured vest.

Verdict: Chris Judd is a champion and I love having him playing for my team for another year but you can’t put him in yours.

DALE THOMAS (MID, 75.7, $406,600). Carlton watched the movie Moneyball but I don’t think they got it. First we massively pay over-the-odds for Daisy and then we bring in Liam Jones. *slaps forehead*Yes, Ross Lyon called him the best player in the game at one point but everybody now knows that Ol Rossy was foxing. Daisy’s had a full preseason which is great but at 28 and with a reconstructed ankle that saw him mothballed in R21 last year after a knock you’d be a game coach to put him in your SC team.

Verdict: Draft only. And only after a ton of better players have already been taken.

LEVI CASBOULT (FWD, Av., $). Putting aside my predilection for blokes named Levi!, I’ve always had a thing for Mr Casboult. Marks the ball as well as anyone in the game. Probably better. The thing that’s let him down in the past is his kicking. If he’s put in the effort over the summer he could be as good as a young Tommy Hawkins this year.

Verdict: Unfortunately SC doesn’t treat KPP’s kindly. Pass.

CHRIS YARRAN (DEF, Av. 82.6, $444,600). In 2011, under Ratten, Yaz averaged 87.3 in 21 games. He looked set to break out the following year but instead carded an average of 67.7 (18). Last year he seemed to be getting back to his attacking best and by the looks of his scores in the preseason games he could be set for a big year. In 2 games he scored 103 (75% TOG) and 137 (80% TOG).

Verdict: With the lack of quality defenders this year, I reckon he’s worth taking a punt on.

ANDREJS EVERITT (DEF/MID, Av. 81.2, $436,300). “Why’s Mottsy reviewing that spud Everitt?” I hear you think. Well get this: Andrejs increased his average by 18 points last year. Not only that, in Carlton’s preseason game against Collingwood, he racked up a 95 in 84% TOG. The problem is he backed that up with a 57 against the Cats. Coming back from a knee injury that sidelined him from R18 onwards last year he looks good on the park and will have some good games sweeping across our backlines but his consistency rules him out as a prospect.

Verdict: SC Draft only.

ROBBIE WARNOCK (RUC, Av. 80.9, $435,000). With Krooz in another moon boot RW will shoulder the rucking load for the first part of the season. As a ruck, he’s actually pretty handy – he’s averaged in the 80s for the past 4 seasons. The reason you won’t pick him though is that you want a ruck that rests in the forward lines and kicks goals. Robbie ain’t that guy. For that reason, as soon as Krooz comes back he’ll be out of the team faster than you can say ‘big white stiff’.

Verdict: If he was priced in the $250’s I’d say get on him and make some coin. He isn’t though so pick someone else.

SAM DOCHERTY (DEF, Av. 76.8, $412,900). In his third year in the league, I’m expecting Docherty to improve again after increasing his average 25 points in 2014. Will that means he scores enough week-in, week-out to remain in your squad for the year? Probably not but at a smidge over $400k he’s worth a shot. Played all 3 PS games and averaged 73 scoring almost a point a minute.

Verdict: Definitely a good pick for your Draft team, will be overshadowed by the likes of Lumumba, Newnes and Yarran in your regular SC team.

LACHIE HENDERSON (FWD, Av. 73.5, $395.200). Has a real opportunity to step into Jarrad Waite’s swingman shoes. Before sitting out the final 4 rounds of 2014 with an eye socket (!) injury he scored 108, 84, 132, and 103. Add to that he’s now 26 so should be close to the peak of his powers. So why did he go and shoot my confidence in him completely in the foot by scoring 64 and 62 in 2 PS games that he played almost all of? He’s delayed contract discussions so could be setting himself for a big year to prove his worth. As a SC coach, he’s a big risk to take though.

Verdict: Draft only unless you’re a Carlton supporter with heavily tinted navy blue sunnies on.

MATTHEW KREUZER (RUC, Av. 69, $370,900). Sigh. Another season, another foot injury for Matty Kreuzer. He’s only just come out of the moonboot now but prior to that by all reports was having a terrific preseason. Won’t play the opening rounds so you can’t select him.

Verdict: Given his injury history, you’re going to need Shwarzwalder-sized cojones to pick him when he comes back from this latest setback.

TOM BELL (FWD, Av. 63.9, $343,600). You know how sometimes you’re bullish on a player for no good reason other than you see a hell of a lot of potential in him? Belly is that player for me. I reckon he could be our answer to JP Kennedy by the end of this season. There, I said it. Turns 24 this year and has the kind of frame that coaches love running through the guts. Scored 76, 80 and 103 in ~80% TOG in his three PS matches. If he can improve his awareness and decision making this year he’ll be a beast.

Verdict: Not even I’ve selected him for my regular SC team but he’s front and centre in my Draft team.

