Two quick points before we get into it:
First, I just wanted to apologize for those I may have dissuaded by naming Bont as last week’s Steer Clear. I was certain he’d cop O’Connor, but he got moved down back in Henderson’s absence. Bont still then had Guthrie and Blicavs on him all night but he couldn’t be stopped. Managed to reassert my captaincy selection bona fides by drilling Neale C myself, but just wanted to shoot a quick apology for the Bont blunder. Shout out to those like FT and Smurfo who stuck the VC on him anyway.
Also, now that we’re in at the mid-point of the season we’re starting to have teams play each other twice, however the SC “Upcoming Opponents” tab hasn’t actually updated to include 2021 match ups. I’m, of course, using the most recent data inclusive of 2021 games – just note that SC hasn’t ticked over yet.
LYONS v Cats
- L3 v Cats: 103, 88, 141 (111 av.)
- L3 @ G: 82, 129, 145 (119 av.)
Even with Neale back on a team high CBA load and with a BOG performance, Lyons still cruised to 36 touches and 141 last week. Neale to get tagged (discussed below), so Lyons a lock for 120.
STEELE v Tigers
- L3 v Tigers: 104, 114, 63 (94 av.)
- L3 @ MCG: 73, 101, 95 (90 av.)
Not that great a record at the G, but the Saints need to come out firing and the Tigers don’t pay opp. MIDs any mind. Pencil Steele in for 125, more if the Saints compete.
MILLER v Roos
- L3 v Roos: 131, 110, 32 (91 av.)
- L3 @ BA: N/A
Only held back by his use last week (64% DE, 6 clangers), otherwise 31 touches, 15 contested, 9 tackles and a four quarter effort in a pumping was fantastic. Like every other primary MID, a 130 for him this week v Roos.
GAWN v Dons
- L3 v Dons: 121, 126, 168 (138 av.)
- L3 @ MCG: 117, 112, 172 (134 av.)
Despite the 2:1 split with Jackson and a plateau in form lately, Big Maxxy will relish playing back at home. Draper to apply good body and run him around, but still safe for 120.
Couldn’t fit Zerrett, Parish, Satan or Racca in, but all are viable options. If you’re considering them (or anyone else), let me know in the comments and I can drum up their stats and some analysis.
BONTEMPELLI v Eagles
- L3 v Eagles: 145, 106, 73 (108 av.)
- L3 @ OS: 149, 73, 95 (104 av.)
Shuey and Kelly returning will definitely help even out the midfield battle and maybe Nelson comes onto him post-CB, but Bont’s form right now means you can just lock him in for 130. Macrae also viable.
LAIRD v Blues
- L3 v Blues: 136, 98, 120 (118 av.)
- L3 @ MRVL: 105, 124, 106 (112 av.)
Put together a really strong, 122 av. month leading into his bye and will go to town on the Blues for 130. Fresh off the bye and able to score in Melbourne also handy.
NEALE v Cats
- L3 v Cats: 75, 134, 103 (104 av.)
- L3 @ G: 157, 77, 142 (125 av.)
Henderson comes back in so O’Connor can return to tagging, which has to be the case after Chris Scott said on Neale receiving attention: “Well, he has to because he’s such a good player”. Steer clear of him and Titch and Dusty for that matter, who’ll cop De Boer and Dunstan respectively. Sub-tons all round.
WALSH v Crows
- L3 v Crows: 84, 84 (84 av.)
- L3 @ MRVL: 89, 130, 130 (116 av.)
Copped De Boer last week, a testament to his ascent to the Blues #1 on baller. Thinking the Blues respond at home this week in a tight one and the Crows let off some large MID scores. Solid for 125.
Miller into Bont/Macrae for me. Hoping Miller just belts out a 130 and spares me the decision.
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