The curveball here is whether Rozee will get DEF/MID status in the next round of DPP updates. He’s been spending a bit of time in the Port backline lately, does anyone have further info?
Playing for overall (ranked top 1k), is it worth using a boost this week to bring in Petracca & another boost next week to bring in someone like a Sinclair? Will leave me with 1 boost remaining.
Tu: 2 x boosts over the next 2 weeks = 2 premos
Td: Downgrade this week & bring in a premo next week, no boost required either week. = 1 premo
Why trade Meek now? He has Richmond this week (who Gawn just shat on), and his price is the highest it’s been all year while his breakeven is the lowest it’s been all year. If you’re playing for long game that’s definitely a hold.
Correct answer to Maximus question
The Pig Captains said Meek will be the highest scoring ruckman over the next four weeks
Nice start last weekend so Maximus DON”T trade
Good luck
Can’t afford a premo defender this week, so might wait for Sinclair. However, I could do with a bit of assistance with my forward line – who to trade in this week?
Top 400, thinking of ditching the dream though and playing for leagues.
Available rookies are as thin as a Fingal ferret. So
T/U T Stewart is broken so trade plus Moraes or such & In any Premo ( like Neale) plus Hust.
T/D No. Go to bed
Comment for alternate options: hold and wait for a decent downgrade option to become available next week so I can trade him to a proper premo. I could also wait a week and get Stewart (when he returns from injury)
A lot of people seem to be tossing up between Rankine and Petracca this week (myself included). The general consensus appears to favour Rankine. Just wondering what peoples thought processes are in picking one over the other. Cheers
I think it’s mostly doubts over whether Petracca is really “back”. His scoring history is much better than Rankine’s (four straight seasons of 110+ is uber premium in anyone’s language), but last week was his first ton for the year and it was against Richmond. Is that enough to assume he will be a top six forward this year?
For what it’s worth, I started Rankine and am bringing in Petracca this week. My thinking is that Christian was basically in a car accident last year and it was always going to take a month or two for him to get his confidence back, even for someone as naturally self-confident as he is!
Who to trade for Xerri (via various DPPs). My rookies are basically off-field and Xerri is as cheap as he’ll be. Currently leaning Daniels due to higher BE but interested in other coaches thoughts.
Only have 1k ITB unfortunately, Can only do Cerra to Trac which I’m thinking I’ll do if Cerra 1 week suspension stands. If not i’ll just hold for the week.
Maley’s just been handed a debut so could be worth having a look at him instead too. Having the fwd/ruck swing means if one of the three is hurt or suspended for a week, you can bench them for him and then swing a forward onfield. With Boyd, you’d be stuck with a 0
I am playing for last spot in most leagues I have entered, still have 29 trades left, anybody interested they are going for $10 each, gotta get something out of 2025 SC. LOL
Thought Freijah would be worse with the inclusion of Bont but he looks even better, his breakeven is also lower than Rankine’s that’s why its a toss up for me otherwise could go hustwaite if MacDonald is not included
TU: Dale > Clark, Lalor > Hustwaite this round
TD: Dale > Clark (Wait one more week to see if Lalor reaches BE of 67 this week, gives us a second look at Hustwaite before he gets on the bubble. Then make the Lalor > Hustwaite next round and use the money made to upgrade Ashcroft when he peaks)
With risks attached to rookies on everyone’s radar, how about Peter Wright ? Be -20, going up $61k this week, one week ahead of Hustwaite, and same rise as OMac but with better job security. Has leaky Roos defence tonight in first of three consecutive games at Marvel where he kicks most of his goals.
In three weeks he should be over $500k and an easy trade to just about any fwd,
According to SC Gold, Wright’s BE is -11. He is projected to score 84 and would rise by $42K.
The problem is he needs to keep tonning up to keep making that cash. His scoring history suggests that is unlikely. There’s also the issue of his price tag, how do you facilitate the trade? If you’re upgrading from a cash cow, then you still need to find a downgrade from somewhere.
I don’t mind these sort of plays – they have worked in the past with guys like Tex and Jesse Hogan – but it’s high risk. Two trades just to make $50K at this time of year is not ideal.
There will almost certainly be a time later when you wish you had one more boost left Robbo, especially when mid-season SSP rookies come in. I’d hold it.
I posted this in the teams thread, and it would be great to get some further thoughts – as it seems that we are all scrambling for some downgrade targets this week 🙂
Tsatas was number 5 pick in the 2022 AFL draft – great ball winner & wins lots of contested footy & clearances, but disposal by foot sometimes ordinary.
