2021 Midfield Projections Group 3
Something about these numbers coming from an orifice somewhere. Use at your own risk
Well, you don;t see a 35 point jump up from 81 to 117 every day. And when you do it is normally a ruck. Rucks do that. The Footballer formerly known as Pet-trappa sure produced for last year’s owners. Sadly It feels way likely that some of that jump was due to scaling in the short quarters. Also, when someone not a ruck makes a jump like that, regression is likely to follow. He is for sure ceiling priced and might even be on the roof. Not a good choice for this season. Macrea, Oliver, Bont, and Merrett all look like better options.
At best accurately priced,at 28 he could hold onto those gains, although I think it most likely he drops a bit. He did jump decently from last season which was itself a jump, so another jump at 28 is not crazy talk.
I wrote about Fyfe coming back from a broken leg went and how that might map to Titich last year. https://supercoachtalk.com/luck-skill-and-circumstance-2020/ He actualyl came back worse than I projected based on Fyfe’s recovery. I still expect him to improve from last season but not all the way to 129. My guess is right around 111, but I would not be at all surprised if he is a bit off downside or 10 points off on the upside. In other words, he’s floor priced and if/when unhurt probably a good option.
At 22 he could do anything from twenty more to zero more. Since he first broke 100 at 21, I think a modest gain is most likely.
At 21, he’s like McCluggage a year sooner, which gives him more upside. Not tons more but more. Sort of a 10-20 rather than a 5-20. He is to some degree at the mercy of who else is in the mids with him for how much. Usually I don’t do players with just 3 seasons of data, but he was requested, so I am taking a shot. Now I am wondering if there is any significance to 100 (points) by 20 (years of age)……
The data alone is less optimistic than I am, since I know he was hurt a lot and did well in matches when not hurt. So floor priced I think. Had him in my team and now I am wondering why I removed him. Have to at least look again. He is 23, which is the mig breakout year. Well for Super premos, I really should look for more normal breaking out.
He is 25 and dropped average every year since 2018. Not good. Very little chance he is a high enough discount to live with at M8, and barring a miracle he won;t be a top,10, 12, really 20, midfielder. Just no.
He is 32 and just had a career high average.
How is he priced?
(Points mic at crowd) He is ceiling priced
Should you buy him?
(Points mic at crowd) No way!
Thanks for reading
Leave a comment / Scroll to bottom
17 thoughts on “2021 Midfield Projections Group 3”
I’ve heard of options being slim but this is over the top
Hard to argue with anything written in this article.
Super stuff as always Father.
Damn it. I don’t have any of these guys
Ok, this went up early! Hang on just a moment
Now with actual players!
Bit stuff on Tracs potential average lol
I’m doubtful of Lyons after seeing Zac Bailey get more time in the midfield during his preseason match. Lyons got less time in the mid and then scored 49 SC points, but did have 22 disposals.
In terms of clearances Lyons had 1, Bailey had 5.
Now was this a one off or will it continue to happen throughout the season?
I think this is a bit of an overreaction. Brisbane were obviously experimenting a little during that game putting different players in the middle. They won’t be doing the same when the real stuff starts, they have premiership aspirations and Lyons is their second best inside mid, they’re not gonna waste him on a wing or across half back.
When the season starts and the games matter, expect Lyons to be doing his best work in the grunt of the midfield.
Your position on Petracca is quite different to mine. After playing predominantly forward until last year Petracca had a big preseason and got himself into the Dees midfield last season and proved he was one of the more damaging players in the competition. He may be overpriced, definitely not 80 overpriced! I’m backing him in for 110.
I was very confused by your comment until I saw I had his TLA wrong. My projection of 107-119 is right, I think his TLA is more like 112 . in the middle of his projection. Thanks for pointing that out
Thanks for clarifying Father D
Thanks for doing Andy brayshaw father. Unfortunately it still has me on the fence. Rowell holds him out for the M5 spot for now .
Didn’t T.Mitch avg 113.5 in 2020?
Yes, I was about to say!
And, from memory FD’s projection was only 0.1 off his final average based on Fyfe’s recovery!