Small or Far Away, Father Dougal on Cows
So, I explained Time/Cash Value last week, but this week I’m going to talk about using it in practice. Right now most of us are figuring out who we should be trading out, and that’s what it is for. When Time/Cash Value growth slows down, you should be ready to trade that cow out even if they have more money to make. When you can downgrade to a cow who will make money faster, then you often will want to even if you could squeeze a bit more out of the cow you own.
Some of the Rules of Cow-quisition apply to downgrade targets as well as starting cows. I’ve put them below. While rule number five specifies not to waste a downgrade target by starting with them, you really just never want to waste a downgrade target. We don’t get that many good ones and can’t afford to waste them. Lots will be unclear, and that’s ok, but when someone like Hately shows up, be ready. Plan ahead even!
Father Dougal’s Rules of Cow-quisition (Abridged)
Rule Number Two: “Good cows have good job security. A cow without job security is just an unreliable loophole.”
Rule Number Three: “The cheaper the better. Lower cost and higher profit.”
Rule Number Five: “Money is gold, trades are oxygen, and downgrade targets are platinum. Never waste a downgrade target by starting with him on your bench.”
Rule Number Seven: “When a cow is best 22, you pick that cow”
Rule Number Eight: “DPP is nice, but no more than nice. Definitely not enough.”
Rule Number Ten: “The cows you have to pick from are the cows everyone has to pick from. Stop complaining and start planning.”
Rule Number Eleven: “Better an unknown cow than a known bum steer”
Rule Number Twelve: “A cheap cow that loses his job is a loophole. A high priced cow that loses his job is a source of funds. A mid-priced cow that loses his job is a problem.”
Rule Number Thirteen: “It’s going to go wrong. Pick the cows who will go wrong in the ways you can best cope with”
Rule Number Nineteen: “Know your coaches. It doesn’t matter if a cow should play, it only matters if the coach thinks he should play.”
Rule Number Twenty: “Know your teams. A cow filling in for two weeks before a gun comes back from injury is really a loophole waiting to happen.”
Rule Number Twenty One: “Sometimes you have to suck it up and downgrade to a loophole. When you do, find as cheap of one as you can.”
Rule Number Twenty Two: “Downgrading to someone who might be a loophole beats downgrading to someone you know will be a loophole.”
Rule Number Twenty Three: “Some cows aren’t worth a trade to deal with. Keep them, be patient, and hope. It’s a long season, sometimes things go right in the end.”
Another thing to remember about the projections is they are based on the player’s average. A score over or under that average can make a big difference in growth, just ask Gibbons!
Collins – His value depends a lot on his next score. That’s true for most cows, but so far he has scored a lot over or a lot under his average. If he goes at 80 a few weeks he makes steady cash a few more weeks, but another 45 and he is static and then has to go right away. I wouldn’t see anything wrong with keeping or holding. That 45 really messes up his growth. You can see his Time/Cash Value goes down and then back up because of it.
Scrimshaw – has one more week of big growth and then he slowly rises in value after that. No rush to trade him out if he stick close to his average.
Hore – It is early to write him up with just three weeks of numbers, but I am because it is actually not mad to bring him in as a downgrade target. If he keeps his average up he can make $150k from where he is now before the byes. How big an if is that? I have no idea.
Clark – He could go anytime you have a downgrade target. He does not need to score well to slowly go up in price. An average of 60 seems easy enough to reach. Like most cows, one good or bad score would change things a lot, but he seems pretty consistent.
Duursma – Decent money left in him. Another consistent cow who will go up until a downgrade target appears for him. No need to rush him out as of now.
Wilke – That sweet 112 will be in his Three Round Average (TRA) for another week, after which he will have pretty much topped out.
Burgess – The only reason for him to be in a team is his DPP, so his horrible cash generation should not really matter. Much. If you have him now, plan to have him R23, barring a Menadue. (Putting up a once-in-a-career shock big score, as did Connor Menadue who threw a shock 130 R14 of 2016.)
Moore – Another bloke with slow steady cash, who could go as soon as he needs to. Fortunately he does not need to. More likely than most of the other slow burns to throw a surprise high score.
Ridley –Bleh. At least he shows no sign of losing money. (No Jinks!) If he can put up 75+ a few times that would help his price a lot. His owners would also like a pony.
Rozee – The 116 pushed his price way up, but the two bad weeks after hurt a lot. He may have made his money, although since he tonned up once he can probably do it again.
Walsh – May be kicked out of Cow Talk for not being a cow, like next week. Cow least in need of me talking about him ever.
Constable – Cow least in need of being traded out, assuming Walsh is not a cow. Shows every sign of having more cash to make.
Butters – The 23 slowed his growth a lot. He is due a bump when it finally leaves his TRA, If he can stick to 67+ for a few weeks he has some more cash to make, but I can see him going for some of the shiny new downgrade targets showing up.
Atkins – A big week left, then an okay week, then ready to go. If he doesn’t throw up a ton, he could be the main man out for Hately
Scott – He has a surprisingly large amount of money left to make, even at an average of 54. I’d never have guessed. If he keeps his job, he is worth holding onto.
Cousins – He is close to done, and now he has a 45 in his TRA. I’d be tempted to use his cash. If he average much worse then 75 he could lose money.
Bailey Smith – His game one score seems to be an anomaly, and it is keeping his average low. If he can keep going at 75+ he has more cash to make.
Gibbons – Not worth bringing in late unless you expect a lot more high scores. Will make money over the next two weeks. By then we will know – should he stay or should he go!
Davies-Uniacke – Three score in the 60s in a row, he may have topped out. Of course he could score another ton. You could do anything with him and have it be reasonable.
Stack– Also here to answer the “is he still worth bringing in question” which has the answer of “maybe” but I would bring in Ross instead myself.
Drew – Nice to see him ton up again! Hold for at least two more weeks.
Parker – Again I am surprised by how much cash he could still make, even with a 60 average. The problem is his 80+ score were weeks one and two, and his recent scores have been much lower. If he starts averaging 45 his growth will slow to a crawl. One more 85+ and he makes $70k fast. No reason to hold if you have someone to trade him for.
Setterfield – Won’t even play this week. Then slow growth unless he come back and plays a lot better then he has so far.
Miers – Has a few more good weeks in him, then can go. Like the Dogs B. Smith, his R1 score is a lot lower than the rest, keeping his projections a bit low. (I suspect)
Petruccelle – See Gibbons. Wait two weeks, decide then.
Balta – Not worth a trade to get rid of. Like Burgess, if he is in your team now he could be there R23. Unlike Burgess, I can see him upping his a game at some point. I’m not saying he will, for sure not, but I think it could happen. His points per minute last match were pretty good if I remember correctly.
Remember, all predictions wrong or triple your money back!
Thanks for Reading!
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