Venue: MCG at 3:20pm AEST
Last 5 times:
R23, 2015, Essendon 14.11 (95) d Collingwood 14.8 (92) at the MCG
R4, 2015, Collingwood 9.15 (69) d Essendon 6.13 (49) at the MCG
R17, 2014, Essendon 16.7 (103) d Collingwood 5.9 (39) at the MCG
R6, 2014, Collingwood 12.11 (83) d Essendon 8.12 (60) at the MCG
R19, 2013, Collingwood 20.13 (133) d Essendon 7.12 (54) at the MCG
Top SC scorers from last match (playing in 2016):
- Collingwood: Adams 131, Varcoe 111, White 103
- Essendon: Baguely 111, McKernan 108, Fantasia 104
- In: Demspey, Grimley
- Out: Ambrose (Om.), Laverde (Shoulder)
- In: Frost, Smith, Cox, Maynard
- Out: Cloke (Heart-string), Langdon (Knee), Sinclair (Concussion), White (Om.)
Game Notes: In the pre-season, a win in this game was considered a formality for Collingwood and the media questioned whether the top-up Bombers deserved to play on such an important day. A lot has changed in only 5 weeks and the Bombers have more than proved themselves. The Pies may be favourites to win but it would surprise no-one if the Bombers upset them today.
It seems so early in the season for all this talk of doom and gloom, but if the Pies want a chance to play finals they must win today. Despite that, Bucks has swung the axe like an angry woodsman culling Cloke and White from the herd and bringing in first gamers Cox and Smith. Hopefully he has kept his head enough to return Pendlebury to the midfield from the opening bounce.
This match could go down to the wire – perhaps we’ll see some more ANZAC Day heroics from David Zaharakis?
The 6 Points
1. The Bombers are the lowest scoring side so far in 2016 managing only 58 points per game, kicking 10 or more goals in a game only once.
2. Collingwood won the Anzac Day clash last year but Essendon dominated the stats. The Bombers won the disposals 420-338 and marks 116-73, 104 of which were uncontested, but managed only six goals.
3. Uncontested possessions have been a big part of the Bombers’ game this season, being ranked second in this area with 281.8 a game, while Collingwood is ranked 15th with an average of 217.
4. This will be the 22nd Anzac Day contest between the sides, with Collingwood holding sway with 12 wins to eight, while there has been one draw. The Magpies have won eight of the past 10.
5. Collingwood and Essendon will meet for the 233rd time, with the Magpies leading with 127 wins to 101. There have been four draws.
6. For the first time since round 21, 2013, Essendon midfielder David Zaharakis is back inside the top 100 in the Schick AFL Player Ratings. He was as high as No. 44 in mid-2012.
Thommo’s Tip: Collingwood by 20 points.
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