2021 Midfield Projections Group 2

Written by Father Dougal on March 11 2021

Hi Everybody!

 

Standard warning, blah, made up , balh blah blah

 

Adam Treloar

Year Games Average Age TLA
2012 18 83.2 18
2013 20 87 19
2014 20 107.5 20 107
2015 21 106.8 21 108
2016 22 111.3 22 109
2017 21 101.4 23 109
2018 13 109.5 24 109
2019 22 113.4 25 109
2020 8 109.4 26 109
106-115 109

Adam has been pretty much the same player for a while, with pretty moderate variations. He is priced accurately and will probably about what he did before. Being a Bulldog might agree with him, so a higher average wouldn’t be a shock. It is also possible that he’ll somehow drop from all the dogs fighting for points, but that’s something that doesn’t seem to happen in practice much.

 

Zachary Merrett

Year Games Average Age TLA
2014 19 63.7 18
2015 17 88.5 19
2016 22 111.5 20 108
2017 21 109.2 21 108
2018 22 100.4 22 108
2019 22 105.6 23 108
2020 16 115.6 24 112
111-121 116

At 25 he could once again improve on his average. I can’t say he is floor priced, that’s awfully optimistic, but I think at worse he is accurately priced with a better than normal chance to break out. Every time I take him out of my team I regret it and put him back in. From the little we know of the new rules, they seem to suit him. 

 

Andrew Gaff

Year Games Average Age TLA
2011 14 61.1 18
2012 22 90.4 19
2013 22 71.1 20
2014 22 87.9 21
2015 22 103.8 22 103
2016 21 90.7 23 104
2017 22 93.1 24 105
2018 19 108.2 25 106
2019 20 107.4 26 107
2020 17 106.2 27 107
104-110 107

At 28, we know just who he is and he might be the definition of accurately priced. The big knock on him is lack of upside, and why go with him when so many others have more upside for about the same price?

 

Scott Pendlebury

Year Games Average Age TLA
2006 9 56.8 18
2007 20 88.7 19
2008 21 103.5 20
2009 20 106.5 21
2010 22 110.5 22
2011 22 129.2 23 125
2012 18 124.7 24 125
2013 22 126.6 25 125
2014 21 124.4 26 125
2015 22 116.2 27 120
2016 22 118.7 28 115
2017 16 106.7 29 110
2018 21 103.5 30 107
2019 22 104.3 31 104
2020 13 110.2 32 103
100-110 102

He is 33 and just has his highest score since 2017. He’s climbing through the ceiling to the roof, and either way is a terrible choice. Playing Frogger at an advanced level now, he has a date with a beer truck coming soon. Gary held his average from 32 to 33, and then dropped hard every year after. Pendles could do the same but he also might go a year sooner, since while Scotty was great, Gary was even better. Even Pies fans should be avoiding him this year. 

 

Matt Crouch

Year Games Average Age TLA
2014 8 59.2 18
2015 15 68.3 19
2016 20 92.8 20
2017 22 110.6 21 105
2018 18 101.6 22 105
2019 19 103.7 23 105
2020 16 110.7 24 106
103-113 107

History says he is ceiling priced, although I’m thinking he might be closer to accurately priced. But either way he has good risk of being himself again, and unless you think being at the Crows will somehow make him better than he was, faster, stronger, well, why?

 

Stephen Coniglio

Year Games Average Age TLA
2012 12 75.8 18
2013 18 74.1 19
2014 14 83.5 20
2015 18 91.7 21
2016 21 105.9 22 103
2017 7 91.4 23 103
2018 21 108.4 24 103
2019 15 101.2 25 103
2020 16 98.4 26 103
98-108 103

He sure has his ups and downs, although his 2020 average is only 3 lower than his 2019 average. Priced about right, maybe a little low. His miss last year was being dropped so that’s a thing. Does have an injury history even taking that into account. Not a terrible pick but probably not the best available.  

 

Tim Taranto

Year Games Average Age TLA
2017 12 66.5 19
2018 21 88.7 20 90
2019 22 102.4 21 98
2020 11 84.5 22 98
95-105 98

He’s at the magic age of 23, although he shows zero sign of being an uber-premo, he at least Could go back up to his 2019 average, which he is priced 18 points below. Floor priced for sure. Assuming he is healthy he could be a bargain. It would help if the Giants pulled whatever is stuck somewhere from wherever it is stuck. Not euphemisms, I have no idea what where that is causing them to be so wacky and zany. If they can cut back to just wacky that would be a big help to all their Supercoach assets. Of course they could go full Wacky, Zany, and Kooky, in which case, well, would be fun to watch for all non GWS fans. It is very hard to imagine his going down and he is cheap, so way temping even with whatever is going on at his team.  Another downside is that even if he goes up 20 points he is still a mid averaging 105.

 

Jack Steele

Year Games Average Age TLA
2015 7 64.3 19
2016 10 63.8 20
2017 20 91.1 21 90
2018 21 94.4 22 95
2019 20 95 23 100
2020 17 122.5 24 115
110-120 115

After a 27 point increase in average, it is very likely he drops back down, extra so shine that average was in the Bizzaro season. He’s just a bad risk this year. Of course he could stay at the ceiling he is clinging to, but that usually just happens in cartoons. Love the player, but not in SC this year. Well, to start, you never know who will become cheap during this season. 

 

Thanks for reading!

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6 thoughts on “2021 Midfield Projections Group 2”

  1. Great work FD . Taranto was in my considerations but I’d be starting him to finish an M8 and just not sure he will cut it.. what are your thoughts on Andy Brayshaw? All the makings of anorher small breakout year and go 110ish?

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    1. My issue with starting a designated M8, like Taranto, is that unless you absolutely nail every other pick, it’s likely that someone you thought was a guaranteed M1-6, has an off year like Cripps, and suddenly you’ve got two mids outside the top tier.

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    2. I’ll do him in the next batch!

      I love Tim’s discount but I worry I would want to replace him near the end of the season. If only he played Defense

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  2. Based on this writeup who we picking?

    T/U Merrett
    T/D Steele

    Cheers

    I currently have Neale, Clarry, Cripps and Rowell.

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  3. I’ve had Gaff in my team as a safe pick for quite a while. He’s actually one of the few I haven’t cut and uncut repeatedly. Longer quarters and those who are good runners should do OK.

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  4. Great write up FD! Anyone have any thoughts on Worpel, breakout season ahead? Or does JOM and TMitch take too many points away from him?
    All opinions, even those berating me, are welcomed 🙂

    T/U Get him in
    T/D Chuck him out!

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