Shiel out managed this week, Caldwell due back next week, and then Parish listed as 2 to 3 weeks – so job security could be an issue.
But Tsatas did play rounds 1 & 2 this year before injuring his hand.
If Tsatas is not the sub tonight, can we bring him into our sides as a downgrade option to make some cash due to his negative break even – rather than going for Oscar McDonald (likely to be dropped for Luke Jackson) or rather than going for either Hustwaite or Busslinger (who have only played 1 x game so far & could get dropped before making any cash)
Obviously it is a preference to bring in cash cows when they are named for their third games.
t/up Yep, bring him in for some cash – & as a high draft pick he is a decent chance of staying in the side
t/down No, he may go up say $35,000 in price this week, but he will probably get dropped next week
Or he could be the sub tonight Brett ? I had him at season’s start, sold him when he had the week off injured and would have brought him back in IF he was straight back into the side, but he wasn’t. Caldwell is back next week too so if he is not the sub, he will have to play well I think and not butcher the ball to stay in the side. I rate him (I am a Bombers man) and he will score 100 for sure at some point so long as 1) they play him and 2) they play him where he should be played – in and under mid, JS 50/50 I think
T/U Rozee
T/D Neale
Thanks Coaches
The curveball here is whether Rozee will get DEF/MID status in the next round of DPP updates. He’s been spending a bit of time in the Port backline lately, does anyone have further info?
Rozee as defender
Rd1: 0%
Rd2: 0%
Rd3: 0%
Rd4: 0%
Rd5: 90%
Rd6: 65%
Rd7: ?
Fantasy Freako stated yesterday that Rozee is “On target to get DPP.”
There is still many weeks to go though.
Played down back over the weekend again, yeah.
No CBAs, HB starts, few KIs, most of his heat map in the defensive half. Came up to stoppages.
If he plays 50% in defence until round 12, he will be 36%
Can only pick one defensive rookie to come in this week as I will be hoping to get Hustwaite in next week:
TU Busslinger
TD O.McDonald
St Kilda: Mattaes Phillipou will be a chance for his first game of the year, pending a fitness test during tomorrow’s main training session.
It’s going to move the magnets at the Saints.
How will it effect Sinclair, NWM?
Apparently SInclair was training with the mids/forwards
Trade Nank for Gawn?
TU – Yes
TD – No
Thanks
Lashcroft,NOD,Davidson out
Cheapo,Petracca, Chad Warner in
Yes or no.
Playing for overall (ranked top 1k), is it worth using a boost this week to bring in Petracca & another boost next week to bring in someone like a Sinclair? Will leave me with 1 boost remaining.
Tu: 2 x boosts over the next 2 weeks = 2 premos
Td: Downgrade this week & bring in a premo next week, no boost required either week. = 1 premo
Cheers!
My exact plans (I’ve only used 1 boost)
Trade Meek to Gawn and Soligo to Petracca
T/U yes
T/D no
Any thoughts on Chad Warner instead of Petracca.
Thanks coaches.
Trac
Why trade Meek now? He has Richmond this week (who Gawn just shat on), and his price is the highest it’s been all year while his breakeven is the lowest it’s been all year. If you’re playing for long game that’s definitely a hold.
Mukkus
Correct answer to Maximus question
The Pig Captains said Meek will be the highest scoring ruckman over the next four weeks
Nice start last weekend so Maximus DON”T trade
Good luck
TU Sinclair
TD McCluggage
Sinclair, but not yet, still has a massive BE
Can’t afford a premo defender this week, so might wait for Sinclair. However, I could do with a bit of assistance with my forward line – who to trade in this week?
TU : Rankine
TD: Petracca
Both in my opinion will be top 6 Barb, can’t go wrong with either. Trac has a very nice matchup this week.
hi all, tricky times..
TU Lindsay, Maric to Hustwaite and Petracca.
TD, keep trades..
Thanks
I am tempted to not trade this week but FOMO has me considering daicos or petracca
TU Short&Moraes >Petracca & Hustwaite
TDShort&Ashcroft > Naicos&Hustwaite
Which is the better trades. Thanks
M Reid and Davidson out for:
TU: Rankine and Hustwaite
TD: Rozee and Brock
I know Brock isn’t playing but he lets me loophole between Stone and Z Reid plus gets me Rozee who feels like more of a must have
Top 400, thinking of ditching the dream though and playing for leagues.
Available rookies are as thin as a Fingal ferret. So
T/U T Stewart is broken so trade plus Moraes or such & In any Premo ( like Neale) plus Hust.