LIAM JONES (FWD, 57.3, $308,000). “NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!”. That was my first reaction to hearing the news that The Blues had drafted Jones last year. In the games I’d seen, my memories were of a ‘ranga that could take a grab but couldn’t kick it straight to save his life. Even my Doggie-supporting mates were ribbing me. I’ve since gone onto YouTube and found this video showing his highlights from last year. Its only 3:17 long (I would’ve preferred 2 hours) but it did give me hope. The fact Carlton published the video tells me that I’m not the only supporter my doubts though. I did bump into a Blues staff member earlier this year and he told me that Jonesy was probably the hardest working bloke on the training track this summer.

Verdict: Been in the league 5 years, played 66 games (never a full season) and averaged 51.7. Not even in your Draft team.

TROY MENZEL (FWD, Av. 50.7, $272,400). Have always loved the look of Menzel so threw his name onto the list to evaluate. Going into his numbers though I’ve realised he’s not ready to be selected in your SC teams yet. Played 19 games in his second season last year and only managed a high for the year of 91 points when he bagged 3.2 against The Saints.

Verdict: Until Mick runs him through the middle he’s fantasy irrelevant I’m afraid.

ROOKIES

PATRICK CRIPPS (MID, Av.,39.3 $211,400). The cat’s out of the bag with this kid after he scored 78 (61% TOG), 106 (77%) and 119 (83%) in the NAB Challenge. That last game was against The Cats by the way. So good is his awareness and hands those around the club were likening him to Diesel Williams very soon after he was drafted.

Verdict: Not cheap but will make you a ton of dough.

BLAINE BOEKHORST (MID, $132,300). Hasn’t done enough this preseason to warrant a spot in my team. Scores of 29, 76 and 27 leave me hoping he doesn’t get named for R1 and becomes a trade-down target later on.

Verdict: Pass

CLEM SMITH (DEF, $117,300). Got played in all 3 preseason games scoring 17, 28 and 29 (the last score coming in 38% TOG). I liked the look of him.

Verdict: Worthy of consideration if named R1.

MATTHEW DICK (DEF, $123,900). Played twice in the preseason scoring 35 and 51. Doubt he’ll make our R1 team. Only 20 years old so could take a while to come on. (Dick. Come on. OK lets move on.)

Verdict: Doubt he’ll get more than a few games this year and even then is likely to be vested. Wait until he’s played 2 and been named for a third if you’re considering bringing him into your team.

 

DYLAN VIOJO-RAINBOW (DEF, $117,300). Only got played once in the preseason and scored 1. ‘Nuff said.

Verdict: No

{ 23 comments }

TEAM REVIEW – WEST COAST

by Motts on March 29, 2015

For the final time this preseason, Thommo reviews a team’s list. He’s done such an incredible job with these I’ve already elevated him into the SCT Hall of Fame for Services To The Site. Congratulations mate and thank you once again. 

 

Gazing in to my crystal ball, I see a tough year ahead for West Coast. With a list that is strong but not spectacular, it seems unlikely that the Eagles will be able to match up with the big boys, let alone cope with the injuries and interrupted preseasons suffered by core players Mackenzie, Schofield and Darling (not to mention Selwood and Brown). If the middle rung players stand up they could push for 7-8 spot, but it seems likely West Coast will just miss out on the top eight.

 

The good news is that Simpson is likely to get games into young players like Yeo, Lamb and Sheed. The bad news is that nobody really knows how he will structure his team. To be honest, at times last year, it seemed like even Simpson didn’t know where to play his stars. 

 

If any West Coast members can help out with tips on how they think Gaff, Yeo, Sheppard and Masten will be used, feel free to correct me!

 

BYE ROUND

Round 13 bye shared with Geelong, GWSMelbourne, North Melbourne and Port Adelaide.

 

GUNS

Shannon Hurn (DEF, Av 87, 18 games, $467,300). If not for his injury affected score of 7 in Round 2, Hurn would have averaged 92 in 2014. He never wins a lot of the ball, with 20 possessions in only 10 of his 18 games, but due to his beautiful delivery and kick-to-handball ratio of 3.0 he scorewell anyway.  Just don’t expect consistent scores with no back-to-back tonnes in 2014.

Verdict: Slightly underpriced so may be worth a shot with rubbish defenders this year.

 

Chris Masten (MID, Av 85, 21 games, $454,100). Do you want to be different? Masten has killed in the preseason (1.5 points per minute) but who knows what will happen when the real business starts? He averaged 97 as an inside mid in 2013 but as an outside mid he dropped to 85 in 2014. So what has Simpson got planned for his midfield in 2015?  

Verdict: Big risk, but could surprise if Simpson puts him back in the middle.

 

Nic Naitanui (RUCK, Av 91, 20 games, $488,300). Last year Simpson said Naitanui is likely to require managing for the rest of his career, but after one good preseason Supercoaches were jumping on the bandwagon.  One hamstring strain later and most of us have jumped off again. In his last full season in 2012, Naitanui averaged 114 in Supercoach on the back of a 77% contested possession rate and one goal per game. Now that Cox has retired, Naitanui will spend more time in the centre and if he remains healthy he will definitely average over 100.

Verdict: He’s cheap but with no ruck bench options, he’s a massive risk!

