Here is a summary of all the relevant break-evens prior to Round 7. The break-even or BE is the score that a player will need to achieve in their next game in order to hold their current value. A low BE generally indicates that a player has recently performed above expectations, while a high break-even is a flag for an imminent price drop (and potentially good buying!).
For brevity, I’ve only included players with ‘significant ownership’, plus a few speculators. If there’s anyone missing that you’d like a number for, let me know in the comments.
(Players marked with an asterisk have played two games and are “on the bubble”)
DEFENDERS
Premiums
Nic MARTIN ($532,300): 62
Karl AMON ($504,100): 67
Lachie ASH ($544,400): 77
Max HOLMES ($532,900): 88
Nasiah WANGANEEN-MILERA ($576,100): 109
Jordan CLARK ($536,700): 119
Lachie WHITFIELD ($609,800): 129
Bailey DALE ($501,600): 136
Harry SHEEZEL ($567,800): 148
Dan HOUSTON ($562,900): 149
Dayne ZORKO ($545,800): 171
Jack SINCLAIR ($605,300): 180
Midpricers
Riley BICE ($340,400): 33
Joel FREIJAH ($363,500): 41
Jake BOWEY ($441,600): 60
Jayden SHORT ($445,200): 73
Matt ROBERTS ($468,900): 79
Tom STEWART ($441,600): 79
Connor O’SULLIVAN ($306,200): 85
James SICILY ($490,000): 114
Rookies
Matthew CARROLL* ($99,100): -65
Sandy BROCK* ($99,100): -60
Saad EL-HAWLI ($127,900): 4
Zach REID ($264,700): 14
Jaxon PRIOR ($273,000): 15
Conor STONE ($175,200): 25
Finn O’SULLIVAN ($225,700): 36
Luke TRAINOR ($264,200): 74
MIDFIELDERS
Premiums
Nick DAICOS ($608,800): 54
Connor ROZEE ($508,100): 60
George HEWETT ($611,100): 58
Matt ROWELL ($558,900): 74
Adam CERRA ($509,100): 74
Zak BUTTERS ($658,800): 90
Andrew BRAYSHAW ($642,200): 105
Noah ANDERSON ($560,400): 113
Marcus BONTEMPELLI ($681,000): 118 (one game played)
Tom LIBERATORE ($575,800): 125
Lachie NEALE ($556,300): 126
Zach MERRETT ($601,800): 126
Jordan DAWSON ($524,800): 137
Caleb SERONG ($588,600): 143
Will ASHCROFT ($523,500): 154
Josh DUNKLEY ($554,300): 157
Midpricers
Ned LONG ($311,600): -26
Finn CALLAGHAN ($426,900): 54
Patrick CRIPPS ($484,700): 91
Clayton OLIVER ($468,500): 100
Rookies
Tom COCHRANE ($118,300): -23
Elijah TSATAS* ($191,200): -15
Clay HALL ($187,100): -9
Harvey LANGFORD ($258,300): -8
Tom GROSS ($147,500): -6
Xavier LINDSAY ($198,700): 14
Christian MORAES ($199,900): 46
RUCKS
Matt FLYNN ($261,900): -73
Archer REID ($242,800): 22
Max GAWN ($599,600): 92
Tristan XERRI ($557,300): 102
Tom DE KONING ($566,500): 117
FORWARDS
Premiums
Toby GREENE ($506,000): 142
Jason HORNE-FRANCIS ($546,800): 110
Midpricers
Sam POWELL-PEPPER ($325,700): -14
Levi ASHCROFT ($322,500): 12
Ryley SANDERS ($394,100): 35
Sam DAVIDSON ($307,300): 37
Hugo GARCIA ($311,100): 41
Murphy REID ($312,000): 44
Ryan MARIC ($386,600): 54
Caleb DANIEL ($449,000): 61
Bailey SMITH ($477,800): 76
Bailey HUMPHREY ($338,600): 78
Christian PETRACCA ($481,600): 95
Izak RANKINE ($495,100): 116
Jack MACRAE ($495,400): 119
Rookies
Corey DURDIN* ($208,900): -66
Will WHITE ($144,400): -47
Sam LALOR ($283,800): -14
Caiden CLEARY ($170,000): -11
Elijah HEWETT ($188,300): -8
Isaac KAKO ($210,200): 31
Max HALL ($250,600): 38
Isaiah DUDLEY ($140,000): 41
Thanks as always for these.
Can you tell me the BE for Luke Parker?
BE for Parker is 97. Predicted to score 76 and lose $9.5K
Tom Gross not on the bubble
Thanks Tryhard
Thanks for putting this together, Chillo. It helped me step back and look at my mid-term plan for upgrades instead of focusing on the week-to-week.