Captaincy Projections Rd6 – PART TWO

Written by Schwarzwalder on April 16 2019

(Written & Created By Adam)

RD5 Projections Part 2(GWS VS Freo, Melb VS StK, Rich VS Syd)

Part 2 Answers

1. Who averages less than 75 in their past 3 matches against their RD5 opponent?

A. D Mundy

 

2. Which player averaged over 115 in wins last season?

B. C Oliver

 

3. Who posted a 120+ more than 30% of the time in 2018 interstate games?

C. I Heeney

 

GWS VS Fremantle at UNSW

S Coniglio:

Avg VS Freo since 2016: 100.75 from 4 (low of 88 and a high of 116, 2/4 below 100)

Last 3 VS Freo: 97.67 from 3 (low of 88 and a high of 116, 2/3 below 100)

2018 UNSW Avg: 109 from 3 (1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

2018 UNSW Wins Avg: 109 from 3 (1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 107.67 from 12 (6/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 120 from 3 (1/3 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 108.63 from 8 (3/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 52 from 1

 

J Kelly:

Avg VS Freo since 2017: 106 from 1

2018 UNSW Avg: 99 from 2 (1/2 below 100)

2018 Wins Avg: 121.91 from 11 (4/11 below 100, 5/11 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 104.5 from 2 (1/2 below 100)

2018 Losses Avg: 91.5 from 4 (4/4 below 100)

 

L Whitfield:

Avg VS Freo since 2017: 85.5 from 2 (low of 82 and a high of 89)

2018 UNSW Avg: 111 from 3 (1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 110.38 from 13 (3/13 below 100, 3/13 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 131.33 from 3 (2/3 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 84 from 8 (7/8 below 100)

2019 Losses Avg: 123 from 1

 

Z Williams:

Avg VS Freo since 2017: 82 from 1

2017 UNSW Avg: 99.67 from 3 (2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

2017 Wins Avg: 94.57 from 14 (9/14 below 100, 2/14 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 81 from 3 (2/3 below 100)

2017 Losses Avg: 92.33 from 6 (5/6 below 100, 1/6 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 95 from 1

 

N Fyfe:

Avg VS GWS since 2012: 116.25 from 4 (low of 101 and a high of 132, 2/4 120+)

Last 3 VS GWS: 120 from 3 (low of 101 and a high of 132, 2/3 120+)

2018 Interstate Avg: 109.29 from 7(2/7 below 100, 2/7 120+)

2019 Interstate Avg: 124 from 1

2018 Wins Avg: 142.2 from 5 (5/5 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 105 from 2 (1/2 below 100, 1/2 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 99.7 from 10 (4/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 124 from 1

 

D Mundy:

Avg VS GWS since 2012: 85 from 8 (low of 53 and a high of 105, 4/8 below 100)

Last 3 VS GWS: 74.67 from 3 (low of 53 and a high of 105, 2/3 below 100)

2018 Interstate Avg: 85.67 from 9 (6/9 below 100)

2019 Interstate Avg: 35 from 1

2018 Wins Avg: 108 from 8 (2/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 88.5 from 2 (1/2 below 100)

2018 Losses Avg: 89.07 from 14 (9/14 below 100)

2019 Losses Avg: 93 from 2 (1/2 below 100, 1/2 120+)

 

L Ryan:

Avg VS GWS since 2017: 93.5 from 2 (low of 51 and a high of 136)

2018 Interstate Avg: 81 from 8 (7/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)

2019 Interstate Avg: 78 from 1

2018 Wins Avg: 106.38 from 8 (3/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 123.5 from 2 (1/2 below 100, 1/2 120+)

2018 Losses Avg: 79.5 from 12 (10/12 below 100, 2/12 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 85.5 from 2 (2/2 below 100)

 

Melbourne VS St Kilda at MCG

A Brayshaw:

Avg VS StK since 2018: 102 from 2 (low of 100 and a high of 104)

2018 MCG Avg: 97.67 from 9 (3/9 below 100)

2019 MCG Avg: 98.5 from 2 (1/2 below 100)

2018 MCG Wins Avg: 113 from 4

2018 MCG Losses Avg: 85.4 from 5 (3/5 below 100)

2019 MCG Losses Avg: 98.5 from 2 (1/2 below 100)

2018 Wins Avg: 103.25 from 12 (4/12 below 100, 2/12 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 89 from 1

2018 Losses Avg: 86.43 from 7 (5/7 below 100)

2019 Losses Avg: 107 from 3 (1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

 

