We were reminded of the value of patience again this week, as a number of rookies who were walking the trade tightrope managed good scores to earn a stay (for now). But with a handful of intriguing downgrade targets presenting themselves this week, is it time to finally cut the cord and grab some cash?
Here’s a review of the rookie performances from Round 8. Players “on the bubble” are marked with an asterisk.
DEFENDERS
| Player | Club | Price | Score (avg) | BE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas MURRAY* | ADE | $102 400 | DNP (50) | -39 |
| Harry EDWARDS* | WCE | $123 900 | 43 (52) | -30 |
| Luke PARKS | CAR | $160 300 (+$26.7K) | 59 (48) | -22 |
| Nathan MURPHY | COL | $159 400 (+$35.5K) | 52 (51) | -12 |
| Mark KEANE | COL | $192 400 (+$34.4K) | 65 (57) | -10 |
| Jaxon PRIOR | BRL | $216 400 (+$25.9K) | 60 (52) | 7 |
| Martin FREDERICK | PTA | $170 800 (+$46.9K) | 18 (60) | 9 |
| Rhyan MANSELL | RIC | $173 200 (+$14.9K) | 43 (44) | 14 |
| Darragh JOYCE | STK | $186 400 (+$9.1K) | 51 (42) | 20 |
| Jordon BUTTS | ADE | $321 000 (+$22.3K) | 82 (66) | 21 |
| Connor MENADUE | NTH | $271 100 (+$40.6K) | 105 (73) | 24 |
| Liam STOCKER | CAR | $188 800 (+$2.3K) | 31 (39) | 25 |
| Jacob KOSCHITZKE | HAW | $276 400 (+$26.2K) | 38 (55) | 60 |
| Nikolas COX (FWD) | ESS | $278 900 (-$8.1K) | 43 (57) | 74 |
| Lachie YOUNG (MID) | NTH | $300 500 (-$10.4K) | 48 (65) | 81 |
| Buku KHAMIS | WBD | $123 900 | 39 (39) | N/A |
Goodbye for now: Madden, Chapman
THE GOOD: Butts and Menadue continue to prove that paying a premium for your rookies can actually work, particularly in tough times for cash cows. Butts got to his score via 10 one percenters (mostly spoils), while Menadue’s 25 touches at 88% efficiency gave him his first ton of the season.
THE BAD: Quite a few coaches rolled the dice on Murphy this week, and at halftime they would have been grinning as he managed 12 touches playing on a wing. It can be a cruel game though, and a head knock early in the third quarter ended Nathan’s night – and he will miss at least one more game due to protocols too.
THE UGLY: Ken, what are you doing to us? Frederick put together two excellent games to start his career, taking an extremely negative BE into game number 3…then was lumped with the dreaded (metaphorical) green vest. Unfortunately 28% game time effectively demolishes his Supercoach relevance this year.
MIDFIELDERS
| Player | Club | Price | Score (avg) | BE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley COLLIER-DAWKINS* | RIC | $123 900 | 43 (60) | -45 |
| Ryan BYRNES* | STK | $123 900 | 62 (57) | -40 |
| Lachlan MCNEIL | WBD | $221 900 (+$26.5K) | 81 (50) | 1 |
| Charlie LAZZARO | NTH | $171 700 (+$12.6K) | 51 (35) | 8 |
| James JORDON | MEL | $326 200 (+$38.4K) | 85 (71) | 18 |
| Tanner BRUHN | GWS | $155 900 (+$0.2K) | 53 (35) | 32 |
| Sam BERRY | ADE | $209 200 (-$3.1K) | 45 (51) | 36 |
| Tom POWELL | NTH | $381 300 (+$23.6K) | 73 (77) | 56 |
| Errol GULDEN | SYD | $282 900 (-$14.9K) | 51 (78) | 63 |
Goodbye for now: Phillips, Rantall
THE GOOD: Jordon and Powell have been the star pupils of the Supercoach stockyard so far in 2021, and each player posted a solid score to continue their cash generation. Only 47% efficiency on a damp night could stop Jordon from tonning up, while Powell was a little down on recent efforts but is still worth holding on to for a while yet. Shout out to McNeil for his best score of the season – well done if you still have him!
THE BAD: Berry and Gulden still struggle to break out of the scoring doldrums, and are must-trades this week if you still have them.
THE UGLY: Collier-Dawkins was an early trade target for a lot of coaches desperate for a downgrade option, but 4 clangers and 57% efficiency might have those coaches a bit edgy this week. Hopefully he can hang in there for a few more games?
RUCKS
| Player | Club | Price | Score (avg) | BE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordon SWEET* | WBD | $123 900 | 50 (62) | -49 |
| Tom CAMPBELL (FWD) | NTH | $241 300 (+$48.2K) | 101 (57) | -31 |
| Matt FLYNN | GWS | $273 000 | DNP (94) | 3 |
| Riley THILTHORPE (FWD) | ADE | $236 500 (+$33.7K) | 51 (66) | 34 |
| Nick BRYAN | ESS | $123 900 | DNP (51) | N/A |
Goodbye for now: Treacy.
