For those new to the game, a player’s break-even (or BE) is the score they must achieve in order to maintain their current price tag. The following are the details for most of the popular players (>3% ownership), plus a few other notables. Bookmark and enjoy!
If there’s a name not listed here that you’d like to hear about, throw it in the comments and I’ll do my best to accomodate you.
First Name, LAST NAME (TEAM) (Price, Average): BE
All MID DPPs are listed under def/fwd/ruck (as appropriate)
DEF-FWD DPPs are listed as defs
RUCK DPPs are listed as rucks
PREMIUM DEFENDERS (>$500K)
Luke MCDONALD (NTH) ($513 800, 87): 55
Rory LAIRD (ADE) ($555 900, 100): 76
Luke RYAN (FRE) ($582 200, 106): 92
Jordan RIDLEY (ESS) ($505 000, 105): 113
Jayden SHORT (RIC) ($503 500, 98): 115
Jake LLOYD (SYD) ($636 900, 120): 117
Nick HAYNES (GWS) ($526 800, 106): 151
MIDPRICE DEFENDERS ($300K-$500K)
Jackson THURLOW (SYD) ($359 600, 104): 11
Jordan DAWSON (SYD) ($422 000, 80): 44
Jack LUKOSIUS (GCS) ($436 800, 85): 50
John NOBLE (COL) ($354 100, 69): 50
Brodie SMITH (ADE) ($416 800, 81): 64
Bailey WILLIAMS (WBD) ($447 800, 86): 66
Zac BAILEY (BRL) ($432 700, 81): 71
Zac WILLIAMS (GWS) ($487 200, 90): 80
Tom STEWART (GEE) ($467 000, 92): 81
Dan HOUSTON (PTA) ($437 600, 86): 81
Shannon HURN (WCE) ($409 300, 85): 86
Alex WITHERDEN (BRL) ($474 400, 99): 87
Grant BIRCHALL (BRL) ($379 900, 74): 90
Adam SAAD (ESS) ($477 400, 99): 94
Hunter CLARK (STK) ($422 800, 83): 100
Sam DOCHERTY (CAR) ($426 100, 96): 107
Jack CRISP (COL) ($458 400, 92): 112
Caleb DANIEL (WBD) ($494 300, 101): 118
Callum MILLS (SYD) ($492 300, 101): 121
Brayden MAYNARD (COL) ($491 400, 101): 138
Harris ANDREWS (BRL) ($439 100, 87): 142
BUDGET / ROOKIE DEFENDERS (<$300K)
Tobe WATSON (FRE) ($155 400, 61): –28
Matthew COTTRELL (CAR) ($142 200, 51): -8
Lachlan SHOLL (ADE) ($182 100, 52): 8
Tom WILLIAMSON (CAR) ($274 600, 58): 9
Trent RIVERS (MEL) ($180 600, 49): 9
Trey RUSCOE (COL) ($152 900, 39): 20
Will DAY (HAW) ($298 000, 72): 26
Brandon STARCEVICH (BRL) ($236 400, 55): 34
Stephen HILL (FRE) ($287 900, 66): 35
Jarrod BRANDER (WCE) ($252 900, 60): 46
Andrew MCPHERSON (ADE) ($284 700, 66): 53
Ben MCKAY (NTH) ($277 600, 66): 53
Lachlan ASH (GWS) ($276 400, 53): 78
Brandon ZERK-THATCHER (ESS) ($240 000, 50): 78
PREMIUM MIDFIELDERS ($500K+)
Marcus BONTEMPELLI (WBD) ($587 400, 112): 20
Dayne ZORKO (BRL) ($522 000, 98): 36
Ollie WINES (PTA) ($546 300, 102): 60
Lachie HUNTER (WBD) ($537 900, 113): 68
Sam MENEGOLA (GEE) ($567 200, 104): 87
Patrick DANGERFIELD (GEE) ($554 500, 110): 96
Taylor ADAMS (COL) ($559 600, 112): 97
Nat FYFE (FRE) ($581 500, 117): 102
Zach MERRETT (ESS) ($555 100, 109): 103
Patrick CRIPPS (CAR) ($524 100, 102): 106
Jarryd LYONS (BRL) ($611 200, 118): 107
Luke PARKER (SYD) ($528 900, 108): 117
Jack MACRAE (WBD) ($694 200, 126): 121
Stephen CONIGLIO (GWS) ($551 600, 104): 126
Tom MITCHELL (HAW) ($600 600, 115): 131
Hugh MCCLUGGAGE (BRL) ($508 500, 102): 132
Mitch DUNCAN (GEE) ($533 100, 107): 134
Lachie NEALE (BRL) ($727 700, 146): 141
Josh KELLY (GWS) ($602 000, 114): 143
Josh DUNKLEY (WBD) ($535 700, 99): 151
Clayton OLIVER (MEL) ($714 300, 129): 160
Tim KELLY (WCE) ($502 600, 96): 164