T/D No. Go to bed
TU – Rankin
TD – Warner
Need to trade Trainor, only have 436k ITB.
TU: Freijah
TD: Rivers
Comment for alternate options: hold and wait for a decent downgrade option to become available next week so I can trade him to a proper premo. I could also wait a week and get Stewart (when he returns from injury)
Hold
A lot of people seem to be tossing up between Rankine and Petracca this week (myself included). The general consensus appears to favour Rankine. Just wondering what peoples thought processes are in picking one over the other. Cheers
I think it’s mostly doubts over whether Petracca is really “back”. His scoring history is much better than Rankine’s (four straight seasons of 110+ is uber premium in anyone’s language), but last week was his first ton for the year and it was against Richmond. Is that enough to assume he will be a top six forward this year?
For what it’s worth, I started Rankine and am bringing in Petracca this week. My thinking is that Christian was basically in a car accident last year and it was always going to take a month or two for him to get his confidence back, even for someone as naturally self-confident as he is!
Is it justified in trading Short this week. Has been poor this season, only 1 ton and an ave of 85. Can get me to Naicos however.
TU yes do it
TD he will come good
He’s not gonna be top 6, so go for it
Levi and hall for Trac and Hust?
Prior and Davidson for Hustwaite and Neale
T/U: Do it
T/D: Hold
Should I
Upgrade sanders to rankine tu
Do sanders,fos to neale and henry hust td
Do sanders fos to rankine and henry comment
Reid and Lalor > Trac and Hust
TU- Yes
TD- Hold the trades or just the reid>Hust for now
Who to trade for Xerri (via various DPPs). My rookies are basically off-field and Xerri is as cheap as he’ll be. Currently leaning Daniels due to higher BE but interested in other coaches thoughts.
TU: Oliver
TD: Daniels
Brent Daniels?
Sorry, Caleb Daniel. Whoops.
dont trade daniel hes a keeper
who to trade in
TU Chad Warner
TD Freijah
can someone tell me who has a lower breakeven too
Warner 79
Freijah -5
From: https://www.footywire.com/afl/footy/supercoach_breakevens
Hey Jim, Warner’s BE is 79 whilst Freijah’s is -5!
Can only bring in two of Trac, Neale and Rankine. Will be trading out Garcia and either Sanders or Lalor.
T/U Trac + Neale
T/D Trac + Rankine
Comment Neale + Rankine or other options
Would love to bring in all 3 but my Def line is rubbish so want to save some cash for Sinclair next week
26 Trades & 3 Boosts Remaining
Cerra -> Neale
L. Ashcroft -> Petracca
SPP -> Hustwaite
T/U – Yes
T/D – No
Can you just trade Cerra -> Neale? SPP and LAsh still $$$ to make..
Only have 1k ITB unfortunately, Can only do Cerra to Trac which I’m thinking I’ll do if Cerra 1 week suspension stands. If not i’ll just hold for the week.
I have $247k in the bank, 30 trades left, and a projected score of ~2340.
TU: 1 trade, Murphy Reid to Dunkley/Rozee/Anderson
TD: 2 trades, Murphy Reid and Davidson to Hustwaite and Bont
Basically, is it worth using the extra trade to get up to Bont.
Happy to wait another week on Petracca.
Paying deep into the 600s for anyone is bad business.
That’ll be unpopular but it’s true.
You’re killing it rn, GK. I reckon just the one trade this week and hope Bedford goes to Warner and frees up your man Heeney.
Bringing in one premo this week via flex, so can be any position – narrowed it down to 2 options
Xerri TU
Neale TD
Comment anyone else
Current premos I have;
def – whit, nwm, sheez, zorko
mid – serong, rozee, dawson,
rux – gawn, tdk
fwd- jhf, baz, trac, macrae, daniel
and naicos in mids sorry
Going for leagues so probably should just hold this week (29 and 3 boosts).
OR
TU – Lashcroft to Warner
TD – A.Reid to Boyd, Lashcroft to Gawn (Gawn would be my new flex – already got Xerri and TDK)
3rd option is A.Reid to a non-playing ruck/fwd, then Short to Bont via DPP
Maley’s just been handed a debut so could be worth having a look at him instead too. Having the fwd/ruck swing means if one of the three is hurt or suspended for a week, you can bench them for him and then swing a forward onfield. With Boyd, you’d be stuck with a 0
Lalor – TU Petracca at f6 or TD Neale/Dawson
Have a few more rookies to get off field in mids so leaning that way. Neale would leave me with no cash in bank and Dawson with about 70k
TDK –> Xerri
TU: yes
TD: no
Already have gawn
With no downgrade options this week I’m considering holding trades. The only one I’m thinking is to upgrade Davidson. But who to?
