(Written & Created By Adam)
Can Grundy defy history and back up that 130 SC pts avg?
Premium history (Avg>95):
2016: 95.67 from 21
2017: 97.25 from 20
2018: 130.45 from 22
Avg VS Opponent:
Adel: 116 from 3 (low of 103 and a high of 141, 1/3 120+)
Bris: 116.25 from 4 (low of 110 and a high of 121, 2/4 120+)
Carl: 102.6 from 5 (low of 58 and a high of 154, 2/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)
Ess: 94.6 from 5 (low of 54 and a high of 155, 3/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)
Freo: 122 from 4 (low of 98 and a high of 150, 1/4 below 100, 2/4 120+)
Geel: 109 from 3 (low of 83 and a high of 137, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)
GC: 106.33 from 3 (low of 77 and a high of 136, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)
GWS: 104 from 3 (low of 82 and a high of 139, 2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)
Haw: 102 from 4 (low of 92 and a high of 116, 2/4 below 100)
Melb: 96.2 from 5 (low of 86 and a high of 116, 4/5 below 100)
NM: 110 from 3 (low of 103 and a high of 114)
Port: 111.67 from 3 (low of 80 and a high of 162, 2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)
Rich: 122 from 5 (low of 94 and a high of 157, 1/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)
StK: 106 from 3 (low of 96 and a high of 113, 1/3 below 100)
Syd: 136 from 2 (low of 105 and a high of 167)
WC: 105.25 from 4 (low of 81 and a high of 125, 2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)
WB: 101 from 4 (low of 63 and a high of 152, 2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)
Avg at Venue:
MCG: 105.32 from 41 (19/41 below 100, 10/41 120+)
2016: 93.07 from 14
2017: 94.69 from 13
2018: 127.43 from 14
Interstate: 112 from 13 (5/13 below 100, 4/13 120+)
2016: 140.8 from 5
2017: 90.5 from 4
2018: 97.5 from 4
MCG Wins: 113.83 from 18 (5/18 below 100, 6/18 120+)
2016: 103.17 from 6
2017: 97 from 4
2018: 130.25 from 8
MCG Losses: 98.45 from 22 (14/22 below 100, 4/22 120+)
2016: 85.5 from 8
2017: 92.5 from 8
2018: 123.67 from 6
Wins: 115.09 from 33 (8/33 below 100, 12/33 120+)
2016: 103.33 from 9
2017: 100.78 from 9
2018: 130.73 from 15
Losses: 100.79 from 29 (16/29 below 100, 5/29 120+)
2016: 89.92 from 12
2017: 93.5 from 10
2018: 129.86 from 7
Pre Bye: 102.6 from 35 (17/35 below 100, 8/35 120+)
2016: 85.36 from 11
2017: 96.25 from 12
2018: 124.75 from 12
Post Bye: 115.46 from 28 (7/28 below 100, 9/28 120+)
2016: 107 from 10
2017: 98.75 from 8
2018: 137.3 from 10
2018 Stat Averages:
Disposals: 20.82
SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 21: 142.58 from 12 (low of 109 and a high of 167, 9/12 120+)
SC Avg when disposals below 21: 115.9 from 10 (low of 95 and a high of 139, 3/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)
Kicks: 7.91
SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 8: 139 from 12 (low of 109 and a high of 167, 9/12 120+)
SC Avg when kicks below 8: 120.2 from 10 (low of 95 and a high of 157, 3/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)
Handballs: 12.91
SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 13: 140.58 from 12 (low of 113 and a high of 162, 9/12 120+)
SC Avg when handballs below 13: 118.3 from 10 (low of 95 and a high of 167, 3/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)
Marks: 3.64
SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 4: 125.1 from 10 (low of 95 and a high of 154, 1/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)
SC Avg when marks below 4: 134.92 from 12 (low of 98 and a high of 167, 2/12 below 100, 9/12 120+)
Contested Possessions: 12.64
SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 13: 146.92 from 12 (low of 113 and a high of 167, 11/12 120+)
SC Avg when contested possessions below 13: 110.7 from 10 (low of 95 and a high of 134, 3/10 below 100, 2/10 120+)
Tackles: 5.27
SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 6: 138.25 from 8 (low of 98 and a high of 162, 1/8 below 100, 6/8 120+)
SC Avg when tackles below 6: 126 from 14 (low of 95 and a high of 167, 2/14 below 100, 7/14 below 100)
Clangers: 3.36
SC Avg when clangers below 4: 129.77 from 13 (low of 95 and a high of 162, 2/13 below 100, 8/13 120+)
SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 4: 131.44 from 9 (low of 99 and a high of 167, 1/9 below 100, 5/9 120+)
Hitouts: 38.5
SC Avg when hitouts equal/exceed 39: 139.2 from 10 (low of 109 and a high of 167, 8/10 120+)
SC Avg when hitouts below 39: 123.17 from 12 (low of 95 and a high of 155, 3/12 below 100, 5/12 120+)
Hitouts to Advantage: 12.27
SC Avg when hitouts to advantage equal/exceed 13: 143.4 from 10 (low of 110 and a high of 167, 9/10 120+)
SC Avg when hitouts to advantage below 13: 119.67 from 12 (low of 95 and a high of 154, 3/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)
Time on Ground%: 88.09%
SC Avg when time on ground equal/exceed 89%: 132.56 from 9 (low of 99 and a high of 167, 1/9 below 100, 6/9 120+)
SC Avg when time on ground below 89%: 129 from 13 (low of 95 and a high of 162, 2/13 below 100, 7/13 120+)
Premium career stat averages:
Disposals:
2016: 18.43
2017: 18.4
2018: 20.82
Kicks:
2016: 9.05
2017: 8.3
2018: 7.91
Handballs:
2016: 9.38
2017: 10.1
2018: 12.91
Marks:
2016: 3.86
2017: 3.65
2018: 3.64
Contested Possessions:
2016: 9.76
2017: 9.85
2018: 12.64
Tackles:
2016: 4.38
2017: 3.9
2018: 5.27
Clangers:
2016: 4.05
2017: 3.7
2018: 3.36
Hitouts:
2016: 26.10
2017: 35.7
2018: 38.5
Hitouts to Advantage:
2016: 7.43
2017: 9.7
2018: 12.27
HTA Rate%:
2016: 28.47%
2017: 27.17%
2018: 31.88%
Time on Ground%:
2016: 84.57%
2017: 85.6%
2018: 88.09%
Disposal Efficiency%:
2016: 63.05%
2017: 66.21%
2018: 72.49%
Contested Possession Rate%:
2016: 51.38%
2017: 53.39%
2018: 59.02%
Observations:
Averages 110+ against 7 teams (Adel, Bris, Freo, NM, Port, Rich, Syd) with 5 against them pre-bye and 3 post bye.
2018 MCG Avg of 127.43 from 14 with 9 matches pre-bye and 5 post bye in 2019.
2018 MCG Wins Avg of 130.25 from 8 with 4 matches pre-bye against 2018 top 8 teams and 3 post bye against 2018 top 8 teams.
14.3 win/loss differential.
12.86 post bye/pre-bye differential.
25+ differential when disposals equal/exceed 21 and contested possessions equal/exceed 13.
Grundy established himself as one of the premier rucks in the competition and Supercoach thanks to a superb performance in 2018 where he registered a 130.45 average from 22 games.
Since RD9 2017 Grundy has averaged 120.18 from 34 games with only 2 games under 90 which occurred in RD16 and RD17 of 2017 thus highlighting his consistency. Possesses a supercoach friendly game style as he achieved a 31.88% Hitouts to Advantage rate in 2018 which is above average as well as averaging 20+ disposals, 5+ tackles a game and boasting a contested possession rate of approximately 59%.
This is extremely beneficial as if he has a poor game regarding hitouts then his work around the game will usually compensate and vice versa. Due to his outstanding 2018 season there is a significant outlay associated with the selection and selecting Grundy will be dependent on what structure and selections you implement and whether you think he will drop sufficiently to warrant his non-selection.