I’d like to issue a formal apology to Campbell and his owners – he is extremely relevant this year after hitting the fourth ton of his career, and first at the Roos. Sharing the ruck duties with Goldy is clearly agreeing with him and that DPP status is invaluable. Sweet is on the bubble but should be avoided due to poor job security, while Thilthorpe might be useful cover but not much more beyond that.
46% of coaches wait for selection news on Flynn again this week…..
FORWARDS
| Player | Club | Price | Score (avg) | BE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb POULTER* (MID) | COL | $117 300 | 81 (67) | -63 |
| Jamaine JONES | WCE | $269 100 (+$55.6K) | 88 (62) | -47 |
| Matthew OWIES* | CAR | $123 900 | 49 (58) | -42 |
| Zach SPROULE* | GWS | $123 900 | 53 (43) | -12 |
| Harrison JONES | ESS | $217 800 (+$26K) | 60 (45) | -10 |
| Atu BOSENAVULAGI | NTH | $214 400 | DNP (64) | 6 |
| Miles BERGMAN | PTA | $252 000 (+$26.5K) | 67 (58) | 7 |
| Anthony SCOTT (MID) | WBD | $266 000 (+$33.5K) | 85 (56) | 10 |
| Archie PERKINS (MID) | ESS | $264 500 (+$22K) | 50 (56) | 13 |
| Emerson JEKA* | HAW | $123 900 | 31 (29) | 17 |
| Finlay MACRAE (MID) | COL | $137 600 | DNP (34) | 22 |
| James ROWE | ADE | $236 200 (+$2.2K) | 81 (57) | 23 |
| Beau MCCREERY | COL | $199 000 (+$11.2K) | 33 (50) | 28 |
| Jy FARRAR | GCS | $234 600 (+$17.2K) | 66 (63) | 30 |
| Sam FLANDERS | GCS | $215 000 (+$15.1K) | 42 (44) | 37 |
| Oliver HENRY* | COL | $135 300 | 32 (21) | 39 |
| Deven ROBERTSON (MID) | BRL | $280 800 (+$25.8K) | 44 (66) | 54 |
| Mitchell LEWIS | HAW | $280 200 (+$10.5K) | 72 (68) | 65 |
| Chad WARNER | SYD | $329 400 (-$0.4K) | 61 (76) | 74 |
| Michael FREDERICK | FRE | $237 500 (-$21.6K) | 4 (50) | 90 |
Goodbye for now: W Kelly, Stone
THE GOOD: Somebody has lit a fire under Jamaine Jones in the past fortnight, putting up his second great score in a row. Probably too expensive to consider bringing in, but he is in great form! Scott managed a couple of goals which is always good for someone in his role, and might even be a hold until his bye? And Rowe continues to frustrate and elate in equal measures, with 13 touches at a sparkling 92% efficiency putting him in the good books this week.
THE BAD: McCreery tackles like a maniac but is struggling to get near the leather in the anaemic Pies forward line, managing only 4 possessions.
THE UGLY: Poor Michael Frederick suffered the trending injury of the year – syndesmosis – and may be looking at a long recovery. Trade away.
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Owies & Poulter in this week?
Not many good rookies coming up
Yes or No
I only have room for one rookie this week. Which one should it be?
TU: Poulter
TD: RCD/Byrnes (split in reply)
Not Poulter..
TU: RCD
TD: Byrnes
Was eagerly watching Murphy at Saturday’s game. He looked really good on the wing. Reckon the Pies have one there.
Looking at the BE’s, is it time to move on Kosi and Warner?
I’m holding both, due to their opponents this week:
Warner v Pies, who give up plenty
Kosi v North in Hobart – he kicked 6 against them in the preseason
Love the write up as always but Surely Berry not a must trade out. Getting games and a 36 breakeven at 209k. Only needs 1 more good game to kickstart his cash gen! I will be holding personally
Not saying he’s a must trade, but I think I would move him on if I still had him. He just doesn’t seem likely to hit that 70 he needs to make some worthwhile cash.
If you have a bunch of red dots on the bench, then addressing that is the priority this week. Otherwise…
I don’t think there’s any value trading Berry, if he’s playing might as well sit him on the bench and hope he scores a couple of 60-80 games and goes up another 50k. He gets midfield time so who knows
Yep, Scott and McNeil showed why we should be patient. They will be ripe in a couple of weeks now. Berry only needs one breakout game and then trade out 2 weeks after that. Need to maximize the cash gen this year.
Traded him last week to RCD so i could upgrade Chapman to May
If you had to trade one of Rowe or Berry this week who would you trade?
Berry T/U
Rowe T/D
9 live rookies
5 dead rookies
21 trades
Is it better to:
T/U sideway trade dead rookies to generate cash (ultimately costing 2 trades)
T/D adopt trades are oxygen logic and tolerate the red dots on the bench
Depends on your byes I reckon and whether you’re live rookies are making sufficient cash for upgrades – nice you have 21 trades , I’m down to 16 after this week.
Not knowing your full line up, I’d be getting rid of the red dots given you have 21 trades and am guessing loads of coaches have less.
Chillo,
Owies is forward only.
I already fell for that last week…….
I’m onto your scam now,…..next you’ll be telling us Highmore is playing……
Damn, right you are. Fixed!
is T Campbell worth looking at as FWD bench in near future, decent JS, and when its time for Flynn to go moving him RUC and getting another FWD in???