Here is the third batch of defenders. Again, this is just my personal guessing, and not anything derived from math.
He’s not yet old, he is slowly improving, but there is no reason to expect a big jump that I know of. Likely to get what you pay for, and might get lucky if he somehow breaks out.
Not lots of data, but enough to be optimistic. TLAs are not very helpful in predicting breakouts, because that is an unexpected jump in TLA! But, we can see that he has always scored well and gotten better every year, and is only 22. The 2018 to 2019 jump was big. I think he looks like a 92 if he says as a defender, with more upside than downside. If he does go into the mids, he could do much better. Low downside, big upside.
He’s demonstrated a clear level of 88 or so, and failed to make the jump people who looked like me were hoping for last season. Looking at this, that was quite silly. Nothing in his history said he was going to keep going up. Falling back to his established level was more likely. He is probably improving just a bit year on year still, soon to be losing a bit year on year. If you buy him priced at 89 and he goes for 95, big whoop. There are much better options.
Sure was durable after that injury! Proof coming back and playing 22 can be done. But not every time….Anyways, he is priced right at what he is probably worth, and at 28 there is no reason to get him in for that price.
Lachlan who??? I’d swear I’ve never heard of him before. And I look him up and he plays for the Suns. Yeah, explains that. He certainly could do better, but no reason to expect it or risk buying him. Next year, if he has a good 2020 and the Suns are much improved, he’ll be on the edge of relevant. If he was a little younger, then maybe. But, he’s not, so unless someone knows something about him, not a Supercoach option.
I might be giving his two year run of decreasing scores too little weight, but they are very small decreases. At 27, he could still have a career year, but there is little reason to expect one. I’d prefer to go with someone younger. He has a good chance of scoring what you pay for, or right there abouts.
He has a long history of being meh, with one better than meh season at 26. Regression seems a lot more likely than progression at his age after just one ok year.
Remember the Craggy Island Guarantee, All predictions wrong or triple your money back!
Thanks for reading!
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