Verdict: Strongly consider as R1/Upgrade target
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Cox hurt in 2016 with Grundy in my side with Cox’s ruck time in the ruck, Hurt bad not having Grundy in 2018 as Cox played majority fwd not making that mistake again Locked and loaded.
what
FIFY
In 2016, I had Grundy in my side but he and Cox shared ruck duties hurting his score and my team. However, in 2018 I did not have Grundy in my team and as Cox played predominantly forward, it hurt not having him.
Geez wtf did i type up lmao sorry if it doesn’t make sense i didn’t eat lunch yet hahah
Feb 13, 2019 12:25PM
STAR ruckman Brodie Grundy continues to battle a toe injury, more than three weeks after first going missing from the training track.
Grundy trained away from the main group during Collingwood’s session.
The All Australian big man completed individual running before heading to the centre square at Olympic Park Oval for light one-on-one ruck work.
Grundy remained under the watchful eye of fitness staff as he was put through a series of short agility-type drills.
Despite Grundy’s left leg being bandaged up to his calf, the Pies remain adamant he is improving from a toe injury that was initially described as a two-week setback.
More seriously (please ignore glib remark below), I’d love to hear your more detailed thoughts on the whole RUC thing Hutta … as it currently stands (on the understanding that a lot is gonna happen in the next 36 days).
I’m currently pure guns and rookies at the moment with Williams D4, Zerrett M5, Grundy/Gawn and Heeney F3.
Finding the balance between forward and defence rookies isn’t easy at this stage but a gut feeling DEF will be lighter.
Starting Grundy/Gawn in the ruck allows the flexibility for me to cash out on one of them if I need the extra coin and for me personally, it will be Gawn of the two.
Moving Williams to D3 with someone like Roberton at D4 instead and Goldy (who I have no hesitation in starting) at R2 allows me to bring someone like Dunkley/Gray into F4 if need be.
Still a long way to go, and I’m not really toying with at the moment as there is still so much to play out between now and then. I usually hit delete and rebuild when Rd1 teams are announced anyway.
Thanks Hutta. I appreciate that hugely. It reassures me that there are that many of us thinking/feeling the same way 🙂
PS I have no doubt that a lot will happen between now and Rd1 but I’m getting the increasing feeling that we will have better FWD rookies (numbers and returns) than any other line, including MIDs but excepting RUCs.
Not the line for your loophole this year!!
Don’t think you can afford to loop hole, to much potential money to be made. You get an extra possible 150kish over loop hole running teams. That’s an extra premo faster. Can easily fill 11mid and6fwd promising rookies atm. Of course no one knows which rookies will play but it seems deep every where except defence.
Interesting Hutta! Very similar thoughts and plans to mine … although interesting to see how you have been able to get Williams to D4 and zerrett to M5 as I have struggled to get 4 ‘premos’ in the defence … must be the make up of your mids …
Time to play around again … OH, and I have the Bye Planner that I am already using … so very easy for me to “file, save as …” next version!! wink wink … ha ha … but that is also a hint to all, once the planner comes out, you can save several versions of it with your different team scenarios!!
Good luck all!
That is 700k of awkward. What’s the odds of the curse happening again. Might end up going nankenstein before first bounce.
I’m thinking Nittswank. Dyslexia rules ok 🙂
Grab grawndy at round 14, or not. Still starting them at this point. But I am getting concerned now. I think both or neither. Grab all the points or all the money but not split it. The only concern is I’ve got 13 gnrs. All the top tier guys so it’s hard to drop them both to bring in a Williams or dunkly type. From the point of view that I’m not using left over money to put a guy in, potentially dropping 240 points for something less likely.
Is it only me or am I getting worried for nothing? Grundy is carrying a toe injury. For big lads, this is very painful and affects their balance. Sandi has the same injury debilitating him. This one to 2 weeks turned into 2 weeks turned into 3 weeks sounds really familiar. Or am I reading too much into it?
That was turf toe (something I’d never heard of at the time and never seen again) so don’t think it’s the same injury, but I think your concerns are warranted since he costs 700k
Dr Phil! 🙂
nankstein is slowly building up steam!
tigers will be dominant again an another preseason under nanks belt cannot hurt
and goldy is goldy not much needs to be said…
history strongly suggests Grundy or Gawn will eventually drop in price but you may miss a few points in the process is the only problem