Hi Everybody!

I wasn’t able to find the numbers, but a while back I looked at rucks to see if, or really how, their careers went differently then other players. The big takeaway was unlike other positions, rucks can go from low 40-60 averages right to 90+ averages and then keep that up.  I think, and this is not an original thought, it is because rucks tend to go from little playing time, perhaps not even as a ruck directly to a full time job. Not always slow growth where they get more minutes and get better, just get a job, start scoring.

Quickly looking at some current rucks:

English got eased in, went from 60 to 80 and did ok, but he did actually get eased in.

Witts went from 50s to 90s.

Marshall went from 62 to 110

Nankervis went from 42 to 74 but then hovered around 90

Goldy went from 65  to 113

Darcy went from 78 to 118

ROB went from 63 to 95

Gawn went from 63 to 102

Grundy went from 62 to 90

 

Not scientific but does show the jumping up and keeping up an average when a ruck gets a job.

Sounds like a children’s book!

See Kieren ruck. Ruck Kieran, ruck!

Which is exactly what he is doing. He got a job, and he can do it, and is doing it, and there is no non-injury reason to think he won’t just keep doing it.  After 5 games, we can make an edumacated guess that he can keep up something near his current average, like 100+ probably.  Which means you can hold him and trade out a different ruck for a premium on another line.

 

Defenders 

Sheezel: I feel like you trade him now or keep him. I am keeping him.  I have too many other players I can improve more. I suspect most of us are in the same boat.  But, I am sure there are people doing well enough that trading would make sense. A few. It is possible I am jealous. Gonna move on now….

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		198,300
1	114	198,300
2	114	198,300
3	120	198,300
4	111	304,500
5	100	381,800
6	53	431,600
7	107	438,800
8	110	443,200
9	68	452,000
10	112	464,600
11	79	475,400
12	72	468,700
13	98	464,200
14	103	455,100
15
16	97.2	460,400
17	97.2	476,498	16,098	16,098
18	97.2	488,074	11,576	27,674
19	97.2	494,031	5,957	33,631
20	97.2	498,447	4,416	38,047

Ginbey:  Bye

McKenna:  Plays so is almost certainly a hold.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		167,500
1	93	167,500
2	78	167,500
3	57	167,500
4	86	227,300
5	55	268,500
6	57	287,800
7	70	302,600
8	46	306,900
9	35	306,700
10	53	296,000
11	50	279,900
12
13	45	269,300
14	77	265,600
15	61.7	274,400
16	61.7	286,695	12,295	12,295
17	61.7	303,378	16,683	28,978
18	61.7	308,803	5,425	34,403
19	61.7	312,824	4,021	38,424
20	61.7	315,804	2,981	41,404

Wilmot: Plays so is almost certainly a hold.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		123,900
1	51	123,900
2	68	123,900
3	69	123,900
4	50	176,900
5	68	215,700
6	39	243,900
7	63	251,600
8	50	263,600
9	75	264,900
10	83	281,700
11	29	302,800
12
13	90	308,500
14	75	319,000
15	62.3	323,900
16	62.3	343,164	19,264	19,264
17	62.3	344,887	1,722	20,987
18	62.3	340,408	-4,479	16,508
19	62.3	337,088	-3,320	13,188
20	62.3	334,628	-2,461	10,728

Cowan:  Did not play. 

L Jones:

Last Week: Trading him out on his Bye can’t come soon enough.

This Week: Broke his arm early in the match, out for 10 or so weeks, good grief. What a frustrating pick he turned out to be. He has helped the Dogs lots, and they will miss him. His SC owners, not so much.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		228,100
1	5	228,100
2	76	228,100
3	68	228,100
4	45	236,300
5	88	260,600
6	53	283,400
7	54	293,900
8	41	306,300
9	66	294,800
10	62	291,700
11	106	292,600
12	18	322,200
13	51	321,400
14	6	316,200
15
16	52.8	268,000
17	52.8	248,437	-19,563	-19,563
18	52.8	234,747	-13,691	-33,253
19	52.8	245,813	11,067	-22,187
20	52.8	254,017	8,203	-13,983

Michalanney:  Bye

Buckley:  A well timed 90 kept him to losing just $200!  It is his bye, he should be traded.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		205,000
1	76	205,000
2	99	205,000
3	99	205,000
4	80	275,900
5	78	330,300
6	87	360,100
7	91	377,400
8	99	395,800
9	44	419,900
10	62	417,600
11	63	402,200
12	82	373,800
13	29	368,900
14	90	350,800
15
16	77.1	350,600
17	77.1	348,791	-1,809	-1,809
18	77.1	369,249	20,458	18,649
19	77.1	378,551	9,302	27,951
20	77.1	385,446	6,895	34,846

Stocker:  Plays so is almost certainly a hold.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		216,400
1	74	216,400
2	74	216,400
3	70	216,400
4	77	258,900
5	78	291,100
6	58	317,400
7	69	331,300
8	103	338,500
9	73	356,000
10	75	375,200
11	77	391,600
12
13	67	391,300
14	54	387,700
15	73.0	376,500
16	73.0	367,050	-9,450	-9,450
17	73.0	362,767	-4,284	-13,733
18	73.0	368,207	5,440	-8,293
19	73.0	372,240	4,033	-4,260
20	73.0	375,229	2,989	-1,271