Jack STEELE (STK) ($572 000, 115): 170
MIDPRICE MIDFIELDERS ($300K – $500K)
Angus BRAYSHAW (MEL) ($417 300, 82): 10
Noah ANDERSON (GCS) ($363 000, 72): 21
Dylan SHIEL (ESS) ($480 500, 105): 46
Sam WALSH (CAR) ($486 200, 92): 58
Travis BOAK (PTA) ($474 600, 103): 62
Marlion PICKETT (RIC) ($349 600, 72): 74
Andrew MCGRATH (ESS) ($490 300, 99): 76
Elliot YEO (WCE) ($473 600, 90): 91
Andrew GAFF (WCE) ($475 900, 101): 99
Caleb SERONG (FRE) ($388 300, 75): 102
Luke SHUEY (WCE) ($497 000, 97): 123
Jack VINEY (MEL) ($497 200, 104): 124
BUDGET/ ROOKIE MIDFIELDERS (<$300K)
Jack BYTEL (STK) ($155 000, 62): -29
Xavier O’HALLORAN (GWS) ($154 100, 61): -27
Samuel WICKS (SYD) ($151 000, 57): -22
Dylan STEPHENS (SYD) ($246 100, 57): 8
Harry SCHOENBERG (ADE) ($166 900, 49): 12
Sam SIMPSON (GEE) ($296 500, 73): 64
RUCKS
Tom DE KONING (CAR) ($148 900, 55): -19
Sam DRAPER (ESS) ($214 200, 70): -7
Luke JACKSON (MEL) ($264 200, 58): 3
Tristan XERRI (NTH) ($170 000, 48): 12
Darcy CAMERON (COL) ($286 100, 66): 27
Peter LADHAMS (PTA) ($459 900, 97): 52
Reilly O’BRIEN (ADE) ($473 800, 104): 58
Nic NAITANUI (WCE) ($566 800, 108): 62
Marc PITTONET (CAR) ($334 200, 83): 62
Sam JACOBS (GWS) ($418 500, 91): 66
Oscar MCINERNEY (BRL) ($466 600, 84): 72
Tim ENGLISH (WBD) ($506 900, 105): 94
Paddy RYDER (STK) ($487 500, 97): 96
Todd GOLDSTEIN (NTH) ($569 200, 124): 112
Brodie GRUNDY (COL) ($610 500, 126): 123
Rowan MARSHALL (STK) ($558 400, 103): 131
Max GAWN (MEL) ($721 000, 141): 244
PREMIUM FORWARDS (>$500K)
Tom HAWKINS (GEE) ($562 100, 110): 12
Christian PETRACCA (MEL) ($636 400, 123): 102
Andrew BRAYSHAW (FRE) ($562 900, 104): 125
Lachie WHITFIELD (GWS) ($569 400, 99): 131
Michael WALTERS (FRE) ($524 900, 106): 144
Dustin MARTIN (RIC) ($540 700, 101): 163
MIDPRICED FORWARDS ($300K– $500K)
Gary ROHAN (GEE) ($380 700, 75): -17
Jack STEVEN (GEE) ($369 400, 68): 33
Jack RIEWOLDT (RIC) ($340 400, 59): 35
Max KING (STK) ($319 700, 64): 51
Bailey SMITH (WBD) ($444 200, 93): 52
Izak RANKINE (GCS) ($313 400, 75): 53
Devon SMITH (ESS) ($370 900, 78): 56
Darcy PARISH (ESS) ($447 800, 84): 58
Jy SIMPKIN (NTH) ($413 400, 96): 72
Robbie GRAY (PTA) ($438 800, 83): 74
Tom J. LYNCH (RIC) ($363 400, 69): 91
Toby GREENE (GWS) ($498 800, 92): 96
Josh J. KENNEDY (WCE) ($450 200, 77): 102
Hugh GREENWOOD (GCS) ($488 200, 103): 116
Chad WINGARD (HAW) ($411 900, 87): 126
Jack MARTIN (CAR) ($436 400, 88): 148
Dan BUTLER (STK) ($366 500, 80): 163
BUDGET / ROOKIE FORWARDS (<$300K)
Boyd WOODCOCK (PTA) ($186 700, 65): -38
Ben CAVARRA (WBD) ($144 000, 49): -10
Zac FOOT (SYD) ($123 900, 61): -9
Nicholas REID (WCE) ($102 400, 52): -9
Lachlan HOSIE (NTH) ($140 500, 45): -5
James BELL (SYD) ($226 000, 62): 10
Sam FLANDERS (GCS) ($172 100, 46): 14
Bradley CLOSE (GEE) ($197 100, 57): 21
Connor ROZEE (PTA) ($288 900, 68): 30
Tom SPARROW (MEL) ($281 500, 70): 32
Kysaiah KROPINYERI-PICKETT (MEL) ($230 400, 49): 32
Jack MAHONY (NTH) ($252 900, 52): 59
Jake AARTS (RIC) ($293 100, 60): 67
Mitchell GEORGIADES (PTA) ($260 300, 61): 76
Connor BUDARICK (GCS) ($228 600, 48): 78
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Thank you, Chillo
One for the coaches with brass gonads!
