Bunnies are hopping, buglers are warming up, and cows are starting to moo. If this is Supercoach, then it must be April!
Lots of premium stock here that, for one reason or another, suffered a bit of a rough start to the year. However all six of the players listed below look to be heading into an upswing in their form, which means now is the time for savvy coaches to jump!
Kade SIMPSON (CAR), $479 100 (-$91.2K), avg 83, BE 79 – Unfortunately when you get to the age that Kade is, any slight dip in form inevitably brings about whispers of the “R” word. But Simo has bounced back as Simo usually does, posting 107 and 92 in the past fortnight, and now comes with a hefty discount on his starting price. Acclimatising to life with his new backline buddy Newman was always going to take a bit of time, maybe it’s now? I just wish he’d bring the sleeves out again!
Jack CRISP (COL), $464 800 (-$55.1K), avg 90, BE 83 – Definitely not regarded as the ‘steak knives’ anymore, Crisp is a bonafide premium rebounding defender who has had a bit of a yo-yo season so far. 116 at his last start against the Lions is a true example of his ability, and for a player capable of averaging 95+, it’s hard to ignore Jack at this price point.
Backing it up….
Jeremy Howe, $464K, BE 148
Jake Lloyd, $616K, BE 137
Lachie Whitfield, $616K, BE 134
Adam TRELOAR (COL), $561 700 (-$32.5K), avg 111, BE 93 – The big knock on Treloar’s game has always been his low disposal efficiency. Yet he can produce games like he did against Brisbane last weekend – 35 possessions at 80%, and a massive 150 points. His incredible gut running ability means he always finds plenty of the footy, and if he can keep using it this well, then Treloar is a lock for a top 10 mid spot at the end of the year. Strongly consider!
Dustin MARTIN (RIC), $492 900 (-$70.9K), avg 88, BE 111 – This is very much a speculative pick, and depends on whether you think Dusty’s elbow-induced one week sabbatical can be the turning point for his season. He was exceptional on his return against an admittedly mediocre Sydney team last week, with 25 touches and three goals. Fully capable of going at 110+ from here on in, but you’d be basing selection on the form of years past. Very well priced considering his potential output.
Oliver WINES (PTA), $513 200 (-$15.1K), avg 91, BE 93 – Admittedly one of my favourite players to watch when he’s fit and firing, Ollie looked well short of a run in his first game after a much-publicised rehab from an off-season water skiing incident. Since then, Wines has put together scores of 95 and 110, and looks like he’ll once again be one of the main contested ball winners in the Power midfield. After that heavily interrupted pre-season, it would be ironic if this is the year that Wines finally becomes a recognised premium, but stranger things have happened…
Jack Macrae, $654K, BE 173
Lachie Neale, $687K, BE 178
Nat Fyfe, $581K, BE 164
Brodie Grundy and Max Gawn are technically fallen premiums, but given that both currently have price tags north of $600K and break-evens of 130+, it doesn’t seem fair to include them here. For the very brave, Matthew Kreuzer ($432K) returned last week and looked good….but for how long?
I did briefly consider including the much-maligned Josh Dunkley ($457K) here just to provoke discussion, until I read on the AFL website that he may be dropped this week! Ahhh Mr Magnets, you’ve done it again.
Tim KELLY (GEE), $491 000 (-$14.8K), avg 98, BE 115 – Kelly was frankly dreadful against the Giants in round 4, after suffering through an ankle complaint sustained the week prior. Bounced back against the Hawks on Easter Monday with a 129 point effort, and should be strongly considered if you don’t already have him. A couple of things to consider though; one, his high-ish BE means it’s not urgent to get him this week, and two, Kelly is a decent chance to cop the attentions of one M.Hutchings this weekend.
Sam Menegola, $463K, BE 168
Patrick Dangerfield, $618K, BE 165
Robbie Gray, $464K, BE 152
Chad Wingard, $443K, BE 144
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