2013 Byes



Punting R7, 2012

by Motts on May 10, 2012

Lot of value around this week with a potentially a lot of close games. Hell, even GWS has their most realistic chance this year of getting on the board.

I haven’t had a chance to look at my bets this week beyond Hawthorn to kick the first goal against the Dees for around $1.60-odd but will put something up in Comments once I have.

In the meantime, who do you like the look of?

{ 41 comments… read them below or add one }

Powerhouse May 10, 2012 at 11:41 am

Can you bet on the Rising Star?
If so, how much is Kyal Horsley to win?

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MJ May 10, 2012 at 11:42 am

I’ll give you $1,000,000. He’s too old to win it.

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Davo May 10, 2012 at 11:55 am

Sportsbet has GWS at $3.05 for the win, that’s worth a pineapple isn’t it?

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MJ May 10, 2012 at 12:48 pm

Get them at $3.60 for 1-39. No way they’d win by 40+

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Al from Vancouver May 10, 2012 at 12:06 pm

Hidden due to low comment rating. Click here to see.

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Matteo May 10, 2012 at 12:13 pm

Mabey try posting it in the Goodes link, might have a better response

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Motts May 10, 2012 at 4:37 pm

So you’re the person generating all our Canadian traffic!

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Matteo May 10, 2012 at 12:11 pm

Gonna give this multi a go, hawks to win by over 39.5, gold coast win, collingwood over 39.5, freo win, Carlton win paying $6.26

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wets May 10, 2012 at 1:44 pm

that pays $7.75 on Centrebet.
Nice One!

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Matteo May 10, 2012 at 4:14 pm

Lucky I havnt done it yet

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wets May 10, 2012 at 4:59 pm

I just did , if i win I owe ya Matteo………

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Juddy but not THE Juddy May 10, 2012 at 12:40 pm

$20 on this

Hawks +39.5 $1.40
GWS -39.5 $3.50
Adelaide -39.5 $2.80
Tiggers -39.5 $2.45
Essendon -39.5 $2.40

It’s out there but not impossible. Pays well if it comes in. I will do a safety bet as well.

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Juddy but not THE Juddy May 10, 2012 at 5:08 pm

I may have written that down wrong in light of Motts latest post on Punting.
My + means to win by over that amount and – means under that amount.
so it should read
Hawks over 39.5 $1.40
GWS under 39.5 $3.50
Adelaide under 39.5 $2.80
Tiggers under 39.5 $2.45
Essendon under 39.5 $2.40

Jeez I’m a silly bugger

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Yiorgakis May 10, 2012 at 11:24 pm

Not all silly Juddy, I really like the last 3. GWS won’t win but GC 16+ is paying around 1.65, and something tells me the Hawks won’t win by more than 3-4 goals.

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Yiorgakis May 13, 2012 at 1:03 pm

Not so silly at all Juddy! Unlucky with the Bombers and Crows. How good would the odds have been for 40+ for those 2!

GC are a joke. Bluey might be in some trouble. :oops:

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Walkabout May 10, 2012 at 12:40 pm

Motts, any chance in starting a punters club or is in the to hard basket?

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Motts May 10, 2012 at 1:15 pm

Not sure what it entails, WA. Lay it out for me.

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Walkabout May 10, 2012 at 6:56 pm

$20 or $10 in per person each week. Take a footy quad or multi, bank the winnings and distribute at years end. $ transfer might be an issue though

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Jason May 10, 2012 at 7:24 pm

Ullo Motts, Walkabout
We had the same dramas organising our footy trip punters club. So we built a websites that manages punters clubs automatically. Not sure if it would suit SCT but sounds like it might – check out the puntclub.com website if you’re half interested (it manages the money and distributions – all funds held in trust with Luxbet so all secure).
Cheers
Jason

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Davo May 10, 2012 at 1:12 pm

Fair point MJ, my multi for the week below

GWS 1-39 $3.60
Tigers win $2.00
Crows 1-39 $2.85
Blues win $1.25

$20 to win $513

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BigRuss May 10, 2012 at 1:27 pm

Anyone take Dangermouse for a place in Brownlow for $14? Surely not…..

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SoftSocks May 10, 2012 at 2:25 pm

Can you put money to place in the brownlow? if so would it be worth a $20 on Josh P kennedy?

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BigRuss May 10, 2012 at 2:53 pm

At $2.45 hardly worth it.

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Dazz May 10, 2012 at 3:54 pm

Hey guys what do ya think of this i think its worth puttin a pineapple on.

