(Written & Created By Adam)
Gun Midfielder………
Premium History (Avg>100):
2014: 100.10 from 21
2017: 106.91 from 22
2018: 127.05 from 19
Avg VS Opponent:
Adel: 127.33 from 3 (low of 87 and a high of 177, 1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)
Bris: 141.25 from 4 (low of 121 and a high of 162, 4/4 120+)
Carl: 119.75 from 4 (low of 104 and a high of 141, 2/4 120+)
Coll: 98.33 from 3 (low of 92 and a high of 102, 1/3 below 100)
Ess: 114.5 from 4 (low of 91 and a high of 136, 1/4 below 100, 2/4 120+)
Freo: 97 from 3 (low of 85 and a high of 108, 2/3 below 100)
Geel: 77.5 from 2 (low of 71 and a high of 84)
GC: 141.5 from 4 (low of 97 and a high of 189, 1/4 below 100, 2/4 120+)
GWS: 94 from 5 (low of 61 and a high of 124, 2/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)
Haw: 109.5 from 2 (low of 100 and a high of 119)
Melb: 91.4 from 5 (low of 56 and a high of 131, 3/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)
NM: 117 from 4 (low of 86 and a high of 153, 1/4 below 100, 2/4 120+)
Port: 108 from 4 (low of 51 and a high of 147, 2/4 below 100, 2/4 120+)
Rich: 133 from 3 (low of 117 and a high of 163, 1/3 120+)
StK: 95.33 from 3 (low of 80 and a high of 121, 2/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)
Syd: 107.75 from 4 (low of 98 and a high of 123, 1/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)
WC: 103 from 5 (low of 74 and a high of 142, 2/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)
Avg at Venue:
Marvel: 105.47 from 34 (12/34 below 100, 10/34 120+)
2014: 95.46 from 13
2017: 98.27 from 11
2018: 126.4 from 10
Interstate: 113.39 from 18 (5/18 below 100, 6/18 120+)
2014: 115.83 from 6
2017: 118 from 7
2018: 104 from 5
Marvel Wins: 112.82 from 17 (4/17 below 100, 7/17 120+)
2014: 89 from 4
2017: 107.14 from 7
2018: 135.33 from 6
Marvel Losses: 98.92 from 17 (8/17 below 100, 3/17 120+)
2014: 98.33 from 9
2017: 82.75 from 4
2018: 113 from 4
Wins: 119.36 from 25 (6/25 below 100, 12/25 120+)
2014: 106.71 from 7
2017: 112.36 from 11
2018: 143 from 7
Losses: 104.97 from 37 (15/37 below 100, 10/37 120+)
2014: 96.79 from 14
2017: 101.45 from 11
2018: 117.75 from 12
Pre Bye: 113.86 from 29 (9/29 below 100, 9/29 120+)
2014: 102.38 from 8
2017: 101.9 from 10
2018: 133.09 from 11
Post Bye: 108.06 from 33 (12/33 below 100, 13/33 120+)
2014: 98.69 from 13
2017: 111.08 from 12
2018: 118.75 from 8
2018 Stat Averages:
Disposals: 32.79
SC Avg when disposals equal/exceed 33: 145 from 10 (low of 103 and a high of 189, 8/10 below 100)
SC Avg when disposals below 33: 107.11 from 9 (low of 51 and a high of 142, 3/9 below 100, 4/9 120+)
Kicks: 15.74
SC Avg when kicks equal/exceed 16: 141.33 from 9 (low of 103 and a high of 189, 8/9 120+)
SC Avg when kicks below 16: 114.2 from 10 (low of 51 and a high of 177, 3/10 below 100, 4/10 120+)
Handballs: 17.05
SC Avg when handballs equal/exceed 18: 153.25 from 8 (low of 110 and a high of 189, 1/8 below 100, 7/8 120+)
SC Avg when handballs below 18: 108 from 11 (low of 51 and a high of 142, 3/11 below 100, 5/11 120+)
Marks: 5.79
SC Avg when marks equal/exceed 6: 126.82 from 11 (low of 98 and a high of 163, 1/11 below 100, 7/11 120+)
SC Avg when marks below 6: 127.38 from 8 (low of 51 and a high of 189, 2/8 below 100, 5/8 120+)
Contested Possessions: 13.47
SC Avg when contested possessions equal/exceed 14: 164.17 from 6 (low of 147 and a high of 189, 6/6 120+)
SC Avg when contested possessions below 14: 109.92 from 13 (low of 51 and a high of 142, 3/13 below 100, 6/13 120+)
Tackles: 5.37
SC Avg when tackles equal/exceed 6: 153.86 from 7 (low of 120 and a high of 189, 7/7 120+)
SC Avg when tackles below 6: 111.42 from 12 (low of 51 and a high of 153, 3/12 below 100, 5/12 120+)
Clangers: 2.84