Mitchell:  Bye

Weddle: Bye

Atkins: Plays so is almost certainly a hold.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		203,900
1		203,900
2		203,900
3		203,900
4		203,900
5		203,900
6		203,900
7	89	203,900
8	68	203,900
9	62	203,900
10	102	250,600
11	28	290,700
12	72	301,800
13
14	66	313,600
15	69.6	307,300
16	69.6	321,910	14,610	14,610
17	69.6	331,639	9,728	24,339
18	69.6	340,469	8,831	33,169
19	69.6	347,015	6,546	39,715
20	69.6	351,867	4,852	44,567

Midfielders

 

Ashcroft:  Plays so is almost certainly a hold.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		202,800
1	55	202,800
2	105	202,800
3	80	202,800
4	75	258,800
5	72	309,400
6	76	331,100
7	103	345,900
8	37	370,200
9	97	373,200
10	124	384,300
11	52	401,500
12
13	79	420,400
14	87	425,400
15	80.2	413,500
16	80.2	418,126	4,626	4,626
17	80.2	422,078	3,952	8,578
18	80.2	421,904	-175	8,404
19	80.2	421,774	-130	8,274
20	80.2	421,678	-96	8,178

Baker: At least he scored some last week. It is his Bye, and for sure he can go.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		123,900
1	43	123,900
2	55	123,900
3	95	123,900
4	47	179,200
5	53	222,000
6	59	252,100
7	69	258,500
8	50	273,700
9	58	284,200
10	61	291,100
11	78	292,200
12	41	305,100
13	11	306,100
14	67	284,600
15
16	56.2	264,400
17	56.2	256,846	-7,554	-7,554
18	56.2	271,750	14,904	7,350
19	56.2	277,906	6,156	13,506
20	56.2	282,470	4,563	18,070

Hollands:  Did not play

Callaghan:  What was that German word? EineKuhdieamEndeeineMengeGeldverdiennachdemallesieverkaufthabenweilesdamalsselbstverständlichwarunddieamEndezueinemgroßenGeldverdienerwurdedenniemandbesitzt.  Yeah, I’d have been happy to get a 71.4 average and sell him at his bye for $391,200.  If you own him, be happy to sell him for $391,200.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		244,000
1	101	244,000
2	45	244,000
3	37	244,000
4	65	263,600
5	72	261,700
6	77	271,900
7	88	298,800
8	59	328,300
9	85	345,700
10	68	361,600
11	85	363,800
12	92	376,600
13	64	388,200
14	62	395,300
15
16	71.4	391,200
17	71.4	379,501	-11,699	-11,699
18	71.4	374,198	-5,303	-17,002
19	71.4	374,543	345	-16,657
20	71.4	374,799	255	-16,401

Rucks

 

Ratugolea:  Did not play

Briggs:  Amazing again.  I had assumed I would trade him out now, but instead I plan to trade out Marshall next week.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		254,400
1		254,400
2		254,400
3		254,400
4		254,400
5		254,400
6		254,400
7		254,400
8		254,400
9		254,400
10	109	254,400
11	102	254,400
12	128	254,400
13	114	340,400
14	129	406,500
15
16	116.4	468,800
17	116.4	510,469	41,669	41,669
18	116.4	542,445	31,976	73,645
19	116.4	560,433	17,988	91,633
20	116.4	573,767	13,334	104,967

Forwards

 

Mackenzie: Bye

Greene:  Did not play.

Phillipou: Plays so is almost certainly a hold.

Phillips: Is now up to $409,900 and is ready to be sold at his bye. Bastard.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		158,300
1	65	158,300
2		158,300
3	78	158,300
4	67	158,300
5	74	212,400
6	36	255,900
7		269,400
8		269,400
9		269,400
10	70	269,400
11	99	281,000
12	116	300,500
13	79	350,100
14	71	391,200
15
16	75.5	409,900
17	75.5	406,092	-3,808	-3,808
18	75.5	401,682	-4,410	-8,218
19	75.5	400,454	-1,228	-9,446
20	75.5	399,544	-910	-10,356

Chandler: Bye

Davey:  Did not play

Simpson:   Did not play

Humphrey:   Plays so is almost certainly a hold.

Given	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		184,800
1		184,800
2		184,800
3		184,800
4	39	184,800
5	38	184,800
6	43	184,800
7	-3	191,100
8	64	177,000
9	117	178,800
10	101	213,400
11	90	285,700
12	99	350,600
13
14	74	389,300
15	66.2	407,100
16	66.2	410,229	3,129	3,129
17	66.2	397,675	-12,554	-9,425
18	66.2	384,832	-12,843	-22,268
19	66.2	375,312	-9,520	-31,788
20	66.2	368,256	-7,056	-38,844

Dodgy Advice:   Yeo is doing well, but he is made of Injurium, and therefore is a horrible risk. There are all kinds of dodgy players, but all the ones I can see are too dodgy to actually suggest. Maybe there are good clever chacp picks, if so please share…..

 

Remember the Cow Talk guarantee: “All predictions wrong or triple your money back!”  (Offer not valid if money is actually involved.)

I am time zonally challenged.  When Cow Talk goes live, I’m probably asleep, so replies from me may take a while.

Thanks for reading!

 

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