Afternoon, all. I’m back on the captaincy content this season, every Thursday at midday – except this week where the round kicks off on a Wednesday.
Each week I’ll lay out 3 vice-captaincy candidates, 3 captaincy candidates, an otherwise good option you should steer clear from this week due to match up , form or injury and a smoky pick for those who live life on the edge. Will lay those options out alongside the candidate’s last 3 v opponent and last 3 @ the venue. I’ll also provide a little commentary and context around each candidate, a gut and statistically informed prediction and then a summative verdict.
My opinions are not inviolable, so of course give me your thoughts and VC/C combos for the round in the comments and if you’d like any numbers or analysis for a captaincy candidates I haven’t mentioned, go ahead and drop it in the comments and I’ll get back to you as soon as I see it. During the course of the round we’ll have this article pinned to the top of the site, so feel free to air your captaincy dilemmas or successes over the weekend.
MACRAE v Demons
- L3 v Dogs: 146, 145, 141 (141 av.)
- L3 @ MCG: 146, 107, 118 (124 av.)
Always a features in Captaincy Candidates and the season opener in no different. High stakes opener, tremendous record against the Dees and a lock for his customary 130.
SATAN v Dogs
- L3 v Dogs: 144, 139, 100 (128 av.)
- L3 @ MCG: 93, 144, 139 (125 av.)
Despite the Dogs inside strength, Satan relishes a right contest. Proven ceiling both against the Dogs and at the G, where’s probably more comfortable than the Dogs this week. Solid for 125.
STEELE v Pies
- L3 v Pies: 154, 73, 95 (107 av.)
- L3 @ MRVL: 155, 158, 145 (153 av.)
Probably going to go a touch under the radar as an early VC given the allure of Macrae and Satan, but the Pies are one of the best midfields to beat up on. A comfortable 130 for the Man of Steele here, with a real shot to go large.
PARISH v Cats
- L3 v Cats: 190, 79, 110 (126 av.)
- L3 @ MCG: 74, 108, 121 (101 av.)
Comes into the season at just the 8% ownership but one the highest ceilings MIDs available on the back on his enormous contested work. If left alone, Parish will have no problems kicking things off with a 130.
NEALE v Port
- L3 v Port: 130, 177, 118 (142 av.)
- L3 @ G: 133, 88, 64 (95 av.)
If you’re starting Neale and backing him to return to his best, he’s got to resume figuring his way into your captaincy calculations. Playing at home, proven ceiling against Port, solid for 120+.
MILLER v Eagles
- L3 v Eagles: 80, 98, 52 (77 av.)
- L3 @ OS: 127, 80, 52 (86 av.)
Doesn’t have attractive match up stats, however this is only Miller’s second year as a competition best midfielder and bona fide premo. Eagles midfield is basically non-existent. Expect the Suns to come out hot with Miller at the helm, working his ass off to a 140.
MITCHELL v Roos
- L3 v Roos: 76, 143, 75 (98 av.)
- L3 @ MCG: 127, 150, 171 (149 av.)
Despite the appealing match up against the Roos at the G, Titch was nursing a groin issue as recently as last week. Probably has his ceiling capped at a low ton for the first round or so, so opt for a candidate who’s ceiling is wide open instead.
GAWN v Dogs
- L3 v Dogs: 125, 120, 117 (121 av.)
- L3 @ MCG: 100, 125, 95 (107 av.)
While the increasing split with Jackson will see him feature less as a VC/C this season, the Dogs being undersized at both ends and Maxxy’s vastly improved involvement outside of ruck contests should position him nicely for a 125+ on Wednesday night.
It’s Steele into Miller this week for me. No problems with Macrae or any of the other candidates, but they’re both playing two of the easiest teams to draw massive scores from. Miller, in particular, I can just see eviscerating us on Sunday night.
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