Hawks over 40 @ $1.53
Crows 1-39 @ $2.85
Magpies over 40 @ $2.45
Bombers win @ $1.66
GWS 1-39 @ $3.60
Combined odds $63.84

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HardHittingHawks May 10, 2012 at 4:29 pm

Sounds like a sure thing the mate… Hey I know im going olook like aclown but im a virgin with the whole betting on football thing and was wondering what the + and – handicaps meant on centrebet??? Was thinking off having a crack at making some cash but didnt want to mess my bet up… Cheers :)

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Motts May 10, 2012 at 4:40 pm

OK here we go:
Melbourne +20.5 means you if add 20.5 points to their score and that beats the Hawks then you win whatever odds it pays.
Hawks 39.5+ means the Hawks have to win by 40 or more for you to win.
Hawks -25.5 means the Hawks have to win by 26 or more for you to win.

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Dazz May 10, 2012 at 4:53 pm

Hey motts what do ya think of my bets i put on? i think my worry is Adelaide vrs Geelong and GWS vrs GC could go either way.

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HardHittingHawks May 10, 2012 at 6:12 pm

So if I took Melbourne at +1.5 does that mean they only have to win by 2? Heard we might not be playing Hodge, Franklin and Rioli which if is the case I think they might beat us…

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Brad May 10, 2012 at 4:44 pm

Betting on footy , be warned its not as easy as it seems , trust me I’ve learnt the hard way , any how a team minus on the punt mean that team starts minus what ever the value is , for example Hawthorn minus 39.5 means they have to win by 40 for you to win the bet , conversely Melbourne at plus must get within 39 points for your bet to get up , so if you back Melbourne at the plus and they LOOSE by say 30 it’s all good . My tip , don’t do it , just enjoy the game and your sc players

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Juddy but not THE Juddy May 10, 2012 at 5:09 pm

Booooooooooo! ;-)

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HardHittingHawks May 10, 2012 at 4:45 pm

OK cool boys thanks for the clarification it is much appreciated!!! Im going to ammend it because I had it set up the wrong way round… LOL! Good luck on the punt boys :)

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wets May 10, 2012 at 5:04 pm

Most of the bets above revolve around GWS beating GC.

Can that happen???

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Juddy but not THE Juddy May 10, 2012 at 5:10 pm

I’d say its a 50/50 chance. :-)

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WattZ May 10, 2012 at 6:35 pm

Considering Ablett and rischitelli are named back in I would say GC are way more favoured. GC at 1-24 to win is still pretty good @ $3.30. Should still be a close game

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wood-n-spoon May 10, 2012 at 6:24 pm

Walkabout – you should check out the http://www.puntclub.com.au website.
You can set up punting groups and punt on anything

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Mainy May 10, 2012 at 7:07 pm

Multi for the week. Will follow up with a safety bet too:

Melbourne +65.5 $1.45
Richmond under 39.5 2.75
Brisbane +47.5 $1.33
Bulldogs +48.5 $1.20
Port +59.5 $1.20
Saints +49.5 $1.26
Raiders win 1.46
Bulldogs win 1.34
Sharks win 1.20
Stormers win 1.25
Chelsea win 1.32
Man U win 1.42

$10 at combined $52.92 for $529.29

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Bazza May 10, 2012 at 11:26 pm

What do we reckon of this one for a less risky approach?

Richmond 1-39 @ $2.45
Essendon win @ $1.60
Hawks over 39.5 @ $1.40
Geelong win @ $1.65
Gold Coast 1-39 @ $2.20
Combined $19.92 odds

Dont normally like throwin too many margins into my bets but I think these ones are safe margins if the team gets up.

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Yiorgakis May 10, 2012 at 11:40 pm

Bazza, if you’re after less risky approach I’d probably stick to the Carlton, GC, Pies, Hawks, Kangas and Freo games. The others are a raffle. But if you like a gamble, go for it!

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Bazza May 10, 2012 at 11:52 pm

Nah I like a bit of a gamble, I just meant less risky than all the GWS and Adelaide tips that people are mentioning that I think are risky.
Also TAB has the West Coast first loss I can add to it alongside my Essendon win which takes it up to about $33!

Got my safety bet to fall back on so I’ll give it a go

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Yiorgakis May 10, 2012 at 11:31 pm

ok. Missed out on the mega bet last week by 2 games and both were under a goal off. :mad: . At least the safety bet came through. Bit tougher this week though:

GOLD COAST | 16 or More @ 1.65
RICHMOND | Under 39.5 @ 2.60
ESSENDON | Under 39.5 @ 2.40
COLLINGWOOD (Handicap -19.5) @ 1.60
NORTH MELBOURNE (Handicap -24.5) @ 2.25
FREMANTLE (Handicap -25.5) @ 1.66
CARLTON | 16 or More @ 1.54
HAWTHORN (Handicap -19.5) @ 1.18
ADELAIDE | Under 39.5 @ 2.90

$10 @ 324.25 = $3242.49

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Motts May 11, 2012 at 6:23 am

Best bets for tonight’s game (using Sportingbet):
Most Disposals Group A – Sam Mitchell @ $2
First Points – Hawthorn @ $1.72
First Goal – Hawthorn @ $1.65

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