Venue: MCG at 7:50pm
Last 5 times:
2SF, 2015, Hawthorn 21.9 (135) d Adelaide 8.13 (61) at the MCG
R12, 2015 Hawthorn 17.12 (114) d Adelaide 12.13 (85) at Adelaide Oval
R17 2014, Hawthorn 15.14 (104) d Adelaide 14.8 (92) at Adelaide Oval
R6, 2013, Hawthorn 13.11 (89) d Adelaide 11.12 (78) at AAMI Stadium
1PF, 2012, Hawthorn 13.19 (97) d Adelaide 14.8 (92) at the MCG
Top SC scorers from last match (still playing):
- Hawthorn: Breust 165, Hodge 139, Lewis 128
- Adelaide: Jacobs 120, Laird 107, Thompson 102
- In: Gibson, Hill
- Out: Howe (Om.), Litherland (Om.)
- In: Cameron
- Out: Milera (Quad)
Game notes: I’m calling it: This is the match of the round!
After many of us predicted Adelaide to crash and burn after the departure of Dangerfield, they have instead gone to a new level under the direction of new coach, Don Pyke. They are on a 3 game winning streak, the midfield is getting the job done with less reliance on one player and the spine is stronger than ever. Add to that the new game plan involving rapid ball movement off of half-back and the Crows appear to be a top 4 contender.
On the other hand, Hawthorn are struggling to find their best form. The midfield is getting smashed in contested possessions and the forward line is dysfunctional in the absence of Roughead yet they too are on a 3 game winning streak. They have a habit of lifting their game at the MCG and they also have the wood over the Crows, having won the last 6 meetings, so they are not quite a write-off yet.
The last time they met at the MCG in the second Semi-final, the Hawks won by 74 points. Can the Crows earn some revenge or will the Hawks make it 7 straight?
THE SIX POINTS
1. The Hawks big guns were the difference when the sides last played in an MCG semi-final. Luke Bruest kicked a career-high six goals, Luke Hodge booted four, Sam Mitchell had 33 disposals while at the other end, Eddie Betts and Taylor Walker managed only one goal between them.
2. Adelaide is the No.1 centre clearance side so far in 2016, averaging 16.3 per game thanks to Sam Jacobs being ranked equal fourth in hit-outs. Hawthorn has struggled in centre clearances, ranked 15th.
3. Hawthorn has dominated Adelaide over a long period of time winning the past six matches and seven of the last eight. The Crows’ last win was in round one, 2011.
4. The Crows are the second-highest scoring team so far in 2016 averaging 121 points per game, while Hawthorn’s scoring has dropped off in 2016 averaging 91 points per game compared to 109 in 2015.
5. The Hawks are the number one tackling side in 2016 so far averaging 81.3 per game; the Crows are ranked 11th with 65 per game.
6. The Crows’ gun midfielder Rory Sloane is the sixth ranked player in the competition with 595.7 points according to the Schick AFL Player Ratings.
Thommo’s tip: Through my brown and gold spectacles, Hawks by 9!
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