“Wouldn’t it be Nice”? Stealing from the title of an old Beach Boys song (for those of you old enough to remember) to headline the start of the bye rounds. Wouldn’t it be nice not to have to trade in round 12, Wouldn’t it be nice to have a perfect bye plan, Wouldn’t it be nice to have trades up your sleeve, Wouldn’t it be nice not to have a forward line line made up of round 12 players right now, Wouldn’t it be nice not to trade in a player(s) who will still miss a week in the next month etc…..
Back in the days when trades literally were gold, we would stick fat and try not to trade come the first bye game to avoid putting in a player who would miss one of the next couple. With careful planning it would work, and then ideally we’d trade someone from that first bye round into our side for the next round, thus making sure we had a player to to sit on the field for the entire rest of the byes. I think these days with twice as many trades, coaches just reach for the numbers and trading out players on the bye is much more common place than ever.
Be that aside, there are plenty of options to toss aside this week if you are planning to replace those blue dots with playing options. I fear many coaches will be desperate to put some bodies into their forward line given the myriad blue dots in that part of the ground from the four bye sides this week, not to mention missing spots from other lines like Butters, LDU, Dawson, Milera, Worrell, McAndrew, Parker, Xerri, McKercher, and Anderson just to name a few of the highly owned non forwards out this week.
Bit of a nightmare really !!
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Top Ten Traded OUT
Heading that list this week is Crow Rookie Brayden Cook. He’s made us $222k and with a BE of 93 will not make any more with an an average of 77 so it makes sense. Probably because I’m not sensible I’m still considering holding him as a valuable 77 points through the rest of the bye rounds. However he could become my only trade this week to Charley Banfield to maintain the DPP and bank some cash for next week, pending team drops tonight.
Todd Marshall is proving to be a spud, especially as he seemingly has moved back into attack and will not set the world on fire there. A couple of weeks out and a 42 on return kinda makes up your mind for you.
Lachie McAndrew has been a rookie revelation for us this year. Made nearly $290k so theoretically has done his job, and time to bring in a big dog ruck in his place. If you don’t have Xerri, consider leaving that trade till next week where your big dog will play through the rest of the byes. Popular play will be to straight swap him to Darcy Cameron hoping that the new mid season recruit doesn’t come straight in as back up. Makes sense as he will rise more than $20k especially if English is absent again, and the round 14 bye is not so bad at present.
Leo Lombard has a BE of 26, and I know he can easily become a warm body, but he could also provide that same warm body after this week, right through the byes if you are struggling in any round. Whilst he has made $179k he should not lose any/much during that time, although he has a pretty tough run over the next few. He stays for me at least for one more week while I assess the horizon.
Josh Lindsay lost his first small lot of cash last week to see his BE jump to 81. Despite an average 5 points lower, I see Josh as a vital cog in The Eagles’ defence with them using that lethal left foot to advantage wherever possible, although the return of Tom McCarthy to defence last round did dry that source up a bit. Still, for me he stays just because he could be useful up to his round 15 bye with potential softer match ups against Essendon, Port and North. Caveat, I’d be hoping for a spike score in those next three to protect against a price drop so he will be ripe to trade in round 15.
With a BE of just 4, Angus Anderson does not have to go just yet. Only made $110k so unless you are desperate for that hundred grand to buy a big dog, let this sleeping dog (Pie) lie.
Unfortunately, Josh Rachelle has been a bit of a SC bust this season after all the hype around his midfield time being increased. Well it’s been just the opposite with an 81% decrease in CBAs since Rankine took on the role. Even when Rankine was on the pine last week injured, Rach didn’t get to go in the guts for any ball ups. Simply, without the mid time, and a BE 26 points above his average, he is Supercoach irrelevant right now.
Oscar Steene at some stage needs to go. The timing is up to you as he is not playing again this season. Has made $97k which is not ideal but could be useful on the bench or in the bank. Obviously, being in the ruck gives you less flexibility so if the move is to a big dog ruck or DCam you have to do it.
Michael Selwood has made his mandatory $160k profit and isn’t increasing that any time soon, in fact lost $15k last week. BE way above the average so it really is a no brainer if you need to use that profit wisely as he is not reliable enough to provide bench cover over the next three weeks.
Tough choice for number ten on the list. Izak Rankine is injured, has a BE of 130 and is on the bye, all solid reasons to trade him out. On the other hand, he is a forward playing in the guts, and we all know that this area of the SC field is tenuous at best. Will he be a top eight forward? Trajectory up until the calf injury says yes. Trended steadily upward to an 86 average, ten points above when he was doing forward time, and playing confidently. I’m inclined to say that he could stay, determine how long the calf keeps him out and if it is just the bye and one more week, keep him warming the bench until he is ready to roll again.
Top Ten Most Traded IN
Number one choice is bubble boy from the Saints, Charley Banfield. Fifty thousand coaches have hit the trade button on this one, hoping that he makes a buck for each trade. Projected to make over $50k with his generous BE of -60 and has the flex of DPP for use in trades of Marshall, Rachelle, Rankine, Cook or Lombard who all have the FWD tag in their name. Shown he has the scoring ability with a point per minute TOG against Freo, but factor in two things. One, he has a pretty tough run for the next four up to his bye in Hawks, Swans Giants and Dogs. Two, really only has those four weeks to generate cash due to his worst of the byes in round 16 where you will probably not want to be hanging onto him. Still, should be handy cover till then.