 

Matt Priddis (MID, Av 113, 22 games, $606,200). A durable, under-rated gun who deserved his Brownlow for pure hard work. He was my M5 last year and I particularly enjoyed his form from round 6 onwards where he only dropped below 100 on 3 occasions. Priddis has a standard deviation that would excite any statistician but he comes at a high price this yearand is not likely to improve on his average.

Verdict: If you want a guaranteed 110 points per game, Priddis is your man.

 

Scott Selwood (MID, Av 81, 12 games, $433,100). Selwood didn’t tag much last year yet his form tapered off badly as a result of an ankle injury in Round 3, dropping his average from 104 (2012 and 2013) to 81 points per game before he finally had surgery in Round 12. Further surgery in December interrupted his preseason but he did manage to play NAB 3 and looked great against Fremantle.

Verdict: A brief preseason concerns me but 117 points from 63% TOG in NAB 3 makes you think.

 

Luke Shuey (MID, Av. 100, 20 games, $538,000). Shuey has rarely rated a mention this year as he has a reputation as being a flat-track bully. But to be fair, despite being tagged most weeks he managed to increase his average from 91 to 100points per week in 2014. He started 2014 slowly with only 3 centuries in the first 9 weeks but came home strongly with 7 from the last 11 games, during which time he never dropped below 80. His preseason has also been strong, playing all 3 games and scoring at 1.17 points per minute.

Verdict: A point of difference and likely to improve with so many taggers injured!

 

MIDPRICERS

Andrew Gaff (MID, Av 88, 22 games, $472,300). After a poor 2013, Gaff returned to his 2012 form last year, again averaging 24 possessions per game. He has excelled this preseason with games of 26, 22 and 27 possessions so he should continue where he left off last year. Given he is an outside player he is not a big tackler and wins few contested possessions (26% in 2014) so he relies on a good efficiency rating to score well. Since he is so damaging with his running game expect him to cop some attention most weeks even though Shuey is likely to receive the main tag.

Verdict: May improve mildly in his fifth season but too much of an outside player for Supercoach.

 

Scott Lycett (FWD/RUCK, Av. 78, 12 games, $418,400). Simpson thought three rucks in the best 22 was a good idea last year, so despite being third in the ruck pecking order Lycett managed 12 games, the most he’s managed in a season to date.  Sharing minutes reduced his output slightly and gave him dual position status this year.  In his 6 WAFL games he averaged 16 disposals, 6 marks, 2 goals, 2 tackles and 19 hitouts per game so he can score big even as a forward. Unfortunately it was hard to judge how he will score with Naitanui this year considering they only played together in one NAB game. Lycett did manage to score at 1 point per minute, so he may be a good mid-priced option for the courageous.

Verdict: Tough call. If Naitanui goes down, Lycett will dominate.

 

Brad Sheppard (DEF, Av. 67, 14 games, $359,400). A good defender, Sheppard never really scored well, averaging over 20 possessions only once in 14 games. This preseason hstarted well, scoring an 89 in NAB 1 and 116 in NAB 2 but when given more of a lock down role in NAB 3 he only managed 40 points from 78% game time.

Verdict: He’ll improve but seems likely to be up and down dependent on his role.

 

Elliot Yeo (DEF/MID, Av. 66, 13 games, $353,500). Taking out Yeo’s injury effected game in Round 13 and green vest in Round 23 he averaged 74 in 2014 with quite a low standard deviation. With his ability to win the contested ball and the natural improvement likely in his fourth year, Yeo should take his average up to at least 80 this year. His preseason has been decent, scoring at 0.8 points per minute.

Verdict: If you have no other defensive options, Yeo may be worth a shot.

 

ROOKIES

Tom Lamb (FWD, $117,300). With his elite fitness and ability to win a contested possession (40%+ in junior footy) Lamb has stepped straight into the Eagles’ senior side in the absence of Schofield, Brown and Darling. As a junior he played forward but can play on a wing if necessary. He didn’t score overly well in the preseason but did manage to score at 0.76 points per minute so he may score better than expected if he gets full games. His hair also makes him easy to spot on the field.

Verdict: As he’s likely to be best 22 in Round 1, he is the perfect bench forward.

 

Dom Sheed (MID, Av. 40, 10 games, $214,500). Six green vests in ten games meant that Sheed only averaged 64 minutes per game, but even when he did play a full game he failed to trouble the scorer with a maximum score of 64 all year. He performed better at East Perth with 20+ possessions in 9 of 11 games. This preseason he has scored at the decent rate of 1.04 points per game but never played more than 70% of game time.

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The Popular Kids

by MJ on March 28, 2015

Remember those guys who always got picked first by the captains at lunchtime? Well here they are – the top 20 selected players in SuperCoach at the current point in time. Of course, this is the most selected of the whole competition. Here at SCT we’d like to think (in fact, we know!) our segment of voters are amongst the most knowledgeable SC minds in the world.

Of the top 20 most popular picks, who do you have in your side? (vote for as many as apply)

[poll id=”799″]

Who’s the biggest lemon of this list? Who should be in the top 20 that isn’t?

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