M Gawn:

Avg VS StK since 2015: 113 from 8 (low of 56 and a high of 145, 2/8 below 100, 4/8 120+)

Last 3 VS StK: 109.33 from 3 (low of 56 and a high of 145, 1/3 below 100, 2/3 120+)

2018 MCG Avg: 122 from 11 (2/11 below 100, 6/11 120+)

2019 MCG Avg: 106.5 from 2 (1/2 below 100, 1/2 120+)

2018 MCG Wins Avg: 127.4 from 5 (0/5 below 100, 3/5 120+)

2018 MCG Losses Avg: 117.5 from 6 (2/6 below 100, 3/6 120+)

2019 MCG Losses Avg: 106.5 from 2 (1/2 below 100, 1/2 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 133.36 from 14 (1/14 below 100, 10/14 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 113 from 1

2018 Losses Avg: 117.25 from 8 (3/8 below 100, 4/8 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 109.67 from 3 (1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

 

T McDonald:

Avg VS StK since 2015: 81.25 from 8 (low of 39 and a high of 125, 6/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)

Last 3 VS StK: 71.67 from 3 (low of 39 and a high of 90)

2018 MCG Avg: 90.71 from 7 (4/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

2019 MCG Avg: 42.5 from 2 (2/2 below 100)

2018 MCG Wins Avg: 92.5 from 4 (3/4 below 100)

2018 MCG Losses Avg: 88.33 from 3 (1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

2019 MCG Losses Avg: 42.5 from 2 (2/2 below 100)

2018 Wins Avg: 99.75 from 12 (8/12 below 100, 2/12 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 80 from 1

2018 Losses Avg: 92.4 from 5 (2/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 45.33 from 3 (3/3 below 100)

 

C Oliver:

Avg VS StK since 2017: 99.5 from 4 (low of 59 and a high of 124, 1/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

Last 3 VS StK: 96.33 from 3 (low of 59 and a high of 124, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

2018 MCG Avg: 110.45 from 11 (3/11 below 100, 6/11 120+)

2019 MCG Avg: 83 from 2 (2/2 below 100)

2018 MCG Wins Avg: 110.6 from 5 (2/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)

2018 MCG Losses Avg: 110.33 from 6 (1/6 below 100, 4/6 120+)

2019 MCG Losses Avg: 83 from 2 (2/2 below 100)

2018 Wins Avg: 116.14 from 14 (5/14 below 100, 7/14 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 87 from 1

2018 Losses Avg: 112.13 from 8 (1/8 below 100, 5/8 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 102.33 from 3 (2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

 

J Steele:

Avg VS Melb since 2018: 89.5 from 2 (low of 75 and a high of 104)

2018 Wins Avg: 104.5 from 4 (2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 106.67 from 3 (0/3 below 100)

2018 Losses Avg: 91.56 from 16 (12/16 below 100, 3/16 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 85 from 1

 

Richmond VS Sydney at Marvel

D Martin:

Avg VS Syd since 2013: 100.5 from 8 (low of 62 and a high of 148, 4/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

Last 3 VS Syd: 85 from 3 (low of 62 and a high of 106, 2/3 below 100)

2018 Wins Avg: 100.44 from 18 (11/18 below 100, 5/18 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 109 from 1

2018 Losses Avg: 124.33 from 3 (1/3 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 63 from 2 (2/2 below 100)

 

L Franklin:

Avg VS Rich since 2007: 92.93 from 14 (low of 38 and a high of 147, 7/14 below 100, 4/14 120+)

Last 3 VS Rich: 85.67 from 3 (low of 48 and a high of 136, 2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

2018 Interstate Avg: 102.5 from 8 (5/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)

2019 Interstate Avg: 58 from 2 (2/2 below 100)

2018 Wins Avg: 118.42 from 12 (4/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 61 from 1

2018 Losses Avg: 63.5 from 6 (6/6 below 100)

2019 Losses Avg: 70.67 from 3 (3/3 below 100)

 

I Heeney:

Avg VS Rich since 2017: 62 from 2 (low of 18 and a high of 106)

2018 Interstate Avg: 100.1 from 10 (4/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)

2019 Interstate Avg: 111 from 2 (1/2 below 100, 1/2 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 103.29 from 14 (5/14 below 100, 4/14 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 137 from 1

2018 Losses Avg: 85.86 from 7 (5/7 below 100, 1/7 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 94 from 3 (2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)

 

J Lloyd:

Avg VS Rich since 2017: 118 from 2 (low of 100 and a high of 136)

