(Written & Created By Adam)
$600k is a lot for a DEF………
SC 2018: 112.05 from 22
SCG Avg: 111.09 from 11 (5/11 below 100, 4/11 120+)
Interstate Avg: 111.9 from 10 (3/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)
SCG Wins Avg: 116.8 from 5 (2/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)
SCG Losses Avg: 106.33 from 6 (3/6 below 100, 2/6 120+)
Wins Avg: 112.36 from 14 (5/14 below 100, 4/14 120+)
Losses Avg: 111.5 from 8 (3/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)
Pre Bye Avg: 105.15 from 13 (7/13 below 100, 3/13 120+)
Post Bye Avg: 122 from 9 (1/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)
2018 Stat Averages:
Disposals: 28.27
SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 29: 124.92 from 12 (low of 90 and a high of 173, 2/12 below 100, 6/12 120+)
SC Avg when disposals below 29: 96.6 from 10 (low of 71 and a high of 122, 6/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)
Kicks: 18.41
SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 19: 125.42 from 12 (low of 90 and a high of 173, 2/12 below 100, 6/12 120+)
SC Avg when kicks below 19: 96 from 10 (low of 71 and a high of 124, 6/10 below 100, 1/10 120+)
Handballs: 9.86
SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 10: 122.67 from 12 (low of 94 and a high of 173, 2/12 below 100, 5/12 120+)
SC Avg when handballs below 10: 99.3 from 10 (low of 71 and a high of 149, 6/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)
Marks: 6.36
SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 7: 123.89 from 9 (low of 85 and a high of 173, 2/9 below 100, 5/9 120+)
SC Avg when marks below 7: 103.85 from 13 (low of 71 and a high of 141, 6/13 below 100, 2/13 120+)
Contested Possessions: 5.95
SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 6: 117.6 from 10 (low of 71 and a high of 149, 2/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)
SC Avg when contested possessions below 6: 107.42 from 12 (low of 80 and a high of 173, 6/12 below 100, 3/12 120+)
Tackles: 1.68
SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 2: 112.42 from 12 (low of 71 and a high of 149, 5/12 below 100, 5/12 120+)
SC Avg when tackles below 2: 111.6 from 10 (low of 80 and a high of 173, 3/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)
Clangers: 2.05
SC Avg when clangers below 3: 117 from 7 (low of 90 and a high of 149, 3/7 below 100, 4/7 120+)
SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 3: 109.73 from 15 (low of 71 and a high of 173, 5/15 below 100, 3/15 120+)
Time on Ground%: 88.45%
SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 89%: 116.75 from 12 (low of 71 and a high of 173, 4/12 below 100, 5/12 120+)
SC Avg when time on ground below 89%: 106.4 from 10 (low of 89 and a high of 136, 4/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)
Disposal Efficiency: 79.10%
Contested Possession Rate: 22.66%
Observations:
0.86 win/loss differential.
16.85 post bye/pre-bye differential.
25+ avg differential when disposals equal/exceed 29 and kicks equal/exceed 19.
Lloyd starts 2019 as the highest priced defender at just over 600,000 thanks to a superb 2018 season in which he averaged 112.05 from 22 matches and 122 from 9 post bye. Still room for slight improvement in contested numbers due to the outside nature and the changes to the kick in rule which could benefit J Lloyd as he took 147 kick ins between RD1-RD22 and played on 29.25% (43/147) of the time. His high price will be a major deterrence due to the wealth of options down back between the 400,000 to 570,000 range and Lloyd should be able to be selected if he dips below 550,000 around the byes.
Verdict: Strongly consider for D1/ Upgrade Target
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I think I’m up to 12 current variations of my R1 team… Lloyd is in half of them… i too can’t decide on D1 v Upgrade..
spot on Lazza. Currently an Upgrade target for me 😉
LOCK !!
I can’t start him. Too much $$ upgrade target for my team
Who’s in your defense CJ84
Whitfield, Hurn, Williams, smith
He will have to maintain a consistent 3Rd ave. of 112 rising to 121 to not drop in price before rd10. Even more after that.
Really? Upgrade target for me.
But if he does? Well done to everyone who has the cajones, but there’s better value around for mine.
I assume with the rising average we’re talking nominal rather than real prices?
How much is a trade worth?
Also his previous best season average is 87. That was a +25 point bump up last year, so we are picking him at his peak price. Hasn’t had a full pre season as well, wasn’t major surgery however surgery nonetheless. I don’t see the upside in him, and factor in the cost of Gawn and Grundy and danger, as well adding in a few Uber mids I want to start, I can’t squeeze him in. I want him in my team, just won’t be starting.
Locked and loaded started with him last year didn’t let me down!
Tossup between Lloyd and Laird at D1 for me. I think Lloyd is a bit overpriced, and last year was his first year of proper premium numbers (BIG jump from his usual ~90 averages). However, I think Laird could be at his peak as well, and Smith could be stealing some of his points/possessions.