TU: Petracca (get him while he’s cheap to eventually swing him FWD)
TD: Don’t mess about and bring in a pure MID.
Money in the bank so upgrading sanders
TU: Neale
TD: Naicos
thinking they’ll both be top 6 mids but Daicos might be cheaper later?
Who to field?
SPP (v Bulldogs @ Ballarat)
Lashcroft (v Suns @ Gabba)
Cheers
This is tough, would normally say SPP based him averaging 100+ over last 3. But doggies matchup in Ballarat is very difficult!
Who to field?
H. Langford (v WCE in Perth)
E. Hewett (v Melb in Perth)
Cheers
I am playing for last spot in most leagues I have entered, still have 29 trades left, anybody interested they are going for $10 each, gotta get something out of 2025 SC. LOL
You’d be able to charge a lot more than $10 for those trades
TU: Neale
TD: Dunkley
TU: this week lalor + Levi > L. Neale + Boyd(dpp)
next week Maric + dale/C.oliver + kayo > Sinclair + Cripps + rookie
TD: this week lalor + Levi + maric > Neale + freijah (cash gen) + Boyd
next week dale/Oliver + kayo > Sinclair + rookie
2 options – one involving a boost
TU : OUT – Short, L Ashcroft & M Reid, IN – Petracca, Rankine & Hustwaite
TD : OUT – Davidson & M Reid, IN – Petraaca or Rankine, & Hustwaite
Haven’t quite got enough for TU option of being able to hold L Ashcroft and trade Davidson instead.
Can only pick one Rookie this week, will be getting the latter the following week
T/U Hustwaite
T/D Buslinger
Hi Coaches,
Will be trading Davidson for Hustwaite, do I now:
T/U Trade Moraes > Neale
T/D Use boost; Moraes and LAshcroft > Rankine and Chad Warner
Thanks Coaches!
If you had to trade one this week?
Tu: Z. Reid
Td: L. Ashcroft
Can only field one of Levi and SPP this week.
Is it worth trading them (probably a tad prematurely) to bring in Petracca?
This is the first time for the year where I actually fear not owning him!
TU- Butters
Or
TD- Bont
Trade out early (to Bont or Butters)
TU- Lalor
Or
TD- Davidson
Missed Flynn last week is it worth getting him in this week? Still huge negative break even
T/u levi to neale
T/d flynn to gawn
Sorry .
Flynn to gawn in flex .
Who for VC
T/U – Xerri
T/D – Sheezel
Hi all,
TU Davidson & M Reid to Hustwaite & Rozee
TD Hold trades
Thanks
Trade in M Carroll or have I missed the boat?
Hi,
Is this a good trade?
Out: J. Dawson, L. Ashcroft, S. Davidson
In: M. Bontempelli, I. Rankine, Hustwaite
Thank you!
Thoughts
TU Kako and Maric to Hustwaite and Petracca
TD keep trades
Thanks
Is Trac back?
Top 6 forward?
Dees improving and favourable matchup this week has me considering a trade.
Trainor and LAshcroft to Trac and undecided rook (awaiting teams).
TU: Do it!
TD: Hold!
TU – Lalor+LAshcroft to Bont+Hustwaite/Tsatas
TD – Lalor to Warner + 75k
Sitting in top 5k
TU Davidson, LAshcroft > Macdonald, Freijah
TD Davidson, LAshcroft > Macdonald, Rankine
Thought Freijah would be worse with the inclusion of Bont but he looks even better, his breakeven is also lower than Rankine’s that’s why its a toss up for me otherwise could go hustwaite if MacDonald is not included
TU: Dale > Clark, Lalor > Hustwaite this round
TD: Dale > Clark (Wait one more week to see if Lalor reaches BE of 67 this week, gives us a second look at Hustwaite before he gets on the bubble. Then make the Lalor > Hustwaite next round and use the money made to upgrade Ashcroft when he peaks)
Or I can swap Lalor into the forward line and upgrade Lalor to a premo forward this week
worth to trade riley sanders this week?? or hold
good chance Treloar is back this week.
