Fallen Premiums – Round 16, 2024

With the byes complete and the majority of teams at full premium, let me know if there’s any changes or discussion points you’d like in future editions of FP. A shorter edition this week, any questions as well feel free to fire away in the comments

Currently ranked 105 overall, hopefully a push into the top 100 is possible. Wish everyone the best on the run home.

Defenders

Trent Rivers ($451.8k, 84.1 AVG, 20 BE) is looking like the standout cut-price selection in defence this week. 80% CBA’s (the second most behind Max Gawn) and a score of 131 points as Rivers was shifted on-ball in the absence of Christian Petracca. Simon Goodwin has also stated that Rivers will continue in the midfield this week against the Lions. Definitely one to heavily consider for those in the market for a Super-POD at D6.

Midfielders

Connor Rozee ($410.7k, 92.5 AVG, 52 BE) unlike the majority of the Port Adelaide side) turned up with a solid score of 111 points in the drubbing against the Lions. Having now officially bottomed out in price, the Port skipper is prime for selection as both a M8 or M9 loop.

Rory Laird ($527.7k, 106.4 AVG, 79 BE) has seen a significant increase in TOG these last three games, averaging 85%, compared to the 72% in the first nine games. As for the role, Adelaide fans correct me here as I didn’t catch the Crows v Swans game, but Laird seemed to play in defence for majority of the game (which also makes sense as Michalaney was the leading CBA mid for the Crows). A score of 141 points against Sydney, along with previous SC history as a HB mark the move as a positive one. Definitely a nice POD at a cheaper price, even if Laird gets shuffled back on-ball, with Rankine and Dawson being the two to receive attention, Laird should continue cruising, especially if the higher TOG sticks.

Rucks

Forwards

Charlie Curnow ($457k, 91.4 AVG, 67 BE) remains a great selection as noted last week. The fixtures are a dream, and his impact for a flying Carlton team has King Charles as a solid forward premium. I personally still have him firmly finishing top 10 from here til the end of the season, and I won’t be surprised if Curnow pushes top 6.

Jy Simpkin ($400.7k, 72 AVG, -11 BE) with back-to-back tons since splitting up with his missus and becoming a bachelor. The CBA’s these past two games have been at 65% and 40%, and it’s definitely not a significant role change to earlier in the season that’s had Simpkin scoring much better. Against Eagles and Dees favourable scaling due to the match conditions definitely helped inflate Simpkin’s score. Credit also needs to be given to the North skippers around the ground work,  passing the eye-test, but also noting that Demons and Eagles being two of the easiest matchups for both inside midfielders and general forwards. Not one I’d personally run as a F6, but as a F7 he’d be perfect!

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