The reason Jack Ison is number two on this list is because half the game picked him up early last week. Good choice and rewarded those coaches with another solid 70 to get his BE to -77 so should be rewarded even further with a price hike of more than $60k against a Cats side visiting the “G”. Even a down game in the vicinity of 30-40 points will still see a rise of $40k + and a chance to reset against the Bombers next week. Jump on!
Grabbing the highest scoring defender in SC this week is a popular move. With Max Holmes‘ new DPP, his eligibility as a backman elevates him above Jack Sinclair in total points and average. With an easily achievable BE of 107 against a Blues side that might start to remember how they used to play, he should rise above the value he is offering at $569k. Another two points to remember, The Blues have been a bit of a bogey side for Geelong, and he shares that hideous round 16 bye with so many other SC premos. I’ve had him throughout so will definitely be keeping him, but if I did not have him, I wouldn’t get him as I have factored in not trading any further round 16 premos in due to missing eight already. The way my season is going, that number is sure to grow in the next couple of weeks.
Looks like the lure of points chasing and a minus BE against Essendon this week has coaches jumping on the Bailey J Williams train. What has caused the spike of two tons in a row when the guy has only scored six tons in his previous 93 games, and owns a meagre SC ave of 63 to this point. After The Bombers he fronts up against Jordan Sweet and Tristian Xerri which should sort out his run of tons I would have thought. The last time he played each of his next three opponents, his highest score was 48, and he has a career average of 64 against his next four opponents. The next bloke is a better choice with history on his side, given both the byes are pretty similar.
Darcy Cameron lost his back up last week and belted out 133 (coincidently against Williams). When DCam rucks solo he scores solo ruck scores and if we can hope that the mid season recruit needs a bit of time to settle, then Cameron has a career average of 97 against his next four opponents, including tons against big Max and the Doggies last year. Whilst his ruck craft against some of the leapers isn’t right up there, his around the ground work is great and he gets points from contests both on the ground and in the air by covering the ground well.
The next three on the list are no nos for me because of the round 16 bye, as much as I’d like all three. Callum Wilkie is great value at way under $500k with a low BE and an average of 100.4 (108 if you take out the injury affected game of 24). You won’t get a better chance to nab a genuine top six defender, and he has a good run to his bye with a big hundred against The Giants earlier this year, 119 against Sydney last year and 139 the previous season. Hawthorn, historically is a tougher assignment and with Jack Gunston back in tonight, could continue that toughness.
Bailey Smith is a gun, what can you say. Bit exxy but scored 120 against Carlton last year and is coming off 172 against the Crows earlier in the year, his next two oppo. I wish he had a different bye, sigh.
Kossy Pickett, with a BE of 120, is not a must have this week against the Giants who undoubtably will attach some sort of barnacle to him with their choices of taggers. If history repeats, he has a highest score of only 70 in the past four years against the Giants, so with the round 16 bye and the chance of a dud score again, I’d wait a week at least. However, if you need that hole filled and the price suits, don’t be too deterred.
Isaac Heeney is a good choice despite the high BE of 160 because he gives you a great three round cover until his bye, which is on the lighter end of the difficulty stage considering all byes. Those three rounds include Richmond, St Kilda and Port Adelaide, arguably great match ups for him with past high scores of 148, 134 and 145 respectively before that bye. As good a choice as any midfielder with that run.
You’ve already lost $44k profit by bringing in Wayde Derkson this week, but he’s still cheap enough if you need that defensive rookie spot filled to get ahead elsewhere. Still likely to make another $30k or so this week so it is not all bad and it fills a need. Better check the teams when they drop, because he might also be dropped by the return of Jacob Weitering.
POLL: Trades
Let us know how many trades you have/had before trading this week, how many boosts and how many you will use this round, cheers.
Once again everybody, thanks heaps for reading and participating in the poll, and good luck over the next few weeks of the byes.
A bit harsh on BJ considering that his most recent was a 136 against the bloke that you think is a better option and prior to that a 140 against the mob that cameron only scored 56 against, until recently he had to share some work with duff or flynn and now he’s lone dog. Statistically a far better option than cameron and he has dpp. just as many tons as cameron and twice as many 120+ scores whereas cameron has 3 times as may sub 60’s. His only poor games we against the unicorn, Max and saints double team. There is an old addage that the big fellas take longer to mature
Fair comments David. I was basing it on a not very stellar history for BJ and using DCam’s history as a definer and the difference was 33 points in favor of the Pie who is cheaper.
That said, I watched BJ and he looked good, so maybe he has just clicked right at the minute – time will tell.
Great write up & poll. Thanks JimmyDee
I traded out Lombard hesitantly but I needed his cash. Thanks for the 36 points Banfield LOL
Is mcclugage a rage trade
In Warner and Anderson
Out Flanders and Reshtko
Tu: yes
TD: no