Good luck this week,
TU Dunkley
TD Rozee taking into account R12 bye
Thanks
Went Moraes to Flynn last week
Def – Holmes, Roberts, Dale, Short, Bice, Reid (Trainor, Stone)
Mid – Sheezel, Neale, Rozee, W.Ashcroft, Oliver, L Ashcroft, E.Hewett, Lindsey (Knevitt, C.Hall, Henderson)
Ruc – Xerri, TDK (Boyd)
Fwd – JHF, Rankine, Smith, Macrae , Daniel, Davidson (Kako, C.Cleary)
Flex – Flynn
$206,000 ITB, 30 trades left, 3 boosts
TU – Davidson to Trac ($19,200 ITB)
TD – No trades this week
Or
Davidson & Henderson to Trac and go early on Hustwaite ($64,900 ITB)
With risks attached to rookies on everyone’s radar, how about Peter Wright ? Be -20, going up $61k this week, one week ahead of Hustwaite, and same rise as OMac but with better job security. Has leaky Roos defence tonight in first of three consecutive games at Marvel where he kicks most of his goals.
In three weeks he should be over $500k and an easy trade to just about any fwd,
Great POD too.
T/u Brilliant
T/d Stupid
Nice try “Mrs” Wright.
Nah but genuinely I actually love this as a POD and might do the same myself lol. Someone talk me out of it please
I’m not super opposed to it, Wighty, but it REALLY needs to work.
With an 85 tonight, which is fine OF, he only makes 40k and his BE is 75 next week and that’s all the money he’ll have made.
Probably too expensive.
Purely a bet he smashes the Roos and kicks a bag.
Fixture also not an incentive outside of Tiges at the end of the month.
Gave it cursory glance myself but 370k just too awkward a price. 300k flat and it’s not even a question.
Might have to rethink…quite a difference on forecast price movements between SC/TooSerious/Footywire…$20k difference this week.
Can anyone accurately calculate price movements ??
According to SC Gold, Wright’s BE is -11. He is projected to score 84 and would rise by $42K.
The problem is he needs to keep tonning up to keep making that cash. His scoring history suggests that is unlikely. There’s also the issue of his price tag, how do you facilitate the trade? If you’re upgrading from a cash cow, then you still need to find a downgrade from somewhere.
I don’t mind these sort of plays – they have worked in the past with guys like Tex and Jesse Hogan – but it’s high risk. Two trades just to make $50K at this time of year is not ideal.
TU: Prior, Sanders >> O.McDonald, Neal
TD: Lashcroft, Sanders >> Hustwaite, Neal
Trainor & Murph Reid to Husthwaite & Chad WARNER (TU)
or
LAshcroft & Murph Reid to Husthwaite & Lachie NEALE (TD)
Warner could get the Bedford tag this week and there will be tears
Down to one boost. Should I use it this week to get an uber premo mid, or save it and get in a fallen premo.
TU: Boost to get in a Merret, Neale etc
TD: no boost and Trac or Dawson in
There will almost certainly be a time later when you wish you had one more boost left Robbo, especially when mid-season SSP rookies come in. I’d hold it.
Hi all, thoughts please
Tu rozee bye round 12
Td petracca
Thanks
I posted this in the teams thread, and it would be great to get some further thoughts – as it seems that we are all scrambling for some downgrade targets this week 🙂
Elijah Tsatas (Essendon) – $191,200 (price unchanged) – scores 50 & 78 (average = 64)
Break even = minus 25, MID
Tsatas was number 5 pick in the 2022 AFL draft – great ball winner & wins lots of contested footy & clearances, but disposal by foot sometimes ordinary.
Shiel out managed this week, Caldwell due back next week, and then Parish listed as 2 to 3 weeks – so job security could be an issue.
But Tsatas did play rounds 1 & 2 this year before injuring his hand.
If Tsatas is not the sub tonight, can we bring him into our sides as a downgrade option to make some cash due to his negative break even – rather than going for Oscar McDonald (likely to be dropped for Luke Jackson) or rather than going for either Hustwaite or Busslinger (who have only played 1 x game so far & could get dropped before making any cash)
Obviously it is a preference to bring in cash cows when they are named for their third games.
t/up Yep, bring him in for some cash – & as a high draft pick he is a decent chance of staying in the side
t/down No, he may go up say $35,000 in price this week, but he will probably get dropped next week
if you don’t have him, i wouldn’t be trading him in, he is a high priced rookie, meaning he will make less cash.
If you held, great. lets hope he gets a couple of games without the vest.
Or he could be the sub tonight Brett ? I had him at season’s start, sold him when he had the week off injured and would have brought him back in IF he was straight back into the side, but he wasn’t. Caldwell is back next week too so if he is not the sub, he will have to play well I think and not butcher the ball to stay in the side. I rate him (I am a Bombers man) and he will score 100 for sure at some point so long as 1) they play him and 2) they play him where he should be played – in and under mid, JS 50/50 I think