2018 Interstate Avg: 111.9 from 10 (3/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)

2019 Interstate Avg: 130.5 from 2 (2/2 120+)

2018 Wins Avg: 112.36 from 14 (5/14 below 100, 4/14 120+)

2019 Wins Avg: 130 from 1

2018 Losses Avg: 111.5 from 8 (3/8 below 100, 3/8 120+)

2019 Losses Avg: 121.33 from 3 (2/3 120+)

 

RD5 Part 3 (WB VS Carl, Adel VS GC, Haw VS Geel) Questions

1. Who does not average more than 140 against their RD5 opponent in their past 3 encounters?

A. G Ablett

B. P Dangerfield

C. J Macrae

 

2. Which player scored 140+ in their last match against their RD5 opponent?

A. M Bontempelli

B. J Dunkley

C. R Sloane

 

3. Which player recorded the lowest avg in matches when their contested possessions equalled or exceeded their contested possessions average for 2018?

A. J Dunkley

B. M Crouch

C. S Menegola

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14 thoughts on “Captaincy Projections Rd6 – PART TWO”

  1. Bit of a dilemma hear. Have cripps neale Goldie who scored 220 last year against essendon. Then have cogliano. And rocky well scores over 170 against west coast. Who should I pick to get the best scores. As danger gets 180 plus against hawks. Also gawn can go huge

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  2. what to do with Gawn
    with 20% of his hitouts & goals going to Preuss in the fwd line now , its doubtfull he’s gna be pumping out those big scores too often like Grundy does
    seriously lookn @ a downgrade to mummy
    would mean a 20 – 30 pt drop in pts
    would also mean 350k in the pocket for other upgrades
    + Mummy’s price rises on top of that
    with such poor cash generation this year from rooks ,
    might have to start thinking outside the box a bit

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      1. gotta have fun with it champ
        gawn’s averaging 110
        lost 50k already , but still worth 644k
        his output has been average so far for his cost ,
        he is owned by 48% of the comp so he is common ,
        that’s fine if he’s kill’n it , but he’s not ,
        that money is better spent upgrading a rookie to boak or whitfield with lower ownership
        80 from mummy + 120 from a premo is better than
        110 from gawn + 50 from a rook ,
        loose an under performing rookie & get mummys price increases sounds better to me
        how many trades are everyone expecting to use on slow burning , under performing rooks this year ,
        too many i recon ,
        this year more than ever you need to move on the under performing premo’s before they become worthless
        imo , not trading premo’s & preying they come good is just a broad rule for beginners
        the basic principal of fantasy is ” buy low sell high ” & POD’s

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        1. Thinking outside the box is good and needed this year.
          And I wasn’t disagreeing, but almost any time you trade out a premium they post a big score or hit a purple patch. And Gawn needs it.

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          1. if preuss was out , i’d hold , but roll change is a byatch , look at westhoff , smith , selwood , dunkley , sheed all having their pts stolen by other teammates , lycett , sheil , kelly , libba , gaff
            gawn is in that group but is so good he still scores ok
            the 2nd group is confidence , heeney , dusty , same roll as last year , just up to them , these are the ones to potentially hold
            3rd is injuries & thats just pot luck
            mundy is an interesting one , victim of roll change , goes into the guts for fyfe & kills it ,what happens when fyfe comes back ,will he drop back to the 1st group again

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    1. Stick with big max. Mummy ttends to get suspended know days. I stuck with gawn after his first game and know looks good. Dont worry about grundy. Who is your other Ruck

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  3. I here you PJ.

    Re Mundy. I traded him to T Kelly after he put up 35 in R2.

    Kelly looked like a “must have” and Mundy looked shot.

    Kelly gets Injured / Tagged and Mundy ( with Fyfe missing) goes nuts.

    One thing also worth considering with Mundy, is he has a MUCH better home record ( his last 2 games were at home) . His away / loss record is quite a bit lower..

    Hopefully over the whole season T kelly will be the right move.

    Right now I feel like an idiot!

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      1. Nick

        I love Sonny. If you started him great. I hope for your / Freo’s sake he can stay on the park and continue to score well.

        History says he will get injured at some stage, and miss a few games. He also has a tendency to go missing sometimes. ( this was mainly in Freo losses when he spent most of the game forward)

        Later in the year I will consider Walters as a POD. At this stage all my upgrade targets will be guys I think can play out ALL the games remaining.

        Lets hope he can buck the trend and keep up his current scoring 🙂

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