Vlastuin $457k R16 bye
4 x 100’s in his last 6 starts, 3 game average of 97 😉
Talking of Vlaustin and gonads…..
With Houli on the verge of return, does that effect his output?
Seriously considering Gus Brayshaw as final mid premo. Can go Aarts to him. BE of 10 so will rise in value or score enough to keep and I still have 10 trades after trading Sicily out
Good luck with that one. I couldn’t do it.
Two hundreds in a row looks nice but when you see the rest of his chart it’s not good viewing. Plus it’s coincided with Gawn being out. Maybe he has his favs.
First two finals games are 18 best. If Brayshaw sinks, scores don’t count. If he bangs out more 100s. Winning.
Worth a risk.
For those who have seen the last few Sydney games is Jackson THURLOW (SYD) ($359 600) a good cheap backman who can average 80 – 100 or a flash in the pan?
Rampe out for the rest of the season with his broken hand, so does that help Thurlow?
Drop Punt.
With Rampe out for the season his JS looks solid, I’m not sure he’s worth a shot though. Rampe out also means he may get some bigger job’s. I can only really see kids* left to replace him @ The Swans.
* Does this mean Will Gould ($117K def ) finally gets a run ?
After this coming round ( R13 ) we go into a Best 18 scoring.
I think your better off targeting a playing kid that you may get lucky and hit a score from.This could also be a way of freeing up cash to improve other lines.
Or..
You spend more cash on a proven Premo that is much more likely to feature in your Best 18 /22 scores, for rest of the season.
Best of luck whatever you decide.
Thurlow played FWD, fellas. Rampe being out of no relevance to him.
If you haven’t watched him play, I don’t think you’ve then got enough intel to roll the dice on him.
Sorry my bad GD.
Some of these games finish so late some times I fall asleep.
6am starts will do that to you. I saw the sats in the am and just presumed he pushed forward and a kicked a few in rout.
If he is playing Forward, why is anyone we even considering him ??
No, he’s playing on the halfback flank. 67% of possessions in the defensive half against the Giants, only one touch in the forward 50. Similar stats and heat map the game before against the Pies.
More than his role, the knock is his scoring history. Never really looked Supercoach relevant at any stage of his first six years in the league, is that suddenly going to change now?
Oh. Really, Chillo?
Swear I saw him up FWD and on the wing during tight pieces of play, kicked a goal as well. I noticed he kept pushing up the ground and stealing loose ball away from Wicks to my chagrin lol.
Either way, agree with Chillo’s call on him – just not SC relevant.
Yeah, he definitely pushed forward at times but a lot of defenders seem to do that these days.
He’s really cheap and if he goes at 90ppg for the next six it could make a season, but what are the chances of that happening? I’m too chicken to do it!
Sorry, forgot to thank Chillo.
Thanks for the B/E’s.
There’s couple of M8 Candidates I’m keeping an eye on atm.
The risky option is..
Dunkley , with libba and Baz going well can he get back into the Midfield rotation ? He should be sub $500k post his R15 Bye. This could time nicely with a Draper downgrade, depending on your cash situation.
The other, more risky option is..
T Kelly: Post Bye already,He will be sub $500K next week.
The risky part is..
How will WC go back in the Q Hub ?
He (Kelly) also seems to be the one Oppo coaches are tagging / running with resulting in his form slump.
Can he work through it ?
Anyway.. For the $ and potential ..both worth a look.
Thanks again Chillo.
Thanks Chillo
That awkward moment where Starcevich’s be drops significantly and need to decide to keep him one more week or trade hmmm
Anyone worried that Lloyd’s waxing partner Rampe is out for the year?
Who does he now use as his possession builder all game? Gotta love how he pretends to look for someone every time he kicks out from full back when he knows 100% that he is going to play on regardless if someone is free or not. He definitely plays SC and has himself in his team.
Every reason to have him