SC Avg when clangers below 3: 133.71 from 7 (low of 51 and a high of 189, 1/7 below 100, 5/7 120+)
SC Avg when clangers equal/exceed 3: 123.17 from 12 (low of 74 and a high of 163, 2/12 below 100, 7/12 120+)
Time on Ground%: 85.84%
SC Avg when time on ground equals/exceeds 86%: 134.5 from 14 (low of 74 and a high of 189, 2/14 below 100, 10/14 120+)
SC Avg when time on ground below 86%: 106.2 from 5 (low of 51 and a high of 147, 1/5 below 100, 2/5 120+)
Premium Career Stat Averages:
Disposals:
2014: 26.76
2017: 27.5
2018: 32.79
Kicks:
2014: 14.38
2017: 11.82
2018: 15.74
Handballs:
2014: 12.38
2017: 15.68
2018: 17.05
Marks:
2014: 5.67
2017: 4.55
2018: 5.79
Contested Possessions:
2014: 7.86
2017: 10.86
2018: 13.47
Tackles:
2014: 4.10
2017: 5.77
2018: 5.37
Clangers:
2014: 2.24
2017: 1.86
2018: 2.84
Time on Ground %:
2014: 80%
2017: 85.95%
2018: 85.84%
Disposal Efficiency%:
2014: 73.13%
2017: 77.19%
2018: 74.16%
Contested Possession Rate%:
2014: 29.62%
2017: 39.77%
2018: 40.76%
Observations:
Averages 110+ against 7 teams (Adel, Bris, Carl, Ess, GC, NM, Rich) with 5 pre-bye and 4 post bye against them in 2019.
14.39 win/loss differential.
5.8 pre-bye/post bye differential.
40+ avg differential when handballs equal/exceed 18, contested possessions equal/exceed 14 and tackles equal/exceed 6.
Macrae enjoyed his best year to date increasing his average by 20.14 to 127.05 and with the recent injury news regarding T Mitchell he starts 2019 as the highest priced midfielder. Only 3 games below 100 in 2018 with an injury affected 51 in RD13 in comparison to 12 of 19 games scoring 120+ with 5 of those 12 exceeding 150. This highlights his consistency and ceiling and if he can maintain his 2018 stat averages then he should comfortably finish in the top 4 SC midfielders.
Verdict: Strongly consider for M1/Upgrade Target
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Was locked in my side before the Titch news but without Titch, he should be in just about every side. I remember not owning Grundy last year and waiting for a “price drop”. Could be a similar situation, unless you have an injury to a highly priced premium or are willing to sideways trade he may well cost you 2-3 precious trades later on in season to get him in
I just want to see some stats on follow up seasons for the likes of Macrae/Grundy/Gawn.
Anybody ?
Read FD’s post on TLAs. If that doesn’t convince you, nothing will! 😉
Grundy might start slowly without a full-pre-season, but after Rd1 he’s got a pretty easy run right up to the byes, so you won’t be able to generate enough cash to bring him in unless you either keep a whopping bank or use three trades! Gawn the same, but he is older.
I reckon Grundy will improve on 2018, Macrae might, but won’t do worse than the same and Gawn well, he’s the best ruck in the comp and has a fast-improving engine room around him.
I could be wrong, but I’m as confident picking these three as I am Danger.
Just squeezed him in and bumped BCrouch to M6. Feels bloody good popping him in front of Cripps, Oliver and Fyfe but defence takes a hit. Almost feel Whitfield/Mid rookie is a better way to go than Macrae/Def rookie just for pure team balance.
After reading this and FD’s musings I’ve had to shuffle everything to get him in. I think my team looks a lot better with Macrae than without
He plays Gold Coast in round 3 and Carlton in round 5 so I really want him early for those games. Good value alternatives in the mids but can’t avoid the opportunity for some mega scores
He’s not the most injury resilient player going round. He has only played all 22 games once
Locked even with titch playing.
I won’t lie I get a bit sad seeing his popularity increase.
Currently out due to rookie restructure 🙁